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WarChanges Political |Strategy Republicans May Turn to Weakness Of Our Defenses By DAVID LAWRENCE. Political strategy for the coming ceampaign has been revised over- night, due to the gravity of the European situation, Republican liticians, not owing what the future may hold in store for the country, are veering away from any sort of § peace at any price position § if the true basis for an effective § opposition may # not be to focus attention on na- tional defense David Lawrence. mistakes and weaknesses. The administration—so the argu- ment runs—has spent billions on W. P. A. and relief to provide employ- ment when it might have been building with the same funds an adequate defense for the United States against any and all comers, thereby relieving unemployment and having something to show for it. Such a position for the Republic- ans, however, depends for its ef- fectiveness on a convincing demon- stration of the present inadequacy | of the military, naval and aerial | forces of the United States. The facts are at present unrevealed of- « ficially. Yet the inside talk for sev- eral months in Washington is that America’s preparedness for war is | absurdly insufficient and that if the | American people knew the who!e‘ truth they would be as shocked as | were the British people when they | found themselves plunged into war | without a big enough air force to | combat the enemy. The most natural thing for the Republicans to do is to insist that Congress stay in Washington and that & complete investigation be made of what the United States has failed to do in the last seven years | that the whole European world has been arming to the teeth. Hull Wanted Battleships. ‘The Democrats, on the other hand, will wish to point the finger of blame at prominent Republicans who have opposed military and naval appropriation increases. Sec- retary Hull wanted a larger battle- ship program about three years ago, but was not backed up. The Dem- ocratic party, of course, has had command of both houses of Con- gress for nearly eight years now | and during that same interval the whole armament situation in the world has undergone drastic change. ‘The Republicans may argue that the Democratic party must accept the responsibility for sins of omission. Within another month the Re- publican party will be making its platform. The pre - convention speeches of its candidates have em- phasized domestic issues, but the invasion of Holland and Belgium by the Nazis has made the American people more conscious than they have been of the implications of what is happening in Europe. This means that there will have to be a change in Republican tactics. It is unlikely that the Repub- Hcans will adopt & simple stay-out- of-war program because the Demo- crats will insist they, {00, intend to stay out of war. It will no long- er be possible persuasively to argue | that the administration “wants” to | drag America into war. The ar-| gument now will turn on which | leadership is better in the event that America, through no fault of her own, is dragged in by world | events over which she has no con- trol. New Issue Looms. ‘The Republicans may find them- selves contending, somewhat as they did in 1916 when the last European WAr was on, namely, that the ad- ministration was not sufficiently vigorous or efficient in its defense plans. The Republicans lost that election by only a slight margin. Unfortunately, as a result of that campaign, the German government got the impression that the United States would not fight for any reason in defense of her rights. The Democratic position in 1916 had been entirely a “peace-and- prosperity” strategy. But there is an altogether dif- ferent issue looming now. It fits in with what the Republicans have been saying for some time, namely, that the New Deal has been en- couraging a drift toward collec- tivism. The Republicans might contend that if a Republican Presi- dent and a Republican Congress were in power, the American peo- ple—even if forced into war—could be absolutely sure when peace came that their democratic form of gov- ernment and the system of private Initiative would be restored to them, while the New Deal brain trusters, if left in command, would so com- pletely transform the economic sys- tem as to make private enterprise unworkable. The Republicans will have to nominate somebody who has the confidence of the country as being unalterably committed to the sys- tem of private initiative as against SAVE UP TO 40% Fleven years ago Star Carpet Works ] Dresented to Washingtonians High- est Quality Rug Cleaning Service at & grest ssving. You ean’t get better service at any price. xi2 oomeste $9 50 Sloaned ...... ;2 ;2_15 Glsaned, Washed ..... ¢ ORIENTAL RUGS Washed and Ropaired by Exports ALL RUGS