Evening Star Newspaper, November 4, 1928, Page 12

THE SUNDAY STAR. WASHINGTON. D. € NOVEMBER 4. 1928—PART 1. Last Forecast on Probable Electoral Vote Puts Balance in G. O. P. Column N EPEETS 1500 0 VOTE Republicans Feel New Renis- tration Wiil Take Them Over the Top. Bpectal Dispatch to The Star. INDIANAPOLIS, Ind., November 3.— Probably 1,500,000 voters will go to the polls in Indiana Tuesday to express their choice for President, and to elect a United States Senator, 13 Repre- sentatives and an entire State ticket. | If that number turns out, and political managers are unanimous in their pre- dictions, it will exceed by 250,000 the high vote mark set in previous elec- tions. Although practically all observers are agreed that Herbert Hoover holds the inside track in this State, the ex- pected outpouring of new voters has| caused the political managers some sleepless nights. With each party pretty badly torn up by tie unpar- alleled candidacies of Gov. Smith and Hoover, these newcomers easily hold the balance of power. Woms=n to Help Their Nominee. ‘The Hoover leaders astert that their | nominee wili be the chief beneficiary of the vote, and they contend that it is Jargely made up of women who heretofore have not taken an in- terest in politics. The Democrats, on the other hand. assert that it con- sists of a vote—the man in the street for instance—to whom Smith's candi- dacy has particularly appealed, and they predict that the New York Gov- | ernor will get the break on what has | previously been a stay-at-home voter. Discarding the ambitious claims of the Republican leaders that Hoover will sweep the State by upward of 300,000, and the almost equally ex- travagant claims of the Smith man- agers, the consensus among observers holds Hoover down to around 100,000. Some Republicans, noting the gains that Smith has made in the last 10 days, assert they will be satisfied with 50,000, and there are few who will| venture a private guess that goes ehove 150,000. What few Democratic uesses that are put forth in confidence X Gov. Smith’s majority around 25.000. It will bs noted that all cleims place | Hoover's estimatel majority below the 210,000 mark achieved by Coolidge four years ago and the 185000 majority obtained for Harding in 1920. In that year 55,000 votes were cast for the Socialist and Farmer-Labor candidates. 2nd in 1924 La Follette and the Socialist candidates polled 77,000 votes. Followers to Scaiter. ‘This year, however, although the Pro- hibitionists, the Socialists, the Socialist- Labor and th® Workers party have places on the ballot, they are not ex- pected to command much support, and their former followers will scatter their votes between Hoover and Smith. The Democrats contend they will get the edge in this movement, especially from 71,000 who followed La Follette four years ago. Inasmuch as Indiana has repealed its registration law, there is no accu- rate guage to what the turnout at the polls will be. The only straw on which to base an estimate is the 20-day poll taken by the rival political organiza- tions, and such a large number of voters recorded themselves as ‘“doubt- ful” that even that method is of little avail. It is estimated that practically one-third of the voters listed by the IPUI -takers gave their politics as “doubt- That may mean, according to the copesters, that a large element of nor- mally straight Democrats are preparing to bolt to Hoover, and again it may mean that Republicans intend to go over to Smith, and yet do not wish to advise the poll-takers of their inten- tions. It is these puzzling facts that have caused the politicians to pucker their brows. Reacts to Smith. ‘The religious bugaboo, on which the Republicans relied for a record-breaking vote in favor of Hoover, has reacted to 8 certain extent in favor of Smith. ‘There is no disputing the fact that many Democrats will desert Smith be- cause of objections to his religion, but there are indications that the type of campaign waged by the Ku Klux Klan, the W. C. T. U., the Anti-Saloon League and many Protestant ministers has m&: hundreds of Republicans to Pertile ground for a rebuke to the Klan and the Anti-Saloon League had been prepared by Arthur L. Gilliom, Republican attorney general, in his crusade to oust the Klan and to im- rison E. S. Shumaker, head of the eague, for contempt of court. Many Republicans who have openly pro- tested against intolerance are for Smith now. The dry forces and the Klan have been voting with the Republicans for years now, and it is not likely that they made many converts in their drive against Smith, All that is necessary, therefore, is for the Republicans to hold their normal numerical superiority. Hopes that they would benefit from a vast Democratic Gesertion have largely been dissipated, and they are now fighting to hold their own ranks intact. They are hopeful that what Democratic deserters they do obtain will offset their losses be- cause of the religious and