Evening Star Newspaper, November 5, 1892, Page 7

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EVENING STAR:*WASHINGTON. D. C.. SATURDAY, TUESDAY'SELECTION Spain Tickets to Be Voted and Fig- Ts t Be Considered. eee States in Which the Naticnal Con- test Will Be Decided. CLAIMS MADE BY ALL SIDES. eco TES An Uunstal Degree of Uncertainty as to the Outcome of the Straggle. THE ELECTORAL VOTE.| Te Pee ‘The Many Phases of the Approaching Con- test at the Polls—An Analysis of Past Votes im All the States—The Otticers to Be Voted For—Tables That Will Be Interesting to Keep for Reference. a HE PRESIDENT AND Vice President of the United States, 348 Rep- resentatives in Con- gress and a large num- ber of state officers will be elected on Tuesday next. The cong: sional elections in Ore- Maine and Ver- gon, mont have already oc- curred eight re- publicans have been elected to the Fifty- states have al- nd legislatures eorgia, Louisi Island and Ver- third Congress. The following ready chosen their state officers Alabama, Arkarsas, Florida. ana, Maine, Oregon, Rhode mont. There are four preridential tickets in the feld. REPUBLICAN. For President—Benjamin Harrison of In-| diana. For Vice President—-Whitelaw Reid of New York. DEMocRaTic. For President—Grover Cleveland of New York. For Vice President—Adlai E. Stevenson of Linoia. i PEOPLE'S. For President —James B. Weaver of Iowa. For Vice President—James G. Field of Vir- ginia, PROMTBITIONIST. For President- John Bidwell of California. For Vice President—James B. Cranfill of Texas. + In Michigan only will there be any change in | 3, the method of choosing presidential electors. | In that state one will be elected by the vote of | the western half of tue state, one by the east- ern haif and one in each of the twelve congres- sional districts. ELECTORAL VOTE AND cond The following table shows the ele: and the number of Representatives in Congress each state is entitled to: Con Electors, ect 3 3 ll Be L B B Rl 10 s a | « 78 6 4 s 6 Bb 14 is Fd 3 wz 4 3 3 ‘ Ps #, | ating Batituce te! Fa] CLAIMS OF BoTH SIDES. | The following table shows the states which the republicans are counting on: Tn addition to which th. York as probable. Tue democrats are « Qleveiand by the votes of tang on the election of | CONSIDERED AS DownTFEL. States claimed by party or the other to | be im doubt are ‘Tota : = Ip additio. to this there is to how the Michigan voto will be divided between the two parties. THE SENATE. The terms of twenty-nine Senators expire on the $4 of next March. Four of these Daniel (Virginia). George | Mississippi) and Gorman (Maryland). democrats, and Sherman, repub- liean—have already been re-clected. Of the twenty-five to be elected seventeen are repub- licens, eight are demscrata, Im the senate ¢ are now forty-seven republicans, thirty-nine democrats and two Rirepamces are reasonably sure of elect- following: Connecticut . . Pepnsyivania Wyoming .... a ‘a3 1 1 1 1 1 a The democrats are reasonably sure of electing the following: <a a are: 1k. 1k. 1k 1k 1k 1k ik 1 1D. 1 1k. _ x 12 two @mocratic Senators | ees! | Congressmen. Its vote in recent years has been: | 1800—Governor. | seo Con tesa | legislature, an 1svu- republicans to organize without the assis tance of one of the alli liance Senators or the Vice President. By a of five the democrats would tie the combined opposition, leaving the casting vote with the Vice President. AN UNUSUAL DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY. The conditions during the campaign bave been regarded as so unusual that almost any | result out of the ordinary has been looked on possible and the struggle has bee~ spread r almost the whole country. With the elec- tion almost at hand the political prophets bave | become more conservative, but they still have | lingering feeling that something unexpected will happen, and are not © to have their Jadgment influenced by past experiences. The | democratic hopes of success in states hereto- i] tions of "90, at which they were victorious in unexpected quarters. For use by way of reference on ‘lection tions is printed, showing the officers to be chosen i@ the various states, the votes at recent elections and giving explanatory comments based upon these figures in respect to some of | the states claimed to be doubtful in the evi- dence of these figures. ALABAMA. In Alabama will be elected only the electors | and Congressmen. The vote at the last presi- dential election and in "90 stood: 1888. President 1x00, Governor... ‘The only election figures of real significance in Alnbama, those developed by the guberna- torial election of 1892. are not available. Arkansas will electelectors and Congresemen. | Its vote in '88, ‘90 and "92 stoo: Dem. Rep. LR. Prok, | 1888. President $5,902 50.452 10,613 GL? 1880. Governor 108,207 85,151 “ 1S892..Governot ...... 90,115 3,644 31177 1.310 CALIFORNIA. California will elect presidential electors and Congressmen and legislature, which will elect a United States Senator, and vote upon five pro- | posed amendments to its constitution. These | | amendments extend the biennial sessions of the legislature to 100 days: authorize the extension | of city, coanty and district bonds from twenty | to forty years; increase the salary of the licutenant’ governor to $4,000 a vear, with mileage, and make him inspector of ali state institutions: limit appropriation bills (except the general appropriation bill and the deficiency bill) toa single item, and empower the gover- nor to veto specific items in the deficiency bill, as he may do now in the general appropriation | bill; and provide for the chartering of towns containing not less than 3,500 inhabitants as cities. The people of California will also vote upon four acts submitted by the legislature at its last session. The first ascertains their will upon the subject of the election of United States Senators by direct vote of the people; | the second anthorizes a fund for the erection of a depot in San Francisco at a cost | not exceeding $600,000; the third ascertains the ul of the people upon the subject of requiring an educational qualification for voters, and the fourt provides for refunding the state debt. | The vote of the state in '89 and °90 was: Dem. S President ........117. 729 0). Governor. 