Evening Star Newspaper, November 4, 1928, Page 13

THE SUNDAY STAR, WASHINGTON, D. C, NOVEMBER_ 4. 1928—PART 1. o 35 Curtain Falls on Campaign With All Signs Pointing to Hoover’s Victory ISCONSIN HANS | ON PROGRESSVES Political Boundaries Erased| by Factional Fights in Campaign, Epecial Dispatch to The Star. MILWAUKEE, Wis., November 3.— | Political lines have never commanded much respect in Wisconsin, but even the remnants of those boundaries are being ‘crased as the present campaign draws to a close in this State whare | anything can happen in politics—and usually does. Trained by the elder La Follette to| ®plit a ticket at command, Wisconsin | voters have thrown former allegiances to the wind. Just how extensive the political fence Jumgleng has been can | only be told November 7, but the pre- | clection display of such athletic prowess | among factional leaders, from United States Senators down, has made prog- nosticators dizzy. o In the forefront of the Democratic Hnes, is a Republican Senator, John J. Blaine, and his Progressive Republican Smith for President Club. Leans to Smith. Senator Robert M. La Follette, jr. hereditary leader of the Progressives | and candidate for re-election on the Republican ticket, has not outspokenly indorsed Smith, but has given sympa- thetic support to the Smith drive by thoroughly lambasting the chublican; administration and Mr. Hoover, and | yet Senator Curtis, speaking in the State, has urged support of young Bob. The Blaine progressive indorsement has even been extended to a Demo- cratic candidate for governor, since the Republican nominee is a conservative and a Hoover booster. Walter J. Koh- ler, wealthy manufacturer of plumbing fixtures, but the rest of the Republican ticket of State officers is progressive. | This means that the faithful progres- sive will be expected to vote for a Democratic President and Vice Presi- dent, hop over to the Republican column to vote for La Follette for Senator, back to the Democratic column in voting for governor, and then mark the Republican column for the minor State officers. Gov. Zimmerman has presented an- other paradox in the campaign. He| was a former La Follette leader, elected by a combination of progressive and conservative strength over a progressive indorsed by the La Follette family. ‘This year he was defeated in the Re- publican primary, the stalwart Republi- can winning and the La Follette pro- gressive leading Zimmerman by many thousands. And yet the governor has been, campaigning outside the State for Hoover since the primary. ‘The Democrats have never had more than the shell of an organization re- cently in Wisconsin. but they are con- fidently expecting to carry the State. ‘Those men who are willing to put up money on the outcome are betting at odds.of 10 to 9 that Smith will carry the State. ‘The Democrats can count on a sub- stantial majority in lake shor: counties from Milwaukee north. Here German stock predominate and the same Ger- man-Americans who were vociferously Republican when Wilson policies and the League of Nations were issues, are grimly for. Smith on the issue of beer and against. Hoover because of his as- sociation with ,Wilson. About- half Lutherans, the religious issue does not seem to have shaken the new align- ment, ¢ Only in the southern tier of counties. always safely Republican, can the Hoover forces be sure of their ground. ‘The great area north and west of Mil- waukee is any man’s land where Scan- dinavians are counted upon to support Hoover because of Smith's religion in spite of the fact that most of this territory is normally loyal to progres- sive leadership. Farm Aid Is Problem. Farm relief is an issue in Wisconsin, but no one can be sure whose issue it is. The desirability of the McNary- Haugen plan from- the Wisconsin dairy- man’s viewpoint is discounted by the |- fact that large amounts of grain feed are imported from Western States and any 4increase in the price of corn, grain or hay - would be certain to handicap the farm leaders who have declared for Smith on the ground that the Republi- can -administration has turhed a cold shoulder on the farmers. ‘There is one other issue in Wisconsin, but last in importance. * Hoover is be- ing cited as favorable to the immediate development of the St. Lawrence water- way, and Smith as opposed to the proj- ect in favor of the New York route. Great things are promised to Wisconsin when ocean freighters can tie up at its lake docks, and the St. Lawrence plan has enthusiastic backing from business men in these lake shore cities. But these men are in the Hoover column on other issues already, and it is doubtful that many votes have turned on that point alone. The result seems to turn on the desire of the La Follette progressives for re- venge. Their ‘own candidate for gov- ernor beaten in the primary by a stal- wart who threatens to bécome a candi- date for United States Senator four Years from now against Blaine, they are out to wreck the patched-up Republican machine in the State by leading a mi- gration to -the Democratic camp., If they can bring with them most of the 400,000 who voted for the elder La Fol- lette for President four years ago, Smith’| will easily carry the State. But Blaine has no sueh popularity, personal or po- litical, as the younger La Follette, and the extent of the migration must still be a point for speculation. JOHN G. BAKER. ARKANSAS IS SAFELY But Republicans Will Gather Many Votes in State This Year. Epecial Dispatch to The Star. LITTLE ROCK, Ark., November 3— ‘The Nation-wide straw vote poll con- ducted by the Literary Digest, Hearst newspapers -and other organizations may be representative of the political electorate in some States, but in Arkan- | 525 this poll is yalueless, which does not | necessarily, that th: = Cucted unfairly. e 1 Arkansas, for instance, is given as favoring Hoover in some’ polls and in others as being only slightly for Smith; wehreas, it is known to all political ob- servers here that the State will go over- thIn‘\msl? for Smith. It is tros that Hoover will make a | tremendous gain here in the pnrmlarl vote. He has a large following among conscientious Democratic admirers who, like the ‘candidate himself, are opposed to "bigotry and' intolerance. On top of that he will have a large support from the ministers and their followers who are fighting Smith because