Evening Star Newspaper, November 1, 1936, Page 37

THE SUNDAY STAR, WASHINGTON, D. C., NOVEMBER 1, 1936—PART TWO. D—3 ROOSEVELT VICTORY IN NEW YORK STATE EXPECTED SHARP DEMOCRATIC SWING0 SLIGHT ROOSEVELT EDGE INDICATED IN MINNESOTA NOTED IN LAST SIX WEEKS|- State Is Expected Parodoxically Also to Plurality Near 400,000 Is Indicated by Analyses—Gains Among Workers Elect G. O. P. Governor and Five for National House Seats. and Negroes. BY THOMAS COMPERE, BY JERRY VESSELS, Special Correspondent of The Star. Bpecial Correspondent of the Star, EW YORK, N. Y., October 31.—Analysis of the best available informa- T. PAUL, Minn,, October 31.—Adhering strictly to its custom of doing tion indicates President Roosevelt will win this State’s 47 electoral the unusual, politically, Minnesota probably will support President votes by a plurality of from 200,000 to 400,000 votes. The President’s Roosevelt at Tuesday’s election and paradoxically elect a Republican plurality in New York was 596,987 votes in 1932, when the State’s Governor and fill five of the State's nine national House seats with Tegistration was 5,350,822, This year the registration for the State is Republicans. The Senate race is very much in doubt. approximately 6,150,000, of which 2,899,123 is in this city. Out of & campaign marked by a trade between Democrats and Farmer- The trend during the fight down the stretch has been in favor of the Laborites, with the President and third party candidates for Governor and Democrats. Six weeks ago it was a toss-up. Now the betting odds on President United States Senator the intended beneficiaries, comes rather mild indica- Roosevelt to take this State are from 8 to 5 and up. Wall Street gambling <“tions that the North Star State will commissioners are quoting 2 to 1 that Gov. Herbert H. Lehman will be re-elected. Even at these odds, fewr supporters of the Republican candi- dates are putting money on the line. Furthermore, the best informed po- litical writers in this city, many of whom have been with major candi- dates throughout the campaign, are virtually unanimous in predicting the Democrats will win this State. Most of them believe the Democrats will take New York City by a plurality of from 900,000 to 1,000,000 and that Gov. Alfred M. Landon and the Re- publican State ticket will win upstate by from 500,000 to 750,000 votes. Even ‘William F. Bleakley, Republican can- didate for Governor, has not estimated that he would take upstate my more than 800,000 votes. Polls Indicate Landslide. On the basis of the State-wide poll taken by canvassers for the Daily News, the election in New York would be a landslide for the entire Demo- cratic ticket. This poll gives the President 82.5 per cent of the vote in the city, which would mean a plurality here of more than 1500,000. Polls taken by political leaders show this trend is correct, but most of them in- dicate that the Democratic vote in the city will not be more than 70 per cent of the total. The Daily News gives President Roosevelt 63 per cent of the total vote in the State. It indicates that in the rural sections the vote favors Gov. Landon decidedly, but that the President will run strong in upstate industrial centers. The Daily News itself predicts that the President and Gov. Lehman will win this State by more than 850.000 votes. On the other hand, The Literary Digest’s poll indicates that Gov. Lan- GALIFORNIA SEEMS - SURE DEMOCRATIC Hopes for Roosevelt High, Based on 3-2 Ratio in Registration. BY BART SHERIDAN Special Correspondent of The Star. LOS ANGELES, October 31.—Cali- fornia fits into the 1936 national elec- tion picture with her 22 electoral votes | almost certain to be cast for Presi- dent Roosevelt. Democratic hopes are largely based on the 3-2 ratio of Democrats to Re- publicans in the lists of registered voters. They are particularly jubi- lant over additional gains noted in the last two tabulations, which in- volved new registrants and persons who had changed their residences since the general registration last | January. Discounted by G. O. P. But this barometer, say the Re- publicans, does not necessarily reflect | the respective popularity of Mr. | Roosevelt and Gov. Landon, for a majority of the voters have had no | opportunity to state their party pref- | erence since the January listing. And | the Republican campaign has pro- | gressed since January. Wataaaes 1 BETTER CARE ©oF IT! | go Democratic for the second time in | history. PRESIDENI'A[ RAEEJ Observers predict a very close cone test all along the line and many exe UNCERTAININ IOWA Both Parties Claim Victory, but With Narrow Margins. BY C. C. CLIFTON, Special Correspondent of The Star. DES MOINES, Iowa, October 31.