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Ay “San Toy.™ C GRANDE- Vaudeville. ‘Pretty Pegey.” Matinee to- day. MAJESTIC“When We Were Twenty- e. ORPHEUM-Vaddevilfe. Matines to- day. TIVOLI—“Der, Rastdthinder.” VOLUME XCVI—NO. 15 CALLS POLL OF STATES RooseveltCertain of Enormous - Majoriy. Républmmo Con- trol House of Rep- resentatives, —s New York Must Be Given Place in the Doubtful | Column. Special Dispatch to The Call Roosevelt’s election by a| | large majority is forecast by | an exhaustive poll of all the | States, just completed by | The Call and the New York | Herald. Without includingi any of the doubtful States| he is assured of 257 electoral votes, 18 more than the nec- 239. In New York State the contest is so close that the result cannot be foretold. The next House of Representatives will have 2 Republican majority. CS&ZT.V 9 NEW YORK, Oct. 29.—The Call- isan poll of the coun- tes that Roosevelt and Fair- be elected and the House | Representatives be Republican. It | loses an n-pa nks wil almost even chance | evelt will lose the electoral own State. g electoral votes fied as strongly favoring the Republican ticket. States casting 159 electoral votes are certain to go for| Parker and Davis. A majority of the | =lectoral college consists of 239 votes. < the President has a majority of 18 sure votes and Parker and Davis lack 80 votes of having a clear ma- Jority. In the doubtful column are placed | casti States which cast 60 electoral votes | and the poll necessitates the clas- | sification of four, asting 18 elec- toral votes, as probably Republican. These are Colorado, Montana, 5; Delaware, 3; West Virginia, as doubtful and | This is Nevada, | 3; with 3 votes. NEW YORK STATE. In York State the Call and Herald made separate canvasses of vo sections of the State that so differ politically. The canvass counties lying outside the city of New York was conducted independently of the poll of the city and there was absolutely no manipu- lation of the figures. The estimated vote for Parker and ew Roosevelt in this State shows a dif- ference of on 12,000 votes. While the apparent advantage is with loosevelt it should be remembered is a State showing very vio- fluctuations in its voting and any toward event might change the re- in a da It is undeniable that there is now in this city a swing to- ward Parker. The Cail-Herald estimates the plu- rality for Roosevelt in the section of the State north and west of the city at | about 145,000. This is about '.'!),000I less plurality than McKinley's over Bryan in 1900 in the same territory. | It estimates the lurality in the city | for Parker as being probably 133,000 —large enough to ring the apparent lead of Roosevelt down to 12,000. HERRICK IN THE LEAD. Herrick for Governor may run ahead of Parker in the city at least 31,000 votes, having a city plurality of 164,500, If he does he may beat Higgins in the entire State by 44,000. The Republicans have been figuring on about 70,000 for Parker in the city. One of the best informed Tammany Hall leaders has placed his plurality in the entire city at not to exceed 92,000, and the plurality of Herrick at not to exceed 104,000. Other Tammany Hall men believe Parker will have 110,000 plurality in the city and Herrick 135,000, In view of such chaotic conditions it would be manifestly misleading to clas. sify New York as other than a doubtful _— Continued to Page 27, Column 1. 2. | the prospect of war with Great Britain, the Russian people are soberly realiz- | FORTY-EIGHT PAGES—SA FR;»\NCISCO, SUNDAY, OCTOBER 30, 1904—PAGES 25 TO 36. ANGLO-RUSSIAN PEACE PLAN IS A TRIUMPH FOR Mixed Tribunal to Hand Down a V_e@_igt. ST. PETERSBURG, Oct. 29.—Freed from the severe tension over the traw- ler incident through the agreement to submit the case to an international in- | quiry, and relieved by the removal of ing the advantage of a peaceful and honorable solution. The widest interest is displayed in diplomatic circlessover the arrangements for the investigation. According to a high authority, the two Governments will draw up a series of questions which will serve as a basis for the investigation of facts in the case by the mixed commissions at Vigo and Hull. - The reports of the commis- sions will be handed to Russia and Great Britain. For the award an international court will be created by special treaty, in conformity with the provisions of The Hague Convention. It is believed that this court will be composed of a for- eign naval official and a jurisconsult in Life. GENERAL KUROKI'S HEAD- {QL’ARTERS. Oct. 29.—The Russians appointed by each of the two powers. These four members will select a fifth, who will have the casting vote. The treaty to be signed will specify the powers and composition of the court, the main- purpose of which will be to give a verdict on the basis of the testi- mony supplied by the mixed commis- sions. It possibly also will be given the right of passing sentence in the | case. | SRR WILL WATCH BALTIC FLEET. British Channel Squadron to Put in at the Port of Vigo. VIGO, Spain, Oct.” 29.