The San Francisco Call. Newspaper, October 21, 1900, Page 14

14 THE COLORADO, n the State ly Reduced. t six instead of ~AYRT ouse. | CON House. now is that J ] 't be elected to Tes £ Will Cause a Re- es Senate without the a Victory. lators. If the regular Re- | oy < the balance of power in | = bly Ly | . | ditions are reversed. In some medium s | INDIANA. | sized towns, such as Madison, Lafayette deter- | and Richmond, the Republicans were not Connecti- suffering appreciable losses, and they even | « Farmers Expected to Ca(use the State | 51000 o chance of doing better than four R to Go for McKinley. years a But in Indianapolis, Fort Indiana farmers are resolving the doubt [ Wavyne, Terre Haute, New Albany, Jeffer- | about the vote of the State. Thelr reso- | Sonville and. Evansville the Demaqcratic tution is favor of McKinley. This, | VOte I8 likely to be proportionately heavier | . | taken with the better organization of the | than four rs ago. = Logansport and a doubtful | porialc ne justifies stating that while | S0Uth Bend seem to be a stand-off. Mun- = e this | 1 O st be looked upon as doubtful | €i€s Marion, Anderson and other towns in g aban- {1 sundown ‘of election day the pro: the gas belt perhaps will do as well for < nom- - ley securing the fir. | McKinley relatively as they-did g, 189, b he Deaeraite t much better. In the aggregate,. s BB et g i the Democrats. will- have & Xt 1 gt et At the. best 3¢ advantage of the town and clty 75,00 b ks than equal | in the former national cam- el _,‘Mq o This is especially true of Indian- e 8 %0 plur 4 -)""I “"“mr A “epl\ ik , | erats who were against him in 1896. 'l'hf- : the gty reeable slewtion day | Bryan Democratic managers declare that N « - . pmfl‘;':h s at |90 per cent of the wanderers are back in by I r g Staked ev. | the fold. Averaging up the localities, it ‘v‘n&‘\'u: on the farmer \ox« they have | '8 Probable that a majority of the gold DELAWARE. gt of meteorological | Democrats are supporting Bryan. The — . Sotisan of | are to be classed with the gold | el | polls. The f vote is put first be- = 2 b B, « -y Plurality of 2000. B s e i e B TRy s most of the Germans havi Frepduic Eecarding i sioce ned o their party. Mr. Bryan McKinley a plurality | i1l found ate is going for | S headway with himtaeya T Kinley had a plurality | Bryan h of party organi- 2 e 1“,""}‘ by "‘“f‘ soat f go. The sound money | zation can Dryan fir W0 X e I fadtionts _‘"é‘"f"":e‘" v i was 9%. The Democrats | held the Soility “wejl, | TPOSNUETRANC JOCH SOB IR AT A BN Ramalorp i gor rtasene i ] | YE 9 wns and cities which went | €10sed by the trusts. When Bryan was in x e figures of oyt xR ” e iCh WeNL | the gas belt and told the high protection o f the early reg- | heavily . PR s workingmen there that he would take the oo iesjesfefenjosfosiosfocfosioforfosfooorfooferfoosorfetort ferjeejorferfoiosfosioejerjenforferte . tariff off articles controlled by the trusts | this was heralded'by the Republicans as a case of political suicide. But there is a OF THE RE- THIS TABLE SHOWS PROBABLE RESULT OF COMING ELECTION. -H—s-a-x—z«x-1-:~H~z-r-1-r-H-H-x-x-x-:»xiH- 52 BRYAN MAY WIN IN NEBRASKA OMAHA, Oct. 20. To the Editor of The Cail: Con- ditions in Nebraska indicate posi- tively that Bryan will carry the State by an Increased majority. The German vote is solidly for Bryan this year, whereas four years ago it was L'\rL\l\ for Mec- will ¢ ley. I 2m incli the ry 24,000, The eniire fusion ticket will be 4 elected, and while the fight is like- Iy be 3 the Legislature to n. I+ the Re- two publicar of th@ six* Represe from Nebraska ! well. T of the Repub- \J[ em. Talk State of 1 now an party New r‘<(='\n Cot w of for ate fifteen . ca for counties each s men the and the fac- the General As- to be made to elect two one to fill the va- rintment of Judge to be hop. Sus- ¢ % ‘ | - | < |'§1%]¢% s ; £ e | N = e ol N fon B STATES. ‘ { BIS | Pe < B g o 8 ) u = s 1:h Gl 2 B S ) | 13 £ z k3 Alabama |11 {11 | I Arkansas B 8 E California. 9 9| 8 + Colorado 4 4 o Connecticut 6 6 6 Delawar 3{ s 3 Florida ‘ 4 | < &] K Georg | 1.2 s i Idaho.. 