prohibition angles. HAROLD C. FEIGHTNER, MAINE VOTE LIKELY TO SET NEW MARK Bpscial Dispatch to The Bt AUGUSTA. Me., Nov. 3—The largest | vote ever polled in a presidential elec- tion in Maine is predicted by party( leaders. Organization Republicans believe that | Heover will carry the State by as large « & margin as that received by Col. Wil- { liam Tudor Gardiner, Republican candi- | date for governor, in the recent election, . or anoroximately 80.000, although more conservative Republicans do net think | thet the majority will reach that of Eeptember. ' Neither party has been very active | since the State election, that is, there | has been no speeches or anvthing else to | se the enthusiasm of the voters, but | ) not unusual for Maine where the battle is waged before the State| ele=tion. The Republicans have a fine organization with which to get out the vote, which cannot be said of their | Democratic brethren. Gov. Smith has quite a following in this State, but this wiil be offset by Democrats who will not vote for him because of his attitude on the Tiquor question. ‘The largest vote cast in a presidential election in Maine was in 1920, the first | by 50.000 or more. | Democratic, | from Madison and other parts of t | State indicate that the Smith strength | | has slipped and is continuing to slip, | doss Utah and Idaho. | their hands of them long ago. | pro-Smith wave of sentiment HOOVER VITORY *BELEVED CERAN Republican Candidate Cred-} | ited With Minimum of 272 ‘ Electoral Votes. [ (Continued From First Page.) repercussions in Nebraska, in Minne- so@ and in Wisconsin, all of which have very considerable German-Amer- ican groups. Nebraska has been a battleground. The Democrats have | been aided there by Senator Norris. Progressive Republican, who recently | came out for Smith. But notwith- standing the Norris defection the trend | has been toward Hoover and the State is now considered sure for ths Repub- lican candidate. Hoover may carry it The Hoover drift in Minnesota, setting in a few weeks | agy, has progressed until that State, too, 15 now classed as sure Republican. | Wisconsin, which a month ago was regarded as special property of Gov. | Smith, is not only doubtful, but it/ tending to wind up in the Republican column, The Demosrats have counted | upon the wet sentiment in Milwaukee, once so famous for its beer. and upon | the La Follsite Progressive Republicans give them victory. Wis~o er it has been, has not however, Final repo there, Pacific Coast for Hoover. | Turning farther West, Smith seems | to have the edge in Montana, while | Wyoming locks sure for Hoover. So New Mexico is safely for Smith unless there should be | a landslide the other way, and Arizona | is likely to go Hoover. The Democrats | are split in the latter Stal Smith, a | wet, is not so popular there. So far as| the three great Pacific Coast States are concerned. the Democrats Walstheid true that therc have been efforts to keep the Smith fires burning, but Cali- | fornia, Hoover's home State, and Ore- | gon and Washington were eliminated | from the Smith itinerary on his two, Western trips. i If th> miracle should happen and 2 sweep the country, where might Gov. Smith most reasonably be expected to obtain the necessary electoral votes to give | him victory? Give Smith the 123 votes counted sure for him 1n this table. Add to that the 81 electoral votes of the States “leaning” to him 2nd the two States listed as doubtful, Missouri and Wis- consin with 31 more votes, and there is a total of 235 electoral votes. Now build on that. Give Smith Rhode Is- land, 5. Connecticut, 7; New Jersey, 14; Kentucky, 13, or 39 more electoral votes, and where do you come out? Smith, under those circumstances, would have a total of 274 electoral votes, or eight more than are necessary to win. There are othar States which the Democratic high command is look- ing to for victory, among them Nebraska, 8; Minnesota, 12: North Dakota, 5, and Oklahoma, 10. Join these with ths 274 already listed for him and Smith will have 309 electoral votes and Hoover will be sunk. Smith Victory Not Probable, The hypothesis upon which such prognostications are built takes many things for granted. It holds on to all the old Democratic States and places many strongly Republican States in the Smith column. Gov. Smith's elec- tion, with all these States backing him, or just enough of them, is possible; but it is not probable. Gov. Smith had against him at the start the fact that the United States is and has been for years strongly Re-: publican. His only chance was to hold all the Democrats and to win over enough Republican votes to give him a majority. He has against him the dry end of the prohibition issue, and there has besen nothing to indicate that the country generally has changed its position on that issue, despite the claims of the wets. He has against him his connection with Tammany. However that may help him in New York it operates against him