FULLY INSURED FIREPROOF STORAGE THE EVENING STAR, WASHINGTON, D. O, MONDAY, The Capital Parade Military Experts Say Nazi Victory Would Cost U. . $2,250,000,000 Annually for Army By JOSEPH ALSOP and ROBERT KINTNER. A few people may still be unconvinced that this country would be seriously affected by & German victory. For them a good thought for today is the War Department’s estimate that in the event of decisive defeat of the English and Prench, we could not safely spend less than $2,250,000,000 annually on the y. ‘This vast sum, $1,500,000, more than the present War Depart- ment appropriation, represents only what might be called the antici- i pated maintenance cost of the Army. It would take care of the pay and housing of the necessary additional men, the training of adequate reserves, and the ordinary yearly requirement for new equip- ment. But it would not take care of the primary outlay—what might be called the capital expenditure— necessary Jor a real defense force. Estimates of the needed primary outlay run up to $3,500,000,000. While it is not the intention here to present detailed figures on the Navy, it should also be remembered by the remaining ostrich-headed that the anticipated additional cost of the Army is as nothing compared with that of the Navy. Where the Army appropriation now runs around $750,000,000 annually, that of the Navy is about $1,000,000,000. For $1,000,- 000000 we get a Navy which is not even wholly adequate for the Pacific service. On the day when we know we can no longer count on the English and French Navies to hold the Atlantic, we shall have to begin building a Navy far more than twice the size of the present one. Self-Defense “ The need for additional spending on the Navy should be fairly ob- vious to any one To some, perhaps, the additional needs of the Army may seem exaggerated. But if the day ever comes when the Germans have won a real victory, then the United States will be in the unfortunate posi- tion of a be-diamonded old lady in a den of thieves. The Germans, the Russians, the Italians and the Japanese, to all of whom we have been extremely offensive in recent years, will dominate the rest of the world. We will be rich, and a tempting mark. Unless we care to imitate the policy of Neville Chamberlain, we shall be forced to prepare at least for self-defense. Self-defense is the single problem the War Department estimates are lr_xtended to meet No Army of conquest is planned. All of South America below the bulge of Northern Brazil is intended to be abandoned to its fate The plans are based only on the presumption that it is vital to this country to maintain the independence of the territory in this ?}smistphere whose possession by a foreign power would constitute a direct reat, Minimum Needs The eventuality kept in mind in planning the Army of self-defense was the strongest possible attack by a combination of powers. This is, of course, the point at which all military calculations must begin. In' view of the fact that it would be vital to hold the northern third of South America, Central America, the United States itself and Canada, the estimate of the minimum requirement seems extremely modest. As broken down, it includes: (1) A standing Army of 350,000 men, or about 125,000 more than we now have. (2) A National Guard, fully instead 'of partly trained, of 320,000 men. (3) Trained reserves of at least 2,500,000 men. These reservists would be trained for three-month periods for three summers apiece, and thus prepared to take the field without a further period in camp. They would have to be chosen— another thought for the ostrich- headed—by some sort of system of selective compulsory service. (4) ‘An air force equal to the best air force owned by another power. Supposing 10,000 planes ~ 5 were required, there would have to be 10,000 fully trained reserve pilots. For such an army, considering the present state of our forces, $2,250,- 000,000 does not seem an exaggerated cost. And if money now seems a vulgar, consideration to be weighed in the formation of national policy, this seeming probably will vanish when present Army needs begin to be discussed. The Germans had hardly invaded the Low Countries before War Department officials took to the President a list of Army needs which could no longer safely be neglected. They began with around $250,000,000 of critical and essential items of material, and $300,000,000 for the air force, without which even the slight force we now have can- not usefully take the field. And they went on to other expenditures, less pressing but still vitally important, which brought the total close to $1,- 500,000,000. Considering the state of the world, it seems unlikely, debt ;imn.c‘;‘ no debt limit, taxes or no taxes, that these Army requests can be gnore: (Released by the North American