3 E g 24 | 2z | 24 142,498 R | 15| 18 - 18 | 18.181R | 13 13 13 552 R Kansas 10| 10 | | 10 12,3‘;0 D Kentucky | 13 L agiticgn g gt “81 R Louisiar ' 8 | 8 | 8] 55,128 D Maine B et i 6| | 45,777R Maryland - Bl | 81 32,224 R Massachuse | 15| 15| 15 | | 173,265 R Michigan 12| 13| | 12| 58,868 R Minnesota B 9 9 | | B3.875R e | "] 3| 32043 D 8 | 8| 8| 13376 D | 3 Py | 3! 64,039D New Hampshire | - &) & e 35,744 R New Jersey | 10 10 | 10 87,692 R New York.. 36 | 36 | 86| 268,469 R North Caroi 11 y 11 1 19,266 D North Dakota B8 .8 5.649 R Ohio.. 23 23 | 23 47497 R Un,gcm =Y B 4 2,117 R Pennsylvania. 32 32 | 32 | 295,072 R Rhode Isiand. al 2 | & 22,978 R South Carolina 9! ‘ 9 9 19,266 D * South Dakota 4| 4l | & ‘183 D z 12 | 12 | 12! 17895D - 15 | | 15 15 | 202,914 D - 3| 1278 3| 51,035D ; B 3| af 4 40,490 R % Virginia .19 ] 1< 12 12 19.341 D A Washington, - a a4 | 4| 12493D % West Virginia. 6 6 | {:%38 11487 R 4 Wisconsin... 121 12! | 12 102.261 R % Wyoming. 3 8| 3 ¥ Total ol 847 | 281 | 166 | 271 | 176 | i El.clonl votes necessgry to a choice, 224. fi ool el succeed 'Senator | lican factions in | »s do mot corae to- | mtrol the allot. Har- large tariff reform eclement in Indiana which is for the gold standard and yet is very independent, and Bryan helped him- self with this cl There is also much restlessnes nong the small merchants on this question. These are symptoms of discontent which do not seem to be chang- ing votes by wholesale in the campaign, though storing up for the fu- ture. In looking for the positive elements of Mr. Bryan’s strength a second trip was made into the southern counties along the Ohio River and was confirmed in the be- lief that most of those Democratic coun- ties will do better for him than they did in 189%. But the aggregate increase will not be large, the voting population not having increased in any marked degree. Against this is the certain increase of Re- | publican majorities in the great. Repub- lican counties in the central and northern part of the State, as well as In the south- ern part. The chief fact about these counties is that the voting population has |largely increased. The farmers are more strongly for McKinley. It is rare to find a Republican farmer in revelt. Apparently a good many who leaned to sfiver and who quietly voted for Bryan four years ago are now in line. IDAHO. Democrats, Because of Fusion, Will Carry the State. Idaho is claimed by both parties, but the Democrats—because of a fusion be- tween them, the Silver Republicans and Populists—seem to have the best of the argument. Idaho gave Bryan a plurality of 16,578 four years ago, and in 1898 the fusionists elected their Governor by a plurality of 5613, with a Populist ticket in the field, which recsl\'ed £300 votes. « ILLlNOIS. i Republicans Flgum a Safe Plurality in the State. Illinois is probably safe for McKinley and Roosevelt and should give them 1iot iess than 50,000 plurality. Although it went Republican in 18% by 141,000 there is still such doubt in the situation that the Republicans would be willing now to trade almost everything for insurance against the loss of the electoral vote. The Legis- lature, which will elect the successor of Senator Shelby M. Cullom, is all but lost, and the Republican State ticket 1s in seri- ous danger. The result depends much, as always, upon what happens in Chicago and Cook County. Here the campaign has been s0 backward that party, managers on either side have not been‘able to get mto a confident frame of mind. The city and county are not likely to go more than 20,000. either way, not a wide margin in a total vote of more than 350,000. Whatever advantege comes is in the possession of city government, and the police force SAN FRANCISCO CALL, SUNDAY, FOR BRYAN DEFEAT IS present | THE SITUATION IN BRYAN'S STATE OMAHA, Oct. 20. » To the Editor of The Call: Pres- ent indications are that Nebraska will be carried by the Republican party, particularly for the national ticket. There is a consensus of opinfon that McKinley is gaining friends and Bryan losing. The State Committee has detailed re- ports that give them assurance by conservative calculations that the State is mow surely Republican. The money {ssue was