118,001 COLORADO. Colorado will elect presidential electors, Con- gressmen, governor and other state officers and Candidates for governor—Joseph . Helm, repub- ipp, | legislature. H. Maupin, democrat; Joseph | lican: Da | prohibition, j H. Waite, people's: John Its vote in "83 and "90 was: De 7 : | 1885. President... | 1300. Con =ress Connecticut will elect presidential electors, Congressmen, governor and other state officers and legislature, which will elect a United States Senator. Candidates for governor—Luzon B. Morris, democrat; Samuel E. Merwin, republi- can: C. M. Ripley, people's; Edwin P. Augur, prohibitionist. Repnbl De Pro} ¥ 1400 Je in 180 was 18,089 legs than in L888. ratic plurality in 1S90 was 3,345 more than in sss DELAWARE. Delaware will elect presidential electors, one Congressman and legislature, which wiil elect a United States Senator. Its vote in recen‘ years has been: Dem. SRS _ President 16413 1800 —Governor. 17,801 FLORIDA. Florida will elect presidential electors and | Rep. Pro. 1885_President 657 417 Pron. iso. woe Georgia will elect presidential electors and Congressmen. Its vote in recent years has been: Rep, Ph 40. 2.808 ‘No opposition. ISSR_President. IDAKO. Idaho will elect presidential electors, one Con- gressinan, governor and other state officers and legislature. Candidates for governor—John M. Burke, democrat; William J. MeConnell, repub- lican; Andrew J. Crook, people's. Its vote in 1390 Was: 18°0- Governor ILLINOIS. Miinois will elect presidential electors, Con- Sressmen, governor and other state officers and vote upon a proposed amend- ment to the constitution of the state whickgives the legis! e power to propose amendments to articles of the constitution at the same sensi dates for governor—Jobn P. Altgeld, democrat: John W. Fifer, republican; Nathan’ M. Barnett, people's; Robert R. Link, prohubitionist. ea 7 ‘Treasurer—Repub'ican vote. Dem erate or Deuiceratic plurality. Total vote = 1885—President— Harrison Republican pit Total vote...........0--- a Rey vote in 1846 was 48, 44 ! Jess than in TASS, De vote in 1890, 441 less than in 1888. Total vote in 1800 was ¢ Jess than in 1888. INDIANA. Indiana will elect presidential electors, Con- gressmen, governor and other state officers and legisiature, which will elect a United States Senator. "Candidates for governor: Claude s. democrat; Ira J. Chase, republican; Leroy Templeton, people's; Aaron Worth, pro- hibition. bor vote im 1800 was 14,650 more than in 1883. otal vote in 1SUQ was 59, 300 less than in 1858. 10WA. Towa will elect presidential electors, Con- gressmen and minor state officers. Candidates | for secretary of state: J. H. MeConlogue, dem- ocrat: W. M. McFarland, republican; Edward | H. Gillette, people's; 8. "H. Taft, prohibition, | 1891—Governor—Wheeler, rep....... 199.373. ‘Botes, dem. * ea Dem. plurality. 210 Total vote. ae 18K8—President— Harrison, 1.5, ar eid democrats would render it impossible for the | | fore republican are based chiefly upon the elec- | CHANCES OF CANDIDATES. night the following review of Tuesday's clec- | j Louisiana. | Louisiana will elect presidential electors and he elections has been: 1888. .Geverno ISSS.. President. 1892. Govern Maine will elect presidential electors. The vote of the state in recent elections has been as congressmen. The vote of the state in recent | hye ba oie | relate ‘to the | i and assembly, which, with the Senate electod last year, will elect a United States Senator. New York will also vote upon three amendments to the constitution of For chief judge the democrata and republicans have nominated Charles Andrews. The other andidates are: Lawrence J. McPuriin, peo- ple’s; Walter Farrington, probibitionist: Frank Geran, socialist, wera of the two bouses of the legislature and transfer from the legislature to | the courts the power to settle contested elec- | tion cases: authorize the rale of the salt works | in Onondaga county belonging to the state and follows—that for governor the present year is increase the number of the supreme court not official, as it will not be canvassed by the | judges by ten, The vote of the state in recent legislature until its meeting in January next: Iss Tse8 1890. 1802... MARYLAND. Maryland will elect presidential electors and Congressmen. The vote of the state in '88 and “91 was: | ass rnin gts ete | ison: 108.530 78,088 5,120 } MASSACHUSETTS. Massachusetts will elect presidential electors, | Congressmen, governor and other state officers and legislature, which will elect a United States | Senator. Candidates for governor: William E. Russell, democrat; William H. Haile, republi- can; Henry Winn, people's; Wolcott’ Hamlin, | prohibitionist. 1891—Governor—Brackett, Rep. Russell. dem... 1888—President—Harrison Cleveland. Republican Total vote, Republican vote in 1891 wa Detwocratic vote in 189] w-s Gi ‘Total vote in 1501 was 72,844 less MICHIGAN. Michigan will elect presidential electors, Con- gressmen, governor and other etate officers and legislature, which will elect a United States Senator. Candidates for governor—Allen B. Morse, democrat; John T. Rich, republican; John W. Ewing, people's; John Russell, pre: hibitionist. The vote of the state in '88 and ‘90 was: & SST Jess than in 1888. snore than in 1888. than in 1888.5 ULL. | Prob. 1888... President. 4.555 20,504 1890. 'Governor. -: 13,198 28,051 MINNESOTA, Minnesota will elect presidential electors, Congressmen, governor and other state officers and legislature, which will clect a United States Senator. The state will also vote upon two proposed amendments to the constitution of the state. Candidates for governor—Daniel W. Lawler, democrat; Knute Nelson, republican. Wm. J. Dean, probibitionist. The first pro- osed amendment prohibits special legislation Fercounties, cities ‘and villages: the other pro- vides for a tax upon the gross earnings of rail- road, express and insurance companies doing business in the state. and upon the product of mines. The vote of the state in ’83 and ‘90 was: De: LR Pron. 1888... President... 2 L067 15,311 1890. .Governo-... $5,844 88,111 58g 8,424 Mississippi will elect presidential el@ptors and Congresemen. The vote of the state In recent years has bee! ‘ Der Rep. 1888. President fed 30,06 1889" ‘Governor. 84/929 No opposition. MissouRr. ‘Missouri will elect presidential electors, Con- gressmen, governor and other state officers and legislature, which will choose a United States Senator. for governor—William J. Stone, democrat; William Warner, republicai Leverett Leonard, people's; John Sobieski, prohibitionist. The vote of the state in recent élections has been: Dem. Rep. U.L. Proh. 1888. President. 