of his re- liglon, but who wag= that contest be- hind the smoke screen of prohibition. To offset the Republican gain, how- ever, the Democrats have organized in this’ State as they were never before organized in a national campaign and have spent money in a State-wide plea 1ot party support. On the eve of the election. the out- look is for a large gain for both parties, with the Democratic majority in about WEEK IN and Staff S the presidential campaign of 1928—one of the most remarkable in American pol- itics—draws at last to a hec- tic end, political confusion and uncertainty continue to reign in many States, but the signs point to the election of Herbert Hoover and Charles Curtis as President and Vice President, according to the last- minute dispatches to The Star from its special political writers and staff correspondents in every State in the Union. Sufficient uncertainty is reported in some of the larger and pivotal States, however, to afford hope to the regular Democrats that Gov. Smith of New York may pull through. It he is elected President, it will be n the face of opposit2 indications in national polls or siraw votes, and it will prove that a majority of the ex- Rerienced political obscrvers of the ation—men who pride themselves on benz right—have made entirely wrong deductions, or have misread the developments which they see oc- curring around them. PR The hope of the adherents of Smith lies to a large extent in the “silent vote.” In every State there are masses of voters who are re- ported to be unwilling to_say how they will vote Tuesday. Fach side claims the bulk of t . Ap= parently nobody knows what they will do. e Some obsarvers expect that many of those Democrats who have been lean:ng toward Hoover because they object to Smith’s religion ‘and wet views will decide at the last minul to cast their ballots for the pres dential nominee of their _party. Other political writers express the opinion that the bulk of this “silent vote” will go to Hoover. Still other observers report the probability that many Republicans in this classifica- t'on will vote for Hoover and main- tain the same silence. ‘The campaign is coming to an end with Gov. Smith batk in his home State of New York, fighting to carry it for President, as he has carried "it four t'mes for governor. Meanwhile, Hoover is on his way to his California hom>, speaking to campaign audiences en route. e campa’gn on both sides will be kept up nearly everywhere until election eve, Monday, and Republicans. regu- lar Democrats and bolting Demo- crats in most States plan to have ;m.chu-a at the polling places Tus~ ay. 4 it New England, which is usually counted safely Republican in na- tional elections, is one of the centers of chief interest in thess last days, becauss of the reported uncertainty of the result in Massachusetts and Rhode Island and the surprising Smith stren, in - Connecticut. Maine, according to latest reports, will roll up a Hoover majority close to 80,000. New Hampshire, where both sides have sent eleventh-hour speakers, is reported likely to go Re- publican. In Massachusetts, Senator Borah of Idaho, one of the progressive leaders of the Senate, has been speaking for Hoover in an effort to stop the reported drift of a large portion of the Republican element toward Smith. The fight in the Bay State is probably the liveliest in its history. ‘The popular Senator David 1. Wajsh, Democrat, is running for re-election on the sems ticket with Emith and helping the Democratic presidential nominee _tremendously in Massachusetts. * A Rhode Island Democrats. are jubilant because of the small margin by which the Republican managers are claiming the State. The Smith adherents there think this presages a Democratic victory there. In inner Democratic circles, it is said to be admitted that Smith has “little bet- ter than an outside chance” of carrying Connecticut. With its 45 electoral votes New York, most populous of . all the States and home of the Democratic nominee, continues to be the main center. of national interest. Most observers believe that if Smith can- not carry New York he cannot win. Latest_reports indicate that the re- rts indicate that the result there s a “toss up,” and betting odds on the State are even. ‘The Democrats of New Jersey have again been stirred to hopeful- ness by another speaking invasion of their State by Smith, but a tour of the State by an experienced ob- server “indicates a Hoover victory there. Democratic managers continue to POLITICS Summary of National Developments Based on Reports of The Star’s Correspondents Writers. claim Pennsylvania, but this old- line Republican Sate is reported by most observers to be surely for Hoover. though perhaps by a re- duced majority. e Democrats are reported to have given up hope of cairying Delaware. An investigation of charges of election crookedness has enlivened the campaign in Ohio in the last few days and improved somewhat Smith's chances, but the Hoover santiment is declared to be so strong that he is sure of carrying that State notwithstanding last-minute adverse influence. Nearly all ob- servers agrea that Hoover holds the vinside track” in Indlana, but the Democrats are taking hope from the expected great outpouring of new voters. Smith is reported to be very strong in Chicago, but Illinois as a whole is reported to be pretty sure to g0 for Hoover. e Among the border States Mary- land continues to be one of the most debatable, Party defections on both sides there are so great that Repub- lican and Democratic leaders con- fess that one guess is as good as an- other. In West Virginia the Repub- licans are encouraged by a huge in- crease in registration and the Demo- crats hampered by a seeming lack of money. The Democrats are said to have sent a largs sum of money into Kentucky, which has been reported as leaning toward Hoover. About all that observers say about Missouri is that it is an “oven bet” and may go either w Oklahoma is still reported to be likely to go for Hoover. In Tennessee the Demo- cratic nominee still holds the “edge.” * k¥ % Despite polls indicating that many States of the “solid” South will fo for Hoover, the prevailing opinion of correspondents in those States is that they will stay in the Demo- cratic column. The campaign in Virginia is bitter in some places and is upsetting all traditions. Demo- cratic defections