in all the other 47 States. Gov. Smith is a Catholic. It is deplorable that a man’s religious belief should be used to kar him from public office in this country —or anywhere. But deplorable or not, this religious issue has been dragged into the campaign. It has been dragged in by Democrats as well as by Repub- licans. It is there. The Protestants outnumber the Catholics greatly. Probably the most potent reason of | all for Republican advantags in this election is that, take it by and large, the United States is far more prosper- ous than any other natien in the world. Here and there is hardship. It is the depression in the textile industries that gives Smith his chance in Massachu- setts, the unrest on the farms that gives him ‘even a semblance of a chance to win in some of the Western States. But attempts to deny that the American penrle 2s a whole are prosperous and well employed are laughed out of court by the people themselves. What has Gov. Smith to aid him in his race? He has a winning, warm, almost compelling personality. Those about him class him with Lincoln and Roossvelt in his strong appeal to the people. He has 2 Tammany background. But the man who challenges his honesty is, 1n my opinion, a fool. He is a great campaigner. He has the advantage of wet support in States like New York, Massachusettes and Mis- souri, where wet sentiment counts for something, particularly in the cities. He has a great following among the | foreign-born groups and the people who are removed by only a single genera- tion from the old country. He has to aid him the disgust of many farm- | ers with the present administration and the unrest in certain of the textile mill towns and cities. In many places organized labor has indorsed his candidacy. PBut labor as a whole looks upon both Hoover and Smith as ac. ceptable. Neither the American Fedes ation of Labor nor ths great Railw: Brotherhoods have offizially mdors,d| either candidate. but as nr,rmnzamm‘ have stood neutral. The labor vote will be divided as has b»en the case in- variably in prasidential elections. Scales Incline to Hoover. Balance the factors which are fight- ing for Hoover against those which are fighting for Smith. The scales incline to_Hoover. Some of the voters will take into co: sideration the personalities and th: peculier fitness for the presidential office of the two candidates. Both have risen to heights from lowly beginnings. Mr. Hoover is the son of a blacksmith in Iowa. Gov. Smith began life in the year that the women voted for Presi- | lower East Side of New York City. One ent. The total that year was 197,520, of which Harding, Republican. reccived 136355, Cox. Democrat, 58,061, and Debs. Socialist, 2214, 2c0, n 1924, the pres off nearly 6.000. The total vote that sear was 191786, of which Coolidge, Fepublican, received 138440; Democrat, 41964, and La Follette, Pro- gressive, 11352, Harding's lead was 77394, while that of Coolidge was 96,476 The last September vote, it may be gaid, 7as not as large as early canvasses indicated. 1In fact, it was more than Davis, | worked his way through college and be- came a successful engineer. The other went into politics and by his force and honesty has dignified the politician. One has wen a name for himself as an executive and a humanitarian in his conduct of national and international affairs. Th> other has done the same { thing as the executive of the great State {of New York, four times its governor. Despite their achievements and their characters, both ths candidates have been the objects of despicable whisper- ing campaigns. Democratic leaders have bsen prone 50,000 behind the governor vote of 1924, which was 253,907. J. CLEMENT MURPHY. HOW THE STATES APPEAR TO BE LINING UP FOR THE ELECTION S P 1 ! Jd - LeGeNnD - SURE REPUBLICAN Sune DEMOCRATIC LEANING REPUBLICAN LEANING DEMOCRATIC DousTFUL AS CAMPAIGN HOOVEI‘ in Special Dispatch to The Star, BALTIMORE, November 3.—As the | curtain dropped on the presidential | campaign in Maryland tonight, the out- | come i3 just as uncertain as it appear- ed to be four weeks ago. Both parties are claiming victory. In fact, prom nent leaders on both sides are sin. cerely confident of victory. ‘The Democrats expect to roll up = | majority in excess of 30,000 votes for Gov. Smith in Baltimore. They expect to hold the majority of Herbert Hoover in the 23 counties of Maryland down to a figure below 30,000. That is the thought of the best minds among the Democratic leaders. The Republicans publicly are con- ceding nothing, but their city leaders privately believe that the city will gr to Gov. Smith. They are placing his majority here at between 10.000 and 20,000 votes. However, they are con- fident that the counties will deliver » majority of from 30,000 to 40,000 to Mr Hoover. Look to Colored Vote. Theve is no way of reconciling th~ two rets of figures. In the first place the Demncrats expect to receive 10.000 n»agro votes which in past presidential