1.84 18,589 4.540 TSO. Sup. Judge 250,011 188\223 25,114 “Oss MONTANA. Montana will elect presidential electors, one Congressman, governor and other state officers and legislature, which will clect a United States Senator. It will ulso decide the permanent lo- cation of the state capital by the popular vote and vote upon a proposed amendment to the constitution of the state, which relates to the terms of county commissioners. Candidates for governor: Timothy E. Collins, democrat; John E. Richards, republican; William Ken- nedy, people's; J. M. Waters, probibitionis! 1800—-Ccngress—Republican vote. Democratic vote...)! Democratic plurality ‘Total vote. 1888—Congress—Delerate. republican NEBRASKA. Nebraska will elect presidential electors, Con- greesmen, governor and other state officers and legislature, which will elect a United States Senator. It will vote upon two proposed amendments to the constitution of the state. ‘andidates for governor: J. Sterling Morton, democrat; Lorenzo Crounse, republican; Chas, H. Van Wek, people’s; C. E. Bentley, probibi- tionist. One of the proposed amendments creates a board of railroad commissioners. to be elected by the people, and the other relates to the investment of the school fund. 1800—Governor—Richards. rep. Bord. dem. Powers, ps Dem. piura ‘Total Vote. 1883—President—Harriscn. Gieveland Folate jess than in 1888. ih 18S, in 1890 was 70,187 more than Total vote in 1890 was 11,458 more than in 1883. In 1891, with a total vote of but 157,050, the republicans elected the supreme court judge by a majority of 8,136, the republican vote be- ing 5.116 larger than that of Boyd for governor im 1890. NEVADA. Nevada will elect presidential electors, one Congressmen, judge of the supreme court and legislature, which will elect a United State Senator. For supreme judge the democrats renominated C. H. Belknap. The republican state convention decided to make no nomina- tion against him. The vote of the state in re- cent elections has been: mt aa NEW HAMPSHIRE. New'Hampshire will elect presidential elec- tors, Congressmen, governor and legislature. Candidates for governor: Luther F, McKinney, democrat; Jobn B. Smith, republican; William 0. Noch, people's; Edgar L. Car, probibitionist. (alps ‘the state in recent elections has mn: NEW JERSEY. New Jersey will elect presidential electors, Congressmen, governor and legislature, which will elect a United States Senator. for governor Candidates George T. Werts, democrat; John Kean, jr., republican; Benjamin Bird, people's; Thomas J. Kennedy, prohibitionist; George B. Keim, socialist. 1800—For Congress—Total republican vote. . ‘democratic vote. prohibition vote. Demoevatic prurality: ‘Total vote. 1880—For Governor—Kepublican. Prohibit Demoer: tic ‘otal vote. ‘1888—For President--Harrison. Cleveland. Democratic piarality mveratie Total vo.e. Le Rep) fn 289) was 20,490 lens than jn 1 Dennocratic wes tn Huo was 24 090 lve han Teo Prohibition vote in 1800 was. more than in 1888. ‘Total vote in 1890 was 52,001 jess than in 1888. Republican vote in 188 was 1,352 less than in i Dem cratic vote in was 13.248 leas than in Prohibition vote in 1589 was 1,051 less than in 1888. Fotal vote in 1860 was 34.051 Tess than in 1868. Deporte plurality in 189) was 6,460 more than in Bots, ‘Vote pa th "wes Thore than 1m }S88, vote in NUL was 77,712 ‘Total Vote in 1801 was 10.022 more than im 1888. j KANSAS. | Kansas will elect presidential electors, Con- | gressmen, governor and other state officers and legislature, which will elect a United States | Senator. ‘The candidates for governor are: Loraine D. Lewelling. people's and democratic fusion: Abrabam W. Sanith, republican, and. 1. 0. Pickering, probibitionist. vote of the | State in recent elections bas resulted: Cr ts 18s apBs Om 1890. Governor... 71.357 115.085 108,972 1.230 | KENTUCKY. | Kentucky will elect presidential electors and Congresemen. The vote of the state in recent _ elections has been i 116,087 Demecratic plurality in 1880 was 7,104 more than in NORTH CAROLINA. North Carolina will elect presidential electors, Congressmen, governor and other state officers and legislature. Candidates for governor: Elias Carr, democrat; David M. Furches, republican; W. P. Exum, people's; James McPherson Tem- pleton, prohibitionist. vote in 1800 was 94,707 less ‘than in See ‘NEW YoRE. New York will elect electors,Con- Gresemen, chief judge of the court of appeals | of 22,195. In '90 the Prob, | elections has been: Dem. Re: UL, Pron 18°8..Presid-nt....635,9%5 650, os i | TSRS. .Governor.....659.464 631.293 3.34) 30.215 1BOL: <Governor....52,504 534.955 14651 80.253 | A thorough review of New York's past elec- tions and the bearing of their figures upon the | present situation was printed in Tux Stan of October 18, H DAKOTA. North Dakota will elect presidential electors, one Congressman, governor and other state officers and legislature, which will elect a United States Senator. Candidates for gov- enor: F.C. Collins, democrat; Andrew H. | Burke. republican; E.C. D. Shortridge, peo- ple’s; Roger Allen, prohibitionist. The vote of the state im recent elections has been: De Rep. People’s. 1858. Coneressman BY oe 2 re ‘Congress: a1 ; 1800. (Governor. TEGO? T8083 aii ‘onto. Ohio will elect presidential electors, Con- gressmen and minor state officers. Candidates for secretary of state: Wm. A. Taylor, demo- grat; Samuel M. Taylor, republican; Solon C. Thayer, people's; George L. Case, prohibition ist. The vote of'the state in recent elections has been: 1888, Bt Prob. President ‘Governor. Oregon will choose only presidential electors. 1890—For Governor—Totsl republican vote. ‘Totsl dem ratic vote. majority. 786 | 1888—For President PENNSYLVANIA. Pennsylvania will elect presidential electors, Congressmen, justice of the supreme court and legislature, which will elect a United States Senator. Candidates for justice: Christopher Heydrick, democrat; John Dean, republican; Coler B. McCombs, people's; Atos Briggs, pro- hibitionist. The vote of the state in recent elections has been: 1888. President 1860. Governor 1891. “Auditor .. Dem, $46, Res RHODE ISLAND. Rhode Island will elect presidential electors and Congressmen and decide whether a loan to raise money for the erection of a new state house shall be authorized. The vote of the state in recent elections has been: Ren. 1888. . President 21.959 1890. Governor 1891. Governor 1892..Governo: Dem. ive Ind. uf x SOUTH CAROLINA. South Carolina will elect presidential electors, Congressmen, governor and other state officers and legislature. Candidates for governor: John C. Sheppard, democrat; Benjamin R. Till- man, alilance democrat. The vote of the state in recent elections has been: Re) 13,736 1888. President. “Governor”: SOUTH DAKOBA. South