—The British Consul here to-day received telegraphic instructions to prepare for provisioning the channel squadron, which wonld ar- rive at once. The marine commandant has been authorized to permit the Russian squadron to remain at this port should the inquiry into the North Sea incident be held here. Before authorizing the Russian squadron to remain the Span- ish Government consulted with the for- eign diplomatic corps here. Late to-day a British cruiser arrived from the south, anchored outside the harbor and exchanged salutes with the fort and the Russian squadron. The| cruiser proved to be the Lancaster. Her commander shortly afterward went on board the Russtan flagship, Kniaz Sou- varoff, and had a conference lasting twenty minutes with Admiral Rojest- vensky. The Lancaster subsequently sailed, clearing the harbor at 6 o'clock. Five other British ships are outside in the bay of Vigo. Upon the main question relative to the identity of the Japanese torpedo- boats said to have been seen among the | take Maitao Mountain, which had been |captured by the - Japanese, | with two machine guns. | last night’s fight have been received. KZvlailao Mountain has been bombarded :lre-quen(ly since | Japanese. | semi-permanent nature and the | trenches were very deep. .The Rus- slan losses were more than 200. They Hull fishing fleet during the night of October 21-22 Vice Admiral Rojestven- sky said to-day: “Rumors had reached us that the Japanese would attack the squadron, and when I suddenly saw that night the two torpedo-boats between our two divisions and heard the noise of the fir- ing of torpedoes I doubted not that they were Japanese. ' ¥ “Prince Keretelli, an officer on board the battleship Emperor Alexander III, Continued on Page 26, Column 3. THE HAGUE AGREEMENT * PROBABLE CHAIRMAN AT BRIT- ISH BOARD OF TRADE INQUIRY INTO NORTH SEA AFFAIR. BAYONETS STREW SUMMIT OF HILL WITH THE SLAIN Japanese Victory Won NESSENGER BACK ROV ABYSSINIA Negro Companion of: Kent Loomis in | New York, | Eilis Rem Discuss Death of Secretary’s Brother. | Lays Olaim to Valuable Concessions for Himself and Discusses His Com- | ing Financial Importance. Special Dispatch to The Call. + NEW YORK, Oct. 29.—W. H. Ellis, the negro who started for Abyssinia early last summer in company with Kent Loomis, who was drowned off the English coast, returned to-day on the American Line steamship Philadel- phia. Ellis upon landing refused to make any statement regarding the Abyssinian trpaty or the death of Lcomis. About the death of Loomis he had ncthing to conceal, he said, and de- clared that he had been much maligned and misrepresented. . He said he gave a full account of Loomis’ death to his brother, the Assistant Secretary of State. “I shall refuse to be interviewed un- til after I got to Washington, when a full statement will be given to the press,” he said. ‘“Regarding my per- | sonal ventures I have succeeded in getting full concessions for all the dia- mond mines in Abyssinia and 200,000 acres of land on the Nile to experi- ment In cotton growing. Every effort was made by the French and British representatives. o prevent the ing of these concessions. establish the Royal Bank of Abyssinia and will control the financial affairs of the country.” —————————— SOCIALISTS THREATEN ANOTHER BIG STRIKE Fix Upon the Date of the Baptism of Italy’s Heir as the Time for a Walk-Out. ROME, Oct. 29.—It is said here that the Socialists and anarchists threaten that another general strike will be proclaimed on the day of the baptism of Prince Humbert of Pied- mont, the heir to the throne, as the recent strike was inaugurated on the day of the Prince’s birth. It is be- lieved that an attempt to institute such a strike will fail if it be made, the Government being thoroughly pre- pared for all eventualities. at Heavy Cost attempted at midnight last night to re- together No details of its capture by the Its defenses were of a left seventy dead and wounded at the crest of the hill. MUKDEN, Oct. 29.—The Japanese assumed the offensive on October 27 at Yansytum, half way between Bent- siaputze and Fengtiapu, on the Muk- den road. The whole day was passed by the artillery in, preparation for a bombardment of the Russian position. Toward evening a whole regiment moved out to capture the hill on which is a Buddhist temple, a mile south of Yansintun. The temple was held by a Russian battalion with two machine guns. A fierce fight with cold steel strewed the summit of the hill with corpses. —_— e WITNESS IN MICHIGAN TRIAL EXPOSES BOODLE METHODS Lant K. Salsbury Tells How He Got $50,000 Belonging to Omaha Peodle. GRAND RAPIDS, Mich., Oct. 29.