elections have been 99 per cent Repub- lican. If that assumption is correct there will be a turnover of 20,000 votes alone. Although word from the colored sec- tion of Baltimore is to the effect that Smith wil receive one-half of the col- ored vote, which would be in round fig- ures, 14,000, Republican leaders insist that the negro defection will not react more than 20 per cent of the total reg- istered vote in Baltimore. Although the colored voters in the countiss are not expected to desert the Republican party in the same numbers as their city brethren, many Demo- cratic county leaders are counting on this defection from the ranks of the op- position to offset their own bolting members. The Democratic hope of victory is based on two uncertain things. The first is the defection of colored voters from the Republican party. The second is & growing belief that the number of Democratic bolters. has been overesti- mated. These two factors have created a condition where it is impossible for any precinct executive to know beyond a guess what his bailiwick will do on election day. Analysis of State. ‘The following analysis, made from a personal survey of the entire State, and taking into consideration the claims of both parties, is a non-partisan view of the situation in this State today: The sixth congressional district, com- prising the five Western Maryland coun- ties, will give Mr. Hoover a majority of approximately 14,000 votes. This about 4,000 votes in excess of President Harding’s majority in the district and, roughly, twice as large as President Coolidg: church affiliation or because he was a wet. But whether they agree or not, there are millions of people in this coun- try who bslieve they have been waging 2 moral fight in this campaign, a fight against liquor and against Tammany and what these people believe Tam- many stands for. Perhaps more than ever before this campaign has seen an alignment of the cities against the rural districts, with the urban populations inclining to Smith and th> rural to Hoover. Years ago the | late William Jennings Bryan in his first campaign against McKinley was gener- ally speaking, opposed by the cities, cer- tainly by business, and had the rural MARYLAND RESULT UNCERTAIN Democrats Hope to Roll Up Majority o‘f“ 30,000 in Baltimore to Offset ‘ is | majority in the city was 47.000 votes. CURTAIN FALLS Counties. | It is based on Hoover majorities of 2,000 in Garrett County, 6,000 in Alle- gany, 3,500 in Washington and 2,500 in Frederick. Montgomery. the fifths oo ty. will be carried by Gov. Smith, but the majority will not be greauy i ea- cess of several hundred votes. Carroll County will go Republican by 3,000 votes, The remainder of the Western Shore of Maryland, excluding Baltimore City, will be a set-off, or will give Gov. Smith a majority of a few hundred votes. Southern Maryland is Smith territory, with the exception of Calvert County. Prince Georges County today appears doubtful, but there is reason to believe it will be carried by Gov. Smith. If he loses it, the Hoover majority will be within a few hundred votes. ‘The first congressional district, which comprises the nine Eastern Shore coun- | ties, normally Democratic, will give Mr. Hoover a majority between 7,500 and 10,000, This section is difficult to | gauge, as is Southern Maryland, be- cause of the large negro vote. On the way that splits depends the results in these two sections. May Reach 27,000. ‘Therefore the Hoover majority will come from Western Maryland, the East- ern Shore and Carroll County. Accord- | ing to the estimates for those sectiens, it will be 27,000, using the outside fiz- | ures. It is entirely possible that the Democratic defection on the Eastern Shore and in the middle Western Shore counties is greater than apparent, In that case the Hoover majority could go up to 30,000 and run a little way past it. Now as to the city. Gov. Smith, ac- cording to all trends evident at this | time, should carry Baltimore by a majority of between 25,000 and 30,000. It may run a little above this latter figure. As things appear now, this ma- jority will be obtained in East and South Baltimore. The first and sec- ond legislative districts, comprising all of East Baltimore, is expected to each pn:educe a Smith majority around 10,000 votes. Hoover's strenzth lies in the northern, | northeastern and morthwestern suburbs. | However, due to the expected defection of the colored vote and the strong trend of the Jewish vote toward the Demo- cratic nominee, it is reasonable to as- sume that the Smith gains in the third and fourth Jegislative districts will about | equal the Hoover gain in the fifth. The i sixth legislative district will give Smith | from 5,000 to 10,000 majority, it is ex- | pected. It is possible that the suburban sec- tions will give a Hoover majority so great that it will eat into the East Balti- more majority. In that case, the Smith majority will be less than 25,000 votes. In this