The San Francisco Call. Newspaper, October 21, 1900, Page 13

§ ¢ : s - H OI 2008 13 10 22 PEGFS HEFDEPRPHPH P X OX P AP OROX SIS, PRICE FIVE CENTS. ERITY - @all, SAN FRANCISCO, SUNDAY, OCTOBER 21, 1900—THIRTY-TWO PAGES. RY SURE FOR PROSP B — : Poll of States Made by The Call Shows That McKin- ley’s Triumph Is Certain. S e sffeenofenfefesfofesfnfosfocfenfofenfofesfomtofenfoentefesfofeofefecnfecfnfocfoosenfofecrfefortocerfofentonfefecent cfenfodentrge oo oottt || @exereserene® [ T2 2L 22 22 22 VOLUME LXXXVIII-NO. 143. VICTO B e e e e e e ident McKinley's re-election is certain. A poll made by The Call and New York Herald of the principal States shows that McKinley will probably receive 281 electoral votes anc Bryan 166. giving the Republican party's statdard-bearer a maj the Democratic candidate. Equally important is the poll made for ascertaining the complexion of the fifty-scventh Congress. The result indicates that the Republicans il retain a safe working majority over the combincd opposition in both houses. In the Senate the Republicans will have at least forty-six nembers, which is one more than a majority. The working majority in the House will be at least six. ity of 115 over el il ol @ Dakota, Wyoming and Washington. V‘ In the poll made for the purpose of as- oo econfo oo tocnfecfofunfec et Sotetoc O il ol b O probable divided, but some of the gold men are re- | the Republicans since 1896, s almost cer- turning to Bryan. There seems to be a |tain to go for McKinley on the expansion the Composition of Congress. Republicans. | In the case of the Senate would present Hov the Democrats 1 7. while ther. s gives th x are 1 have certainly 155 Re- Dem s will have 3 fusionists and Silver House have been made g erats in the West and South, but | e offset by gains made by Re-| s he East | e, where the Republicans | members, the indications are | gress xt year they will have at least . members, which is onq more | g | than a maj ern rity. Repu of t B vati) w even should Mr. may not o and Pettigrew m or McKinley. hold to the Presidential . has e n and his the election. ed Bryar The C: ates that McKinley r McKinley this | will have a ph in the State of 115,- S Kans Wa 000. Bot e claiming the State B | the Rep with a much greater | Cali- | show of confidence. Private information Wth | from the Democratic committee is that will | the men at the head of the machine ex s f the that he | pect Bryan to lose by 75,000 in the Sta T ain of | He cannot make the result close upless f an unexpected landsiide would be surely Republicans | | other anti- | | three Republicans a The informa- correspondents is that and fourteeen There are eleven'doubt- | torial elections pending and the icars can scarcely lose the control T Bryan be | be elected in | . Elkins may be defeated in | ¥ lose in contes natural strategic pol come the great sup- y do not ca: te they will have no chance There- | b by O R e York than the polls and canvasses now | made show him to be able to do. of getting $0000 plurality in Greater New York, as Croker shows, his plurality »| will be nearer 26,000. His plurality in County) is placed at 20,000, which some | Democrats think too high. Brooklyn | (Kings County) should be carried by Mec- | Kinley by at least 0. Queensborough | (Queens County) will probably go for Mec- ! ( rnia, South | he does much better i Greater New | Kinley by 700 and Bryan will carry Rich- et rfefofofossfodofosiede @ | mond Borough by 1200. MeKinley's total + | plurality in that portion of the State out- ' " V\vr - ~ 7 ' N T " -E-: side of Greater New York should be 141,- ] \\] \ 4 TI‘LLQ \\ H\ BIG R[“P[ BLIC&\ | 060 and McKinley's plurality in the State Al i " ALY s thus figured at 115,660, 0 = ~ T -j- It is likely that Benjamin B. Odell Jr., \ ICTOR\ lq ChRTil\ :‘: | Republican candidate for Governor, will V) Akl + | defeat John Stanchfield, Democrat, by 91,- ¢ (000 plurality. Mr. Odell's plurality may $ fall below that figure. IC 0, Oct. 2 To the Editor of The Call: No one who has care- ol The Republicans stand to gain five se d of events during the last three weeks can ‘% | members of the New York State Senate t popular timent has been running strongly i'and the party divisions in that body will th of the Republican ¢ s. This is due, be thirty-two Republicans to eightee tk it justice and righ the cau: which the Re- Democrats. In the Assembly there will be S s for the vigorous campaign which has been car- | ninety-four Republicans ¢nd fifty-six