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Bit2434444404444040994 Pages 1712 e e e S R Y | Qrasssss Gretrted _‘3‘3'3'{8‘33"13‘00’0000000! Pages 17 10 28 A R e e e S e e S VOLUME XCII-NO. 148. SAN FRANCISCO, SUNDAY, OCTOBER 26, 1902—FORTY PAGES. PRICE FIVE CENTS PRELIMINARY POLL OF THE COMING ELECTIONS INDICATES THAT THE REPUBLICANS WILL RETAIN CONTROL OF CONGRESS, ALTHOUGH GAINS MAY BE SECURED BY DEMOCRA TIC PARTY - ———% { AREFUL estimates made by The Call on the coming clections indicate that the Republican party will successfully weather the crisis and retain @ working majority in Congress. Owing to recent agitation due to combinations of vast con- | mercial enterprises and the great strikes in the Eastern coal fields, the Democrats are certain to make gains in the House of Representatives, but not enough to secure control of that 'ba'dy. O_n the other hand, _Pren.(lmt Rqosez'elt, by his | strenuous action to prosecute violators of. the Sherman anti-trust law and his successful work in ending the anthracite coal strike by arbitration, kas gained votes for his party. It is interesting to note tftal California promises to return a | solid Republican delegation to Congress. * e 2 —p | — - : THE SENATE. . | THE HOUSE. ! ! Fifty-Eighth Fitty-Sovznth i Fifty-Eighth Fifty-Seventh Congress. | Congrass. | Republican ... 51 55 l Democratic. . . 35 33 | Congress. i Congrass. | J | | | | i Doubtful......| Ed Roosévelt's F 2’7'_771,- Stand on the T'rust Question Has Gained, Many Votes for His Party, Special Dispatch to The Call. EW YORK, Oct. 24.—The Call and Herald’s non-partisan poll of the forty-five States which will elect 38 members of the House of Rep- resentatives for the Fifty-eighth Congress shows that the Republi- probably be able to control the organization of that body, very narrow majority. To win control the Republicans 19¢ members. Tt give them 202. They also show sonably certain di or the Democrats and fifteen A general Democratic drift in Zast, with a very heavy vote for New York, approaching that of Cleveland in 1892, when he car- ard became the greater city by 111,000 plurality, would not only the slender indicated Republican majority in Congress, but would e doubtful districts to the Demoerats and give them control. a mendous from the Corgresslonal elections of 1900. At the Republicans ‘of forty-six members. Apparently in rity has aln n wiped out. Hard luck for the Republicans | s of the campa a few mistakes, or a tendency of independ- there are light, toward Democrucy, and it is gone. | been high tide in the Republican party in the nation for almost ten | e tide is ebbi Whether it will turn before the next Presidential « n t it is perfectly clear, judging from the political con- ¢ ailing ten days before the ciections, that voters are changing their views sufficient numbers to cduse apprehensions on the part of the Repub- ican managers. MOST SIGNIFICANT SIGN OF THE TIMBS Perhaps the most significant sign of the times is the growth of what may be roperly termed the socialistic sentiment in this country. It is appearing very as the Populistic sentiment appeared just prior to 1892, only this time the Eastern States and in the Middle West. Then it was largely 3 1 » ] E 4 g 8 8 [ “ 8 5 5 e ] g ® ) - © " 4 8 & m 24 Yew England that workingmen’s candidates were taken Mp by’ the Demo- and labor mayors were elected in a chain of Connecticut clties. t has spread all through New York State, through New Jersey ' | | 1 It is rampant in Peunslyvania* and in Ohfo. It exists far- r in Indiana and Illinois. It has been fanned to flame by the trust question, by over-capitalization of corporatic the combination of Gealers in the necessaries of life to cre- | ate m oly and arbitrarily fix prices. The beef trust and its exactions dur- ing the last winter and spring was one thing that greatly tended to the aug- | | me on of this sentiment. The coal strike and famine added fuel to ‘the flames, contradictory as the term may seem. The Democrats have been quick | | teke advantage of this. They have assumed the attitude that the Republi- can party is the mother of trusts; that trusts under Republican rule have be- come almost dominant in Congress and in the Republican party councils; that the wage earner and men with salaries are being crushed through the great rease the cost of living, and that the only hope for relief,lies in the ap- plica of fantastic and drastic remcdies by the Democratic party. | DEMOCRATIC PARTY SHREWDLY TAK-S THGE CUE. i How shrewdly the Democratic party has taken the cue is shown in important nd a general alignment of the laboring men against the capitalist, | the Democrats have formed such a combination as to make not only the elec- | Rhode Island State ticket this year but also the electlon of two | 1 doubtful until a few days ago. t is another notable field where the Democratic-labor union com- n at work. In consequence Connecticut is doubtful. The Re- d for Representative at Large a man who iIs associated with the beef combination. Politicians do not thus usually fly in the | face of public sentiment unless they are actuated by the spirit of Mr. Baer of the Reading Railroad. The Democrats have made their nominations shrewdly in one district they are running an out-and-out workingman with chances of ss. The death of Representaive Russell on the eve of election has thrown of the Third District into confusion, and, in view of the senti- ment prevailing, that district may be put as doubtful. Hence, Connecticut is a doubtful State so far as Representative at large is concerned, and there is great inty about two of the distriets. 1 over the st combinations have been made between the Democrats and labor unfons. In New York State in the counties of Schenectady, Saratoga, W3 gton and Warren, where a street car strike had lasted for several | | months, workingmen have been arrayed against Republioans and Democrats have eagerly nominated active labor agitators for the Senate, for the Assembly, | for Congress and for various local offices. ‘It was in order to take advantage of | t growing sentiment of unrest among the laboring classes that Senator Hill, | st the Democratic State Convention in Saratoga, inserted in the platform his | | grotesque plank for Government ownership of the anthracite coal fields. For | | the same reason Democratic orators on Wednesday night endeavored to make John Mitchell the great popular hero of the age and put all blame for the coal strike and for everything else the public complains of on-J. Pierpont Morgan. | Once more the masses are being arrayed against the clases. 