connection it must be remem- bered however that Gov. Ritchie's 1925 From this must be deducted the Demo- | cratic defection for religious reasons, | less the increased TO vote. FRANKLYN WALTM. been conducted. How successful thls‘ campaign, conducted at a cost of prob- ably half a million dollars, is going to prove itself will be disclosed only elec- tion day. Another element in the electorate which has given the leaders concern are the colored voters. have in a number of States where there is a large voting negro population made a drive for colored votes. This has been true in Illinois, Ohio, Missouri, Indiana, New York and in Pennsylvania. Some of the colored voters have been in a re- ceptive mood in the cities. But as the election has drawn closer, it appears that generally speaking the colored districts largely with him. But the issues in that day were vastly different ! from those of today. | Mere than 10,000,000 citizens, men and women, have signified their inten- | tion of voting in this election than ever | before. In large measure the answer . to the election puzzle liss in their | hands. The people are interested and | on their toes to vote. A peculiarity in | the increased registration is the large percentage of women. A widespread | appeal has been made to the women.' Their response is believed to be in con- sequence of their interest in the pro-( hibition cause, in their opposition to | Tammany and in some cases to the re- ligious issue. While the general trend of this increase in the number of regis- | tered women is believed to favor Hoover, there is no doubt but what| thousands of Democratic women and ) women of hitherto Republican families, | but now for Smith, have come out to register. Seek Farm Swerve. The Democrats have conducted a con- serted drive in scm= of the Northwest and Midwest States to win over to Smith farmers who have been “off” the usual Republican reservation because of the | failure of President Coolidge to sign the ' McNary-Haugen farm bill. Under the| leadership of George N. Peek and to claim in this campaign that all of | Gov. Smith's oppenents were actuated by intolerance, effper because of his 2 Frank W. Murphy and oth farm | lsaders, 2 house-to-houss ct in many sections of the farm S voters are swinging back to their al- legiance to the party of Abraham Lin- coin. The Republicans have dis- couraged the idea that they can hope for anvhing from the Democratic party rather effectually. This 15 the eleventh hour, almost the zero hour, when both sides must go over the top. Last minute things are hap- pening. President Coolidge has fissued a strong indorsement of Mr. Hoover which may have its effect in Massachu- setts and elsewhere. William Gibbs McAdoo, breaking his silence of months, has announced he plans to vote for his old enemy, Al Smith. Possibly Mr. McAdoo's statement may have its effect in States where he had support four years ago for the presidential nomina- tion. But the opinion gains ground that the electorate is “all set” and that it would take almost an earthquake to change it. Here in New York it is noticeable that the “man in the street,” whether he be a cab driver or an aristocrat, whether he favors Smith or does not favor him. does not believe that Smith can win the presidential election. This | is true of Tammany workers themselves outside of the national headquarters. Can he carry New York State? Yes, | these same people say, but the Nation, no. That's what's in the air in New | Florida The Democrats | i Democratic nominees. sure Republican column. made sure Democratic. sure Republican column. Sure Repub- lican Electoral Vote HIS final table shows the line-up of the electoral vote as it | appears today. The following changes have been made since | last Sunday: Arizona is moved from the doubtful column and | placed in the column of States leaning to the Republican | nominees. Delaware, which was classified as leaning Republican, is placed in the sure Republican column. Florida is shifted from the sure Democratic list to the leaning Democratic list. last week was classified as doubtful, is now shown leaning to the Nebraska is moved from the doubtful to the New Jersey is moved from the leaning Republican to the sure Republican column. New Mexico, which was included among the States leaning to the Democratic nominees. is North Carolina, which last week was in the leaning Democratic column, is put in the sure Democratic column. North Dakota is moved from the leaning Republican column to the | Oklahoma is changed from the leaning Republican to the sire Republican column. moved from the leaning Republican to the sure Republican column. Tennessee, which last week was grouped with the States as leaning to the Democratic nominees, is now in the sure Democratic list. Montana, which South Dakota also is Sure Dzmo- cratic Leaning to Republican Leaning to Democratic | Doubtful Alabama [ Arizona S Arkansas California Calorndo Connecticut Delaware Raolwi~a| Georgia Idaho - ] Ilinois A Ju— Indiana Towa [ ib)(ll Kansas Pt | k| | @ S Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana New Hampshire 4/ New Jersey | New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island | P RERS South Carolina South Dakota N}UI‘O | Tennessee | Texas P | | { ! [ i Virginia | | { Washington | G0~ | West Virginia - | Wisconsin 13 W W Wyoming | Totals 531 ) 81 | 38 Majority, 266. HOOVER MARGIN SET AT 3,000 IN NEVADA Scnatorial Race Absorbs With Experts Doubtful of Outcomes. State, Spacial Dispatch to The Star, RENO, Nev, November 3.