The New York Herald Newspaper, April 14, 1877, Page 6

i ‘NEW YORK HERALD BROADWAY AND ANN STREET. JAMES GORDON BENNETT, PROPRIETOR. THE DAILY HERALD, published every day in the yea ‘Three cents per (Sunday excinded). ‘Ten dollars per OF at Tate of one dollar per month for any period less hen ax months, or five dollars for six mouths, Sunday edition incinded. fi ir 1D. shonid be properly sealed, jons will not be returned. PH DELPHIA OFFIC . 112 SOUTH SIXTH LONDON OFFICE OF THE NEW YORK HERALD— NO, 46 FLEET STREET. PAKIS OFFICE—AVENUE DE L'OPERA. NAPLES OFFICE—NO, 7 STRADA PACE. seneumziptions ‘and advertisements will be recelved and wi in New York. eene® : VOLUME. PARK THEATRE—Ovr WALLACK’S THEATR OLYMPIC THEATRE UNION SQUARE THE. HELLER'S THEATER FIFTH AVENUE THEATRE! OTIS THEATRE—Kicn BTEINWAY HALL.—Ts WEW AMERICAN M Dasicuxers, TATION. mm Princess Rovan THEATRE COMIQUE—Vanintr,_ © GILMORE'S GARDEN—Muskum axp Crncvs +. APRIL MM, 1877, TRIPLE NEW YORK, SATURDAY, “DEALERS, al newspaper connections, a burg and South to it ® quarter past six A, Fyrom our reports this morning the probabilities wre that the weather in New York to-day will be sool and cloudy, with brisk winds from the north ward and rain. Watt Street Yesterpay.—Tho stock market was active and as a rulo steadier, the closing prices showing an improvement over those of | Thursday. In the forenoon an attack was made on Rock Island, which broke that stock down to 86, from which it afterward recovered. Gold opened at 106, advanced to 1061, and closed at 1057, Government bonds were quiet and steady and railroads irregular but generally lower. Money on call loaned at 3.2 4 per cent, advanced to 41, and closed at 2 a 21g per cent on call. Waar Rersurance May Possinty Amouxt ‘To is explained by the case of Mrs. Chamberlin. ANoTHER Morty Macumer has been con- victed, but the public is particularly anxious to know when ono will be hanged. Our Rerort or “Tie State oF TRADE,” with its accompanying analysis, will be found peculiarly worthy of the attention of business men. ANOTHER SmipLoap oF SkitteD Lanorers start for Australia this mornin mt we do not hear of any unimproved American State or county that has taken the hint. Tux Britist Coxsut at New York com- plains of the difficulty experienced in having a man arrested by “the best police in the world.’ Now for a how! about perfidious Albion. Reapers Snovtp Not sions of a distinguished lobbyist about our Leg- ielature, for no one understands lawmakers so well as the members of ‘‘the third house.” Tue Mayor Yesterpay asked some pointed questions of the Police Commissioners, the ob- ject being to ascertain where the money appro- priated for street cleaning had been dumped. Tue Latest Ixrormation about the New Jersey Mutual comes from an ex-director of the company and from a well known insurance ex- pert, but it does not put the company's transac- tions in any better li, “Tur Fastest Passacr on Recorp” has once more been made. The ship was the Ger- manic, of the White Star line, Captain Kennedy was the happy commander, and the time was only seven days and eleven hours, A Once Briwitant Lanp Busse was severely pricked by Judge Daly yesterday, and the many suburban residents who have been deceived by similar glittering schemes will find the Judge's action valuable as a precedent. “A Mas’s Fors Sia Tury or His Own Hovsenorn” is a bit of prophecy the truth of which the Latter Day Saints will realize as they read the letter which we publish this morniug from the pen of a Mormon woman. Tue Weatner.—Our antic to the storm that is now in progress in the South- ern States have been fully borne out by the de- velopments since Thursday. As predicted by the Hrratp yesterday the storm has moved ina northeastly direction to the const of the Ca nas, attended by heavy gales and rains. Indees the rainfall at Charleston during the first eight ons with regard dented, being 5.20 inches in points within the same time the rainfall has beon—-Angusta, Ga., 1.76; Wilmington, Montgomery, .75, and at Savannah, in less tl eight hours, 1.98 inches. The storm area being now enst of the southern part of the Alleghany Mountains its effects do not continue to be felt further west than Alabama ; but on the coast th tempest is unusually severe. It is essentially a cyclono such us that which recently off the same = part heaviest winds have been bet Wilmington and Jacksonville. The temperature, even at the centre of disturbance, is very low. The pressure continues highest over the lakes, the Middle and New England States, where clear to partly cloudy weather prevails, pt on the coast, where it iscloudy. Another depression is advancing from the Northwest, with a decided tise of temperature, but present indien tions do not lead us to think that it will prove a serious disturbance. Ver for Southern ports should pre the prevailing storm. The Middle Mississippi has risen and is two inches above the danger line wt Cairo. The Missouri, Ohio and Red rivers “have also risen. The weather in New York to day will be cloudy and cool, with brisk winds from the northward, and probably rain. | | | | | | | of the coast. | n | | j the blood. NEW YORK .HERALD, SATURDAY, APRIL 14, 1877.