Dakota will elect presidential electors, Congressmen, governor and other state officers and legislature. Candidates for governor: Peter Couchman, democrat; C. H. Sheldon, republi- can: Abraham L. Van Osdel, people's. The vote of the state in recent elections bas been: 1598.60 Reo hy 1800. .Governor. Ties SAAS? 2a,c0 TENNESSEE. ‘Tennessee will elect presidential electors,Con- gresemen, governor and legislature, which will elect a United States Senator. Candidates for governor: Peter Tarney, democrat; George W. Winsted, republican; Johu P. Buchanan, inde- pendent democrat; Edward H. East, prohibi- tionist. The vote of the state in recent elec- Texas will elect presidential elector, Con- gressmen, governor and other state officers and legislature, which will elect a United States Senator. Candidates for governo Hogg, democrat; George Clark, i democrat, ii Houston, “lily Nugent, people's; Rufus . Burleson, probibi- tionist. The vote of the state in recent elec- tions has been: 1888. .President LR. 29, 1890: ‘Governor. | Proh. VERMONT. Vermont will elect presidential electors, Re- cent votes have been: Rep, Proh 1889. .President 192 1,460 IK. “Go S402 U16L Bol = 1525 Virginia will elect presidential electors ‘and Congressmen. The vote of the state in recent years has been: 1888..President . 189. (Governor: WASHINGTON. Washington will elect presidential electors, Congressmen, governor and other state officers aud legislature, which will elect a United States Senator. The people will also vote upon a proposed amendment to the con- titution raising the constitutional limit of the state's (aire, deo} Candidates for governor: Henry J. Snively, democrat; John H. McGraw, republican; C. W. Young, ‘people's; Roger S. Greene, prohibitionist, “Recent votes” have mn: Dem. Ren. Froh. 168. .Govermor ecb Bh BHTIL ABVV..C 2,831 2y, 150 2,819 WEST VIRGINIA. West Virginia will elect presidential electors, Congresemen, governor and other state officers and legislature, which will elect a United States Senator. Candidates for governo McCorkle, democrat; Thomas E. , repub- lican; James Bassell, people's; Frank Burt, pro- bibitionist. 1890—Supreme Court— Republican vote. 1888—For President—Harriton Cuevel Republican vote in 1890 was 8,167 less than in 1888. Democratic vote in 1890 was 332 less than in 1888. ‘Total Vote in 1800 was 8,000 iess than in 1588. Democratic plurality tn 1800 wis 7,785 mors than in WISCONSIN. Wisconsin will elect presidential electors, Congressmen, governor and other state off- cers and legislature, which will elect a United States Senator, It will also vote upon a pro- posed amendment to the constitution of the state prohibiting special legislation for city charters, leaving such to be granted under the Geocral law, | Candidates for avernor « democrat; 5 lia: people's; Thomas C. Hich- C.M. Butt, people's; Thomas C. mond, probibitionist. u ce Democratic plurality. Total vote» 1888_President—Harrison . Repablieaa’piaral Total vote see Republican vote in 1: Was 44.485 leas than Democratic vote in 1! 5, REN Wind eae ena wrostxa. Wyoming will elect presidential electors, one Congressman, governor, judge of the supreme court and legislature, which will elect a United States Senator. Candidates for : John E. Osborne, democrat ‘and people's; Edward Eev!| The proposed amendments | 388 | 7,149 plurality in @ total vote of 303,741. 7 VEE 892-SIXTEEN PAGES. | State by a plurality of 9,847. This victory was | electoral college. The from Troy and — Page. He says be bas not a4 due to local canses, chiefly the dissatisfaction | Riad bows greed. qackeaay © ae oe ‘a> oo: of the German Lutherans with schoo! legisin- | anxiety to the democrats, for these are strong eupporte hie and asks oll bie friends to do ao. tioa, for which the republicans were responsi- | 4) q | Gemocratic cities, and Chairman Mi , the are remarkably even in the two con- | ble. But the victory is deprived of much of | 8 Trey and te oe mmesanaie comeniaten, seston | qrestional districts, Tephem | the significance that migh: otherwise be at- at Troy and is supposed to be all powerful in finds Lieut Gor. Bull « formidable opponent, | tached to it by the fact tha:, hough they had a a | democratic ranks there. In Albany there sree | aggressive end popular. Congrearman Page | plurality, the deraoczats showed no gain in ; | &n actual off in the registration of over | realizes that he will have no Yotes to waste if their total vote. On the contrary, their total | Ty tinting aq - 4,000 votesand in Tros of 1.700, In New Yorkeity | be is to retain his seat against the great vote was 16.441 higher tha: that given Cleve- , HA hia! BS HN 0 OW Hf pt the general cetimate on the result of the | seis Series citer gest to to chvong {land in 1888. The plurality came of a great | tration was from 10.000 to 20,000 above the fig- | in district either party is the stronger, falling off of tho republican vote, or if they | i ures obtained, but it would be remarkable if with the chances nel gedued, republican votes’ a. greater tion Will eh DRIFT OF THE RETTIG. #0 evenly balanced both went one way |Rumber “of democrats failed to” vote. It is observed, however, that up to the PREDICTIONS DIFFICULT. More than 45,000 republicans who voted . “ bovendb amr mansah tried for Harrison in "88 failed to vote for the | pride nprpbeccr taggin er cae aa Pasegy esha —o wns tet oe republican candidate for treasurer in ‘90. In| —_— the drift of opinion, as indicated by the betting | Some form in gro the total vote cast there wasa falling off of sentiment. Tax STR correspondent called at | for the first time in the choice of presidential | 71,548 votes. Under ordinary conditions the the Hoffman House today and made inquiry | electors, togetber with the doubt whether the | Festoration of the vote this year 10. the total of | About the betting. revolution of 1890 was more than an '88 might be expected to restore to the republi- | “I stand ready to bet $20,000,” said Mr. Ed-| makes political predictions dificult this year. caus their majority. This might not neces. wards, the clerk at that hotel, “at the rate of | On paper, however, it is far more easy to figare | sarily follow, and the democrats expect to hold | —_—___ $1,000 to $700 that Cleveland will carry New | out s viciory for Harrison in all of the | a part of the German vote, besides receiving | York state, This money has been left with sme | bis defeat in wny. heir own full vote. In ail ordinary calcula- | “i i to be bet and anybody who wants to cover > - | tions, however, they ‘could hardiy’ expect to | HHect