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LOUISVILLE, Ky, Octoher 37.— Barring something approaching a po- litical miracle, Kentucky is safe for President Roosevelt, but the final score on election day may give the Repub- lican high command a long-to-be- remembered headache. In normal presidential years the election here always has been close, but for some unknown reason the Re- publican national organization seems ready this year to give up without a struggle. Perhaps thcy bave been influenced by reports in Washington and New York that the President seems likely to increase his 1932 majority of 185,~ 000 votes. Although this prediction has been given wide circulation, even the Democratic party workers here don’t make any such claim. They concede that the President’s margin of victory will be reduced, forecasting a majority in the neigh- borhood of 100,000 votes. Still re- luctant to admit defeat, the Repub- licans say that if Mr. Roosevelt does win his majority will not be more than 30,000. Former U. S. Judge Quoted. In discussing the campaign and its probable outcome, & former Federal Jjudge, who has been speaking through- out the State in behalf of the Re- publican ticket, although he is not a professional politician, had this to say: “I can’t understand why the na- tional Republican organization hasn’t put up more of a fight for Kentucky. They seem to have acknowledged de- feat before the fight started. “I don’t want to be misunderstood. President Roosevelt now has a defi- nite advantage and he probably will carry the State, although that, in my opinion, is not a foregone conclusion by any means. But I honestly be- lieve that if we had been given any financial support by the national or- ganization we might have carried Ken- tucky for Gov. Landon. I have been making speeches all over the State and the response, particularly in the farming sections, has been amazing. Of course, I think it’s too late to turn the tide now, but I'll be surprised if Mr. Roosevelt’s majority is much over 25,000." For what they are worth, past elec- tion figures seem to lend some cred- ence to this claim. Mr. Roosevelt swept the State in 1932, which was not a normal year, end in 1928, with the religious issue uppermost in the minds of the voters, Herbert Hoover won by nearly 180,000 votes. . Previous Elections Close. But the preceding elections were close. In 1924 President Coolidge won by 24,000 votes in a prosperity cam- paign. In 1920 Gov. Cox led Warren G. Harding by only 7,000 votes. Wood- row Wilson's 1916 majority was only 28,000, while in 1912 he ran only 1,300 votes ahead of the combined total for President Taft and Theodore Roosevelt. In 1908 William J¢ Bryan led President Taft by 8,300 votes. 1f these figures mean anything, they certainly indicate that Kentucky in normal times is a battle ground, and there may be some foundation for the claim of the local Republicans that the national organization has muffed & cgnce to carry the State. The re- sults November 3 will tell the story. The senatorial race, with Senator | | Marvel M. Logan, Democrat, running || | for re-election against Robert H. Lu- || cas, the Republican nominee, seems || | likely to follow closely the presi- dential balloting. Lucas has just returned from a State-wide stumping tour and said | | e was confident he has an excellent chance to win, but the ogpnsensus is that Senator Logan will run as well, but no better, than the President. || He won in 1930 by 27,500 votes. G. O. P. House Seat. The Republicans are virtually sure " of holding their lone congressional | | seat, || with Representative John M. Robsion, | | former Senator, running for re-elec- || tion. This district has always been that from the ninth district, Republican and the Democrats say they have no chance to win there. The registrations this year showed some 96,000 Republican voters in the district, although their highest pre- vious vote has been around 75,000. Republican leaders, incidentally, point to this registration figure as proof of their contention that there has been a decided swing away from President Roosevelt in the State. They claim the Democrats put forth their best efforts in the primary regis- tration in that district, and took the worst licking in the history of the State. Republican congressional claims also include the seventh and third districts. In the seventh, John B. Mollette is running against the Demo- cratic incumbent, Andrew Jackson May, while in- the third, which in- cludes Louisville, W. A. Armstrong is trying to unseat Emmet O'Neal, Dem- ocrat. ‘The Republican hopes for the third district don't seem to be based on any convincing reasons, but Mollette may have a real chance in the seventh. This is a mining district and Mollette is a working miner. Although a mem- ber of the State Legislature, he spends most of his time loading coal cars, and the Republicans believe the min- ers are going to vote for him. May is also popular with the miners, how- ever, and seems to have a slight ad- vantage. Democrats Lead in Registrations. Most discouraging, on the surface at least, to the Republicans, is a Democratic majority in primary reg- istrations of about 193,000 out of a total approaching a million. The Republicans say this doesn't mean a thing, pointing out that they held no State primary, since there was THE EVENING STAR, WASHINGTON, the President with charges of com« munistic leanings and with accusation that he seeks to nullify the Constitu- tion and set himself up as & dictator. It may be that they can make & good case on these grounds before the Kentucky voters, but they can't get away from the fact that business is better. Distillers, tobacco growers, coal miners and fermers all have more money in their pockets than they did in 1932. This is & potent factor in a national election and, regardless No Money Circulating Oil Heater—- Efficient Oil Heater. Colonial Desk—Walnut fin- ished on slz.“ hardwoods... . Book Trough End Table D. C, TUESDAY, OCTOBER 27, 1936. TENT AND AWNING MEN HOLD CONVENTION HERE Seal and Copeland Give Addresses of what “might have beed” Kentucky is due to stay in the Roosevelt column on November 3. New Cadet Commanders. CHARLOTTE HALL, Md., October 27 (®).—Masj. W. A. Stephens, com- mandant of the Charlotte Hall Mili- 200 manufacturers and wholesalers from all over the country had tered when President R, B. Elrod of Lincoln, Nebr., session. Elwood Seal, District corporation of Welcome at Silver Anniver- m}' ‘:dwm:wwn“,:" m. sary Session. ufacturers’ Association, welcomed the tary Academy, has announced that . delegates. Elrod ed. Willism Dayton Boles of Washington | The Nationsl Tent and Awning| Routine businers and two addresses and Joseph Roy Guyther, jr., of Me- | Manufacturers’ Association “yesterday | occupied .the morning session. 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