Evening Star Newspaper, November 1, 1936, Page 38

r D—4 THE SUNDAY STAR, WASHINGTON, D. C. NOVEMBER 1, 1936—PART TWO.. LANDON SUCCESS IN PENNSYLVANIA REQUIRES BIG VOTE & ROOSEVELT NEEDS LIGHT BALLOTING G. 0. P. Registration Margin Accurate Indicator of True Lead. BY WALTER D. ROOS, Special Correspondent of The Star. HARRISBURG, Pa., October 81— Forecasting what Pennsylvania will do Tuesday is a task totally unlike making pre-election predictions in any recent presidential year. In the . past, it consisted chiefly of fixing the size of the Republican majority. This year the vote will be close and the outcome still is in doubt. The Republicans have registered more than enough votes to give Penn- sylvania’s 38 electoral votes to Lan- don; but whether enough of those votes will be polled is uncertain. The | result of the election hinges upon the proportion of voters who go to the polls. In large numbers political analysts | representing newspapers have toured | Pennsylvania, sampling sentiment. No two have agreed precisely upon the outcome. They have not agreed upon the winner and those who picked the same candidate varied widely in estimated pluralities. They have agreed only in the obvious facts that the industrial cities, former Re- publican strongholds, are more pro- Roosevelt this year, and that the rural sections are more firmly Repub- lican. Margin Under 100,000 Seen. Political leaders in private esti- mates differ as widely. While pre- dicting large majorities, they actually believe neither candidate can carry Pennsylvania by much more than 100,000, and the margin is likely to " Philadelphia Flocks to Hear Landon be represented by five digits. The Democrats this week boosted their | public prediction from 250,000 to 500,000 lead for Roosevelt; but the President’s return to campaign in | Pennsylvania this week was regarded | as revealing their belief that the | State is not “in the bag.” A nominee ‘would scarcely make several ‘speeches in a “sure” State five days before the balloting. The Pennsylvania result depends entirely upon the percentage of reg- istered vote which goes to the polls. If the vote is very light, Roosevelt will win; if it is average (about 3,« 500,000 votes), the outcome is a toss- up; if it is very heavy, Landon will carry the State, and the heavier the | vote the better Landon’s chances of | & good majority. These are two reasons for this @analysis. One is that the Democratic vote will be at the polls. Almost the maxi- mum Roosevelt vote will be polled, even if the general turnout of all voters reaches only a low percentage. The Democrats have made their | biggest registration gains in the cities, where the vote is comparatively easy to get out. The Democrats have nearly all the machinery—a jobholders’ or- ganization, 375,000 cases on W. P. A. and direct relief, United Mine Work- ers, textile and hosiery workers or- ganized to a high degree to get out the vote. They will see to it that most of the Roosevelt vote is polled Tegardless of what the turnout by the independent citizens. Because 80 | much of the potential Roosevelt vote is certain to be brought to the polls | by the Democratic organization, a very heavy vote can increase this total only slightly. G. O. P. Organization Lost. H ‘The Republicans, on the other hand, are handicapped by loss of the effi- cient jobholder organization they ! have had in the past and by the fact that the big backing of their strength this year is in rural districts, where it is hard to “get out the vote.” Voters there to a much larger extent must be depended upon to come out volun- tarily. For that reason, the Repub- licans are expected to poll a lower percentage of their registration than the Democrats will poll of theirs. Re- publican hope is dependent upon a volunteer organization, with the wom- en working as never before, and the willingness of the business men, law- yers, farmers and rural residents to 80 to the polls of their own initiative. Consequently, although the Democrats ere virtually certain to have almost their maximum vote at the polls, the proportion” of the Republican vote which will be cast is a matter of guess- work, dependent chiefly upon the in- dividual voters' zeal for Landon or | against Roosevelt. With a 600,000 registration lead, however, it is not necessary for the Republicans to poll as high a percent- age of their vote to win. If the Re- Ppublican vote equals only 65 per cent of its registration it can cancel 84 f-" cent of the Democratic registra- ion. The swingover of Republican regis- trants to Democratic votes, which has been in evidence for eight years, is believed at the vanishing point. Changes in registration are believed to have liquidated the excess of Demo- cratic votes over registration. This | year, more nearly than for a decade, the registration