-TRIPLE SHEET. Is Business Really Reviving? The community naturally wishes to take a hopeful view of the business situation; but it is nevertheless everybody's interest to see things as they are. Men of sense do not ad- dress the press'as certain ancient Hebrews did their prophets:—‘‘Which say to the seers, See not; and to the prophets, Prophesy not unto us right things, speak unto us smooth things, prophesy deceits.” It is not expedi- ent tor any newspaper to treat business questions in the spirit of this request, any more than it is for the Signal Service Bureau to regulate its weather predictions by the wishes of the people. In the midst of a prolonged drought everybody prays for rain; but the scientific clerks of the weather must nevertheless confine them- selves to such inferences as are warranted by their meteorological observations. The country wishes to be persuaded that busi- ness is reviving; but journalists cannot properly go beyond the data in their pos- session in catering to this universal wish, Our own impression is that business is struggling into a revival, feeble as yet, but not without promise. We attach little importance to seattered indications, gathered here and there in j, peculiar localities and colored more or less with hues borrowed from hope and imagina- tion, We find, for example, in the Chicago Posts large batch of interviews with lead- ing firms which give a rosente picture of the present state of trade in that city, As com- pared with the extreme depression of last year there is no doubt an improvement; and, from easily explained causes, it may be more marked in Chicago than elsewhere, Chicago, the great grain mart of the West, is trying to build up a wholesale trade, and just now its efforts seem attended with o transient success, although quite moderate in extent. This is a consequence of the vigorous rivalry of the last two or three years between the great trunk railways. The Baltimore and Ohio road and the Pennsyl- vania road have given their powerful influ- ence toward the establishment of ocean lines of steamships plying between Baltimore and Philadelphia and European ports. As a means of attracting business they have made through contracts for the delivery in Western cities, and particularly in Chicago, of goods shipped from Europe at prices almost nominal. Freights have actually been laid down in Chicago and Cin- cinnati at lower rates than in New York. The motive on which this is done is no enigma, The steamship lines from Phila- delphia and Baltimore were projected with reference to the grain trade. But the ves- | sels which carry out cargoes of grain aro liable to return empty or in ballast, and they had better bring back return freights for next to nothing than to have no cargoes at all, The same remark will apply to the railroads which transport grain eastward. Many of the cars must go back to Chicago empty, and rather than do thisthey have consented to make such rates, in con- nection with the associated steamship lines, that the cost of transportation has been less from Liverpool to Chicago than from Liver- pool to New York. This is necessarily a shortlived arrangement. ,It has already broken down, if we understand the new compact between the trunk railroads. No road is hereafter to vary its charges in connection with the steamship lines. But while this arrangement lasted it gave Western merchants an advantage and inspired them with the hope of establishing a large wholesale trade by underselling New York in staple imports, The facts now stated explain the present signs of prosperity in Chicago, so far as they are real. It is beside our present pur- pose to discuss the great question, so im- portant to New York, of the diversion of its trade to other places. It is a subject which challenges the profoundest study of the best minds in this community. For the present we are considering the general business condition of the whole country. Is there as yet any good evidence of a considerable revival of business? Even if the Chicago reports are not exaggerated the business of that city is in too