1 COAL STRIKE AN IMPORTANT FACIOR IN THE FIGHT. i This is one.of the pregnant signs of the time. It would seem to foreshadow 2 great coalition in 1904 between the Democratic party ard the socialist and la- bor elements. It would be a coalition in some respects similar to that in which the Democratic National Committee entcied in 1862, when the Populists and Democrats combined in half a dozen States in fusion on Presidential electors, the result being that the Populistic element of the party ran away with the organi- zation four years later at Chicago and nominated Willlam J. Bryan on a plat- form mpre Populistic than Democratic. o The ‘appearance of Cleveland, Olney, Carlisle and other Democrats of national prominence in the campaign this year in bebalf of the Democratic ticket is lke- ly to bring to-the support of the regular Democracy many gold Democgats, who have been either voting with the Repullicans or not voting at al last six years. 5 The Call-Herald returns show that the coal strike has been a very import- ant factor in the present campaign. If it had not been settled it is. no extrav- agance to say that the Democrats would have gained the House of Represent. | | atives by a large majority and would have carried the States of New York, Connecticut, New Jersey, Ohlo and Indlana. The settlement of the conl stute | | by President Roosevelt has had @ very gcod effect upon. the ~Republicans throughout the East and Middle West, and every report that -has been re- i ceived by The Call shows that the coal strike and trust tariff questions have i been great issues. i The beef trust and coal trust have inflamed the minds of many Republican voters, and it is by no means certain that the administration by its suits against the beef trust and its arbitration of the coal strike has ‘avolded the. im. i pending danger caused by these object lesscns on the effect of great combina- tions of capital upon prices of the necessaries of life, | There has been little discussion of Cuban reciprocity in the Bast. " In the‘ ‘ West the reciprocity issue has helped the Republicans as a corollary to the question of tariff revision. There has been absolutely no discussion of the Phil. ippine question. Imperialism was laid in its coffin before the Senmate adjourned, | and that has absolutely cut no figure in the campaign. Just as this campaign for Congress has been conducted on the 'Munn of trusts and tariff and the prosperous coudition of the country, so s it indicated ough the East. In Rhode Island, where there were street car strikes | % EASY! SENATE. ‘Table showing probable complexion United States Senate, as compared “with FIGURES SHOW PROBABLE COMPLEXION OF CONGRESS Indications That the Republicans Will Retain a Safe Work- ing Majority in Both the House and Senate. next present HOUSE. Table showing probable Houxe of Representatives, compared with the pres- ent House : complexion 5Sth Cong. | cercmaq Conneetlcut . (S B O O e e ia BT R T IR ER T illinois .... (U ORI 1l during the | . IO 2 2 i New Humpsh New Jersey Pennwylvania . Rhode Island . South (Jllr‘ollnn Bt sl BER= Bee 0 K BEREE=ERE 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 ‘ 2 2 2 2z Wyoming ... Totals ............