figures are believed | approximately indicative of party strength. That means the Republican | registration lead of 600,000 is for the large part composed of Republican votes—if they can be induced to go | to the polls. | For that reason, despite the belief that the bulk of the Roosevelt vote is certain to be polled, Landon’s chances improve as the vote grows heavier. Coal Counties Democratic. Roosevelt is expected to carry the third of the State west of the moun- lains, winning Pittsburgh by probably 50,000, and Allegheny County by plu- ralities estimated at anywhere from 15,000 to 100,000 or 125,000 votes, in- cluding Pittsburgh’s lead. The south- than in 1934. The anthracite region of northern Pennsylvania will show & big pro-Roosevelt vote with the President carrying Lackawanna Coun- ty and Scranton, having a close fight . | State’s four electoral votes to his col- liable_soprces, however, indicate the city probably will give Landon & slight which may run as high as 25,000 be strongly Republican, except s few traditionally Democratic I Are Chief Questions Gov. Alf M. Landon shown speaking to a capacity crowd of 20,000 persons at Constitution Hall in Philadelphia, as he carried his campaign into the East. In his speech he said “the waste of this administration” must come out of the pockets of the “little fellow.” BAY STATE'SVOTE DUE FOR LANDON Roosevelt Advances Rapidly During Final Month of Campaign. BY W. E. MULLINS, Spectal Correspondent of The Star. BOSTON, October 31.—Gov. Lan- don will carry Massachusetts over President Roosevelt by a small mar- gin in Tuesday's election, most com- petent political observers believe. One month ago the Republican nominee was an overwhelming favorite to carry the Bay State, but the President has made substantial gains. The two chief factors in stimulating sentiment for President Roosevelt were his tour of the State 10 days ago by motor car and the industrious and | effective activities on his behalf by | his eldest son, James Roosevelt. ~—Wide World Photo. Landon Appears Jersey Victor Despite Recent Democratic Gain| BY EDWARD M. GILROY, Special Correspondent of The Star. TRENTON, October 31.—Gov. Lan- don is favored to win New Jersey's 16 ! tion. The Democrats have made steady in both parties is the Republicans have a slight advantage. ‘When Republicans have won in the past it has been by decisive margins, the highest being. 309,000 for Hoover in | 1928. Today many of the leading Re- | publicans in the campaign say pri- vately they expect to win by 25.000, but will be satisfied with any margin, The heavy New York commuter vote electoral votes Tuesday in a close elec- | gains in the State in the last three | weeks, but the consensus of politicians | Conservative estimates were that | in North Jersey, which goes to the more than 1,000,000 citizens greeted | polls only in presidential elections and | the President.on his tour through 30 | is traditionally Republican, is ex-| cities and towns and reporters who ! pected to produce the margin of victory have accompanied the presidential | for the Republicans. There is a strong | party in other sections of the country | anti-Roosevelt sentiment in this group | New York Commuter Vote Is Expected to Produce G. O. P. Margin on Tuesday. | be voted than any previous election. | Many Republican storekeepers and | small business men, for instance, will vote for Roosevelt because they are but they will vote Republican the rest of the way. On the other hand thou- sands. of Democrats, dissatisfied with Roosevelt's program, will vote for Lan- don, but support Democratic local can- didates. All registration records have been broken and the State seergs certain to cast a record vote. In 1928 87 per cent of the registered voters went to the polls and 82 per cent four years ago. It would be no surprise to lead- ers of both parties to see 90 per cent of the registration voted this year. making more money than ever before, | Roosevelt Has Chance. | President Roosevelt has a chance to | | P. A. jobs and support of low-income groups. If the weather is good and the North Jersey commuter vote turns carry the State on the relief vote, W. | g said the Massachusetts crowds were the largest they had encountered. Visited 70 Communities. James Roosevelt, mapping out a single-handed tour of his own, visited more than 70 communities in which he conducted public forums, answering all questions on the New Deal. He at- tracted large crowds, made a distinct hit, with the result that the candidates on his party’s State ticket embraced him into their rallies and became staunch New Dealers. This undeniably aided in stemming the strong Landon tide. Not even the most ardent Re- publican can accept the Literary Di- gest poll on Massachusetts being even approximately accurate. While they look for a Landon victory