excep- tional a condition to be made the basis of any very wide conclusion, If we would reach sound ideas we must have recourse to a different order of considerations. The most infallible criterion of the state of busi- ness is the condition of the money market. Whenever business is active there is an urgent demand for money. There are always men enough eager to engage in trade or to extend their business when there is a brisk circulation of com- modities. These men need bank accom- modations in proportion to the amount of their trade. Whenever there is a great deal of buying and selling there is an active de- mand for money ; and it hence follows that the state of the money market and the trans- actions of the banks are a true index to the amount of business. Running around and interviewing merchants is like attempting to judge of the circulation of a patient’s blood by random touches on various parts of his body. It is only at the wrist that the pulse comes decidedly to the surface, and it is here alone that the experienced physician attempts to feel for it. Bank transactions are the true place to. find the pulse of business, Business is never in a full tide of prosper- ity without a great pressure on the banks for pecuniary accommodation. The banks are the wheels on which modern commerce moves ; when their motion is slack it is as certain that business stagnates as it is that » low pulse indicates a feeble circulation of What, then, is the present state of the money market as measured by the business of the banks? With great regret we are compelled to say that it is not assuring, Within the last year the national banks have surrendered well on toward a hundred million dollars of their circulation, and yet there is abundance of money which cannot find employment, In an active state of business the banks easily get from seven to ten per cent for the use of money, but at present they are glad to get good commercial paper at three or three and a half per cent, in spite of a large reduc- tion of the currency by surrenders of bank circulation. ‘The beuring of this great fact on the question of reviving business is as obvious as it is decisive. There is doubt. less some improvement on the business of | tion Counsel, whose duty it is to give legal | last year, but it is not yet sufficient to bea topic of much congratulation. Another indication, which is almost as conclusive as the state of the money market, is furnished by the business of our rail- roads. All business languishes when the railroads languish. It is their office to trans- port and distribute the commodities which the business classes sell and buy. When general traffic is lively the railroads pros- per; but unfortunately they have never been more depressed than they’ are at present. The railroads and the banks are the two grand indexes of the amount of business in the course of trans- action, and it must be reluctantly admitted that neither of these unerring barometers are giving any very satisfactory indications, There will be a great change, as if by magic, in case the general expectation of a great war in Europe is realized. This im- pending event, the moment it happens, will touch all the neryes of American trade and industry. It will open a vast and profitable market for everything we can produce, and set all the wheels of business in active mo- tion. Ourbonks will find employment for all their idle money; our railroads will be bur- dened with freights; a mighty stimulus will be given to the raising of grain and pork, to the manufacture of arms, clothing and mili- tary supplies, and we shall recover within the ensuing two years more than we have lost since the great panic. It is absurd to indulge in sentimental misgivings about thriving on the calamities of other nations. We are not responsible for those cafamities. The effect of our great business activity will be to alleviate them. We shall supply food to those who would otherwise famish, cloth- ing to those who would otherwise go naked, arms to those who would otherwise be with- out adequate means of defence. Our advan- tage will be like that of the producers of Peruvian bark, for which the great military hospitals will create an excessive demand. It is a mercy to the sufferers that the stim- ulus of profit will insure means of allevia- tion. Usefal Officials and Clean Streets. The strictures of the Hznaxp on the offi- cials of our city government with regard to the condition of the streets are deserted by these gentlemen. We are aware that legal difficulties stand in the way of their accom- plishing speedy reforms. But we see no effort made by any of them to combat these