— Iowa is highly doubtful as the hot- test presidential campaign since 1896 came to a close with both major parties claiming victory in public and with misgiving in private. Republicans confidently believe their State ticket would win and that they would gain three or four con- gressional seats, and they looked for Landon to carry the State by a close margin, Democrats pinned most of their hope on President Roosevelt's popu- larity on the farms to give him the State’s 11 electoral votes, but they were uncertain whether he could win | because of the weakness of their State ticket. Margins Put at 3 Republican and Democratic leaders were that they would win by 30,000 or less. When figuring gets that close on more than 1,000,000 total vote it is equivalent to confessing nobody is certain. 1 Private estimates of well-informed | perts would not be surprised if Gov, Landon carried the State, particue larly in view of the rather potent Lemke threat to the Democratic cause. But the most optimistic Lemke sup- | porters do not expect him to poll more than 100,000 votes. It is generally agreed that just about all the Union party candidate’s backing will come from Minnesotans who ordinarily wouid cast their ballots for a New Deal standard bearer. Tremendous Effort by G. O. P. Even with Lemke cutting deeply into Roosevelt strength, most observ- ers agree there should be enough left from the 236,847 margin established in 1932 when Minnesdta first was | listed in the Democratic presidential column to give the President the edge. ‘ The Republicans have exerted tree | mendous effort to put over Landon in Minnesota and they apparently have scored heavily with their emphasis on what they term Minnesota farm | losses under the Democratic-spon- | sored reciprocal trade agreement with | Canada and with their attacks on the | administration’s farm program. | But the combination of the Demo- cratic and Farmer-Labor machines presumably provide obstacles too great | for the G. O. P. campaigners to over= come. The prospects for the State going Roosevelt but still electing a Repub- | lican Governor centers around the | backfire from the deal whereby Demo- | cratic senatorial and gubernatorial | candidates withdrew in favor of Farme | er-Labor nominees for those offices, don will Win this State. The final | There has been a vigorous fight to with the latter pledged to support figures in the Digest straw vote for | PUt California back in its traditionally . Advantages have been with the New York are Landon, 162,260; Roosevelt, 139,277, and Lemke, 14,656, In the city, the Digest poll shows Roosevelt approximately two to one in the lead with 89,253 to 45,559 bal- lots for Landon. On the basis of these figures the upstate vote for Gov. Landon would be unprecedented. The Digest poll also indicates a larger Lemké vote than had been anticipated. Since the Union party has been barred from the ballot in New York, it is believed most of the Lemke followers will vote for Gov. Landon. Registration Cheers G. 0. P. The Republicans are placing their hope of victory on the Independents and new voters in New York City. Without question Gov. Landon and Bleakley will receive a tremendous plurality among the rural sections up- state. This probably will not be enough to win for them, however, unless the Independents vote Re- publican in the city and sharply reduce the expected Democratic plu- rality there. The Republican leaders contend the 23 per cent increase in registra- tion in the city this year indicated that the new voters and Independents were aroused in their opposition to President Roosevelt and Gov. Lehman, Every authentic poll in the city has indicated a majority of the first voters will cast their ballots for President Roosevelt. The President won the city by a plurality of 871,120 in 1932, and the registration is approximately 560,000 greater this year. Also, he has made positive gains in certain classes of the electorate. There are approximately 150,000 Negro voters in this city. In 1932 they gave a fractional majority to President Roosevelt. This year they apparently will vote 4 or 5 to one Democratic, insuring a plurality of approximately 100,000 among the Negroes alone. Previous to 1932 the Negro vote here had been pro-Re- publican. Democrats Gain from Left. The Democrats also have made sharp gains from the left wing par- ties. The Socialist vote, because of the highly organized activities of the new American Labor party, will be reduced more than 50 per cent this year. The defections from the So- cialist vote will go almost 100 per cent to the Democrats. Also, there have been indications that many previously Communist voters would cast their ballots this year for the Democrats. The Labor party, which is affiliated with Labor's Non-Partisan League, has been the major surprise of the campaign here this year. It was treated lightly by most observers and political leaders at the outset of the campaign. That this was an unsound attitude was made very clear last ‘Tuesday afternoon, when one of the largest demonstrations in the history of the city was put on by members of the Labor party. Workers in many of the city’s major industries quit work at 3 o'clock and converged on Madison Square Garden. Many thou- sands of them took part in the march and outdoor demonstration, although