in North Carolina are declared to be insufficient to turn the State to Hoover. Georgia and ‘South Carolina seem as_safely Democratic as ever, while Plorida fiivu only slight hope to the Repub- cans. Alabama, Mississippi and Louisi- ana are als> reported to be safe for Smith, despite holting Demeocrats, especially in the two first named States. Arkansas is_expected to go overwhelmingly for Smith. The bit- terness of the Texas campaign has been increasing, but the State seems sure to go Democratic, as usual. The agricultural Midwest is re- ported to be deeply stirred in some spots by the speeches of Senator Norris, Republican, of Nebraska, for Smith. Republicans privately base their hope of carrying Nebraska on the religious issue. There are no indications that Kansas will desert its ““favorite son,” Senator Curtis, the Republican vice presidential nominee. Minnesota, Which for a time was reported doubt- ful, is now declared practically cer- tain to go for Hoover. Iowa and Michigan are also counted in the Republican ~column, while condi- tions in Wisconsin give the Demo- crats considerable ground for hope. Latest reporis from North and South Dakota are that they will show Hoover majorities, 5 * % ok ok Generally speaking, Hoover is re- ported to have the advantage in the Rocky Mountain States, though thers is much uncertainty about Montana. Both sides are fighting to the end for Colorado, where Smith is reported to have a good chance. although betting odds are the other way. Privately, Democratic leaders are reported to be conceding Nevada to Hoover, who also seems to_have the advantage in Wyoming, Idaho and Utah. New Mexico and Ari- zona are not certainly in either col- .umn, according to latest reports. Hoover's advantage on the Pa- cific Coast has apparently not been destroyed by Democratic efforts in ths last few days. Washington is re- ported in the latest dispatches to be safely Republican and is expected to elect a Republican Legislature. In Oregon, where it is estimated that all records will be broken for the number of votes cast, the only remaining question is reported to .be the size of the Hoover-Curtis ma- jority. The Reguhllun nominee’s home State of California seems to be on the eve of giving him its electoral votes. (Copyright, 1928, by The Washington Star.) .0.P CONFDENT N WEST VRGN Hoover Majority Estimated in Neighborhood of 30,000. Special Dispatch to The Star. . CHARLESTON, W. Va.,, November 3. —With an advantage rcvealed by the Assoclated Press of approximately 100,000 in a registration-of 875,000 a totdl 293,000 greater than four years ago, the Republican organization in ‘West Virginia entered the last week, of the campaign with an accession of the confidence that outwardly has been maintained throughout. The huge in- crease in registration is exclusive of | thousands of names added to the lists when registrars sat for two days last month at polling places in the 2,316 pre- cints of the State and at the sittings of the county courts last Tuesday. However, the encouragement afford- ed by registration figures did not bring any slackening of campaign effort. In fact, the Republican program for the week in a way indicated what the Democratic leaders charge—that the Republican campaign management real- izes the State is still debatable ground. Senator Borah was induced to come to Charleston for a speech Monday. night and two members of the President’s cabinet—Kellogg and Wilbur—were at ‘Wheeling Thursday for a rally designed to counteract ths signal success of the John W. Davis mecting the week before, An unexpected lack of money has been hampering the wind-up of the Democratic campaign. Editor C. E. Smith of the Fairmont Times, an out- standing figure in the Smith drive, ex- pressed the disappointment felt by his party in this language: “We thought Mr. Raskob and the rest of the opulent supporters of Gov. Smith would take care of the money end of the campaign and leave us free to do the exhorting, but it turns out that such is not the case.” This writer sticks to his opinicn’ that Hoover will carry the State by about the plurality Coolidge had in 1924 over Mr, Davis, the native son, or 31,403, and G. 0. P DOUBTFUL OF RHODE ISLAND Democrats Confident of Vic- tory for First Time Since Civil War. Special Dispatch to The Star. PROVIDENCE, R. I, November 3.— Republican National Committeeman Peck has wired Dr. Hubert Work that the G. O. P. nominee for the United States Senate, Judge Herbert, will carry the State by 10,000 Tuesday, and the Hoover-Curtis ticket by slightly less. This in itself is an admission of grave doubt that the G. O. P. will carry Rhode Island, and it comes from a man who makes no rash statements, There is a normal Republican ma- jority of more than 30,000 here out of a voting strength of more than 230,000. Yet Mr. Peck claims the State by only 10,000, thus admitting expected inroads by the Democrats. The whirlwind campaign 1s coming to a close. The Democrats are jubilant. They claim they will overturn the G. O. P. majority, and for the first time since the Civil War give a Democratic candi- date for President a majority of Rhode Island’s votes. These claims they base on the foreign vote going for Smith and also on the fact that Rhode Island is “wringing wet.” However, no matter what happens to Smith or Hoover here, there is a grow- ing belief that the French vote, splitting its ballots, will elect Judge Felix Herbert as United States Senator in place of Senator Gerry. Practically the entire campaign by the G. O. P.. has been used for Judge Herbert. From United Btates Senator Jesse H. Metealf down to the last alderman,.the State has been stumped for the.defeat of Gerry. ‘Whatever happens, Tuesday will see the greatest outpouring of voters that this smallest State in the Union ever has witnessed. And the issue is in the lan of the gods, as Senator Moses said here this week, when he appeared to be of the oflimon that Hoover had a better chance of carrying New York ani Massachusetts than he had of carrying that Senator Neely may be either’ re- elected or defeated by former Gov. H. D. Hatfield in a close vote. The Republic- an State and ‘congressional tickets ex- JAMES S. HART. For saving her little brother and his boy companion from a fire, 11-year-old the same proportion of the total vote cept for the Senator seem to be rea-|Daisy Bragg of South Northwood, Eng- 85 it has been in the past. -FLETCHER CHENAULT. sonably assured of vict St -LYN&ETLAN]I gland, has been presented a watch and a clock, GY OTEFAGTR N CONECTELT G. 0. P. Looks to Rural Backers to Overcome Smith Edge in Urban Areas. Special Dispatch to The Star. HARTFORD, Conn., November 3.