difficulties or no suggestion from them as to how we should seek and find a remedy. The Mayor says he has no power to inter- fere with the Police Commissioners in their management of the Bureau of Street Clean- ing; that the law places that department beyond his control. But the law also clothes the Mayor with power to remove de- liquent officials, subject to the approval of the Governor, and we do not believe that the State Executive will refuse to sustain the Mayor in any just action of that kind. Governor Robinson is raised by his office above the level of mere party. His duties are toward the people of the State and not particularly toward those who elected him. Therefore party considerations should not sway him in the exercise of authority which affects the whole people equally. Comp- troller Kelly is the legal custodian of the city’s money. He cannot withhold it at present from the wastetul hands of the street cleaning oflicials, but he can protest against the disgraceful waste, and, as a mem- ber of the Board of Apportionment, refuse to vote a dollar until he has acceptable guar- antees that it will be properly expended. The Board of Aldermen confirms the award of the Board of Apportion- ment. Why, then, do its members with- hold their protests against this crying disgrace to which we are subjected? Why do the Aldermen confirm appropriations which they know will be misspent? The truth is that if our officials were only honest and energetic in their efforts toward reform we would have reform. It is as easy to maintain an honest administration as a dis- honest one. The mass of the people benefit more from the former than the latter, and it is only the vermin of politics that wish to preserve the status quo. In the meantime the old plan which was so generally effective in the days before commissions were saddled on New York can be tried again, Let the people sweep the streets in front of their dwellings. All the dirt and refuse can be collected in the middle so that all that re- mains for the bureau to do is to remove it. As an economical experiment this is worth trying again. Anything to clean the streets. A Spring Charter Election. The Senate yesterday passed Mr. Morris- sey’s bill providing for the election of a Mayor, Comptroller, Counsel to the Cor- poration and a Board of Aldermen on the first Tuesday of April, 1878, and every second year thereafter. The present Mayor is to hold office for his full term, or until Janu- ary, 1879; but the Comptroller, Corporation Counsel and Aldermen elected in April of next year are to enter upon their duties on the first day of May following. In electing the Aldermen-at-large the voters are to designate one for President, and he is to serve in that capacity; but in case of a vacancy the Board is empowered to elect. All other vacancies are to be filled by the Mayor, and all appointments to office are to be made by the Mayor alone, without con- firmation by the Aidermen. These pro- visions are simple and caleulated to im- prove our local government, It is generally believed that the Comptroller and Corpora- tion Counsel should, as a matter of princis | ple, be elected by the people and dircetly responsible to them, and independent of the Mayor, so far us their title to office is concerned, The Comptroller and the Mayor are mutually checks, one upon the other, in the signing and countersigning of warrants, and it does not seem desirable that a Comp- | troller who, acting with the Mayor, has | supreme power over the public moneys, should owe his position to the Mayor's favor. It can easily be seen that a corrupt Mayor | might appoint o corrupt Comptroller and thus have the public treasury at his mercy. There is also good reason why the Corpora. | advice to the Mayor and all the departments, should hold his office independently of the Mayor's appointment. It is certain that charter election and the independent power of the Mayor over the appointment of heads of departments are reforms warmly favored by the people. Mr. Morrissey's bill will therefore meet the approval of the citizens ofNew York, 0 The Herald Weather Service. We publish to-day an interesting cable despatch from our Paris bureau recounting an incerview with M. Le Verrier, the Director ofthe Paris Observatory, on the subject of the Hznaup weather service and the success of its system of storm warnings for Europe. The distinguished scientist declares himself much interested in our meteorological la- bors, and particularly on account of the failure of a former attempt made under the auspices of the British government to trans- mit storm warnings from Newfoundland to Europe. To show