| B 1| | ihat these are lines on which the great national battle in 1904 will be fought. Republican campalgn managers in the West have conducted their canvass —_— Continued on Page 19, Column 2. ¢ ' Pres’t Cong. 2 2 TmE s e mame 2 1l z i 3 1 a3 “Legislature in doubt. Idahe may lose one Dem- ocrat and Indiana one Republican. 4 ] e & <) 5 8 N 57th Cong. MPrgsIQ [ e e 7 Arkansas . Connecticut elaware .. Florida .... ST EEE BT . - - GBS ST - oo 9 ¥ 1 i [ . & i 6 0 2 7 - - - ™ ShamLNE o o =zm i i 2 1 1 2 e 1 B 2 - - oy i nekn . - DO | | | { | | 3 2 1 1 1 4 i s [ 3 : 13 i 1 1 2 2 7 4 3 e Montana ... Nebraska .. L 0] Helmulian 1o o Bhowst mesl Ret SR AOH KNS HEH 0 D / I Bicks! Eulus South Caro! South Dakota AL oo el o - < me Cos BT g . =Sanse~Binan ;| Rauskaasman ol = - =y HORN B R W oo |ianT Zor btful districts: rth Carolina, aryland, 1; New Republican . . .| Democratic. . .| Doubtful . . .. .| 202 ‘ 201 169 156 15 1 — Names of Menin Both Parties Who Will Be Members of House of Representatives EW YORK, Oct. 24.—Below is given the Call-Her- ald’s forecast of the election by Congressional dis- tricts. The successful candidate is given wherever it is possible to predict the result, so that the epit- ome in nearly every instance will be found to constitute a ros- ter of.the House of Representatives in the Fifty-eighth Con- gress. In districts in which the result is doubtful the names of both candidates are given and marked with an asterisk: ALABAMA. (9—ALL DEMOCRATS.) 1-G. W. TAYLOR, D. A. WILEY, D. . D. CLAYTON, D. 4-S. J. BOWIE, D. 5-C. W. THOMPSON, D. 6—J. H. BANKHEAD, D. 7—J. L. BURNETT, D. 8—~WILLIAM RICHARDSON, D. 9-0. W. UNDERWOOD, D. ARKANSAS. (7—ALL DEMOCRATS.) 1—R. BRUCE MACON, D. 2—S BRUNDIDGE JR., D. —H. A. DINSMORE, D. > 4+~JOHN S. LITTLE, D. 5~CHARLES C. REID, D. 6—JOSEPH T. ROBINSON, D. 7—R. M. WALLACE, D. 1A, @—ALL REPUBLICANS) 1-J. N. GILLETTE, R. 2~FRANK L."COOMBS, R. 5—V. H. METCALF, R. 4—JULIUS KAHN, R, 5~EUGENE F. LOUD, R. 6—~JAMES C. NEEDHAM, R. 7-JAMES MeLACHLAN, R. §—M. J. DANIELS, R. COLORADO. (3—ALL DEMOCRATS.) At large—ALVIN ADAMS, D. 1—JOHN F. SHAFROTH, D. 2—JOHN C. BELL, D. CONNECTICUT. (—DOUBTFUL, 3; REPUBLICAN, 2) At large—GEORGE L. LILLEY,* R. H. S. CUMMINS* D. 1-E. S. HENRY, R. D. SPERRY, R. - 5 FRANK BRANDEGEE,’ R. JAMES H. POTTER,* D. J. HILL,* R. W. D. BISHOP* D. DELAWARE. (1~DEMOCRAT.) At large—H. M. HOUSTON, D. FLORIDA. (3~ALL DEMOCRATS.) 1-S. M. SPARKMAN, D. 2-ROBERT W. DAVIS, D. 3—WILLIAM B. LAMAR, D. GEORGIA. (H—ALL DEMOCRATS.) 1—R. E. LESTER. D. 2-JAMES M. GRIGGS, D. —E. B. LEWIS, D. 4+ WILINAM C. ADAMSON, D. 5—L. ¥. LIVINGSTON, D. 6—C. L. BARTLETT, D. 7—-J. W. MADDOX, D. 8—WILLIAM M. HOWARD, D. 9—F. C. TATE, D. 10—7T. W. HARDWICK, D. 11-WILLIAM G. BRANTLEY, D. IDAHO. (1—REPUBLICAN.) At large—BURTON L. FRENCH, R. ILLINOIS. (25~REPUBLICANS, 15;DEMOCRATS, 6.) 1-MARTIN B. MADDEN, R. 2-JAMES R. MANN, R. 3-WILLIAM W. WILSON, R. 4 GEORGE P. FOSTER, D. 5 JAMES McANDREWS, D. 6—WILLIAM LORIMER,* R. A. C. DURBOROW,* D. 7-PHILIP KNOPF, R. $—WILLIAM F. MAHONEY, D 9 G. E. FOSS, R. 10—H. 8. BOUTELL, R. 11—H. M. SN. R. : —CHARLES E. FULLER, R. 12—R. R. HITT, R. 1i-B. F. MARSH, R. 15—GEORGE W. PRINCE, R. 16—J. V. GRAFF,* R. J. M. NEIHAUS,* D. 17—J. A. STERLING, R. 18-J. G. CANNON, R. 19—V. WARNER, R. 20—H. T. RAINEY, D. 21-B. F." CALDWELL, D. 2W. A, RODENBERG,* R. ¥. 