it will not be anything like the margin indicated by this poll. The Digest poll missed Massachusetts both in 1928 and in 1932. Lodge to Defeat Curley. Gov. James M. Curley will be de- feated by Henry Cabot Lodge, jr.,.34- year-old member of the Massachusetts House of Representatives, in the con- test for United States Senator. A fac- tor in this contest is the participation of Thomas C. O'Brien with the sup- port of the Rev. Charles E. Coughlin's National Union for Social Justice. The Union party ticket of Repre- sentative William Lemke and O'Brien for President and Vice President has not commanded the attention that had been anticipated. It will deprive Roosevelt of thousands of votes, but will not be the defermining factor in the contest for the electoral vote. Split tickets in both parties are ex- pected to delay counting of the ballots until a late hour. The Republican nominee for Governor, John W. Haigis, is not as strong against State Treasurer Charles F. Hurley as Lodge is against Curley. The chief factor in the State cam- paign has been the Governor’s admin- istration. LANDON APPEARS SURE RHODE ISLAND VICTOR Republicans Also Are lxpoctcd to Sweep State Offices in Vote Tuesday. BY JAMES 8. HART, Special Corr:spondent of The Star. and none of the New Deal program has succeeded in breaking it down. Hague Claims 50,000 Margin. Mayor Frank Hague of Jersey City, | Democratic State leader, predicts that President Roosevelt will carry the State by 50,000. He bases this predic- tion on the fact that Hebrew, Italian, Negro and orghnized labor voters are unquestionably supporting -the Demo- cratic ticket, whereas in the past these elements have been largely Republican. Admitting these Democratic gains, Republicans believe they will be offset by thousands of Republicans returning to their party this year after voting for Roosevelt in 1932. Repeal of prohibi- tion was a big issue in this wet State four year ago and Hoover lost thou- sands of Republican voters who were dissatisfied with his prohibition stand. The reason the election will be close is that the Democrats will pile up a tremendous plurality in Mayor Hague's | Hudson County stronghold, probably | exceeding 110,000. In addition, the Democrats have gained considerably in Camden and Atlantic Counties, sections that normally have produced heavy Republican pluralities. - Politi- cians agree that more split tickets will | out, the Republicans must bz favored. The Democrats have the superior or- ganization, but the Republican strength will come from the voters who and cannot be influenced by organ- ization methods. United States- Senator W. Warren Barbour, Republican, appears certain of re-election. His chances of beat- ing William H. Smathers, Democratic nominee, are rated better, for instance, than Landon has of winning. The Republicans have a chance to gain one and possibly two congres- sional seats. There are now 10 Re- publican Representatives and 4 Dem- ocrats. In the third district Albert B. Hermann, executive clerk to Gov. Harold G. Hoffman, appears to have a slight lead over Representative Wil- liam H. Sutphin, Democrat. | heavy Bergen Republican vote comes out, Lawrence A. Cavinato, present Republican floor leader in the Assem- bly, has & chance to beat Representa- national lottery bill. Most of the 10 Republican districts now are likely to vote Republican again. DEMOCRATIC SWEEP LOOMS IN KENTUCKY Roosevelt, Logan as Well as Eight Representatives, Destined to Win Tuesday. BY HARRY BLOOM, Special Correspondent of The Star. | campaign remarkable for the dol- | drums, chiefly because the outcome | has been discounted for months, finds | Kentucky again headed for the Demo- cratic column Tuesday. The State used to be regarded as debatable in presidential years; at least, it was not beneath notice of party leaders as a battleground, but of late its swings have n so violent in one direction or the other that the voters’ trend became easily discernible long before the polling date. It is at least 10-1 that President Roosevelt will carry Kentucky; that Senator M. M. Logan will retain his post against the opposition of Rob- ert H. Lucas, Republican, of Louis- LOUISVILLE, Ky., October 31.—A | PROVIDENCE, R. 1, October 31.— | ville and Washington, and that eight As 350,000 eligible voters of Rhode | of the State’s nine Representatives will Island prepare to register their. choice | be Democratic, the lone Republican to at the polls Tuesday, it is apparent | be Representative John M. Robsion, Gov. Alf M. Landon will add this | Barbourville. k ‘The chief concern of the politiclans lection. is the size of the Roosevelt plurality. Furthermore, it appears the Re-| Republicans are under no illusions publican party will carry the State |about the situation.. P.ivately, one offices and will oust the Democratic |of their outstanding leaders admitted administration - that- has held sway |loss of the State by a ajority of for four years. 