strongly against us four and two years ago. No. one "considers it now. The prosperous “condition gives con- tent. Four years ago State pride [ moved: many Persons to suvport | Mr. Bryan, but, that plea, like a garment, has become threadbare I - The policy of the administration was not as° warmly svpported on | the stump and through the prees as it should have been two years ago, and even one year ago, and there was a strong sentiment against-it among the foreign-born element. Now conditions have changed. Many strong pelitical | Apeakers have come into the State ard the people are being educated | on these questions of national pol- icy, and the Republican party and its ‘policy are gatning ground, JOHN L. WEBSTER, Republican Candidate for United States Senator. & &H‘l‘!‘H—lfl—H—!-rX‘-!-'l'H*‘l—H—H—!‘ is with the Democrats. The Republicans have the election machinery. The Republicans are promising to get from 30,600 to 40,000 plurality in the State outside of Cook County. The Democrats believe they can hold that down to 10,000 or 12,000. Cook County will do the rest. If the Democrats can hold the Repub- licans below 30,000 outside and carry Cook County even by the narrowest margta they will probably elect the Governor and get the Legislature. Republicans have been burdened with local troubles. The fight between Governor Tanner and Sen- ator Cullem, each for political existence, has permeated every layer of the party organization. Throughout the. campaign members of each faction have been more concerned in pulling each other from the driver's seat of the band wagon than they have been in making the wagon serve ts best purpose. Their, fights for memba of the Legislature hdve endangered more than half a dozen seats, each side wink- ing at the election of a Democrat rather than see one of “the other fellows™ win. It can hardly be disputed that a ma- Jority of the Gold Democratic vote, which | was heavy in Illinols—it has been | estimated as high as 75,000—is back In line. Thousands of Gold Democrats wio will vote for McKinley are supporting the State ticket. | Ilinois Germans—and there are mora than 100,000 of them—have been disaffected on account of national questions. The Republican State campaigners have nof been able to get a grip on them. Mr. Yates was on the State ticket in 1892 and a de- fender of the Republican school law, Wwhich solidified the Germans against Lhe Republican party and made Illinois Dem- ocratic that year. He has been credited with extreme views on the question of prohibition. That has further alienated the “personal liberty” Germans. KAN;AS. Action of Four Years Ago Will Prob- ably Be Reversed. Kansas gave its electoral vote four years ago to Bryan by a plurality of 12,- 330 out of a total vote of 334,020. Signs are that the State this year will reverse its action of 1896, There is fusion of the Democratic, Pop- ulist and free silver Republican forces, as in 1896, but there have been many defec- tions from the fusion ranks. Most of the free silver Republicans have returned to their former allegiance, anu in addition many Populists have turned out the ex- pansion and property issues. The fusion- ists have made gains, too, especially of Democrats who went away on the sound- money issue four years ago. The fusion- ists will also galn some of the German vote, which was solid for McKinley in 1896. The German vote is an unknown quantity this year. It was for McKinley early in the campaign four yeats ago, but this year it has given no sign. ‘Both sides are fighting hard for it. There are about 11,000 German voters in the State. The ‘Republicans will have the advantage this year of a large ltu-ct-honu Qo—-Po - lists who, unwilling . W ’ OCTOBER 21, 1900. A \ e im‘-v '1&' the cause. Kansas has been very pros- perous since the election of 189%. The vot- ing population has been increased proba- bly 5000 since the last Presidential elec- tlon, making a total in round numbers of about 340,000, but the politicians agree that the vote this year will not exceed 330,000, and it is likely to be less than that. There ‘will' be ‘little stay-at-home Republican votes. ‘The Republican Committee