3. KERN,* D. 2-J. B.-CROWLEY, D. 2%—P. T. CHAPMAN,* R. J. R. WILLIAMS,* D. ‘ZS-——GEDRGE ‘W. SMITH, R. INDIANA. (13—-REPUBLICANS, 8; DEMOCRATS, 5.) 1—J. W. SPENCER, D. 2—-R. W. MIERS, D. 3-WILLIAM T. ZENOR, D. 4—F. M. GRIFFITH, D. 5—B. 8. HOLLIDAY, R. 6—JAMES E. WATSON, R. 7—JESSE OVERSTREET, R. $—~GEORGE W. CROMER, R. 9—C. B. LANDIS, R. 10—E. D. CRUMPACKER, R. 11-FRED K. LANDIS, R. 12—J. M. ROBINSON, D. 13—A. L. BRICK; R. IOWA. (11—REPUBLICANS, 10; DR.OVBTF'UL, 1) 1-THOMAS HEDGES, 2-WILLIAM HOFFMAN * R. MARTIN J. WANE,* D. 3-B. P. BIRDSALL, R. 4—G. N. HAUGEN, R. 5—R. G. COUSINS, R. 6—JOHN F. LACEY, R. 7—J. A. °T. HULL, R. §~W. P. HEPBURN, R. 9—W. I. SMITH, R. 10—J. P. CONNER, R. 11—L. THOMAS, R. KANSAS. (S—REPUBLICANS, 7; DEMOCRATS, 1) At Large—C. F. SCOTT, R. 1-CHARLES CURTIS, R. 2—J. D. BOWERSOCK, R. 3—P. P. CAMPBELL, R. 4+-J. M. MILLER, R. 5—W. A. CALDERHEAD, R 6—C. M. COLE, D. -CHESTER 1. LONG, R. KENTU cx& . (I1 — DEMOCRATS, 10; REPUBLI- 1) 1-OLLIE .fi%, 2—-0. A. STANLEY, D. :—JOHN S. RHEA, D. 4-DAVID H. SMITH, D. 5-SWANGER SHERLEY, D. 6—N. L. GOOCH, D> 7—SOUTH TRIMBLE, D. 8-G. G. GILBERT, D. 9—JAMES N. KEHOE, D. 10—F. A. HOPKINS, D. 11-VINCENT BOREING, R LOUISIANA. (T—ALL DEMOCRATS.; 1-ADOLPH MEYER, D. 2-R. C. DAVEY; D. 3-R. F. BROUSSARD, D. 4+—PHANOR BREAZEALE, D. 5—J. E. RANSDELL, D. 6—8. M. ROBERTSON, D 7—A. P. PUJOL, D. MAINE. (4—ALL REPUBLICANS.) 1—-AMOS L. ALLEN, R. 2—C. E. LITTLEFIELD, R. 3—-E. C. BURLEIGH, R. 4+-LLEWELLYN POWERS, R. MARYLAND. (-~REPUBLICANS, 3; DEMOCRATS, 2: DOUBTFUL, 1) 1-WILLIAM H. JACKSON,* R. J. E. ELLEGOOD,* D. 2—J. F. C. TALBOTT, D. 3-F. C. WACHTER, R. 4-J. W. DENNY, D. 5-8. E. MUDD, R. 6—~GEORGE E. PEARRE, R. MASSACHUSETTS. (4—REPUBLICANS, 11; DEMOCRATS, 2; DOUBTFUL, 1) 1-G. P. LAWRENCE, R. 2—F. H. GILLETT, R. —R. B. DODGE JR.* R. J. RTHAYER,* D. 4-C. Q. TIRRELL, R. 5—~BUTLER AMES, R. 6—A. P. GARDNER, R. i—E. W. ROBERTS, R. 8—8. W. McCALL, R 9—J. A. CONROY, D. 10—-W. S. McNARY, D. 11-EUGENE N. FO! 12-8. L. POWERS, R. 13-W. S. GREENE, R. 1+W. C. LOVERING, R. MICHIGAN. (12-REPUBLICANS, 11; DOUBTFUL, L) 1-J. B. CORLISS,* R. ALFRED LEUCKING,* D. 2—-C. E. POWNSEND, R. 3-WASHINGTON GARDNER, R 4 E. L. HAMILTON, R. 5~W. ALDEN SMITH, R. 6-SAMUEL W. SMITH, R. T7-HENRY McMORAN, R. 8—J. W. FORDNEY, R. 9—R. P. BISHOP :R. 1-GEORGE A. LOUD, R. 11—A. B. DARRAGH, R. 12-H. 0. YOUNG, R. MINNESOTA. (3—ALL REPUBLICANS.) 1-J. A. TAWNEY, R. 2-J. T. McCLEARY, R. 3—C. R. DAVIS, R. 4—F. C. STEVENS, R. 5-JAMES FLETCHER, R. 6—C. B. BUCKMAN, R. 7—0. J. VOLSTEAD, R. 8—J. ADAM BEDE, R. 9—H. STEENERSON, R. (S—ALL DEMOCRATS.) 1-E. 8. CANDLER JR., D. 2-THOMAS SPIGHT, D. 3—B. G. HUMPHREYS, D. 4—W. 8. HIEL, D. 5—A. M. BYRD, D. #—E. J. BOWERS, D. 7—F. A. McLAIN, D. 8—J. S. WILLIAMS, D. (l&-l‘EPL'BLlCA:S DEHO(fRAfl ") I- —J. T. LLOYD, D. . 2—WILLIAM W. RUCKER, D, 3-JOHN DOUGHERTY, D. . 4=C. F. COCHRAN, D. 5—WILLIAM S. COWHERD, D. 6—D. A. DE ARMOND, D. 7—C. W. HAMLIN, D. $-D. W. SHACKLEFORD, D, 9—-CHAMP CLARK, D. | Continued on Page 18, Column 2.