been much accelerated by the Democrats. r stump. In the glass belt in In- commerc 1 almost entirely the tinplate glass | gstries, which h. n employme to thousands of working- buil of the tariff on these articles, Mr. Bryan epee ) reach the so-called glass and tinplate r m these cles. It can readily be seen statement was fatal to him a s party in that section of the jlana and ever since that ech Indiana has been no longer doubt- after he followed with a speech at » or any candidate for President. Salem, IIl, which was un- In this speech he, in the bold- vored to stir up discontent and hostility on the part of those fortunate as others against those who had accumulated a k this speech a of his more conservative sup- n advised of many who had before that been Inclined ‘med 1 . nnouncing their determination to vote the Republican y the West thou = of farmers of every nationality who voted for Bryan four years ago will now vote for McKinley, and a on of the present business conditions, and in the former so-called States the people are deserting Bryan almost en masse, and I believe of the States west of the Mississippi River that voted for ur years ago will now cast their electoral vote for McKinley. Not 1o States between the Mississippl River and the Alleghany Mountains north of Tennessee which voted for McKinley before but will do so again at The anti-imperialist campaign of the Democrats has ne of ing election. f e Tts supporters have found that the people regard them in the tion they have taken as unpatriotic and unwise, and the Democratic poli- uns have found it unpepular. In the West they have abandoned it as an e and are turning their attention to the anti-trust plani in their plat- -ir campaign has been based upon anti-everything,'I look in ek for them to change to anti-something else. The poll of Kentucky shows that McKinley will carry that State by more 30,000 majority, and the only question is, Can the Democrats, under provigions of the infamous Goebel law, steal it 1 am speaking only of the States that come within the jurfsdiction of the .dquarters of Chicago. As to those east of the Alleghany Mountains I in close touch and do not care to express an opinion without proper knowledge, although 1 have mo doubt that every State that voted for McKin- ley in that gection of the country four years ago will do so again, H. C. PAYNE, Vice Chairman Republican.National Committee. O el Some Stubborn Contests. | The contest in Maryland has been a very stubborn one. The indications are rality or more. Delaware appears to be as safe for Mc- Kinley as it was in 18%6. The Republican plurality is likely to be 2000 or more. The Republicans will elect their Congress- man, but the fight for the Senate, where | there will be two vacancies, is so flerce | in the Republican party that the Demo- | crats may control the Legislature. | The.poll of New Jersey gives it to Me- Kinley by a plurality of about 44,000. In | Connecticut there will be a substantial plurality for the Republican Electors, but not so large as in 1895, While West Virginia is in the fighting column the eléctoral vote will go to Me- Kinley. The Republicans claim the State by 21,000 The Bryan managers look for victory by 7500. There may be an overturn in the Legislature, which will retire 8. B. Elkins from the Senate. Tilinois has been the scene of one of the flercest struggles in the Middle West. The | State went for McKinley in 1595 by 142,060: For many months there has been at Chi- | cago a great strike. This has been taken advantage of by the Democrats and much unrest exists among the laboring men. Republican factional fights have also been a handicap to McKinley. Cook County is the key to the situation. If the Democrats get a very large plu- rality there the State Is doubtful ana like- ly to go to Bryan. On the other hand, if the Republicans carry it by a small ma- jority or keep the Democratic vote down ® ! ina State is almost certaln for McKin. A R e M M Instead | Manhattan and the Bronx (New' York | that it will go for McKinley by 5000 plu-‘ GOLDEN INGOTS OUTWEIGH SILVER BRICKS. i ; - ley. The Call's canvass, made with ex- ceptional care, points to something like 50,000 plurality for the Republican Elect- ors. Alschuler, the Democratic candid: for Governor, may be elected over Yates, the Republican candidate, and the fight between Senator Cullom and Governor Tanner for the control of the Legislature may give it to the D2mocrats, resulting in the election of