— Connecticut is now claimed by both major political parties, although in inner Democratic circles it is admitted that Gov. Smith has little better than an outside chance of carrying the State. The recent visit of the Demo- cratic standard bearer, on which he made stops at the principal cities, Hart- ford, New Haven, Bridgeport, Waterbury and New Britain, did much to hearten the leaders, who had practically given up the fight, although making no pub- lic admission of defeat. The reception given the candidate all along the line was an ovation of such magnitude that the Democratic chlefs, 1s well #s Gov. Smibth, interpret the enthusiasm as meaning votes. The frecung, especially in Hartford, where he longest stop was made, far exceeded in fits warmth the expectations of friends and foes. The Smith visit has undoubtedly put new life into the Con- necticut Democrats, but it is only a | matter of conjecture as to the number |of votes if any it has made for the visitor, who had been bound anyway to make a far better showing than either Davis in 1924 or Cox in 1920. Roraback Confident. Chalrman J. H. Roraback of the Re- publican State central committee, na- tional committeeman from Connecticut, has not been known to withdraw his forecast of 75,000 plurality for Hoover, made at the time of his nomination, but he has given out no recent esti- that the State is safely Republican. National Committeeman Thomas J. Spellacy and other Democratic leaders, on the other hand, are claiming that Connecticut will give Smith a plurality of 10,000 or more, basing their conten- tlon of what they say the cities will do. Their estimate of the combined Demo- cratic pluralities in the cities, of which there are about 20 in a total of 169 munieipalities in Connecticut, is 30,000, which they claim will be too big a hn:\dicnp for the small towns to wipe out. They look to Hartford, New Haven and Waterbury to furnish the bulk of their city vote, while Bridgeport, the remaining city of Connecticut's “Big Four” and usually a Republican strong- hold, is not looked uPon to help much it any, possibly giving, according to Democratic figures, 1,000 or 2,000 plu- rality for Smith. New Haven, Hartford and Waterbury are estimated by Demo- cratic_leaders at something like 5,000 each for thelr national ticket. Republican leaders, while not denying that Smith will lead Hoover in most of the cities, with particular strength in Hartford, New Haven and Waterbury, do not concede these cities by anything like the Democratic figures, belleving that they can hold Hartford to from 2.500 to 3.500, New Haven to not more than 4,000 and Waterbury to perhaps approximately the same plurality as New Haven. Bridgeport, is not conceded to the Democrats by the Republicans, who do not look for anything worse than a standoff in that eity and have hopes of carrying it by a small margin. City Vote Important. The votes of these cities are important, as the battle in Connecticut has resolved itself into & contest between city and small town. The Republicans look to the towns to offset the city vote, as was the case in 1922, the last year in which ths Democrats made any showing in'the State. If the Republicans can keep the big city pluralities to a total of 20,000 or less they should carry the State by a comfortable plurality, but far below that of 1924, when Coolidge led Davis by 136,000, and 1920, when Harding had 108.000 over Cox. While Connecticut has been listed by some political writers as a doubtful State, the recent disposition has been to put it in the sure Republican column, where it has been at every presidential election since the Cleveland victory in 1892, with the exception of 1912, the year of the Republican split. Even the comirfg of Smith has not changed this later view and non-extremists, who see things as they are, rather than as they want them to be, give Connecticut to Hoover by a plurality of 30,000, wit] somewhat larger margins for Walcott, Republican candidate for United States Senator against Lonergan, Democrat, and the candidates on the Republican State ticket. This estimate seems rea- sonable, ‘There appears little doubt that four of the five Republican candidates for Congress will be successful and the probability is that the entire Republican lelegation in the House of Representa- ives will be re-elected. The possible exception to the rule is the fifth dis- trict, made up of Litchfield County and the Waterbury end of New Haven County, where an abnormally large Democratic plurality in Waterbury would endanger the chances of Repre- sentative Glynn, Republican. This dis- trict is the only one in the State that has gone Democratic since 1918, a Democrat being elected in 1922. H. 1. HORTON. REPUBLICANS STILL Effect of Norris’ . An- nounced Support of Smith, Belittle Special Dispatch to The Star. OMAHA, Nebr., November 3.—Before Senator Norris delivered his speech in Isupport of Gov. Smith, Republican State committee officials claimed the State | for Hoover by at least 50,000, They persist in the claim that defections be- cause of the Norris stand, known be- forenand, were discounted before his talk and that the farmer vote will largely remain Republican. Privately they base their hope on the religious issue and openly say that pro- hibitlon and personality as between Smith and Hoover will have more effect than farm relief, which they assert has never taken first rank as an issue here. Norris’ speech undoubtedly had tre- mendous effect. It has been sent by the thousands over this region. The out- come will probably depend on whether the Senator's words can swing rigid tural drys and Protestants to vote Democratic for economic reasons in the fifth and sixth congressional districts both strongly Republican four years ago on President. This admittedly will be difficult to do. Much will depend on the weather on election day. Country roads off the trunk highways are not generally im- proved. A rainy spell has apparently set in which may hold the vote down. Coolidge carried the State four years ago by 81,000 and La Follette obtained 106,000 votes. A general switch to Smith of the foreign vote at least to the extent of the La Follette support is expected. Democrat dry defections have been heavy and will Dossih™™ nsat tha Dem- ocrat advantage mhh basis of com- Putation, F. FISHLR, mate, confining his forecast to saying | bee) CLAIM NEBRASKA| G000 WL 6 T0 TEMAS POLS Smith Majority Expected to Run Between 75,000 and 140,000. Special Dispateh to The Star. AUSTIN, Tex., November 3.