— Lant K. Salsbury, chief witness for the prosecution in the water deal cases, to-day, at the bribery trial of ex-May- or Perry, for the first time named the person who heiped him in the dupli- cate key scheme in Chicago, by which he secured an alleged boodle fund of $50,000 deposited there and belonging to the Bartons of Omaha. Salsbury testified that it was his brother, Wal- ter Salsbury. Salsbury stated further that the $50,000 was not returned to the Bartons with the understanding that they would not prosecute him. He declared that it was turned over to a detective named Maguire, who lives in Chicago. Maguire still holds the money, he said, the understand- ing being that in case Salsbury is con- victed in the case against him in con- nection with the Barton fund the money will be turned over to himself. Salsbury made this statement only after making a record to the effect that the statement might lead to the prosecution of other persons in Illi- nois and that he made it only be- The Russians were outnumbered, their machine guns were dismantled and they were compelled to fall back upon their main positions, carrying with them the barrels of their machine guns. ;. The Russian artillerv then swept the hill with such a hail of projectiles that the Japanese were unable to re- main there. Heavy losses were in- flicted on both sides. The Russian guns on Lone Tree Hill began shelling the villages to the south, where the Japanese were no- ticeably active, at daybreak yesterday. Similar activity was. remarked along the whole front. A detachment of the Russian west- ern column, under command of Colonel Giesser, on the night of Octo- ber 26, attacked a couple of villages lying a few miles south of Sinchinpu. Russian mortar batteries had pre- viously shelled them throughout the preceding day. Nevertheless, the Japanese offered a desperate resist- ance. It was only after a determined bayonet charge that the assailants cleared the villages, the name of one of which is not given and the other of ‘which is known as Hanlinpu. A tour of the hospitals in Mukden shows that the accommodations for cause forced to do so. —_———— Fatal Quarrel at World’s Fair, ST. LOUIS, Oct. 29.—Mical Azziri, director of the Siberian funds at the “Jerusalem” concession at the World’s Fair, was shot and killed to-night by Nicholas Sahab, a merchant and fel- low countryman. They had quarreled over money matters. —_— the wounded there are far inferior to the hospitals at Liaoyang. This is especially .true of the Red Cross bar- racks, where the surgeons and sisters are on duty twenty-four hours every other day. Fewer wounded are now being brought in and the hospitals are beginning to assume a normal aspect. The Jewish doctors and surgeons are especially distinguishing them- selves, devoting their time night and day to the wounded, and the Jewish soldiers in the field .are displaying as great bravery as their comrades of other religions. % Ileutenant General Linevitch ar- rived here to-day’to assume command of the Siberian*Army. Corps. So pop- ular is General Linevitch among the Siberian troops that he is generally known by them as “Dncle” Linevitch, & / grant-1 1 “shall MISS PAULINE ASTOR WEDDED IN LONDON T10- CAPTAIN HUGH SPENDER- CLAY — 4 CEREMONY IS PERFORMED BY DIGNITARIES OF THE ENGLISH CHURCH AND DUHKES, LORDS AND —_— LONDON, Oct. 29.—Miss Pauline Astor, daughter of William Waldorf Astor, was married at St. Margaret's Church, Westminster, to-day to Cap- tain Spender-Clay. The Bishop of London, Dr. Ingram, Canon Wilber- force and other clergy performed the ceremony in the presence of a large assemblage. Enormous crowds outside watched the arrival of the bride, bridegroom and wedding guests. The church, which was tastefully adorned with flowers and autumn foliage, was crowded with distinguished personages and presented a brilliant scene, when, to the strains of a processional hymn, the bride, with her ten bridesmaids and two pages in white satin cavalier suits, moved up the aisle to the chan- cel steps. Mr. Astor gave away his daughter. The best man was Captain Claude de Crespigny, Viceroy Curzon's aid de camp. The presents were magnificent f— — — s WILLIAM WALDORF ASTOR'S DAUGHTER AND EXPATRIATED AMERICAN'S NEW SON-IN AW, £ S largely diamonds and other jewels. The Duchess of Argyll sent a gold cup, Lord Rosebery, Lord Lansdowne, Lord Halsbury, Alfred Charles Rothschild, the Duchess of Sutherland, the Duke of Roxburghe, Earl and Countess of ‘Warwick, Colonel and Mrs. John Hay, Embassador and Mrs. Choate, Mr. and Mrs. Cornelius Vanderbilt, the Duch- ess of Manchester, Secretary and Mrs. Henry White, the Couritess of Straf- ford and Mrs. Arthur Paget were also among the donors. The list of pres- ents fills a column in the newspapers. The gowns of the bridesmaids were all by Worth. They were of the palest pink accordion-pleated chiffon and real old lace and each wore a big brown picture hat and