—Herbert Hoover should carry Navada by from 3,000 to 5,000 votes Tuesday, in the opinion of Republican leaders. - The Democrats believe the result will be close but the Republicans look for a hig majority. The senatorial race seems to York; that is. in the air of the streets of New York. If it becomes strong enough, it may have the effect of let- be one of the closest in the history, with adherentd of Senator Pittman, Democret, and Samuel Platt, Repub- has ting Gov, Smith down in his own State, lican, both claiming “flr candidate will be returned victor. Close students af poltical conditions in this State, how- ever, will not make a definite claim for either senatorial candidate. They all admit the race is extremely close. Betting is at even money and with little of ¥t being wagered. Both candi- dates are still out in the State and will not come back to Reno until the day be- for election, when each will hold fina! rallies. EDGAR REINHART. Peer Becomes Hat Designer. Lord Burgh, 6 feet 5 inches tall, and of magnificent physique, has become 2 designer of women's hats. A friend discovered his genius for originality of color and design, and the young noble- man plans to make the business his life work, with a shop in London. OHI0 FRAUD PROBE * HTSREPUBLIGANS Adds to Smith's Chancas of, Carrying Cuyahoga [ County. | - | 3pecial Dispatch to The Star. COLUMBUS, Ohio, November 3.— The outstanding denouement of the closing week of the campaign in Ohio | has been a political explosion in Cleve- | land as the result of the investigation :nl charges of crookedness in elections in Cuyzhoga County, made by the grand jury of the county under direc- |tion of Edward C. Turner, State attorney general. The grand jury | | recommended the removal of three of | the four members of the county el *‘Hon board. together with the board's ‘ez(e;.;utlve clerk, A. C. Hirstius, and his staff. i The jury exempted Mrs. Bernice S. | Pyke. who entered the board last May. |and is the woman member of the Democratic national committee for this State. She was exempted from the recommendation of removal for the | reason that no election hes heen held | | since she has been a member of the | board, and she was a graat assistance | to the jury in its work. but Secretary of State Clarence M. Brown who is | -officio the State supervisor of elec- | tions, went further and removed the entire board. Board Members Involved. The findings involve Democratic elec- tion board members as well as Republi- cans, but the matter reflects more di- | rectly upon the Republicans because | of the fact that Hirstius. who has been | secretary of the hoard of elections for | years, and hes really heen the power- house of the board, is a close personzl | and political friend of Manrice Maschke, | head of the Cuyahoga County organ- | ization and the member of ths Repub- | lican national committee for Ohio. This | is rather emphasized bv the foct that the members of the old board azainst whom the removal order was dirccted have retained the law partner of Mr. | Maschke to carry the case to the courts with the hope of having the order | annulled. ! The situation is also a delicate ane | for the Republicans becaus> of the fact | that Secretary of State Brown. who removed the board. i3 a candidate on | the Republican State ticket in the elec- tion Tunsday for re-election to his Stalr office. More than that, his depnty in the secretary of state’s office is Joseph E. Baird, Republican candidate for Con- gress in the thirteenth district to sue ceed Representative Begg. who dropned out to make an attempt to win th: nomination of his party for governo: Maschke was the coadjutor of Repre- sentative Burton in starting the mova- ment in Ohio to secure delegates to the Kansas City convention for Mr. Hoover as against the late Senator Willis, and the Cuyahoga County oran'~a‘‘an WN! thrown to the support of Mr. Begg in | hiz umeneesesful candidacy for the | gubernaterial nomination. Dissension Renewed. Attorney General Turner was a can- | didate in ths August primaries for the nomination for governor, and saw his | candidacy bowled over in Cuyahoga County in the most surprising manner. | From Republicans who did not suvport | Mr. Turner {5 now coming the charge that he was astuated in what h» has! Just done at Cleveland by a spirit of revenge. This starts, of course, a s-ies of recriminations back