—While the margin of certainty that Texas will remain Democratic Tuesday was gain- ing during the final week of a cam- paign of unprecedentsd bitterness in the State, prospects also were bright- ened that the only Republican mem- ber of Congress from thz State, Repre- sentative Wurzbach of San Antonio, and the only Republican State Sen- etor, Julius Real of Kerrville, will both be defeated by Democratic nominees. Murzbach's defeat by August Mc- Closkey, if effected as now claimed by Democrats, will put to an end the long fight over Texas Federal patronage be- tween Murzbach and R. B. Creager, Re- publican national committeeman " and an orlflnll Hoover supporter. While the regular Democrats dis- claimed fear of losing the State, the bolting element, estimated at 300,000 votes, set up such a vigorous campaign during the past s.;x weeks in Texas that Smith supporters and the “administra-~ tion regulars,” led by Gov. Dan Moody, whoss extreme dryness somewhat con- flicted with their support of Gov. Smith, swung into decisive action. Their Clmfili(n in behalf of the nominees reached an effective climax at the week end, in contrast with the overextended fight of the bolting Democrats, which lost much of its fervor and effect bafore election day arrived. Gov. Moody, to whom the Smith Ppeople once invitingly held out the pos- sible nomination for Vice President, has N in considerable difficulty in Texas, being at the same time a regular party man and a bone-dry prohibitionist, elected by and the recorn ed leader ot the ultra-dry majority forces in Texas. The effect. of Senator Morris Sheppard, author of the prohibition umen&nent. and of Cullen F. Thomas, lifelong prohi- bitlon worker, actively supporting Gov. Smith, clarified the fact that in Texas, the drys can consistently support the nominees, and helped Gov. Moody into a belated but effective effort in behalf of the ticket. Gov. Moody made one campaign speech in Texas and partiel- Ppated in one other Democratic rally. He declined urgent invitations to as- sist the campaign in doubtful States. He refused most invitations to speak in Texas, He reiterated, both at the na- tional convention in Houston, in which he succeeded in having the prohibition plank made dryer than offered by the Smith forces, that he would aupgon the nominees, but he coupled with every such declaration his reaffirmation of his prohibition stand, and his unwillingness to support any action that would weaken either Federal or State prohibition er its enforcement. Texas’ majority for the Smith electors is now being estimated at from 75,000 to 140,000 votes, out of an 800,000 votes, indicating that while the State is re- garded as safe, more than one-third of its Democratic voters this year are leav ing the fold to support the Republican nominee. S. RAYMOND BROOKS, SMITH BOLTERS FAIL T0 STIR MISSISSIPPI State Expected to Go 2 to 1 for the Democratio Ticket. Special Dispatch to The Star. JACKSON, Miss, November 3.— Eleventh-hour bolting in minor in- stances among the Democrats in Mis- siesippl has not changed the politieal outlook, and the State remains, :c- gflgflg to unbiased prognosticators, for Mutiny among 12 of the members of & county committee called for ruthless reading out of the Demacratic party and the last-minute resignation of a member of the State committee gave the Republicans hope. However, Hugh n | White, millionaire lumberman, reported to be for Hoover, took the stump for Smith, and charged that L. O. Crossby, the other lumberman who had bolted the Democrats, has personal political power as his bait. Representative Rankin was reported as the fifth of the eight Democratic Representatives taking the stump for Smith. All State officials here are for Smith. A bitter racial campaign is in prog- ress, with a Republican eircular charg- ing a negro in New York is the right- hand man and appointee of Smith. This was followed by equally as preju- dicial circular by the Democrats, charg- ing negro control of Republican ap- pointments in this State. The State, conservatively estimated, will go two to one for Smith, but with the Republicans polling the highest vote since the carpet-bag days. REX B. MAGEE. NORTH DAKOTANS SWING TO HOOVER Pledge of Extra Session for Farm Legislation Deflates Boom for Smith. Special Dispatch to The Star. FARGO, N. Dak., Nov. 3.—Unless all | the usual yardsticks whereby an election | campaign is judged are awry, North Dakota's five electoral votes will go to Herbert Hoover. This State has been extremely doubt- ful till this week, but within the past few days there has been a very notice- able decrease in the Smith sentiment. Hoover's pledge to call a special ses- slon of Congress, in the event of elec- tion, and a failure of the short session to do anything in the way of farm re- llef, repaired the damaged his New York speech had done out here and al- most overnight deflated the protest vote balloon which the Democratic managers had sailed so high. There is no denying the fact that Hoover hurt his cause when he threw the “State soclalism™ charge at Smith, for North Dakota is the original home of State paternalism in this country. It has a State-owned mill and eleva- tor, a State bank, and a State terminal elevator and mln exchange, and the Non-Partisan Leaguers again are before the voters on that issue. Fred J. Graham, national committee- man and ‘fromlnem league leader, was bombarded with protests, and for a day or two feared that it might have dis- astrous results. Senator Nye, another leaguer, was out on the hustings for Hoover, and he found farmers. every- :‘r':;re throwing the New York speech at These protests were communicated to the Chicago headquarters, but there was nothing they could do there for the Hoover-Curtis managers in this State. Then came Hoover's extra session pledge and the storm abated. GEORGE A. BENSON, | from their customary strength. Th2 ALBANY. N. Y. November 3. —New