brown muff. Astor is a cautious man. He will allow his daughter £10,000 a year for herself and give a handsome money present to his son-in-law. But the settlement gives the latter no power whatever over his wife’s money af- fairs. Captain Spender-Clay’'s income is a somewhat fluctuating asset, not even his intimate friends know exact- ly what he actually has. Some say he has an income of £20,000 and will un- doubtedly inherit more than double that amount from his mother. A peculiar feature of the case is the absence of anything like intimate friendship betwen the two families. His mother, Mrs. Beresford Melville, orly went for a formal Saturday to Monday visit to Cliveden to make the acquaintance of Mr. Astor after the ergagement was announced. DEPARDMENT OPENS BIDS ON MARE ISLAND DRYDOCK Healy, Tibbitts & Co. of This City Make Next to Lowest Ofter. WASHINGTON, Oct. 29.—Bids for completing the Mare Island drydock were opened at the Navy Department to-day. The bids were: The Scofield Company of New York, $1,385,000: ‘W. M. Concannon Company of San Francisco, $1,420,000; Healy, Tibbitts & Co., San Francisco, $1,387,000, and Burrell Construction Company, Oak- land, Cal., $1,645,000. Panama's Sccretary Resigns, PANAMA, Oct. 29.—Tomas Arias, Secretary of State for the gepublic of Panama, resigned to-day. ‘or several months past the Liberal party has op- posed the policy of the Secretary, and this, it is believed, may have caused his resignation. EARLS SHOWEK - HAFPFPY PAIR WITH KICH QIFTS - LUNACY IN GREAT BRITAIN SHOWS ALARMING INCREASE Improper Food and Intemperance Are Given as Causes. Special Cablegram to The Call and N ew York Herald. Copyl;lsht. 1904, by the New York Herald Publishing Company. LONDON, ®Oct. 29.—“A total in- ) last yéar were the following: Intem- crease of 996 lunatics is the largest| perance, 666; hereditary, 783; love af- annual increase we have had record. The prospect of any diminu- | I tion in the increase in lunacy appears to be most problematic.” Such is the terrible state of affairs to | fairs, 61; reviewed in the annual report of the| Asylum Committee of the London County Council for the year ending March 31, 1904, just issued. The fig- ures given for London alone show a total of nearly 24,000 lunatics on the first day of the current year. This, compared with the three previous vears, shows an annual incréase of from 700 to nearly 1000. In fourteen yvears, since 1890, the number of lunatics has increased by the enor- mous total of 7590, which is out of all proportion to the increase in popula- tion. Among the causes of insanity in pa- domestic worry, 283, re- gious excitement, 78. A well-known specialist 6f mental diseases, In discussing the report, said: - “It will be observed that the largest proportion of lunacy cases is among the laboring classes. The rea- son is obvious. The depressing .nflu- ences of the monotondus grind for existence in slum and underground dwellings and intemperance are all di- rect causes of lunacy. The class which comesnext on the roll is that of clerks. Here much the same causes are to be | found, but in the main I think the ape | middp; of the day pallingly bad feeding indulged in by this section of the community has most to do with the large increase of insanity. Hurried and insufficient meals_ of starch foods and tea in the cheap cigarettes and the general stress of modern life tend tients admitted to the London asylums { to the unhinging of the mind.” —_— CLEARS FOUR MILLIONS ON THE RISING MARKET John W. Gates’ “Bull” Campaign in Wall Street Nets Him a Tidy Profit. Special Dispatch to The Call. CHICAGO, Oct. 29.—John W. Gates is reported to have profited to the extent of $4,000,000 in the stock market. | United States Steel preferred and be- gan backing his judgment when the He |istock was down in the fifties. He has was a pronounced bull last July, before | been bullish also on Union Pacific and the market had well started on its up- | 2 heavy buyer of the stock. ward movement and was a heavy Gates is reported to "have sold out buyer of several stocks that have ad- | 100,000 shares of Union Pacific in one vanced in price from $10 to $30 a share. | day this week at practically the top Gates was particularly bullish on | price of the present upward movement. R — MRS. TEVIS NOW ADMITS SHE IS TO WED McKEE Marriage of Western Beauty to Pitts- burg Millionaire Will Take Place in London. LONDON, Oet. 29.—Mrs. - Hugh Tevis, the beautiful and rich Amer- ican widow, now admits that befors Christmas she is to marry A. Hart Mc- R Kee, the young Pittsburg millionaire, who was the co-respondent in the sen- sational divorce suit brought by K. Lawrence Phipps. McKee is traveling with Mrs. Tevis" party. They are now in Paris, but they cannot be married there because six months’ residence is necessary un- der the French law. The wedding will take plate in London. &