only approximately 22,000 got into the Garden and heard Mayor F. H. La Guardia, Gov. Lehman, Senator Rob- ert F. Wagner and numerous labor leaders delivered addresses urging th® re-election of President Roosevelt. Unable to Chart s-l‘dl.' ‘The Republicans hope the defec- tions of conservative Democrats and liberal independents will off-set the obvious gains made by the Democrats among the laboring classes and the Negro voters. There is no way what- ever to chart the extent of the switch among the conservative Democrats, but most observers here do not think it will be large enough to make much difference. The Republicans and Democrats made this city the political battle- ground of the Nation this week, with major candidates on the national and State tickets bringing their campaigns to a close in meetings that attracted record crowds. Gov. Lehman and Mr. Bleakley have concentrated their campaigns in the metropolitan area this week, and there have been literally hundreds of political meetings here during thel days of the campaign. lflepublican position. John Hamilton, | G. O. P. campaign manager, visited | the State early in the Summer to organize the vote-getting forces. He was followed by the nominee for the Vice Presidency, Col. Frank Knox. Finally Gov. Landon himself made a surprise appearance as Republican in- terests made a last-minute effort to cut down Mr. Roosevelt's lead. The Republicans have utilized each of these tours as focal points in their campaign. They have also publicized the potential Landon voting strength that may result from Dr. Townsend's indorsement of the Kansas Governor. Papers Back Landon. Landon has had significant news- | paper support from major publica- tions in the State’s two largest popu= lation centers, San Francisco and Los ‘AngelesA Moreover, G. O. P. forces | have worked in harmony since the presidential primaries in May, be- fore which time the party factions had split widely on the question of | delegates to the national convention. | _Despite the tremendous push for Gov. Landon by the Republican in- terests, political observes believe that | the Landon rally has fallen short in California. Odds of 3 to 2 and even ‘2 to 1 are being given on President ‘Roosevelt‘s carrying the State, and | estimates of his predicted plurality here vary from 100,000 to 300,000. |CONNECTICUT VOTE LIKELY FOR LANDON Large Silent Part of Electorate Holds Balance, However, in Tuesday Ballot. BY ROBERT D. BYRNES, Special Correspondent of The Htar. HARTFORD, Conn. October 31.— Odds appear to favor Landon in Cone necticut Tuesday, with fair prospects for the Republicans to regain the State government control and two or three of the four Congressional seats now held by the Democrats. There is a big silent vote in Con- necticut, however, and if this all goes one way it can produce a big margin. Republicans count on return of anti-Hoover votes as well as anti- prohibitionists, as well as support from conservative and Smith Democrats and Democratic losses to Lemke. Democrats count on the labor vote, as well as the relief vote and Negro vote. The Representative-at-large seat, now held by William M. Citron, Dem= ocrat, probably will go along with the presidential vote in the State. Representative Herman P. Kopple- mann, Democrat, in the first -dis- trict, seems to be the most certain winner among the Congressional can- didates. Representative William L. Higgins, Republican, in the second, should win over William J. Fitzger- ald, Democrat. Republicans are confident of cap- turing the third district where John F. Lynch, president pro tempore of the State Senate, is opposing Repre- sentative James A. Shanley, Demo- crat. Schuyler Merritt, in the fourth district, seems to have the best pros- pects of any Republican nominees. The fifth, where Representative J. Joseph Smith, Democrat, is opposed by J. Warren Upson is about even. 114,000 SEEN VIRGINIA ROOSEVELT MAJORITY BY R. L. C. BARRET. Speclal Correspondent of The Star. RICHMOND, Va., October 31.— Virginia has maintained a steady Democratic trend throughout the presidential campaign this year. People who have toured the State recently say the Roosevelt majority in Virginia will exceed the 114,000 given him four years ago. Based on State-wide surveys by newspapermen acquainted with tions in Vir- the President ginia, it is will receive a majority of more than 75,000. \ Senator Carter Glass will lead the ticket as he has no Republican op- plsition. BY J. A. O'LEARY. RESIDENT ROOSEVELT continues to hold the advantage in elec- P toral votes when the final predictions of a corps of political cor- respondents in each of the 48 States are summarized. At the same time, the number of States from which the last dispatches indicate a narrow margin between the two major candidates suggest a strong possibility that this may be a much closer election than the Nation has witnessed in more than a decade. For instance, in such big States as Ohio, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan and Iowa, the Republican and Democratic presidential entries are pictured as running almost neck-and-neck toward the finishing line. The same condition is described in several States further West, including Nebraska, Idaho, Minnesota and Wyoming. If these forecasts are borne out the final count might show a close finish in total popular vote for the country as a whole, even though the margin in electoral votes would be wider as a result of one candidate or the other carrying pivotal States by a narrow margin. And, if the popuiar vote is as close as last-minute predictions sug- gest in a number of the borcer-line States, the returns could easily show surprises that wouid make the outcome close in electoral vote tabulation also. High Registration Brings Difficulty. The high registration of eligible voters is only one of several unusual factors making it difficult for political observers to forecast with any degree of certainty how several of the big States will go. The following is a summary of the final dispatches: New York—Indications that Democratic vote in New York City will exceed Gov. Landon’s plurality up-State, thereby giving Roosevelt the 47 electoral votes. The Republicans are counting on independent voters and new registrants to hold down the Democratic plurality in the city. On the other hand, the Democrats are expected to get more support than usual from the colored vote and from left-wing parties. New Jersey—Gov Landon is expected to carry this State's 16 elec- toral votes by a close decisior. Pennsylvania—Although this traditionally Republican State is close, the G. O. P. is regarced as having more than enough of its supporters registered to hold the Keystone State in the Landon column, provided most of the eligible voters turn out on Tuesday, especially in the heavily Republican rural sections. puMnrylund'Although both parties are claiming the State, it is be- ved to be leaning toward Roosevelt. i Delnwnre—'l‘heg Republicens face a hard fight to retain these three electoral votes this year. The Republicans split over the State ticket. This led to confusion when two sets of electors pledged to Landon were put forth. Roosevelt is believed to have a chance to capture the electoral vote. Maine—The only question appears to be how large a majority it will ve Landon. g New Hampshire—Usual Republican victory expected, with Gov. H. Styles Bridges, Republican, picked to beat Representative William N. Rogers, Democrat, for the Senate. Senator Keyes, the Republican incum- seek renomination. ben\‘l’esfio:zt—‘rndmonany Republican, it is safely in the Landon column. Massachusetts—Landon is expected to win, but by & smaller margin than appeared likely a month ago. Henry Cabot Lodge, jr., Republican, holds the edge over Gov. James M. Curley, Democrat, for the Senate. Rhode Island—Signs point to victory both for Landon and Republican State- ticket, including re-election of Senator Metcalf, Republican. Landon Prospects Good in Connecticut. Connecticut—Here, also, Landon is Inv;::dst& éet t:u r;};c;‘otnl vote, and Republicans regaining gove! 3 “u&mg;‘:m:u:l’ nc‘emso close outcome is still doubtful. Republicans appear certain, however, of electing John W. Bricker Governor, against Marti vey, Democrat. O Prestdensial race close, with Republicans hoping the heavy registration reflects an anti-New Deal trend. Observers predict election of Raymond S. Springer, Republican, for Governor, and gain of several seats by Republicans. ; Hm;?mom—(flzae bl:me for electoral vote hinges qn size of Landoh’s ex- pected majority down-State, as compared with Democratic vote in Cook County (Chicago). The fact that Roosevelt carried State four years ago by 449,548, and the strength of the Democratic organization in Chicago leads observers to regard it more probable that it will remain in Rooo:‘; velt column by reduced margin, but they do not make the prediction wi muchuum‘l:l;y_.mm close State in the race for the electorial vote. The President is regarded as strong in the industrial centers, while Landon is the favorite in the small cities and rural areas of the State. ‘Wisconsin—Reported as safely in Roosevelt column, mainly because he is backed by both the Democratic and Progressive party State tickets, Minnesota—Although reported to be leaning Democratic for President, the battle lines are so closely drawn observers indicate they would not be surprised if Gov. Landon came out ahead. Odds favor the Republicans to regain State control, which has been held in recent years by the Farmera Laborites. As a result of the coalition between the New Deal and Farmere Labor leaders, many Democrats are supporting Martin A. Nelson, Repub- lican, for Governor, but observers doubt that they will bolt Roosevelt in large numbers. Nebraska Outcome Hard to See. Nebraska—This is another State where the outcome of the electoral vote is hard to forecast. Although registration favors the Democrats in the cities, except Lancaster County (Lincoln), the farm vote is an unknown quantity