and forth b tween different clements of ths Ron lican party in the State that awa%ens again the flames of the dissension thet grew out of the presidential primary contest here but had died almost com- pletely out. The fact is that the initiative in th~ rlections probe in Cuvahnga County taken by the Cleveland Bar As tion, which wrote a letter to Gov. Dn- charging that elections in that city were crooked and had been for | many vears. Gov. Donahey placed ths | charges in the hands of Attorney Gen- | eral Turner, whose duty it at onse b»- came to make an investigation. There are charges that Attorney General Tur- | ner, smarting under his defeat in the primaries, and particularly offended at | the Republican organization at Cleve- | land for not supporting him, timed the | report of the grand jury to have the greatest_effect upon the election next week. But there were many long rec- | ords to he looked into, and Mr. Turnsr seems to have made out of the records S0 complete a case that the State super- visor of elections immediately removed the election hoard and officers without giving a hearing, saying that it was unnecessary. Disinterested persons in all parts of the State have in recent years called attention to incongruities in the election returns from Cleveland, indicating. if | not. impossible conditions, at least high- ly improbable ones: but the prosecuting | attorney has firmly refused to make in- vestigations, claiming.that the evidence was too flimsy. It does ont help matters | from a Republican standpoint that the | prosecutor is a member of the Maschke | organization. | The Cleveland situation has eclipsed most of the other features of the Ohio campaign, and there is the widest dif- ference of opinion as to the sffect of the tion. An unbiased view would be that | the interests of the Republicans will be | adversely affected by it. It greatly adds | to the chances that Gov. Smith will | carry Cuyahoga County. But the lead that the Republicans were shown to have prior to this was so great that, conceding the maximum of adverse ef- tect of the Cleveland matter upon that arty, there would seem to be no ground | or fear that it-will throw the State to { the Democrats on either the National ' or State ticket. And it so happens that it is not likely to change the probabili- ties as to the election of the three Rep- resentatives to be chosen in the Cleve- land districts. J. H. GALBRAITH. DEMOCRATS GIVE UP | HOPE IN DELAWARE Special Dispatch to The Star. WILMINGTON, Del, November 3.— Republican political leaders mhe:e :'nn the eve of the election say that it is only A question of how large a majority Delaware will give Herbert Hoover Tuesday. Even the Democrats have given up hope of carrying the State for Gov. Smith. Previously they have been admitting in private conversations that | 8mith did not have a chance but this | week it was openly admitted that the Republicans would carry the State. The State is so overwhelmingly Re- publican and dry that the most en- thusiastic Democrats have been unabis to figure how the Democrats can over- come the Republican lead and sweep aside the thousands in the lower coun- , ties who are in faver of prohibition. Although the Democrats will not admit it, the Republicans are claiming that Hoover will have as large a ma- Jority as was given Coolidge four years Ag0. The Democrats heretofore have been hoping that because of his wide popularity, Senator Bayard might putl through, although the rest of the ticket was defeated, but they have now almost | abandoned that hcpe because of the large number of women who are oppos: ing any wet candidate. C. E. GRAY. & 1332.177 is an increa: disclesures upon the result of the elec- | D: l(h KEYSTONE WOMEN T0 HELP HOOVER G. 0. P. Majority in Pennsyl- vania Estimated at From 300.000 to 750,000. Special Dispateh to The Star HARRISBURG, Pa. November 3.— the presidential campaign i3 closing with both partiss claiming victery in Pennsylvania. Democratic leaders have made claims of victory here before, but this vear they believe their own state- The Republican claim iz that the Hoover-Curtis ticket will win by more than 700,000 majority, of which more than 200.000 will be polled in Philadel- phia and more than 300,000 up-State. The Dermoerats also claim Philadel- phia. Their claim s a State majority of between 150,000 and 165,000, with a Philadelphia majority for Smith of 100.000. They also claim Pittsburgh and other districts. which normally poii larges Republican majorities, for Smith. Ma jority to Be Cut. Despite a registration of 2,000,000 more Republicans than Damocrats in the State, it is virtually certain that 1.000.000 majority polled by Cool- in 1924 will not be duplicated br idge Hoover here this vear. While | private estimates by Republican wi ers place the Hoover majority as hi | as 1.200,000. they do not take into con- | sideration fon _reducsd majorities for Rerublican candidates in Philadelph and Pittsburgh and