of the Decreased Registration proposition can do oa WISCONSIN, have a plurality on a fall vote. The increased on the Two Parti “What about the general result, are you bet- Tegistration in Chicago, amounting to about ‘o Parties ting on that?” The Ontiook for the Republicans Growing ,000. puts anew element into the calcula- saat < The only answer to thiswas a shake of the! - Brighter as Election Approaches. tion. It might naturally be expected to ine ud - | crease the republican majority of ‘8. On a re- duced vote the democrats carried Cook's county in 90 bya plurality of 6,760. In ’88, ona full vote Harrison carried this county by 804. If the percentage of "88 could be counted onto hold the increased registration would greatly increase the republican majority. The democrats claim, however, that this increased registration is due to their efforts chiefly, and | that 75per cent of it is democrat: If this claim were well founded it would give them the state. TOWA, OREGON NEBRASKA. In Towa, Oregon and Nebraska the situation Mas exactly the reverse of that in linois in '90. The democrats carried those two states ona considerably increased vote, and in Nebraska the republicans had the lowest vote of the three parties in the field. In ‘88, with a total vote of 202,632, Mr. Harri- son had a plurality of 27,873, his “vote being 108,425 against 80,552 for Cleveland. In °90, | With the total yote increased to 214,090, Boyd, democrat, was elected governor by a plurality of 1,144. Yet Boyd's vote was 9,222 less than that for Cleveland in °88, This paradox was due to the fact that Powers, the populist candidate in '90, received 70,187 votes, most of which came from the re- publicans, reducing the republican vote to 68,878. ; In "91, there then being but two candidates in the field, the republicans elected the judge of the supreme court by a majority of 3,136 in 8 total vote of 157,030. At this election the re- publican candidage for judge got 5,116 more votes than were cast for Boyd for governor the year before. These figures give no evi- dence of an increase of the democratic vote, but indicate that the jfopulists, bavinj second largest vote, may defeat the republicans by either running a separate ticket or by fusing with the democrats. With three tickets in the field the democrats might hope to have a plurality, calculating upon the result in 90. The republicans are placed at a great disad- vantage with the populist vote aguinst them. In Towa in "91 ihe vote cast for governor was 16,022 heavier than that for President in '88. Harrison's plurality in "88 was 31,721, while Boies’ iad a plurality of 8,216 in $i. ‘There was a heavy falling off in the republican vote, as well as an increase in the democratic. Boies got 27,712 more votes than Cleveland, but still lacked 4,009 of the number cast for Harrison, Boies’ election was a clean-cut victory over the republicans. The republican vote was reduced 12,225 votes, all of which went to Boies, and, of the increase of 16,022 in the total vote over ‘88, he got ail but about 535. If theee figures could be relied on as indicating the sentiment of the state, the democrats might regard a full vote as the only essential to their carrying the state this year. In Oregon the total vote was 72,705 in ‘90 against 61,05 in "88, and nearly the entire in- crease went to the democrats. Harrison car- ried the state by 6,769 plurality. Pennoyer, the democratic candidate for governor in "90, was elected by a plurality of 5,188. Harrison’ Vote in °88 was 33,291, Cleveland's was 26,522, while Pennoyer's in'90 was 38,919. But Thomp- son, the republican candidate in °90, lost nu votes which Harrison got in '88. On ‘the con- trary, he got 495 more votes than Harrison, showing a clear gain of more than ten thousand new votes for the democrats. Since that elec- tion Pennoyer has gone over to the yple’s party and the republicans may regain the state through a division of the opposition though they get no more than Thompson's vote, which exceeded Harrison's, and was but 46.47 per cent of the vote of the state. Towa, Oregon and Nebraska stand out as conspicuous exceptions to the rule as to re- publican states carried by the democrats in '90. MASSACHUSETTS. While the vote by which Russell was elected governor of Massachusetts in '91 was 6,127 larger than that cast for Cleveland in ’68é# was 25,910 less than Harrison's vote, and the total vote in ’91 was 22,844 less than in "88, The vote for Brackett, republican candidate in ‘91, was 32,37 less than that for Harrison in "83. These figures can hardly give the democrats much grounds for the expectation of victory when a full vote is cast. WiScoNsIN. In Wisconsin the democratic victory of '90 was won under conditions similar to those in Illi- nois the same year, the school question influ- encing the German vote in fayor of the demo- crats. An analysis of the vote, however, is more favorable to the democrats, as Peck got 5,156 more votes in '00 than Cleveland got in "88, though 16,165 less than were cast for Harrison. ‘The total vote cast in °90 was 55,465 less than in 88, and_the falling off of the republican vote was 44.485. Of this latter number 5,136 voted for Peck. 8 that there were 39,329 republican and 16,136 democratic voters who did not go to the polls. If all these stay-at-homes should come out thie time and the democrats should hold the 5.156 German votes Peck received in °90 they would lack but 29 of reaching the vote of Mr. Harrison in ’88. This brings the state very close, with a world of possibilities, and Wisconsin ' may well be considered a doubtful state. WEST VBRGINIA. There is very little significance in the figures as to West Virginia except that they indicate that the Tepublican chances in the state in- crease with the increase of the total vote. The democrats carried the state in "90 by a plurality of 8,337, but this vote was 382 less than in '8S, when their majority was but 552, and the total vote in '90 was 8,669 less than in '88, showing a stay-at-home republican vote of 8,167. An in- creased vote this year over '88 ‘might be ex- pected to give the state to the republicans, INDIANA. In '90 the democrats carried Indiana by a ma. jority of 19,579, but their vote was 27,132 less than Cleveland got in ‘88, and the republican vote fell off 49,059. ‘The total vote was 59,306 leas than in ’88, Between the two great parties 16,885 votes were lost to the prohibitionists and populists. ‘The Inbor candidate for President in ’88 got but 2,694 votes. In '90 the‘populist candidate for secretary of state got 17,354. The