and may enable the Republicans to finish ahead by reason of the rural vote. The senatorial race is doubtful. Senator Norris is seeking re-ele ection as an independent, with New Deal support, but opposed by Robert . G. Simmons, Republican, and Terry Carpenter, Democrat. Kansas—Latest reports are Landon will carry the State by at least 15,000 majority. Re-election of Senator Capper, Republican, predicted. Nevada—Although both parties claim its three electoral votes, State appears to be leaning Democratic. ‘Wyoming—Signs of a small margin for Roosevelt, but with possibility of upset, depending on how Tcwnsendites vote. Senator Carey, Republican, -has good prospects for re-election. Arizona—] Roosevelt favored to get the three electoral votes. Thomas lmtmm«mgmm“hm strong race as Republican nominee 3 Montana—Roosevelt mainfpining his earlier lead for these fourgelec- How They Stand Today Possible Line-Up of the States’ Ij:lec!oral Votes, Based on Star’s Political Correspondence. Electoral Vote Sure Repub- lican Sure Demo- cratic Leaning to Republican Leaning to Democratic Doubtful §' California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida i - e 0 B oo ~ ER - - | " = e o eolmo--e o 1] 1l o= S l: a waf s it 1 ol oo = 5 i <l " | w| o) & 5 [ ) 13 » ] Ohio 2 1 | klahoma Oregon | Pennsylvania | Rhode Island | South Carolina =t-4 | | 5 | & o) o) o) [ [ 8 | | 11 | 23| [ T J [ 8 fi - I I ] ] 3| : | | 91 [ 1 t | Majority, 266. ‘This final tabulation of electoral votes for and against Roosevelt and Landon is based on reports of special correspondents of The Star in every State. The table today shows a total of 301 electoral votes “sure” and “leaning” toward Roosevelt; a total of 139 electoral votes “sure” " toward Landon, and a total of 91 electoral votes that are still considered “doubtful.” A majority, or 266, is necessary for election. v toral votes, Senator Murray, Democrat, also believed headed for re-election. Utah—Believed to be sure for Roosevelt, with four electoral votes. South Dakota—This State, with four electoral votes, is expected to go for Landon-and also for Republican State and congressional candidates. North Dakota—Although Republicans have put up a hard fight, State is said to be heading for Roosevelt column. N Colorado—Both parties claiming State’s six lectoral votes, but ob- servers predict they will go to Roosevelt. Idaho—Roosevelt is regarded as having a lead, but so slim that out- come of electoral vote is in doubt. Senator Borah, veteran Republican statesman, expected to be re-elected by substantial majority. California—Strong drive for Landon in recent weeks is believed to have fallen short of overcoming early Roosevelt lead. Democrats basing hopes on their 3-to-2.ratio in registration. Republicans hoping for added from Townsendite supporters. Oregon—With heavy Democratie registration, electoral vole appears ~ (8cq SURVEY, Page D-4) & il | NosthiDakots & [ [~ |~ 4 | | | | | T 1 [ Republicans in the last two weeks of | strength was greatest in September, | when he had been in the State five | times before Roosevelt made a cam- paign tour. While Roosevelt was in the State and for a week afterward, Democratic stock went up. When Re- publicans discovered they had not been routed, they came back strong and optimistically. By districts, after a visit to all of them, the situation sums up as fol- lows: First—Close on President with the edge to Roosevelt. John N. Calhoun, | Republican congressional candidate, may defeat Representative Edward C. Eicher, Democrat. Second—Roosevelt by a reduced 1932 majority. Congress race inflluenced by Union party candidate, a horse race between Charles Penningroth, Repub- lican, and William S. Jacobsen, Demo- crat, both new candidates. Third—Roosevelt edge. Representa- tive John W. Gwynne, Republican, to be re-elected over A. C. Willford, his 1934 Democratic foe. Fourth District Race in Doubt. Fourth—Doubtful on President, lean- ing to Roosevelt. Congress race in doubt between Fred Biermann, Demo- cratic incumbent, and H. O. Talle, Re- publican. Fifth—Landon by small majority. | Representative Lloyd Thurston, Re- | publican, to be re-elected. pending upon how large a business vote in Des Moines turns out to over- come Roosevelt strength among relief, W. P. A. and labor vote. C.C. Dowell, former Republican Representative, to come back. Seventh—Landon by good, safe margin. Henry K. Peterson, Repub- lican, to defeat Representative Otha D. Wearin, Democrat. Eighth—Roosevelt to get biggest ma- jority of any district, from 10,000 to 15,000. Representative Fred C. Gil- christ, Republican, to beat Ray Mur- culture. Ninth—Roosevelt by smaller majority than eighth district. Congress race in doubt with Fred B. Wolf, Republican, to win unless Vincent F. Harrington rolls up Woodbury County majority to overcome Wolf lead in other counties. ‘The race for United States Senator, long term, between Senator L. J. Dick- inson, Republican incumbent, and Gov. Clyde L. Herring, Democrat, is close, with the edge to Dickinson. Short- term race between Representative Guy M. Gillette, Democrat, and Berry F. Halden, Republican, will be determined by presidential result. e TENDENCY IN NEVADA TOWARD DEMOCRATS State Doubtful, but Republicans | Face Obstacles in Relief and W. P. A, Agencies. BY EDGAR REINHART, Special Correspondent of The Star, RENO, Nev., October 31.