20,000. ‘There is every indication United| The Democratic registration mar- States Senator Jesse H. Metcalf will | gin is in the neighborhood of 150,000, be re-elected for a third term; that Representative Charles P. Risk will be . returned to Congress, ‘and that Sandager, Republican; will re- SWEEP FOR ROOSEVELT LOOMING IN TENNESSEE Democrat Margin Expected to Be From 50,000 to 75,000, Depend- ing on Size of Vote. BY THOMAS FAUNTLEROY, Special Correspondent of The Star. MEMPHIS, Tenn., October 31.— | President Roosevelt's majority over | Gov. Landon in Tennessee next Tues- |'day will be determined largely by the | size of the total vote. If the vote is | light, the ,majority will be from 50,000 up; and if the vote is heavy, which does not seem probable now, the majority will be around 75,000 and better. Either of these majorities is sweep- ing in the light of a normal Demo- cratic majority of around 30,000. Republican candidates for Gover- nor and Senator were listless this week, and the Democrats put on & whirlwind finish. Squadrons were or- ganized, with Senators McKellar and Bachman at their head, and visited various sections, meeting the voters, speeches. Most of the political interest has turned to the second district, centering around Knoxville, where Representa- tive J. Will Taylor, Republican na- tional committeeman, is having a fight from former Mayor J. T. O’Con- nor, a Democrat. Unwelcome Shucker. PIQUA, Ohio (#).—Strange fate de- livered a cornshucker in Grant Ingle’s place the present Democratic resentative, John M. O'Connell, in MM‘l?flm do not have to be brought to the polls | It the | tive Edward Kenney, sponsor of the | ROOSEVELT KEEPS LEADINOKLAHOMA 100,000-Vote Margin Over Landon Is Expected. i Lee Due to Win. BY OTIS SULLIVANT, Special Corcespondent of The Star. OKLAHOMA CITY, October 31.— | The general election campaign ended in Oklahoma with the Democrats | maintaining their decided advantage. President Roosevelt will carry the State over Gov. Alf M. Landon of Kansas by a big majority, probably in excess of 100,000. That figure will be greatly reduced from the 328,000 ma- Jority of four years ago. ‘The vote four years ago was nearly three to one in favor of Roosevelt over . . Herbert Hoover. | 8 - It may strike near | 8 3 to 2 for Roose- . velt this year, which will mean 50,000 majority il a big vote of 750,000 turns out. Gov. Landon received a rousing welcome through the State on his visit en route | from Los Angeles 3 to Indianapolis, and the enthusi- 5 asm - demonstrat- Rep. Josh Lee. yro'rorthe neigh- boring Governor spurred Republican party workers on. Lee to Be Elected. Astute Republicans will figure they are making inroads and returning to normalcy if the Democratic majority is held to 100,000 votes. Representative Josh Lee, Norman, Democrat, will be elected United States Senator over Herbert K. Hyde, Okla- homa City, Republican. Hyde has waged & forecful campaign and Lee's majority likely will not be as great as Roosevelt's. If the Republicans elect one of the nine Representatives they will be lucky. ‘The Democrats have seven places in Congress asured. The fight is in two districts, the first and the eighth, which border Kansas. The eighth is the wheat-growing section and the old-time G. O. P. stronghold, but this year farmers in that section show a leaning to Roosevelt, and those in the western tip, the Oklahoma panhandle and dust bowl, have received the most in drought relief. Those circumstances make Phil Ferguson, Woodward, in- cumbent, the favorite over T. J. Sar- gent, Newkirk, Republican. Further, Sargent doesn’t have the enthusiastic backing of his party leaders because of his Townsend support. In the first congressional district Tulsa and the oil centers are apt to vote for Landon, who is an oil man | himself. That. gives Jo O. Ferguson, | Pawnee, former State Senator, almost |an even chance to defeat Wesley E. | Disney, Tulsa, incumbent. * State Ticket to Win. The Democratic sweep will carry over the party State ticket, which includes three justices of the State Supreme Court, a judge of the Crim- | nal Court of Appeals and a cor- poration commissioner. The full House of Representatives will be elected arid the Republicans stand to increase their membership of 8 to from 12 to 20 in a House with membership of 117. The State also elects 22 State Senators and the Republicans may increase from a lone member to from 3 to 5. trol, unless all signs fail. Defeat for the amendment is spelled by pro- visions for liquor control under it. The fight has been directed at control features rather than the repeal. ‘Works Hard at 100. Robert Brisby, 100 years of age, 2 BIG 1SSUES FACE WISCONSIN VOTERS Hoos;evelt and La Follette in Election. BY CHARLES W. HOLMBURG, Bpecial Correspondent of The Star. MADISON, Wis.,, October 31.