pro- hibitionists ‘in °83 cast 9.881 votes and in '90 12,106. It is fair to assume that most of these votes came from the republicans, since the re- publican failing off was much greater than that of the democrate, As heavy a prohibition and opulist vote on Tuesday would probably make Folisne “safe for Cleveland. ‘The re ublicans are hoping that the populist vote will be largely confined to the southern part of the state, in which case a strong showing of the third party will do most damage to the democrats. Ina total vote of 40,014 the republicans had a plu- rality of 4.978 in Montana in '88, In ‘90 the democrats carried the state by 283 plurality in a total vote of 31,090, The democratic vote in °90 was 1,949 Jess’ than in "88, so that there is feally no significance to the victory. NEW JERSEY. ‘The democrats carried New Jersey in '88 by In'89 they elected their governor by a plurality of es in a total voto of 269,090, god in 90 their jurality for Congress was 13,609 in a total vote ‘of 251,650. 5 conxgcticur, The figures on Connecticut prove nothing,ex- cept thaton a full vote the state is very close. Cleveland's majority in °88 was but 896 ina ‘vote of 158,978. In ’90the democratic ity ras increased £0,681 in a total vote of 135290 by the increased CALIFORNIA, Cleveland, so that no gain of strength is shown : majority. the | | | THROUGH NEW ENGLAND. Democrats Trying to Capture Maine's’ Electoral Vote, THE WEST AND SOUTH.) Republicans Will Probably Carry Wisconsin for Both the State and National Tickots— Fusion in Minnesota and Its Probable Re- sults—The Bitrer Feeling in North Carolina Growing More Intense. THE EMPIRE STATE. Congressman Farquhar Confident That Gen. Harrison Will Wh Correspondence of The Evening St. New York, Nov. 4, 1892. Congressman Farquhar of this state was met Tur Stan correspondent at Fifth Avenue Hote! today. He has becn traveling about over the state a great deal and other parts of the country, and he is extremely confideat as to republican success, I asked him whether he | thought it probable that the republicans would carry New York? “Ido not think there is any doubt about it,” said he. “I bave been over the state a great deal and fecl absolutely confident that we shall | come down to the Harlem with an enormous majority for Harrison. I wonld not be sur- prised to see it reach a hundred thousand. What do you base this estimate on, Mr. Farquhar?” “On the fact that our people are thoroughly awake and in earnest, and that we are going to get a large number of votes which have for- merly been cast with the democracy. The Irish vote is very much stirred up over the situation, and between the attacks upon Egan, Roosevelt's attack on the Irish race and other developments of the campaign there is reason to believe that we shall get a large number of votes from the Irish that have usually gone with the democrats. Besides this we shall got a very large proportion of the canal vote in this state, which is a larger factor than is generally understood. Gov. Flower vetoed the canal bill and the democratic party has shown. itself averse to the interests of the canal people, and the boat owners and their employes are thoroughly aroused and thoronghly indignant ‘as to the treatment which they have received at the hands of the democrats. "There are ten or fifteen thousand votes of this class and we shall get the benefit of this condition, BUSINESS MEN DON’T WANT A CHANGE. “Besides this I find in my contact with busi- ness peopleall over the state and inother states, everywhere that I go, there is an inclination on the part of business men not to make a cl as the democrats are proposing to do. I have talked with a great many business men— democrats—who sey frankly that they doubt the propriety of making the change which the democratic party proposes to make, and that they will either vote against the party or omit to vote at all. One man connected with a busi- ness establishment which has 125 voters told me that reciprocity had been so beneficial to them already that their people were, practically all of them, going to vote with the republicans this year. while when formerly all were democrats ‘only nine out of the 125 voted with the republi- cans four years id only nine,” be said, “would vote with the democrats this time.” Among tho people about the betting head- arters at the Hoffman House I found ex- tov. Pinekbeck of Louisiana. He has been here a good deal of the summer, and, although 4 republican, has been extremely doubtful as to republican success, “I have made up my mind at last,” said he, “that the republicans are going to win this fight. I was a long time getting there, but from all that I can see and hear 1 think’ they will win it unless some new development comes along to change the current.” EUGENE HIGGINS ON THE SITUATION. Sitting in front of the Fifth Avenue Hotel I found Engene Higgins, formerly appointment clerk of the Treasury Department, and asked him how he felt about the situati “It is such a curious one,” said he, “I don't know what to think about it. Iam still uncer- tain. It looks as though we should carry this state, and the reports from Indiana seem to be favorable, but the uncertainties are so great that it is hard to make out what is going to be the result. “Are you doing any betting?” “Not acent,” he answered. “If I were go- ing to invest any money I should prefer put- ting it into stocke rather than to bet it this time, as the situation row looks,” “If new York and Indiana go democratic the likely to win, are they not?” he eaid in rather a doubtful tone. ‘How about Alabama?” Tue Stan correspon- dent asked. “To be frank,” was his reply, “I feel very anxious about Alabama. There is no. telling what may be the result there.” It begins to be apparent that the democrats are somewhat anxious about three or four of the southern states. As already telegraphed ‘Tme Srax, the Sun has sounded a noteof warn- ing saying that in Alabama and in the two Vir- ginias there is a necessity for anxiety on the Tart oft he democrats, Alarge proportion of the democrats, how- ever, donct adult that there is ‘serious doubt as to success, They say. and probably rightly, that there is no probability of the vote of any of the southern states, unless it is possibly West Virginia, being counted for Harrison. ‘They express confidence as to Indiana and overwhelming confidence as to New York. Connecticut they have practically abandoned. vw Jersey and Delaware they believe they will carry, as it is probable they will do. One euri- ous inct comes to the surface at