how desirous M. Le Ver- rier is to obtain information as to the course of storms over the Atlantic he exhibited to our correspondent a series of meteorologi- cal charts compiled by him from data col- lected in Europe. Heasks us to prepare for him a similar set of weather maps from the data at our disposal and a memoir of our means of observation and the results ob- tained, which he will publish in his forth- coming volume, This information, being ready to hand among our weather records, we will of course forward without delay. M. Le Verrier also gives our correspondent details of the meteorological system of France, and cites some amusing instances wherein barometers and Bonapartism get mixed up in oursister Republic. Altogether a new impetus has been given to meteor- ological research in Europe by the Hznatp storm predictions. In treating of this question editoriully our courteous contemporary, the New York Tribune, gives the Hrnaxp the credit of a de- cided success, and points out how our storm warnings will modify certain meteorologi- cal theories which are accepted in England. The trouble with most government meteoro- logical organizations is that, in the effort to be very exact in their predictions, they miss splendid opportunities of being useful. By a timid adherence to forms they rarely venture out into the broader paths of re- search, and sacrifice utility to routine. Our American system, as created and prac- tised by the Signal Service Bureau, is so far ahead of anything of the kind else- where that it really cannot be com- pared with European systems. Its scope is wider, its direction more intelli- gentand its results immeasurably more use- ful. As regards the latter, much is due to the advantago we possess in geographical position, but more to the system that pro- duces them. If, as we have practically dem- onstrated by our own labors, a properly or- ganized international weather service could be created, there is no reason why a single marine disaster should occur on either the Pacific or the Atlantic Ocean, due to the ig- norance of navigators as to weather conditions prevailing or likely to prevail around them, England d the East. Denial has been made in the House of Lords of the story that Lord Derby had written to Constantinople that the Porte must in no way rely upon England. It seemed safe enough to make this denial, be- cause to deny that Lord Derby said they must not depend upon England is not to imply that they must or may depend upon her. That is, in the countries inhabited by reasoning people it is well enough under- stood that the British government may deny that Lord Derby made acertain declaration without its following that England will be bound to any particular policy by that denial. But it is not certain that this will be understood in Turkey. On the contrary, it is very probable that inferences will be seriously drawn in Constantinople that if the government takes pains thus to deny a rumor of this sort it deems it essential to its honor that it should not be thought to have cut free from all responsibility for the Sultan; and that in this train of ideas it may yet mean to sustain him. But if it is a little likely that this may be seri- ously thought and believed, it is in the highest degree probable that those who play on the fanatical humors of the Moslem mob will use this fancy as a direct encouragement to the defiant anti- peace spirit. They will hold it upas an evidence that England is not so indifferent as she is forced to appear; and thus the de- nial, as likely tooverwhelm the little chance for peace that is thought to be left, is but one more of the wonderful series of Lord Derby's blunders. Itis just now thought by the English government to be their cue to keep the world in doubt on the point whether or no England will fight in this quarrel—to hold out consequently so much encouragement to the fancy that she means to fight as will deepen,that impression with- out committing her. Hence, when the Marquis of Hartington said in the House of Commons that the facts, so far as known, appeared to make Engiand directly responsible for the impending war, Mr. Gathorne Hardy said this language was ‘‘caleulated to en- danger peace.” It could only endanger pence if peace depended upon other nations believing that England was united on the Eastern issue and disposed to fight; and the observation shows that the government has | no conception beyond that of any way to prevent war. This discloses an exceedingly pitiful, shallow and histrionic policy. on the ignorance of your opponents. Cable Tolls. Recently we were told, apparently by au- thority, that the tolls