says it will have the State by more than 25,000. The State will give McKinley probably 12,000 plurality. The State ticket will run below the national ticket. KENTUCKY. Will Probably Give Her Thirteen Electoral Votes to Bryan. Kentucky will probably give her thir- teen electoral votes to Mr. Bryanm, al- though the Republicans are making stren- uous claims that thelr candidate for Gov- ernor, John W, Yerkes, will carry the State for the Republican Electors. Mr. Yerkes will undoubtedly run ahead of the Republican electoral ticket in the State from 2500 to 7500 votes. Twelve of the Re- publican Electors and one Bryan Elector received pluralities fn 1596, There is reason to believe that had the intentions of the voters been recorded per- fectly the State would have gone for Bryan by a very small plurality instead of for McKinley. When a ballot is pre- pared In Kentucky the the law requires that each name shall be marked. Some of the Democratic voters marked the first- named Democratic Elector, belleving this carrfed a vote for the entire electoral ticket. It only counted, however, for the name marked, hence the first Elector on the Democratic list ran ahead of the Re- publican Electors. In a national campaign without any State issue Kentucky is probably Demo- cratic by from 15,000 to 25,000 majority. This year, however, the State fight, has so overshadowed the national election that very little interest is shown in the latter, and candidates and campaign managers confine their efforts to rallying the voters upon State questions. Upon the face of the returns Governor Taylor,” the Republican candidate in 1899, received a plurality of 25il. In addition to this there were 12,141 votes cast for Brown, the independent Democratic can- didate for Governor, thus giving an anti- Goebel plurality of almost 15,000. Governor Beckham represents the Goe- bel element in the State, and upon him is being expended all the antagonism aroused by the actions of his predecessor and his followers. A few of the anti-Goebel or Independent Democrats, who voted for Brown in 1899, will vote for Bryan and Beckham this year, as there is no inde- pendent candidate for Governor in the fleld. A large proportion of these independent Democrats, however, will vote for Yerkes, the Republican nominee for Governor, and the fate of the electoral ticket will be decided by the degree of Republicanism shown by the independent Democrats They could give the State to McKinley, but Bryan is more likely to get a large majority of this vote. MARYLAND. State Will Vote for Progress and Prosperity by 5000. McKinley will carry Maryland by 5000 or more. That declaration is based on the results of a careful canvass of the counties and a- clpse examination of the registration figures in Baltimore. The early registration in Baltimore indicated a large increase of the Republican vote. The Democrats had very little money for legitimate expenses and could not have runners in the precincts, whereas the Republicans had- five or more in each precinct of the city, determined to get the full vote and with the aid of the inde- pendent and sound money Democrats and German-Americans carry the city and thereby the State for McKinley. At the close of the registration in Baltimore, on October 10, more than 119,800 voters had registered—101,044 white and 18,761 colored —showing an increase of more than 6500 over last year's registration. The registration in 189% was 112434 in Baltimore and McKinley carried the city by 19,748 over Bryan and Palmer. Gov- ernor Smith (Dem,) carried the city by 8100 last year, but the Republican vote w5 wid oGl bl e i e um—-hnmmmmm un"m"u-rmmm . IN EVITABLE | @ttt el O INDIANA SOLID FOR McKINLEY INDIANAPOLIS, Oct. 20. To the Editor of The. Cal In- diana will go Republican in No- vember by a good majority. The people A6 not believe in Bryan, nor in Populism, which he repre- N e sents. He panders to all ele- ments of discontent and is the i champion of too many issues. | His calamity prophecies of 1356 have all proved false. Many who voted for him in 1596 will not trust him now. His finamcial views condemn him. The voters believe in