the probability wiping out or greatly erinnling Repub- lican majorities in the populous coal counties. The best prediztion possible of the ouiceme of the balloting is that Penn- sylvania will g2 Rapublican. but by a lower majority than usual. Non-varti- £an estimates range from 300,000 tn 750,000 majority for Hoover. The actual size of the majority will depsnd cn whet hannens in Philadelphia, Pitts burgh and the roal counties and to th~ extent which the women vote. The total registration of 3.971.786 voters in- cludes 1,827.114 women. Th» total in- crease nver last vear is 433,355, of which n woman voters. A hezvy vote by th> women. most of whom are exnected to favor Hoover in keeping the Republican m2- s from falling to a record low Rally Is a Factor, Part of th> di% in estimating major mor2 ac v lies in the fact that the reaction to Gov. Smith's enihusiactis raliy in Philadslphia h not been fullv gauged. Democrat; Chairman Collins asseried the rally had “a wonderful effect,” wi-h “great influsnce in the whole State.” but made no apnraciable increase in his claim of majority from the figure he namsd in August. Republican Chairman Martir dez~rib2d th® rally as drawing “a great crowd of cv-inus. hut f>w votes.” Philadelphia normally gives 250.000 | Republican majority. The Republican | claim this year of more than 200,000 5> Increase during the last few days. The Democratic claim of 100,000 ma- jority for Smith in the city is too high to bz logical. Philadelphia political cb- servers believe the city will give a Re- 1olican majority of botwesn 75,000 and 139,000. which alone wou'd bs a Demo- eratis achievement. Democrats are claiming Pittsburgh. hoame city of Secretary Mellon, by 00 to 35,000, but Renublicans in- “safe majority.” Democrats claim a number of esunties ronnding Pittsburgh, whers they inawn strength, but Republieans count ~n majorities of 5,000 to 29.000 in each. "het about half the norms’ m=joriiies. Democrats Confident. In the cop! districts Democrats cla’: 1 majority of 25,000 to 490,000 in th combined vot~ of Lackawanna, Luzernc 2n4 Schuvlkill Counties. populous di: trices, including large cities. Republi- | can claims ior this sector. which is the m~st dangerous to the Republican ticket of any spot in the State, do not inclu figures. but predict Hoover majorities Cambria County, one of the largest of the bituminous coal countiss, is admit- tedly debatable territory. The Democrats claims 22 of the 67 counties. Their claims include several normally Democratic counties and the counties containing largest cities, usu- ; ally Republican but claimed for Smith on the wet and religious issues. Re- publicans have not announced the num- zer of counties they expect to carry, but dry rural eounties, which usually pres- ent close fights, are conceded to be unusuallv safelv Republican this year. Manv of them, however, have small vote tota's. Similar divergsnce of claims appears in predictions on congressional election results. Reoublicans have increased their claim to assured election of all 36 congressmen, A feat never accomplished, jex-ept in 1924. They admit hard fights and close results in four districts, how- ever. Democrats claim 11 congress- men, previous claims having varied from 8 to 12. There are serious contests in | only nine districts, however, and Demo- cratic chances of success are not be- lieved to exist in more than six or seven. Re-election of United States Senator vid A. Reed and three other candi- s for State-wide office appears cer- tain, although Democratic Chairman Collins claims that “if Smith carries the State by 150,000 to 165,000 majority, he will carry the four nominees for State office with him.” WALTER D. ROOS. MONTANA REMAINS IN DOUBTFUL LIST Both Sides Predict Sweeping Vie- tory, but Neutral Experts Are Puzzled. Special Disatch to The Star. HELENA, Mont, November 3.—All that anybody knows is that nobody knows. l Montana, on the eve of the presi- Idtn[lll electicn, remains a doubttul | State. The situation never has been so mixed and bsyond the stereotyped an- nouncements from State chairman, the | professional prognosticators are as lo- quacious as clams. Chairman A. H. Brown of the Republicans is said think Montata will roll up 35.000 for Hoover: Chairman Charles P. Nevin of the Democrats is reported to claim the Ssats for Smith by 25,000. But neither bases h's prediction on any especi: convincing data and the political w ter is so muddy a mole would & puzzled. f The Renublicans. who frankly are worried, enjoyed a scrt of a spurt tne closing week when they brough: William M. Jardine, Sccretary of culture. who once resided in the State. He delivered two addresses. The Dem- ocrats clesed with thunderous salvees from their own local big guns—Sen- ators Walsh and Wheeler. The silent vote is going to decide Montana this vear. Never were averag folx so reluctant to discuss politics. The relig'ous and race issues have made boldest cautious. LOUIS M. THAYER. A