The evening world. Newspaper, December 18, 1922, Page 4

oe ooo Se —— S _ ne remem 10 Years Added to Span ol Life The Optimistic Prediction of ‘Noted Mortality Statistician ——++ Science Already Has Shown What Can Be Done in Sav- ing Infant Life, and More Can Be Done in Prolonging Maturer Life Beyond Biblical Three Score and Ten. That the life span now prevailing in the United States may be ex- tended at least ten years— That the average man or woman reaching the twenty-first year may expect to attain the Biblical three score years and ten— That mortality between ten and sizty may be reduced at least 15 per cent. from what it was in 1910— That mortality for children between five and ten may be reduced from one-third to one-half the 1910 rate— That mortality for all tabies under five years may be cut one-third from the 1910 rate— Those are tho interesting, author! ® fative and optimistic conclusions yeached by Dr. Louis 1. Dublin, Statistician of the Metropolitan Life Yasurance Company, who has just taken a hand at the game Dernard haw played in “Back to Methuse ‘ah,” the forecast of future longevity for the human race. “But Dr. Dublin does not content himself, like Shaw, with a splendid Prophetic dream of the time when, eompared to the average man, Methu- slab himself would be a “piker,”" Mr. Dublin’s estimate of our probable gain in life in the very near future ‘im based, he explains, on ‘‘actual achievements, or what is on the threshold of achievement.’ ‘That is why the members of the conservative New York Academy of Medicine Matened with so much Interest when, at @ meeting of the Harvey Society ‘the other evening, Dr. Dublin de- ‘elared that ‘‘we are still far from having attained the maximum poss! - bilities in the extension of human life under present conditions in any group ‘mong whom the experiment has as > = yet been tried." ; DR LOUIS 1.008LIN prime and at the height of their use- fulness. The development of a well conceived campaign against them, or- the ve, and explained how, even in| ganized along lines which have the light of such rare knowledge as| proved successful against tubercu- wwe now possess and without assuming | josis will, according to the best medi- that we ever shall know any more, |cal opinion, produce excellent results, definite and splendid gains in lon-| it is reasonable to expect that an ap- gevity may be made. preciable part of the 60 per cent. “The most important single item of | mortality reduction postulated by our “mortality,” he said, “is the record/attainable life table will be accom- for the first year of life. Fifteen per] plished through th means, cent. of all deaths that occur each year are of hare within the first} “The prevention of occupational ‘year of age. Fortunately, there '5) mortality has scarcely been begun Compensation for high infant mortal-} 1. nation-wide effort. Industrial ity, namely, its relative ease of pre- ‘vention and control. accidents alone are still responsible in the United States each year for as ‘In the birth registration area of the} many as from twelve to fifteen thou- United States, the infant mortality {sand deaths, for the most part of men rate dropped in 1921 tu 76 per 1,000]/in their prime. Employers of labor births. In New Zealand, in 1920, it}can give material aid in the campaign ‘was below 50 per 1,000 births for the |to reduce adult mortality in America entire country, and there are a large |one-balf, and the ever growing in- number of cities in the United States, |terest of employers in safety meas- some of good size, where the infant | Ures and in shop sanitation gives mortality at the present time is below | ™much encouragement for the future, 4o per 1,000 births. We have accord- ingly started our life table attainable in the near future with the basic as- sumption that an infant mortality rate of 88.2 expresses an entirely re- Ly though 1 ts. oar pind 2 prey we may hope for with our present that in the 1910 life table. ‘Thin| knowledge and in the light of our favorable level of the infant mortality | “ctual achlevements, The total ex- tate has been amply demonstrated as | Pectation of life at birth is 64.76 years ‘attainable, Infant mortallty rates of | —let us say 65 years. This means an 20 per 1,000 births and even below | “ddition of ten years to the life span that are on the horizon. now prevailing in the United States, which is now only fifty-five years, “ e genoral| “A comparison of our attainable life eae have, Clete creality te the | table with the expectation prevailing succeeding four years of childhood .3|!7 the registration States In 1920 In- materially reducible. In the third dicates a possible gain of ten years at Sear of life virtually two-thirds of the | Dirth: of fully five and one-half years “entire mortality is due to such in. | °t #ge twenty; of threo and a quarter fections as typhoid fever, diarrhoea | Pre at age forty; of two and one- ‘and enteritis, the four communicable | DAlf years ut age fifty, and of one and Gineases of childhood—measles, ecar-| NC-third years at sixty. The greater Jet fever, whooping cough and diph.