McKinley. -He has fulfilled his promises. Farmers rejoice in in- creased prices for their products, labor is employed at wages largely advanced and miners are getting 30 per cent higher wages than in % 1896. The State was never more prosperous. The bogie of imperial- ism falls flat. Conditions com- } 1 mend the Republican party to the THE CHAIRMAN OF THE DEM- cgnfidence of the voters. OCRATIC NATIONAL COM- JAMES A MOUNT, MITTEE. i Governor of Indiana. @iieieiieifofriie el felrlerlovioefeeinini=i @ | had decreased 14,647 since 1896, while the | Democratic vote had Increased 14,560. There was a factional fight in the Repub- lican ranks last year, accounting for the decrease of the vote, but to many minds ) S In the southern and western countles there will be a heavy slump, Chautauqua_ and Cattaraugus, ehuw only slight declines from the v, where McKinley in 896. In Erie County, celved a plurality of 1. the vote of last year indicated the return | which fme Roosevelt only 242 In 1.8, th | Republicans expect to poll a very large of the State to its normal condition as a \otg Their majority may run as KI“ = Democraic State. | In the registration in Baltimore this vear the increase in Republican wards was more than 3400 over last year; In Democratic wards more than 1700 and in close wards more than 1200. Both parties | have been comforted by registration fig- | ures in the counties. 1'altimore city will carry the State. The counties will come to the city with a small plurality for Me- Kinley. It is a fact that a strong undercurrent against trusts exists among workingmen, shopkeepers and some farmers, but it is not likely to rise to the surface with over- whelming force in this State. As a rule, the factories and mills in the State are running on full time, with good wages. OHIO. Indications That McKinley’s Plural- ity May Fall in Eis Own State. that President McKin- his own State may fall Republ plurality of it may be well If he gets 8000 or even 10,000, though the ties of the situation are great, ‘With few exceptions the Gold Demo- crats of Buffalo who supported McKinley four years ago are still favorable to him, while the Democratic orzanization itself is_honeycombed with McKinley sentim. This is largely due to the bitter Demo- | cratic factional quarrel which is being !o’%ght out in the county. e fact that the present regime has been defeated at the primaries and will ba forced to abdicate after the election is not conducive to effective work. Of the mem- bers of the Democratic executive com- mittee in charge of the campaign in Buf- falo there is good reason for saving that nearly one-half will vote for McKinley. The Germans, who form an important element in the voting population of the city, take little interest in the imperfalism issue and stand about as they stood in 1856, Bryan will receive the great major- ity of the labor vote. [ NEBRASKA. Bryan May Get Only a Small Major- ity in His Home State. Nebraska can hardly be placed in the list of doubtful States. The only Con- gressional districts in which there will be changes radical enough to be taken into uncertain- Indications are ley's plurality in be the usual od, | consideration, when it is remembered that OREGON‘ Bryan carried Nebraska by 13,000 in 1896, wand former Governor Holcombe, the fu- Both Sides Concede Victory to the | sion candidate for Supreme Judge, in- Republicans. | creased this majority to 18,000 in 1899, are the Second, of which Omaha {s the me- tropolis; the First, in which Lincoln is lo- cated, and the Fifth and Sixth districts, There is no doubt whatever of the re- sult of the election in Oregon. It is con- ceded on all sides that President McKir- | ley will be given a majority equally mrge} e . el sae 09 if not larger than he received in 18%6. g - Nebraska's poll will not exceed 235,000 The Stat: lected its t Republi sy 0 wo Republican | o\, %0 11" 1 i he elections 6f 1396 and again representatives and a Republican Legis- lature last June. NEW YORK. National and State Tickets Safe in the Empire State. Careful estimates made by correspond- ents who have traversed every county in | the State, consulting the best available