—Back of all the charges and counter charges in the State and presidential cam- paign in Wikconsin, two issues stand out clearly to be decided on Tuesday, November 3. They are, briefly, La Follette and Roosevelt. Although it is a source of deep em- barrassment to the State Democrats, the Roosevelt candidacy has become closely identified with that of Gov. Philip P. La Follette, and the Gov- | ernor and his United States Senator | brother, Robert M. La Follette, jr., | have combined their drive for the election of the Progressive party State ; ticket with a vigorous campaign for | President Roosevelt. In the State campaign Arthur W. | Lueck of Beaver Dam, Democratic | nominee for Governor, and Alexan- | der Wiley, Chippewa Falls, Repub- | lican gubernatorial candidate, have & | single target for their numerous tacks—Gov. La Follette and his pres- ent Progressive administration. As the campaign has drawn to a close, both Lueck and Wiley have been sin- gularly hesitant to talk national is- | sues or campaign for the presidential | candidates heading their party tick- | ets. G. O. P. Aid Held Lukewarm. ‘Wiley’s attitude is said to have been influenced by what he considers only lukewarm support from the Repub- lican State organization, and the G. O. P. candidate is reported to have complained bitterly to Gov. Landon about this. One story is that the State | Republican leaders are quietly throw- ing their support behind Lueck, the Democratic nominee, as & move to de- feat Gov. La Follette. Lueck, however, finds himself and his organization virtually ignored by the national Roosevelt leaders and as a result he is saying little about the Roosevelt campaign. With the exception of United States Senator B. Ryan Duffy of Fond du Lac, who has actively assisted the Roosevelt drive in the State, this is true of other State Dempcrats. A not unlooked for development of the closing week of the campaign was the announcement from John M. Cal- lahan of Milwaukee, former Demo- cratic national committeeman for Wis- consin and ardent supporter of Alfred E. Smith, that he is “taking a walk” and deserting the Roosevelt candidacy in favor of Gov. Landon. Callzhan, running for delegate to the national | convention as an “Al Smith Demo- crat” last Spring, was badly defeated, | and is said to have resented for years the failure of the national Democratic organization to accord him any recog- nition. Callahan unsuccessfully sought the Democratic nomination for United States Senator in 1934. His political influence in the State, once substantial when Al Smith stood as the leader of his party, is generally considered to have dwindled to a neg- ligible quantity. Chances Favor La Follette. 1f the size of crowds greeting politi- cal candidates in their campaign tours through the State is a reliable barom- eter, it can be said that the chances | of re-election appear promising for | Gov. La Follette, who has consistently | out-drawn his opponents. What ap- pears to be increasing Progressive party strength also augurs well for the Roosevelt candidacy, and the compli: mentary references of Progressive can- didates and leaders to the New Deal have been well received. Republican organization leaders, however, have not been lax in their drive for Landon in Wisconsin. Most newspapers in the State are politically Republican, and in the closing days have unloosed a barrage against the New Deal. Pro-Roosevelt forces have found cause for alarm in the sudden appéarance in the pay envelopes of industrial workers of literature attack- ing the social security program of the New Deal and informing workers of a pay reduction to finance the old-age pension plan. Wisconsin law prohibits the in- serting of material in pay envelopes or other methods aimed at “influenc- | ing” the votes of employes and sev- eral local prosecutors have started investigations. Roosevelt Edge Seen. Although the major political polls disagree as to, Wisconsin, the con- census of State observers is that it| is safely in the Roosevelt column. | The No. 1 reason for this belief is that Roosevelt has the support of two of the State’s three major par- ties, which, generally speaking, split political strength one-third each. ‘While a strong Roosevelt vote may operate favorably for State Demo- cratic candidates, despite their in- different support of the Président, this factor is lessened by the ballot forms that will be handed the Wis- consin voter. The presidential bal- lot is on a separate sheet, and with- out extra effort the voter can “split” his ticket, voting for any presidential candidate and then voting a straight ticket on State, congressional, legis- lative and county offices, As the campaign draws to a