York, with its 45 electoral votes and a “favorite son” candidate, is without question the center of attention throughout the country on the eve of the 1928 national election. And New York, with the prodigality which seems traditional in so many of its activitles, apparently is about to live up to its reputation this year and give the coun- try the “show” that is expected. In the first place, a State that enrolls 4,885,276 persons for a national election is certainly worth watching for that if for no other reason. This is nearly a million more qualified voters than have ever registered before—997,722 more, to | be exact, than put their names on the books in the previous record year, 1924. ‘What makes the “show™ especially in- teresting, however, to the spectators in the rest of the country is the real un- certainty as to the way these millions of voters are going to cast their ballots. One might expect that a State which has an undoubted “favorite son” in the presidential race, a man who has been elected four times governor out of five attempts for the office, wouid be chalked up without the shadow of a doubt in the man’s column. State Still in Doubt. It is perhaps an indication of the in- ordinate “showmanship” of New York State that such is not the fact. With the election only three days away, it simply cannot be said that New York will give its 45 electoral college votes to its own Gov. Smith, Democratic candi~ date. “If he does not get New York, he won't be elected,” is one of the remarks heard many times these days, referring, of course, to Gov. Smith. Naturally that statement is always supplemented with | the further declaration that the winning of New York does not of itself mean Gov. Smith’s election. Forty-five elec- toral votes from one State is a much to be desired start toward a necessary 266, but it still leaves 221 others to be gathered. New York voters toward their own gov- ernor when he is running for President is ably reflected in the betting odds as quoted in the Wall Street financial dis- trict of New York City. Whereas the odds in favor of the election of Hoover have never been lower than 3 to 1 and this week reached as high as 4!z to 1, the quotations on tne presidential re- sults in the State change sometimes overnight. The odds s slightly one way or the other, but Hoover very closely to even money. The trend has been rather in favor of Hoover about 6 to 5 that he would carry Gov. Smith's own State. Betting odds are curious things, diffi- cult to trace to any ite source. But it is certain that Jrom one end of the State to the other, despite Gov. Smith's undeniably enormous firlonnl popular- ity and his remarkable campaigning record, the talk has been for weeks of hundreds who “voted for him for gov- ernor, but will not vote for him for President.” Gov. Smith was always elected by Republicans. The. party enrollment fig- ures indicated that this must have been true. Even when Coolidge polled near- ly a 2-to-1 vote over Davis in the presi- dential election of 1924, Gov. Smith was elected governor over a candidate who bore the glamour of a great New York State name—Theodore Roosevelt. “Al Smith Republican” is a designa- jon heard continually during the past decade here as descriptive of any mem- ber of a political group which unques- tionably numbered thousands. Now the Republican leaders claim confidently the turning point has come. Al Smith is at last running for an office for which the “Al Smith Republicans” cannot sup- ort him, es} ly in view of the cali- b I:n of the Republican candidate against Looking at the cold figures of his- tory, the presidential vote in New York Elected By Republicans. | EXPERTS REFUSE TO CONCEDE SMITH'S VICTORY IN NEW YORK Figures of 1924 Favor Hoover—Ubpstate Vote, to Overcome Gotham Margin, Is Sole Hope of G. O. P. in 1924, it would seem hardly credible that the Republican candidate should fail to be successful this year. Davis polled 950,796, Coolidge 1,820,058, La Follette (Socialist) 268,510, La Follette (Progressive) 206,395, Johns (Socialis- tic-Labor) 9,928, Foster (Workers) 8,244. Adding all of the votes cast for La Follettc and all other candidates to that for Davis and Coolidge still would have carried the State comfortably. But hte cold figures do not take into consideration so many entirely per- sonal facts. There was a very well de- fined rumor in 1924 that Tammany Hall and the Democrats gencnllfl in New York City, where is the huge strength of that party in the State, were decidedly “sore” because their candidate, Al Smith, had not received the nomination at the disastrous, to them, convention in their own city. The Democratic national standard bearer, therefore, it was rumored, was delib- erately cut. Up-State Vote Is Vital. This year, of course, their popular favorite is their candidate, and New York City can be looked to for a huge Smith vote. Now the question s, will the Republicans be able to poll the normally huge up-State presidential vote for their candidate? 1If they can. the 45 electoral votes of New York will go to Hoover. If they cannot poll the normal Republican vote, but are still able to draw many thousands of the “Al Smith Republicans” in this presi- dential year, Hoover still has an excel- lent chance of carrying the State. If the governor's personal popularity is able to overcome party scruples once more to a considerable extent, Hoover will lose the State. About the only thing that can be sald without fear of contradiction for New York State is that the vote for presi- dential electors is fairly sure to close. Beyond this nothing can be said with any degree of certainty. But it should be added that there is an un- deniable current, reflected in political talk everywhere in the State and the The uncertainty of the attitude of | betting odds also. showing the trend of the State as a whole is toward Hoover. This trend has carried over from last week, when it was reflected decidedly following Hoover's ' appearance and speech at Madison Square Garden, New York City's largest auditorium. And at the same time the mmlcll!v curious trend toward Franklin D. Roosevelt, Democratic candidate for governor, over his Republican opponent, Attorney General Albert Ottinger, seems to have continued. the pronouncement of the would-be wiseacres, although there are plenty in the Republican ranks who insist that the idea