sources of information, give President | McKinley a plurality over Willlam J. Bryan of 115,660, or 152,809 less than his plurality of four years ago. | In 1899 the fusion: i ts cast a larger per cent | of the total vote in Nebraska than the | Democrats did in Missourt or the Repub- | licans tn Ohio. To defeat Mr. Bryan in | his own State the Republicans must make | surprising gains. Outside Republican | headquarters in the city of Omaha. there s not a Republican politician who ex- presses any confidence in McKinley's abil- ity to carry the State. There is absolute Republican confidence in the election of Diatrich, - the Rep: candidate _for sed alarm in Demo- es about the Legislature. Two United States Senators are to be elected Benjamin B. Odell Jr., the Republican | for full terms in Nebraska next winter, candidate for Governor, according to | and the Congres: » legislative and ju- these estimates, will run about 23,530 votes | diclal districts be reapportioned. There are at least ten counties where the legislative majorities seldom reach fifty | votes, and these counties will determine | whether two Republicans or one Populist and one Democrat shall be sent to the Senate. In the western part of tue State Bry- an’s losses will be heavy. He will run ahead of the fusion Congrnsfimnal nomi- nees in both the Fifth and Sixtn Congres- slonal districts, which compose the west- | ern part of_the State, but even the most optimistic Democrats concede that Bry- an's losses in these two districts will ap- proximate 4000. Mr. Bryan cannot r:ope to carry the State by more than 8000 or 10,- 000. and the indications are his majority wiil be reduced to 4000 Demo- cratic losses in both the F’ltth and Sixth | districts are due to three causes. Many voters in the western half of the State have been compelled to move on ac- count of drought. FPerhaps a majority of Mr McKinloy. | Tn many counties the Re- | these voters have gone to the eastern publican pluralities of the last Presiden- | counties in the State. This loss will not tial electlon will be cut in two, or nearly | affect Bryan, but it will reduce the ma- s0. In many others the vote will hold | jorities of the Congressional candidates. well up to the record-breaking figures of | Perhaps 40 per cent of the voters four- years ago. Generally speaking, the Republican_strength is greatest in thP‘ Continued on Plp m behind McKinley. This will give him a plurality over John B. Stanchfield of 91,830, which is 121,162 less than the plu- | rality given to former Governor Black in 1896. Though In every county the esti- mates show a _decrease more or less marked, in the Republican majorities Me- | Kinley, outside of Greater New York and the county of Schoharie, will have plu- ralities aggregating 147,360. Bryan will probably have a surplus in countles. Schoharfe alone stood by | bim o 186 with a plurality of| 865. The county will probably give him | a majority of 50 votes this vear. Tam- many will turn the adverse majority or 20,735 in 1896 into a ]alurall(\ of 30,000 this ear. Richmond will add 1200 men to the }Br)an column. It gave McKinley a sur- plus of 1718 in 1866. These are the only counties in which there is any pros ec\: that Mr. Bryan wiil poll more votes t| three eastern and northern parts of the State. e o T e S REPUBLICANS WILL CONTROL 3 HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES. [.§ - |2 A STATES. 55 | 22|82 gl | : | Bl e i | H : 3 Alab-ma.... 9| | Arkansas.. 6 | California 7| 6 Colorado .. 2 | | 2 3 4! 4| | Bh 1l 2| | 2 11 wl | 3 1| 1 | ; 5wk ef 4 : 13 S 5 11 10! 1| ! 8 6 1 1 11 8 6 x A 4 } \ sl 3 | B nli-sf ichi, 12 12 | | | 21 5| | ssiss 7| 7 B | 1 12 | Montana 1 | a Nebraska. 6 3 1 2 pex Nevada - 1 1 New Hampshire 2.8 | | . New Jersey 8 6 2| | New Y. rk.. | sal 28| 10| | # 9 | 9 | h 1| 1] | Ohio ... 21| 13| e | 2 Orezon .. 2 | 2 | Pennsylvania.. 30 23 7 Rhode Island. W j South Carolira B2 7| | South Dakota 2 2 | T Tennessce .. 10 2| 8 | Texas. 13 | 13 | Utah .. 1 bt | B Vermont 2 2| | Virginia. 10 | 9| 1 ‘Wa-hington. a2 i | oty West Virgi. ia. 4 3 1] | : Wisconsin 10 10 | | e g b <Altn wESarTY il SRS R . i 351;18511 lslal B B AR w i il