for cable messages would not be increased again, even though the big-devil fish of monopoly should man- age to catch ani swallow the Direct Cable Company. It will be remembered that as an act of war against the Direct Company the Anglo-American had reduced its rates very low, and this announcement was mado to reassure all persons who foresaw that if the Anglo-American should conquer its rival it would—having absolute control— put its rates at such a figure as would in- demnity it for its presumed loss by the low rates. Another announcement is now mado which may be taken, we suppose, as a com- mentary on the preceding. ‘This is to the effect that after the 1st of May the rates will be three shillings a word—a slight increase under the elective system we always had capable and honest comptrollers, A spring of two hundred per cent, It is | wretched statesmanship to presume entirely | Stanley's Explorations. We publish in to-day’s Henatp a map of the equatorial regions of the African con- tinent which are now being explored by Stanley. The lines indicating the routes passed over by our representative have been traced by Dr. Petermann, of Gotha, whose fame as geographer is world wide. Ac- companying the map will be found two in- teresting letters from Dr. Petermann, in which he sets forth his views on the value and results of Stanley's work. One of these is addressed to the Hzrarp and one to the Cologne Gazette, both being filled with intelligent comments on our explorer’s great work. Such documents, coming from such a source, cannot fail to enlighten any of our readers who may be tempted by adverse criticism or a want of appreciation of the magnitude of the undertaking to regard Stanley's explorations in Central Africa as the mere results incidental to ordinary travel in such a region, Explorers who preceded him announced important discoveries, but left them unexplained and open to doubt and uncertainty. Stanley’s mission is to clear up all misconceptions regarding these unsupported announcements and to follow them where they lead to new discoveries. Some he has verified, of others he has modi- fied the deductions, and others yet proved to have been unwarranted by geographical facts. His success in this work is now be- yond doubt, and it is pleasing to notice how readily Dr. Petermann, a sonservative and scientific geographer, accords to the travel- ler all the credit which his great achieve- ments merit. The Lesson of the St. Fire. It is unhappily the case that great calam- ities are necessary to convince people that the violation of the laws of constriction brings its own punishment. We do not dare to build heaps of combustibles in a large edifice and set fire to them in order to test whether the building is fireproof, but we s@rcely ever remember that the struc- ture itself is not unfrequently a heap of combustibles artistically arranged to burn. We insist on a passenger steamship carrying a sufficient number of lifeboats to provide against the possibility of danger; yet we un- hesitatingly crowd into buildings whence there is no chance of escape because of the defective arrangements of the stairways and passages. What the lifeboat is to a ship the stairway is to a large building that ac- commodates a considerable number of people, Ifthe one is unserviceable and the other inadequate or destructible by fire frightful disasters must result when either is necessary to the preservation of life. If the law regulates the size and number of a ship's liteboats, why not the size, number and positions of hotel, church and theatre stairways? Itis this dreadful disregard of possibilities that increases the number and aggravates the horrors of such calamities as the destruction of the Brooklyn Theatre and the Southern Hotel at St. Louis, Then, again, that most deadly of sources of danger, the elevator shaft, is reck- lessly ignored. Safety is sacrificed to convenience. What can be moro absurd than to construct a fire conductor through the centre of a building already erected without any regard to the danger from fire? Why cannot theso useful labor and fatigue saving elevators be built in towers attached to the main buildings, with doors opening on every floor? In contemplating this vital question of means of exit from buildings it is really startling to remember how many sources of danger exist in proportion to the means of securing safety. We hope that the lesson of the St. Louis fire will not be lost on those who own and control hotels and other such places of public resort. Perhaps the best way to bring about a reform in this regard will be for travellers to patronize only such hotels as are