is entirely wrong, so far as Ottinger is concerned, and that their candidat: will receive a larger vote than Hoover. Senate Race Even. The contest for the United States senatorship still seems to be very much of a toss-up between the Democratic candidate for re-election, Dr. Royal S. Copeland, and his Republican opponent, Alanson B. Houghton, former United States Ambassador to Great Britain, |, Dr. Copeland is a proved vote-getter, but Mr. Houghton's strength during the campaign has been such as to hold the betting odds to even money throughout. As election day drew near there has been nothing to change the indications that the majority of New York’s Repre- sentatives in the next Congress will re- main Democratic. It continues highly probable that the Republicans will cap- ture two new seats. If they are suc- cessful in this the State’s representation xwlél‘l be 23 Democrats and 20 Repub- ns. The State Legislatuve is almost cer- tain to remain Republican in both branches. A normal presidential year in New York State ordinarily brings out a atly increased Republican vote, and for this and other intrastate reasons it seems highly probable that the Republicans may show slight gains in their legislative majority. THOMAS C. STOWELL. VIRGINIA 1§ STILL VIEWED DOUBTFUL Democrats in Quandary for First Time Since Bryan’s 1896 Campaign. Special Dispatch to The Star. RICHMOND. Va., November 3.—For the first time in a presidential election since 1896, the year of Bryan's free silver campaign, Virginia Democrats Tuesday night anxiously will await re- turns from own State. In the last 30 years it has always been taken Democrats in a presidential election and in all other elections. The eve of election flids the State in doubt, but the trend is toward Smith. Despite the fact that the Literary Digest in repeated issues has printed a ‘poll which indicates that Mr. Hoover will have approximately 50,000 majority in Virginia, it is hard to get the people of the State to belleve this and the betting on Smith-carrying Virginia has | recently gone from 3 to 1 to-3 to 1. The Democrats have lost heavily bolting has been.of tremendous propor= tions, but 1t is not belleved to be suffi- cient to wipe out the great majority which Virginia psually gives a Demo- cratic candidate. John W. Davis had a lead of 66,000 over Calvin Coolidge in Virginia in the 1924 contest for the Presidency and this lead was in a total vote which did not quite reach 230,000, Even Republicans who say that their prospects are bright in Virginia usually i qualify their statement by saying that it ! would be a miracle if a Republican candidate should carry the State. Conservative itical observers of both sides are of the opinion that tha State will go for Smith by a small ma- jority, something around 15,000. A month ago the average of estimates was a Smith majority of approximately 8,000. Since that time Democratic workers have accomplished much in their. canvass of precincts and the first congressional _district, which was then conceded to Hoover, is now considered in doubt and the second congressional district which was considered as in doubt, but inclining to Hoover, is now inclined strongly to Smith. Democratic have also been made in the third, fourth and eighth districts and the Democrats have sus- tained small losses in the seventh and ninth districts. In the fourth, sixth and tenth districts the status ‘quo has been maintained. The sixth has taken the place of the first district as having the most Demccratic bolters of any dis- trist of the State. R. L. C. BARRET. [ENNESSEE SAFE, DEMOCRATS FEEL Energetic Campaign Expect- ed to Yield Victory for Smith. Special Dispatch to The Star. MEMPHIS, TENN. November 3.— The Democrats are ready for a victory Tuesday. and unless every sign fails they will get it. It is conceded by all that Gov. Smith will run sharply be- hind Senator McKellar and Gov. Hor- ton, probably 15,000 or 20,000, but the Democratic tide has made the State e. for granted that Virginia would go | saf Such a situation has not come about without a fight. It has been something novel for the voters of Tennessee to be cajoled and appealed to and nursed and flattered as they have been in this um?alzn. In 1920 the State went Re- publican on_a_ fluke which has bcen ‘credited to Republican sentiment, but which really was not. A result is that both Gov. Smith and Mr. Hoover hon- ored the State with their presence dur- | ing the campaign, and some of the most gifted speakers of both parties have bzen here. Lead Set at 30,000. An analysis of the State indicates that a tremendous campaign in Demo- cratic West Tennessee will net a Dem- ocratic lead in that section of above 30,000. This will almost if not wholly offset the Republican lead in the moun- tains, leaving Middle Tennessee, strong- ly Democratic in virtually all of its 42 countles, to determine the siz> of the Democratic majority. Memphis and Shelby County, which make up the tenth district, are talking of a 15,000 majority. { A conservative estimate gives Gov.i Smith the State by from 15,000 to 20,- 000, thought Senator McKellar, whose popularity is widespread and whose travels during the campaign have car- ried him into every nool the State, estimates from 25,000 up. Based on registration and poll taxes paid, Republican East Tennessee will do well to roll up 35,000. In 1920 this section gave Harding 54,000 votes over James M. Cox. Crump Backs Smith, H Last-minute activities includ ! i eapousal of Gov. Smith Ly E. by |and District Attorney James A- dremil: " o) rump, the Memphis - political " leader, and a general rallying around him of ousands fleld workers who will “Hoover and Roosevelt” is and corner of | f | addressing the SHITH SEEN SURE INNORTH CAROLINA But Observers Set His Ma- jority at 30,000, Below Davis’ Figure. Special Dispatch to The Sta RALEIGH, N. C., November 3.