close, the candidacy of Representative Wil- liam Lemke on the Union party presi- dential ticket has faded to an in- significant quantity. It is doubtful if the North Dakotan, despite the favorable reaction his name brings from farmers because of the Frazier- Lemke farm mortgage financing bill, will poll 5 per cent of the total vote. LANDON MAJORITY SIZE SOLE QUESTION IN MAINE Last-Minute Drives by Both Parties to Increase Vote Fail to Materialize. BY SAM R. CONNER, Special Correspondent of The Star. Favored to Win SENATOR CHARLES McNARY. OREGON IS LIKELY ROOSEVELT STATE Re-election of McNary and Two House Republicans Seen, However. BY RALPH WATSON, Special Correspondent of The Star. PORTLAND, Oreg, October 31— Oregon, which with but three excep- tions—1868, 1912 and 1932—has con- sistently cast its electoral votes for Republican candidates, seems sched- uled to add a fourth exception to its record November 3. However, last-minute surveys an- ticipate re-election of Charles L. Mc- Nary, minority leader of the Sena Representative James Mott, Repub- lican Townsend - indorsed candidate from the first district; Representative Walter M. Pierce, Democratic Town- send-indorsed candidate from the second district, and, probably, Rep- resentative William A. Ekwall, Re- publican from the third district. More interest has been aroused in the present national campaign throughout the State as a whole than it any election for a generation back. It has engendered bitterness and it has been carried forward by more effectively mobilized and active party organizations than have been in evi- dence for years. It has not been so much a Republican-Democratic bat- tle as an anti and pro New Deal conflict. Republican observers cxpect Roosevelt to win the State Tuesday, but by a smaller margin—most of the predictions ranging around 40,000, Senator McNary is picked to win over Willis Mahoney, his Democratic Townsend-indorsed opponent. bound Republican partisans are dis- gruntled because McNary confined himself strictly to his own candidacy and would not yield to headquarters insistence that he stump for Landon. Partisan Democrats are angry with Mahoney because, after being defeat- ed for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination in 1934, he refused to support his party nominee, Charles H. Martin, the present Governor. It is the first battle McNary has faced in his long tenure in the Senate, b: he is expected to win it without ma- terial difficulty. The State ticket, including the Leg- islature, is expected to go Repub- | lican, by a narrowed margin. VERMONT FOR LANDON; MARGIN PUT AT 25,000 Representative Plumley Expected to Be Re-elected—Aiken Due for Governorship. BY W. B. GATES, Special Correspondent of The Star. BURLINGTON, Vt, October 31.— Vermont, the one State in the Union that has not wavered in fealty to the Republican party since it was organized 80 years ago, will vote true to form next Tuesday and choose three Landon and Knox electors. It is estimated Landon will poll at least 25,000 more votes than Roosevelt next Tuesday. Representative Charles A. Plumley of Northfieid will be re-elected. George D. Aiken, Republican, of Put- ney, at present Lieutenant Governor, will be elected Governor. An increased Democratic represen- tation in the State Legislature is not unlikely, but it will be far short of & majority in either body. Survey (Continued From Third Page.) likely to be in Roosevelt column. Sen- ator McNary, Republican, floor leader in the Senate, is favored to win re- election. ‘Washington—Outcome is reported to depend on whether Republicans poll sufficient votes in eastern part of State to offset Roosevelt sentiment to King County and Seattle. Iowa—A close decision on presiden- tial vote. Senator Dickinson, Repub- lican, is given the ' edge over Gov. Clyde L. Herring for the six-year Senate term. The election for the unexpired term of the late Senator Murphy, Democrat, is expected to go | with the presidential vote. * New Mexico—Presidential race is | neck and neck, with possibly a slight edge for Roosevelt. Oklahoma—Electoral vote is be- lieved safely in Democratic column. West Virginia—Republicans have made West Virginia a battle ground, but observers predi¢t Roosevelt has advantage for electoral vote. Hide- | INDIANA GHANCES ' FOR LANDON GOOD Republicans Also Expected to Elect Governor Tuesday. BY WILLIAM L. TOMS, 8pecial Correspondent of The Star. INDIANAPOLIS, Ind., October 31.