| Pact of the gain is obviously limited theria—tuberculosia, and the respira-| (2 arly life, where there is still the tory diseases. Who will deny that |Srcnccnt Pportunity for preventing Then Dr. Dublin took the life of the average individual from the eradle to ‘Woe have limited ourselves to those posdibilities of life saving which are reasonably likely to occur on the basis of past experience, Our attainable lfe table expresses the best mortality ‘these conditions are now within con- trol, provided we mean to do so? “Retween the ages of ten and sixty we have made one basic assumption throughout, namely, that mortality ean be reduced to one-half of the figure which prevailed in 1910. Our _ assumed rates for this period are very close to those attained by the best ‘world. “The death rates from the s0- called degenerative diseases, like heart disease, Bright's disease, cerebral hemorrhage and the other diseases affecting middle life and the older ages are not declining. These deaths represent heavy losses to the community because they Involve, in many instances, people still in their Life Table Attainable in the Near Future. Number tiving In specttiod age Interval. - 100,000 96,179 95,218 S18 > 3 S8SsSSSE8Eon00~> life insurance companies in_ thelr current ordinary experience. Weare especially optimistic as to the future because of the amasing reduction tn the death rate from tuberculosis which !s occurring throughout the mortality, But the possible gains tn middle Hfe are sufficiently large to justify every effort for their attain- ment."* The Evening World reproduces to- day Dr. Dublin's “Life how!nj attainable longevity as Coinpares wite the actual longevity computing in the United Statos Life Table of 1910, penaaiies tees FLY FROM BEDS ‘TO ZERO WEATHER AS FIRE ATTACKS TENEMENT, to extinguish a blaze that Mortaitty rate per 1,000, 38.21 10.00 4.20 2.80 “2.25 ROCHESTER, Dec. 18,—Twenty per- sons were forced to flee thelr beds for ened to destroy a tenement house early to-day. Three families living on an upper floor of the dwelling could not be aroused until the apparatus arrived and the firemen ran ladders to the win- dows, A framo partition in the rear of the place was destroyed, The damage was slight “ a) GB. Altman & Cn. Thirty-fourth Street MADISON AVENUE- FIFTH AVENUE, NEW YORK Telephone 7000 Murray Hill Thirty-fifth Street Tuesday Offerings of Immediate Interest to Holiday Shoppers A Very Special Sale of Pillows and Pincushions with' an unmistakable Holiday air about them and very invitingly priced Pillows with imported slip-covers (detachable), hand-made of cream lace, with motifs of hand-embroidered batiste. The pillows are silk-covered and down-filled, completeat . . - - + + + + @ $10.50 Pincushions with imported covers of lace, combined with hand-embroidered batiste . . at $1.25 to 4.00 Also Imported Waste Baskets of leatherette in various shapes, with pleasing designs, at $1.10, 1.45, 1.65 Art Needlecraft Department (Fourth Floor) at appealing price concessions, include Alsam Bouquet Preparations (exclusive to B. Altman & Co.) Extract . $1.50, 3.90 FacePowder . . 75c. Toilet Water . . 2,90) Sachet > # « SC. Talcum Powder . 38c. Imported Manicure Sets (in leather case) at... ew ee ee $2.65 & 6.25 Also Vacuum Sets, suggesting a gift that is a bit different. The Set consists of an enameled tray and jug (pint size, with nickel handle) and a drinking glass. Choice of rose or blue enamel . . . « . completeat $10.50 (First Floor) Another Sale of Women’s Hand Bags in time for Holiday selection Hand Bags of chiffon velvet; fitted with inside frame pocket and mirror, and lined with colored silk; black, brown Or taupe SH GG 5 Fa ane . at $3.00 Hand Bags (square) of black pin seal, or brown, tan or gray mottled calfskin; fitted with inside frame pocket, and lined with colored moire . . «wl CeCe Ott $4.25 Men’s and Women’s Silk Umbrellas present a timely purchasing opportunity Women’s Umbrellas of taffeta silk, im black and the most desirable colors, with smart handles (some mounted with bakelite) exceptionally priced at $6.50 Men’s Umbrellas of excellent quality black silk, with crook handles in a choice of woods specially priced at $4.85 (First Floor) Women’s & Misses’ Sweaters at appreciably low prices for clearance $19.50 & 25.00 Wool-and-artificial-silk Sweaters. 5.90 & 8.75 5.50 & 7.50 Silk Sweaters Wool Sweaters . : . Also Girls’ Wool Sweaters . : ' . . $3.50 (Third Floor) Another Offering of Women’s Silk Undergarments from which to make a dainty gift-choice Made of heavy-quality crepe de Chine in pastel colorings and adorned with Valenciennes or filet lace, or feather- stitched by hand, these Undergarments are most attractive and very temptingly priced. Nightrobes . $8.50 Vest Chemises, $4.95 . §.50 Drawers . . 4.95 Matched sets may be selected (Second Floor) Children’s One-piece Pajamas ve striped specially priced at 95c, (Second Floor) =