most completely guarded against the danger of fire. Louis PERSONAL INTELLIGENCE, Mad is coming into the gardon. Frogs have begun to sing in tights, Wendell Phillips now ejaculates, “the Devens you say.” If there should be a little more snow there would bo a little less dust. It ts believed by some that De Soto visited the Hot Springs of Arkansas, Whiteball Zimes:—“No well bred tramp will eat Jemon pie with his knife.’” Some one says that you can seo the inbavitants on Saturn, Not by along sight, Summer comes along tlowly, and the crop reports from tho barber sbops are very discouraging. The bard times have had tho effect of making men think that this year they must begin to have gardens, Gartield ts assuredly a free trader, but he docs not believe in freo lances, Ho doves uotlike Sir Lance a lot. Jim Mace says he is now coming to New York to knock the stuffing out of some of ‘them muscle crick- ets,” Ex-Senator Matt Carpenter says that no lawyer can be disgraced by a bad cause, but only by bis manage- ment of it Earth is like a big Newfoundland dog. When it comes out of the waters of spring it shakes itself and gets up and dusts, One of Ignaticf’s eyes is so woak that it is always wet with tears. This 18 always the way with those who hear Bob Ingersoll, Said the boy of the period yesterday, “Mu, I'm hun- gry, and I'd hke to have some broad‘and oleomargarine with moias#es on it.” The sweet, timid grass is coming up through the gray landscape, and, with the baby fingers of spring, is feeling lor cows’ Wweth, Both Halstead and Bowles have the iiterary instinct; and because anything that hos a literary phase attract them they blurt out the trath and try to spoil Howell's chanves. A man who wanted to be agricultural editor of a city paper recently wrote saying that be especially loved cows, and, in fact, that be had ove in every room in the house, William Black is writing a new novel in serial, and he shows that lo 1s playing out, for he lugs in Wost- ern American life and scenery, of which be had only &@ breath of experience. Now Orleans Republican:—General Escobedo, of the Lerdo Mexican government, hus been in this city for several weeks, boarding in a private family in the Soc- ond district. He is expected on the Rio Grande next week, where be will head a reactionary movement agarnst Diaz, Judy:—"Aunt Emily—Why, Nellie, don’t you know itis unkind to eaten bold of your sister and pull her hair?’ Neltio (who doesn’t see it)—'Well, Aunue, I saw you holding Cousin Frank round the neck quite Ughtly yesterday, when mamma was out, and pulling Hisdair, and he didn’t eay anything?” Beening Telegrams enator Vatterson, of South Curolina, who deciaret a year ago that there were five years ot good stealing left in that State yet, 1a indig- Dant at his deprivation of tour of them by Chamber. lain's surrender, and frankly expresses his foar that | Hampton will lodge him in the penitentiary.’? TELEGRAPHIC NEWS: From All Parts of the. World. THE RUSSO-TURKISH WAR A Declaration Made by the Russian Envoy at Constantinople. HUROPE =A SMOULDERING © VOLCANO. Germany, Austria, England and Greece Can- hot Long Remain Neutral. NO MORE TALK OF PEACE. [BY CABLE TO THE HERALD.] Loypoy, Apri! 14, 1877. Ithas come. Within a tew da; it furthest, the active part of the great contest between Russia and Turkey will have begug., For more than two years, beginning with the apparently insignificant rebellion in the Herzegovina and ending with the breaking up of the Conference, Europe has been perplexed, worried and alarmed by turns in regard to the Eastern question. A small cloud, no greater than a provincial uprising, in an empire that never was of the quiet. est, has to-day ended in precipitating upon Europe what promises to be the greatest war of history, Private information from the HERALD’s correspond- ents in St. Petersburg, Berlin, Vienna and Belgrade, is all of one tone, The state. ments are unanimous in the opinion that peace is hopeless and that war will be declared within the next twenty-four hours, if it has not already been done. The Berlin Kreuz Zeitung, an authoritative paper in German military circles, goes so far as to say:—‘According to a rumor circulated in the most positive form it is asserted, on the ground of news received from St. Petersburg, that instructions were sent yesterday forenoon tothe Russian Chargé d’Affaires at Con stantinople to declare war against the Porte.” THE ATTACK TO BE MADE IN ASIA. The first great question is to know where Russia will strike. As we have long maintained it nuw seems settled that Russia's attack will be made from Central Asia, A letter received by the Fureign