—Republi- cans and Democrats took to the air again this week for final appeals to voters. Nevada's presidential electoral vote is claimed by both parties, but the State appears doubtful with strong Democratic leanings. The Republicans have gained many votes, but it seems hardly possible they can overcome the strength of the Farley machine built up here by Fed- eral relief and W. P. A. agencies. Local contests seem to be creating more interest than the national battle. Democratic leaders report indications from county and precinct leaders that President Roosevelt will carry the en- tire State, some even declaring their precincts 100 per cent for the Presi- dent. The Republican leaders, also | the presidential campaign. Landon | Sixth—Landon by 5.000 to 10,000 de- | ray, now Democratic secretary of agri- | Roosevelt. | Many prominent Democrats have actively campaigned for the Repube lican gubernatorial candidate—Martin Nelson—meanwhile advocating defeat of United States Senator Elmer Bene son, the Farmer-Labor candidate for Governor. The rebelling Democrats who shout- ed loudly about the trade since, they contend, the party may thereby lose its identity entirely in Minnesota, are not expected to bolt in any great num- bers from the Roosevelt ranks. | The Republicans have sought strenuously to capitalize to the great | »st extent upon the Democratic split and recruited many of the rebels in | their campaign forces with one group labeling itself the “Democrat-For-Nel« | son Club.” But the G. O. P. did not succeed in getting any such outfit | into the field for Gov. Landon. Ran Well Against Olson. Another important factor in the gubernatorial race is that Neison, a small-town attorney with considerabls | oratorical ability, made a surprising race against the late Gov. Olson two years ago, losing by only 75,000 votes when it had been apparent the mare | gin wouid at least double that figure. Senator Benson, who was lifted from obscurity as a first-term State | banking commissioner to take the seat of the late Senator Thomas D. Schall, has been badly handicapped by lack of campaign experience. But, selected by Gov. Olson as the man to carry on as the Farmer-Labor head of the State government, Senator Ben- | son inherited the potent Olson cam- | paign machine and has given the Re- | publicans a hot argument. While the G. O. P. was trying to | tack the “Red” label to Senator Ben- son for the support his party has been getting from the Communist party campaigners, the Farmer-Labor nom- | inee concentrated on what he called the Republican-sponsored sales tax | threat. | The conservatives in the. State Legislature pushed through a bill calling for a vote at the Tuesday election on a constitutional amens- ment to exempt real estate from the State tax levy. Benson said that, should it carry and should his Re- publican opponent be elected, a sales tax would be enacted to make up the deficit in State revenues. Finally, Nelson came out against the sales tax and, under constant hammering by Benson just a few days before election, said he would veto such a bill should it pass the State Legislature. Six-Year Farmer-Labor Rule, If Nelson does squeeze in, as most observers agree he will, it will mean restoration of the State government to the Republicans after six years of Farmer-Labor rule, with Gov. Olson sitting in the Governor's chair through two terms. Since Olson's death late last Summer, Hjalmar Pe- tersen, Lieutenant Governor under Olson, has been Governor. Petersen, who vainly sought to run for Gov- ernor in his own right, is the third party nominee for State railroad and warehouse commissioner and is fa vored to win. The Farmer-Laborites have been badly handicapped without the lead- ership of Olson, who was the party's nominee for the Senate at the time of his death. But under the strange set-up his successor on the ballot— tative Ernest Lundeen—is given a slight edge over his Repub- lican opponent—Representative Theo- dore Christianson, three times Gov- ernor of the State. ‘The races for the national House also have the experts puzzled. Of the nine contests, only Farmer-Laborites Paul John Kvale in the seventh and Richard Buckler in the ninth snd Republicans August H. Andresen in the first, Melvin Maas in the fourth and Harold Knutson in the sixth are rated as out and out favorites. ‘The State Legislature is expected to continue under conservative dom- inance. The Senate which holds over for another two years has a clear con- servative majority and the House, which had a similar complexion two years ago, probably will not be greatly shaken up although the Farmer-Labor minority doubtless will make some