a Democrat from Tllinois. Hardest Struggle in Indiana. But the hardest struggle In any State in this campaign has been in Indlana. Indi- ana went for McKinley in 183 by only 18,000, and: the Democrats have made un- usual efforts ‘to” carry the Stats. Mr. Bryan was notified of his nomination in Indianapolis. He attended the national meeting of the Democratic clubs in that - city. He has made four or five tours of the State. On the other hand, the Repub- licans have been disappointed by the luke- warmness of former President Harrison, and until within the last two weeks the indications placed Indiana in the Demo- cratic column. Since that time there has been a change. While the Democrats are gaining strength in the cities the farmer vote is apparently preparing to dectde the election in Indiana in favor of Mc- Kinley. Kentucky is having one of its usual heart-stirring political conflicts. It gave twelve of its electoral®votes to McKinley in 1896 on the gold issue by a piurality of less than 300, and one of the Democratic electors was elected. The Incidents sur- rounding the passage of the Goebel law and the Kkilling of Goebel have intensified party feeling. Tha Deémocratic party is ¥ g the complexion of the Fifty- { | strong possibility of the election of John | issue. Congress, careful estimates wm‘n“‘ ! | W. Yerkes, the Republican candidate for | Changes in the popular vote from 1398 le in each doubtful district in the | | | Governor, and of the success of the Dem- ; are indicated In various States. It is not country. The result shows that unless | | | ocratic electors. likely that in any Eastern State will the there is a ve Republican success in Kansas for the | plurality for McKinley be as large as in electoral ticket seems to be assured. | 1596 Bryan had a plurality in 13% of 12,330, | The irdieations this year are that Mc- | be more than cut in two. A similar slump | Kinley will have it by 12,000. | in the high tide of four years ago is indi- * North Dakota and South Dakota. which ‘(‘ated in New Jersey. McKinley will hold | may be classed as doubtful States, will | his own in Ohio, and may have a smaller { both go for McKinley, though if there is | plurality than 47,000, which he had in 1896 any change in this it will be in South| There is not likely to be any such plu- Dakota. Bryan carried South Dakota in | rality as 142,000 in Illinois. In Iowa the 1896 by the exceedingly narrow margin of | 65,000 Republican plurality of 1596 is lkely The plurality of 268,000 in New York will 183. Bryan will probably be able to hold | to be swelled to $0,000. In Wisconsin the | his own State. Although the Republicans | plurality of 102,000 in 13% may fall to &, | have made considerable gains in Ne- | 000. | braska, State pride is likely to give the | In'Missouri the Democrats are lfkely to eight electoral votes to Mr. Bryan. His | suffer a big loss in the vote for their elec- majority is estimated at 5000 against 13,576 | toral ticket. They had 58,727 In 13%. This in 18%. If he should lose the election, as | year it may be reduced as low as 5000. is probable, the fusionists are likely to| Returns from many States, as already capture the Legislature -and- give Mr. | detafled, show that McKinley will run Bryan one of the seats in the Unifed | ahead of the State and legislative tickets. States Senate. | This is not due to the fact that McKinley In’ the Mounthin States. | 1s stronger than his party, but that Bryan The mountain States; through which | I3 Weaker than his party. McKinley will Governor Roosevelt swept in the early { léad the State tickets in New York, Illi- days of the campaign on a special train | 20iS. Kansas, Minnesota, Connecticut and Wisconsin. | with varying success, furnish very inter- Sting. aftuationa. Information comes from Washington, Montana, Idaho, Wyoming, Colorado |D: C-. to the effect that it McKinley wins | and Utah were all carried by Bryan in | he Will deem it a vindication and an over- 18%. This year Wyoming will go to Mc- | Whelming vote of confidence. Under the Kinley by a majority of not less than 5000, | CIFcumstances it will be far short of that. The Silver Republicans concede defeat | It Will be rather a repudiation of the man and the Democrats have abandoned hope. | WhO I8 running against him. Not in a Idaho is claimed by both parties, because | Presidential campaign in a generation has of a complete fusion of all the anti-Re- | {Rere been such a general exhibition of publican elements, which