this moment, and that is that Chairman Sheehan of the state democratic committee has practically closed the democratic state uarters and hustled off to Buffalo. his home, where he has on hand some local offices, which he seems to think are more important to him than anything else. It certainly seems a curious thing that the chair- man of the state committee in the pivotal state should desert his post four days before the election. a EFFECT OF DECREASED REGISTRATION Republican Leaders Are Encouraged—Drift of the Betting in New York. Correspondence of The Evening Star. New Yoru, Nov. 4, 1892. The prediction in these dispatches on Satur- day that the registration in New York city Their vote in '90 was 7,262 less than that cast for ; agement. On the other hand, however, it stirs There has been something of a revival in the betting line and the announcement is made in one of the papers that 150,000 will be ready at the Fifth Avenue Hotel tomorrow to be bet even money on Harrison. The republicans have all along shown a willingness to take any even bets on the general result, but are up to this time wary of bets on New York state. Advices from Philadelphia indicate that Mar- tin and Magee are each offering bets of from $5,000 to $10,000 on the general result. There has never been an election probably for many years in which the betting was so light until now. Up to the present time very few Proposi- | tions to bet even money on the election of Har- rison have been accepted. Somehow there is ® | fecling on both sides that whether New York goes democratic or republican or whether I jana goes democratic or republican the repub- licans are in some way going to pull through. | Hence the hesitation in accepting beta even on the part of those who look for democratic suc- cess in New York or Indiana or both states, A REPUBLICAN OUTLOOK IN CONNECTICUT. The reports from Connecticut continue to indicate a probability of republican success | there, the World sounding the alarm two or | three days ago. and in the last day or two there sdims to be a general concession on the | part of democrats that that state is very likely to go republican. There are indications, too, that the Delaware democrats area good deal concerned. Curious as this may be the statement is made that they have made more frantic appeals to Mr. Cleveland to help them out with at least one speech in that state this Week, but as his visit to Rhode Irland in the recent election there did not seem to prove particularly advantageous it is scarcely prob- able that he will accede to those request, > GL Democrats Trying to Capture Maine—Out- look in Vermont and Khode Island. Correspondence of The Evening Star. Some ides of the unterrified spirit of the New England democracy, in face of the probabili- ties against them,can be gathered from the fight they are making, even against the repub- lican strongholds. Whitelaw Reid says: “The latest returns which the committee have indi- cate that for the first time New England ix solid.” ‘That meaus that the republicans claim Con- necticut, always prone to leave its sister states on a presidential year, quite as confidently as the wavering commonwealths of Rhode Island and New Hampshire. But so far from accept- ing the republican estimate of the situation as final the democrats have actually alarmed the Maine republicans by an attempt to throw the vote of the state of Blaine and Reed for Cleve- land and Stevenson. DEMOCRATS TRYING TO CAPTURE MAINE. Maine's state election in September, with its 12,500 plurality for the republican ticket and the return of its four republican Congressmen by reduced majorities, is recent and familiar istory. Maine's campaign really turns upon the state and congressional elections. C so early in the national contest the eyes of the country are upon her and she does her best work “then. ir choice of republican electors being considered a foregone conclusion is but an echo of the earlier campaign. Secretary Beane of the Maine democratic state committee conceived the idea of capturing the state for Cleveland by getting out the last democrat in the state while thousands of repub- licans, in fameied security, stayed away from the pelle. "He sent out a circular which, after te repens mgr in Gopenaber, promise Te vin 5 pasckee things for November 8 He concludes lan is this: Co"! your com- as follows: “My mittee together. divide your voters into classes of ten and find a working democrat who will pledge his word to haveeach of the ten at the polls on election day. If you will do this it means 60,000 democratic votes November 8 and that will assure six electoral votes for Cleveland and Stevenson. Will you work this once with the rest of us, and share in the victory sure to follow? Confident in success, I am most truly yours, Frep Exerny Brae.” JOE MANLEY's APPEAL. ‘There was aring to this audacious little cir- cular that disturbed astute Joe Manley, and he hastened to send on from New York the follow- ing appeal, introduced by the assurance that everything points to the re-election of Harriso: The republicans of Maine should see to that they do their full duty and earn the right to participate in the great victory which awaits us. I bave in my possession copies of letters which are being sent broadcast over the state by members of the democratic state committce of Maine, assuring the democrats that if they poll the full democratic vote in our state they will secure the six electoral votes of Maine for Cleveland. ‘To be forewarned is to be forearmed, and I beg the republicans of Maine to see to it asa patriotic duty that the full republican vote is polled on Tuesday next. Every republican should form himself into « committee of one and feol that this work rests with him. J. H. Mastery, Chairman. This incident of the week in ‘Maine how earnestly the battle is being fought ta New England during these closing days of the cam- paiga. ‘THE SITUATION IX VERMONT. Even in Vermont, where the state election is over and the result of the vote on November 8 assured, the democrats are working bravely. The state gave a plurality of 28.404 for Harri- son in 1888, but the plurality for governor last September’ was only 19,500. This indicates democratic activity and a measure of i can apathy. If Vermont, however, doesn't do well by Harrison next Tuesday she will, indeed, be ungrateful. He not only appointed a cabi- net officer—Secretary Proctor—from that small state, but paid it the compliment of » Rhode Island republicans till hold that they will carry the state for Harrison, but unless they