OmMce from Captain Burnaby says he has ascer- tained that a secret alliance oxists between Russia and Persia, Reports from all quarters indicate that Russia is masging her min for an advance nto Armenia. The better class of inhabitants are leaving Tif is for the interior. Russian oMcers trom Persia report that 40,000 Persian troops are con- centrated near the Turkish frontier. The Czat will start on the 24th inst. for the vicinity of the army. A manifesto has been issued. The superior oficers of the southern army have been suddenly summoned before a grand council of war in St. Petersburg, to be heard respect ing preparations for marching 250,000 men across the Pruth next week. The army has already advanced, but has not passed the fron- tier. Indeed, it is doubtful if anything more thana peaceable passage through Roumania will be asked. Itis pretty authoritatively stated that Germany does not wish to see the neutrality of Roumania vio- lated, consequently the principal Russian attack will be on the Asiatic side. TURKEY DEFIES THE LIGHTNINGS, ‘The Montenogrin dolegates hada flnal interview too day with Safvet Pacha, who declared that the Porte re- jected their demands, Subsequently the Grand Vizier telegraphed Prince Nicholas that the armistice had ended, and would not be prolonged. Montenegro will defer the resumption of hostilities until Russia’s final decision. Intelligence from Erzeroum, dated April 3, announces that Turkish war preparations are being pushed forward as vigore ously and extensively the state of the weather permits, The strength of the Turkish forces 18 estimated at 85,000. The Kurds and Circassians are to be called out, and it is oclieved that they will readily respond, It Is not expected in Turkey that the Russians will be able to advance be- fore the 16th of May, owing to the want of resources in the country through which they must pass. The Levant Herald avnounces that reictorcements have been sent to the Turkish forces in tho Vilayet of the Danube, Six war vessels will be orderod to Sulina on the Black Sea, and fivo frigates to cruiso in the Moditerrancan, THE TURKISH CIRCULAR IN PARLIAMENT. In the House of Lords, yesterday afternoon, the Porte’s circular in reply to the protocol was laid on the table of the House. Lord Derby said that he ro. gretted to say it was not of a satistactory character, nor would it Iead to a peacotul setilement, Earl Granville gave notice that be would cajl attention to tho subject on Monday, In the House of Commons Sir Stafford Northcote, Chancellor of the Exchequer, in reply to an inquiry, denied the statoment of the Brussel’s Nord of April 11, that Lord Derby nad written to Constantinople categoricaily declaring that the Porte must in no way | rely upon England. The Marqais of Hartington, in moving for further papers on Tarkey, as he had announced on the 10th Inat. he would do, complained of the meagreness of the documents presented since the protocol. He saia those produced contain much that is highly unsatis. factory and appear to make England directly responsible for tho present situation, The attitude of England was pot justified by the papers before tne House. He added:—“If there Js justification there ts nothing tn the papers to show it.” The protocol was the first acknowledgment by the government of the sense of its duties, Never before had there been an official declaration that this was no longer a case for friendly advice, It was an admission at last that the government recognized it had duties toward the Christian subjects of the Porte which would no longer be neglected. The protocol contem- Plated action or contemplated nothing, contemplated coercion of postponed coercion. If it contemplated this how could they reconcile it with the previous declaration of the independence of the Porte’ Right Hon, Gathorno Hardy, Secretary of State for War, defended tho government cnergetically and said the language of the Marquis of Hartiagton was calcu. lated to endanger peace. He refused the draft of the protocol presented by Count Schouyaloff Maren 11 vee cause the othor Powers object to its production. Ho also said that he would mect the motion for other papers with @ direct negative, Notwithstanding the uncons ciliatory character of the Porte’s circular England even yet had not uttered its last word on behalf of peace, Mr. Hardy said that be did vot believe that the way to benefit the Christin sutjects of the orto was by armed in‘erference. Wo had no right tw tako upon ourselves the wine dication of the Christians in Turkey. Nothing but the interests of our own country could justly drawing the sword of the crusader, The protocol waa