is likely to go | voters selecting the lesser of two evils, for Bryan. ; The Call's returns reveal that whils it i Bt el A Bryan, | Yoters are not satisfied vgm the policy of though the result of the Senatorial con- | the Government in Porfo Rico and the test !s in doubt Philippines and while there is a great dis- Colordo is conceded to Bryan by the | ke and distrust of the industrial tenden- national Republican leaders, although the | €1®S toward trusts and combinations of State Committee claims the 3tate. capital, the powerful thought in control of The Mormons can sway Wtah to M- | {be voting will be a fear of Mr. Bryan on Kinley or Bryan, as they choose. The in. | fiNancial questions and the bellef that he dications seem to be that the State will | WOuld bring commercial, financial and tn- go for Bryan dustrial disaster if he went into the White The Pacific Coast Is solidly for McKin. | HOUse. ley. Here Bryan in 153 got five electoral votes. He will get none in 1900. California will give McKinley a large majority. There is no doubt whatever of State With Ease. the result in Oregon All the indications point to President ‘Washington, which has been carried by ! McKinley carrying California by a large CALIFORNIA. Republicans Will Carry the Goldem BE ELECTED, _—_— HICAGO, Oct. 20.—To the Editor of The Call: I firmly belleve Bryan will be elected. I think a .arge majority of the American people are opposed to the re-election of McKinley. I think the public conscience has been aroused during the present, campaign to a greater degree than ever before. It Is my opinion that not since 1360 have the peo- ple been so impressed with the gravity of the sitdation. When such Repub- licans, patriarchs and partisans as George S. Boutwell of Massachusetts, Sen- ator Wellington of Maryland, former Senator Henderson ofs Missouri, Gen- eral Beatty of Ohio and hundreds of .others that could be named abandon their party under the profound conviction that the re-election of McKinley would endanger the republic it is safe to say that the same thought and fear have found lodgment in’the minds of the people at large. The anti-imperialist movement, in my judsment, is proper and more pro- found at this tigre than was the mugwump movement that defeated Blaine in 1884, or the gold Democrat movement that contributed so materially to the election of McKinley in 159%. In 1534 and 188 only objection to candidates or purely domestic issucs capable of being remedied at any time influenced the electorate. Now the very foundation of the Government is in danger—the scepter is in sight—and the uniformed soldier at every street corner on every highway, with conseription acts and forced drafts as accompaniments, are things of the future that must be crushed or encouraged at the ensuing election. Ninety per cent of the gold Democrats will follow the example of Olney and Bissell and vote for Bryan. The super-friendly relations—I will not say alliance—between the Tory Government of Great Britain and the administration of McKinley which led to our Government notoriously sympathizing with Great Britain's cold-blooded destruction of the two South African republics has supremely disgusted many persons and added to the evidences of the imperialistic tendencles of McKinley and his advisers. But while the preservation of the constitution and the principles of the Declaration of Independence form the paramount issue of the campaign gure- 1y domestic questions are not lost sight of. The American people as a whole are satisfied that the great trusts have control of the Republican party, and that the only hope of regulating or controlling these monster corporate ag- gregations is by returning the Democrats to power. The negroes, who have long held the balance of power in such States as Illinois, Indiana and Ohio, are breaking away from the Republican party. The colored men fear impe- rialism and can see no hope for their future in a Government by trusts. The colored men of Illinols, Ohio and Indiana have made Republican Presidents, but Northern colored men are never rewarded with office when the Repub- licans are in power in Washington. The offices are given to Southern ne- groes in payment for work in conventions, while the colored men in the doubtful or Republican States are ignored. These are some of the reasons why I feel satisfled with the present out- look and why I believe that Bryan will be elected. JAMES K. JONES, Chairman Democratic National Committes.