are purposely trying to mislead they are Jess confident than they were a week ago. fn i $ a | | Gen, Edward 8. Bi | and be is very much re | purpose of the present powers that be in his Correspondence of The Evenins Star Mitwarker, Nov. 8, 1892, Nothing has eccurred to change the predie tion made in a previous letter that Wisconsin Will choose republican presidential electors and elect ex-Senator John (. Spooner governor, Mr. Spooner is waking up the voters of his party by one of the most thorough stomping tours ever made in Wisconsin and the outlook for the republicans is certainly growing brighter as election approaches, Two years ago, when there was a landslide toward the democrats, over 45,000 voters failed to go to the polls. If these stay-ot-homes can be coaxed out next Tuesday the republicans will win by something like 10,000 plurality. The school question is dead imsue. ‘The renubli- can candidate for licutenant governor . Lutheran bolter of 1890, and the Germania, the leading German Lutheran journal of the northwest, which circulates 60,000 of a weekly edition of 125.000 in Wisconsin, is working bard for Senator Spoouer. CK OF DEMOCRATIC WARMONY, ‘The democrats have been rather lame in their stumping and there is an evident lack of barmony on account of the ambition of « umber of the leaders tosucceed Senator Sawyer, g.ex-Congreseman and ex- minister to Mexico, is one of these aspiranta, led over the seeming party in Wisconsin to shelve him. Those whe now the little general need not be told that he pertinacious fighter who will strike back even when be down, Representative Mitebell of the fourth Milwaukee district is one of the sevatorial aspirants. The democrats base their hope of electing United States Senator next winter on the fact that the third reapportionment of the state at the recent special session of the legislature gives them fourteen hold-over senators to start with. This is an advantage that it will be difficult to overcome, and if the republicans sb ceed in capturing the legislature thy will be a remarkable one. But the democrats will make a mistake if they put too much reli- ‘ance on the start of fourteen, because the republicans are filled with a desire to wnd Mr. Spooner back to Washington, and they ai putting up strong for legisiative cand dates. in the fourth district of this city ex- Congressman Van Schaick, one of the best po- litical sprinters in the republican party in Wise consin, is making the run for the state senate, REPUBLICANS EXPECT TO GET SIX CONGRESSMEN, The republicans expect to elect #ix ot of the ten Congresemep, and are making something like a still hunt for the congressional seats, This is particularly noticeable in the fourth o Milwaukee district, where Theobald Otjen, Congressman Mitchell's opponent, is making « bench-to-bench canvass Among the workshops on the tariff issue. “The situation in the various districts remains the surfe as reported several weeks ago. except in tho wixth district, where the fight bas been simplitied by the withdrawal of Representative Miller, who bad announced himself as an independent candidate out of pique over his defeat at the primaries. This change helps the democratic candidate, and the republicans are not so hopeful of victory in the district as they were two weeks ago. It was expected by a good many voters of both parties that the republicans would enjaim the secretary of state from proceeding for ® legislative election, ax some of the districts of the third reapportionment are as unconstitu- tional as the districts upon which the sdverse decisions of the supreme court ou the first twe attempts to redistrict the stave were based. Bud the republicans figure that they stand « better chance of carrying the legislature at an election which draws a full vote than they would st special election in the event of ‘« postponement of the legislative election through legal pro= ccedi: They are undoubtedly nght as to thie, But they may be heard frum in the course if the democrats succeed, and it is also hinted that the democrats purposely viclated tae can= stitution a third time so that they may bave le= gal grounds to cause trouble +hould the election Bo against them by asiall margin on the joim® vote of both houses of the legislature. > THE NUTMEG STATE. It May Go for Cleveland by = Small Ma Jority. Correspondence of The Frening Star - Haves, Nov. 4, 1892, In there closing days of the campaign each side is boastful of the anticipated revult ia Con= necticut, but each wishes that it could feel as confident as it talks. When not speaking pub- licly for effect the managers on each side ac- knowledge that the result is uncertain, Con= necticut is a close state politically. Though two years ago, in the tidal wave year and when the republicans were not fighting unitedly, the democrats led the republicans by 3,600 in the vote for governor, four years ago Cleveland bad only 326 more than Harrison, while the repub= lican nominee for lieutenant governor led the democratic candidate for governor by 81 votes. Remembrance of these past results, coupled with a knowledge of present conditions, makes prophecy rash and the sensitive pocket nerre is very little betting on the result in Connecticut, and that little is without odds, BOTH SIDES WORKING DESPERATELY. The republican journals talk glibly of thousand plurality for Harrison and in the adjoining columu print exaggerated nonsense about the of the democratic Sond, und ual Sawsio appenio So Sn oapabe licans in the little towns, where is the repube lican reserve: , to come out asd vot, The democratic journals, on the otber hand, promise a plurality of 1,500 for Cleveland. bat also have exaggerated stories of republican ‘boodle,” and coaxing appeals to himself to come into the state to help As @ matter of fact each side, fearing defeat, is working desperately, the democrats with « more of nervous energy than the republicans, ‘as they have so much more to do to improve their organization. It is difficult to discipline democrats, and it is acknowledged that the organization on that side is Inmentably defi- t,.but @ seare of ten dave Looking the field over from the standpoint of & non-partisan observer these are the condi- tions which bear upon the result of next Tues hot cuens and Gon nahin — nat new voters. Their state committer hae expended, $8,000 in court fees for naturalization, which, at $1 per head, would represent 8,000 new votes. eS have not gait — fi ! Hb fit 1 ek gat a i} i i 3 it I | 4 F [ f | i i 4 Oat

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