— Experienced political observers in In- diana forecast that a Republican Gov~ | ernor will be elected Tuesday, that the | Democrats will save seven or eight of their 11 seats in Congress and that | Gov. Landon, though trailing the State Republican ticket, remains a threat to capture the State's 14 electoral votes. ‘This conclusion comes, first, from discounting almost, entirely the bally- hoo broadcast at the eleventh hour | by leaders of bcth parties; second, from giving temperate consideration to the unusual reception given to Gov. | Landon several days ago. a reception | described by veteran press correspond- ents and newsreel men as unequaled | this campaign, and. third, from a summarization of reports from un- biased newspaper correspondents in each of the State's 92 counties. State Ticket Unpopular. ‘The Democratic State ticket in Indi- |ana is rated unpopular with the bulk of the voters, due largely to the fact that M. Clifford Townsend, nominee for Governor, stands effectively tagged | as the prospective political tool of | Gov. Paul V. McNutt. Raymond S. | Springer, the G. O. P. nominee for Governor, when not attacking the mis- deeds of the McNutt administration | has campaigned almost solely on - | promise to repeal the gross income ta- ‘There is a lingering disposition o the part of many Indiana vote toward the collection of further cas benefits from the Federal Treasu: and the belief is that Roosevelt is th only man possessed with the magi- touch necessary to produce the re- quired money. With the heavy col- ored vote in Marion County (India- napolis) and Lake County, as well a several others, there is a strong lean- ing toward the New Deal, for tha‘ | agency actually has raised the stand- ard of living with the Negroes, if with no other race or group, | Lost Four Elections. Indiana gave the Republican pres:- dential candidates pluralities of 185 - | 000 in 1920, 210,000 in 1924 and 240.000 in 1928, reversing herself thereupon ¢ in 1932 to give President Roosevelt a margin of 184,000 over Herbert Hoover. Thus it is seen that landslides are nothing out of the ordinary with | Hoosiers. Various Republican leaders of the State have foreseen a differential of as high as 75000 votes between Springer and Landon. Records of past elections in the last 16 years give strength to the possibility of a repe- tition this year and the vote estimates fortify the prediction that the Landon- Roosevelt battle will be close. | Republican spokesmen admit the likelihood they will gain no more than | four or five of the 12 seats in Congress. | _— 'ROBINSON PREDICTS Arkansas Campaign Concluded. Republicans to Continue Through Tomorrow. BY THOMAS J. BRANSFORD, Special Correspondent of The Star. LITTLE ROCK, Ark., October 31 — With Senator Joe T. Robinson, major- ity leader in the Senate, predicting victory for the Democrats, Arkansas Democrats wound up their campaign. They were not alone in their predic- | tions of victory. Republicans will not finish their campaign until Monday | night, and it has been the most vig= | orous campaign waged by the Repube licans in Arkansas in the last thrae | generations. | Senator Robinson returned home after making a campaign tour in be- half of the national Democratic ticket, which took him to seven States. Wallace Townsend, Republican na- | tional committeeman from Arkansas, | announced that additional campaign contributions from Arkansas were sought by C. B. Goodspeed of Chicago, national committee treasurer. The Democrats, after having the State quota raised from $50,000 to $75,000 by James A. Farley, chairman of the Democratic National Commit- tee, received appeals from Farley to disregard quotas and give all addi- tional assistance possible. |BIG FLORIDA. MAJORITY LOOMS FOR DEMOCRATS Ballet Is Expected to Be Heavy, With Nearly 400,000 Persons Registered to Vote. BY GEORGE HOYT SMITH. Special Correspondent of The Star. JACKSONVILLE, Fla., October 31, —Closing the campaign, the most a | tive in many years in Florida, there | is no doubt of the outcome, with all Democratic nominees given a big ma« Jjority Tuesday. Florida, which for half a century voted straight Democratic, is comforte ably in the Democratic fold today. The Roosevelt electors will probably be given 100,000 majority, and, it is expected every State office will be filled by a Democrat. Registration has been unusually large and it is well known many Re- publicans expect to vote this year who formerly failed to vote. With about 400,000 persons registered there promises to be a record poll. ROOSEVELT HAS CHANCE FOR DELAWARE’S VOTES BY- CHARLES E. GRAY. Special Correspondent of The Star, WILMINGTON, Del., October 31.— President Rosevelt has a chance to | carry the three electoral votes of Dele | aware, which hitherto has been al- most unshakably Republican. Republican hopes this year are cen- tered on their chances of Tegaining strength in New Castle County, which includes Wilmington and has -more than half of Delaware’s population, The Republican party’s main cam- paign asset is the record of Gov. C, Douglass Buck, though it is past, . | Gov. Buck is prevented by the State seeking constitution from another term. 4 DEMOCRAT VICTORY |