—As the campaign in North Carolina draws to a close two things become increasing- ly clear—that nothing short of a dis- tinct upset will prevent Gov. Smith from receiving the State's electoral votes, and that nothing except a dis- tinct upset will enable him to receive 2 majority of more than one-third of | the 93,000 plurality by which John W. Davis carried the State in 1924. The closing days of the campaign have been featured by a violent empha- sis upon the race question, to an extent that has pushed into the background, bu by no means eliminated, the pro- hibition and religious questions. Normally Democratic. This State is normally Democratic in a ratio of 60 to 40, all recent elections maintaining that ratio rather closely. The rank and fille of ths Republicans of the State were opposed to the nom- ination of Hoover, the outstanding rea- | son being that his Republicanism was questioned. The rank and file of the Democrats of the State were opposed to Smith because of the familiar reasons of prohibition, religion and Tammany Hall. “The Republican delegation went to Kansas City divided, 13 for Lowden and 7 for Hoover, and the Democrats sent a delegation to Houston divided, 19%: for Hull and 4!3 for Smith. ‘The Republican breach, therefore, was not as wide and the defection is per- haps not as great as that in Demo- cratic ranks, even in proportion to the Trespective breaches. But the Republican defection is mot inconsiderable. That party for a long time took the wet side of the prohibition question in this State and there has been much Republican uneasiness over who would distribute the Federal patronage in this State should Hoover carry it, and considerable resentment of the tendency of the Re- publican organization to push hte anti- Smith Democrats to the front in the campaign. Simmons Bolts. On the Dsmocratic side, Senator Simmons has bolted the party and has bacome the spokesman of the rank and file. deserted bv practically every cog in the organization which has controlled the State for three decades. That cir- cumstance has been more than effset by the fact that Josephus Daniels, former Secretary of the Navy, who has for the same length of time been the spokes- man for the Anti-Saloon League and an inveterate foe of machines, has been supporting Smith with all his ener%. making more than 50 speeches in the campaign and furnishing a steady flow of Democratic ammunition in the editorial columns of his newspaper, the Raleigh News and Observer. The determining factor in Nerth Carolina will be the power of the appeal to party regularity. That is where the race question has. become important. It has furnished no small part of the appeal to the Democrats of the State 0 remain in the fold and the anti-Smith Democrats have invoked ths same issue, literally covering the State with large circulars containing a picture of Perdi- nand F. Morton, colored Civil Service Commissioner of New York City, dic- tating to a white stenographer. R. E. WILLIAMS. 'SMITH FORCES FEEL | SURE OF ALABAMA Closing Days of Campaign Has Brought Decrease in Hoover Strength. Special Dispateh to The Star. MONTGOMERY, Ala., November 3.— Democratic leaders will go to bed Mon- day night confident that Alabama will roll up ‘a slunnc!arL majority for Al- fred E. Smith. This feeling did not prevail 40 cays ago. Political observers declare during that timé ‘much work as been done and the tide which had threatened to engulf the State for . Hoover has been definitely checked. ‘Thousands of pleces of literature have been sent out and hundreds of speeches have been made in the big cities. Small towns and even back at the crossroads stores and schoolhouses. With few ex- ceptions the speaking has been done by local talent. Reviewing the campaig: which has been the bittercst in the hi tory of the State, little interest taken at first. Democratic leaders could not concsive of a condition arising necessitating active work to carry Alabama for the | Democratic ticket. While old line party | leaders were thus inactive, the seeds of discord sown during the preconvention days, began to take root and a senti- ment against the party nominee becam» 50 strong that heroic efforts were neces- sary to stem the tide. ‘The situation was aggravated by the appeal to religious hatreds, first made use of by Dr. Bob Jones, Methodist evangelist. Others took up the battle ery and from every stump has gone the cry, “keep the Pope out of the White House.” Senator Heflin waged a speak- ing campaign against the party nominee but refrained until last Monday from definitely detlaring that he will vote j against Al Smith. In addition to the injection of the 'nllrlous issue, the Anti-Saloon League + has marshaled all of its forces to bring about the downfall of the Democratic party in Alabama. | _In Republican elrcles there now ap- | pears a desperation which did not ex- | Ist six weeks ago. At that time claims were made to many counties which are inow conceded to be safelv Democratic. H ATTICUS MULLIN. ' {NEW HAMPSHIRE VIEWED AS DEBATABLE GROUND Sentiment for Democratic Ticket Shows Inerease in the Cities. | Spectal Dispateh to The Star. |, CONCORD, N. H. November 3.— | Both Rerub]u‘lm and Democrats have thrown eleventh-hour speakers into New +Hampshire in an effort to win the State to their respective sides. Attorne; - eral John G. 7 o Sargent of Vermont spoke ihere this week for the Republican ticket, . while the Democratic national commit- e sent Senator Broussard of Louisiana lion of New orluu.h wm‘k }‘:we been French- voters of the Granite State. P o make their presence felt Tuesday. Mr. Hoover might have had a chance in Tennessee two months ago, but none appears now. One reason for this is, that the Smith organization is new. | What pre-convention Smith sent- | pressed because of Judge. Cordell Hul Among the novelties for women in Pa:is this Winter are huge bow ties to fad be! pantom! dancer, who be worn on high collars of coats, the |in started by a pcguhr plerrot { got to working and the; as b2en so - their organization ment there was.in Tennessee was lurii ' candidacy. Then came the vacation | season. A result was that it was aiong | September before the Democrat had to build e ground up. much adflired in her stage costumes They have done that. ¢ them. THOMAS that we insist on copying FAYNTLEROY. New Hampshire, which has been dp- clared debatable ground, with lennh‘}és foward the Republican ticket, does not scem to show any change from that designation, “especially in the country places. The cities, however, seem to be showing more of a Smith sentiment than ever. The French-Canadian vote, a strong factor' in this Stat:, which generally is Republican, seems to be in favor of Smith, all of which has led National Democratic Chairman John J. Raskob to predict New Hampshire go Democratic if the French vote for | th, J. J. McCARTHY. will < .t