Newspaper Allance, Inc.) state socialism. The Democrats, on | whole campaign may turn on wtfich the other hand, if they renominate the President, will have to give con- vincing proof that they do not mean to take advantage of war powers to confiscate private property, toward which goal radicals among them have been gradually tending. Fears for Private Enterprise. If Mr. Roosevelt is a third-term candidate he will find his biggest opposition based on a fear that a third term for the New Deal, plus a war, will mean the end of the pri- vate enterprise system. The Presi- dent could meet this sort of argu- ment by action even now. He could give the Government boards and commissions and bureaus a house cleaning and he could begin to re- move the weight of his influence from his party in Congress so that various statutes which sadly need amendment could be amended. The one thing that would militate against election of the President for & third term if war is really immi- nent is not so much the tradition of a third term, but the fear among the managers of business enterprise that Mr. Roosevelt will never handle the labor problem with a firm hand, as must needs be the case in war time. Deference to labor leader- ship’s demands has weakened the President’s position and during the coming campaign the opposition needs only to refer to the weak- nesses in France and Britain on the labor front to discover why the allies are so unprepared today to meet their enemies in the air. Instead of the issue of staying out of war the 4!******'k****************4444444*4444 party could—if war came—fight the war successfully and turn back to the people a system of democracy ug ;ree enterprise when the war ended. - 11,570,000 Jobless, C. . 0. Estimafes Estimating March unemplo,vment‘ at 11,570,000, the Economic ©Outlook, | monthly publication of the Congress | of Industrial Organizations, said to- day that due to technological devel- opments “increasing productivity in the basic industries has forced an absolute reduction in the g umber of workers employed and a reduction in the share of income going to workers.” This observation was based on testimony by C. I. O. leaders be- fore the Federal Monopoly Commit- tee, and it was added that “if it had not peen for the extensive reduc- tion of hours and increase in the hourly wage rates brought about in the main by organized labor, the consequences of technological change would have been even more devastating.” The Economic Outlook said the index of industrial production is “‘continuing to drop slowly” and is expected to reach “about 101 on the Federal Reserve Board index for April, compared to & revised level of 103 fer March.” We Extend You an Invitation —to inspect our Modern, Fireproof Building and Plant . . . and see where and how your Rugs and Carpets are treated, when sent to Hinkel WELCOME DAILY PROM ® TO ¢) (VISITORS % PHONE US TO CALL FOR YOUR RUGS AND CARPETS : Lowest Prices for Finest Work—Why Take a Chance? Rugs and Carpets STORED in our Modern Fireproof Building and INSURED for Full Value! E. P. HINKEL & CO. onmi'ru. RUGS Washed and Repaired by Our Expert Weavers on the Premises Telephone HObart 1171 “The Best Known . . . Known as the Best’—Since 1875 600 Rhode Island Ave. N.E. A 'HE opintons of the writers on this page are thetr own, not T necessarily The Star's. Such opintons are presented in The Star’s azlo{tmo hfl“ :u readers, suc themselves and sides of questions of interest to its opinions may be contradictory among directly opposed to 'he Star’s. Washin'gton Observations Intensification of European War Has Made Third-Term Movement By FREDERIC WILLIAM WILE. Sudden arrival of “real war” in Western has given a tre- mendous fillip to .the Roosevelt third-term movement. It has ceased to be a band- wagon and be- come an ava- lanche. All over Washington you ‘can now hear that the draft- ing of the Presi- dent is “inevit- able” at Chicago in July. Talk 1§ almost, though not quite, as universal that he will not find it possible to refuse to run again. Such Frederic William Wile. thoughts and hopes naturally find the most fervent expression in in- cense-burning New Deal quarters. But they are encountered among Democrats of all breeds, though less enthusiastically among boosters of Hull, Farley, McNutt, Wheeler, Garner, et al. Advocates of these if-Roosevelt-doesn’t-run candidates concede that the steadily expand- ing war, with what F. D. R. de- scribes as its “potentialities,” makes it almost unthinkable that Uncle Sam should swap White House horses in midstream. This observer believes that conditions have sua- denly become such that if there could be an honest-to-goodness poll even among Republicans, it would disclose a surprisingly high. per- centage of them, too, favorable to four more years of Roosevelt, as the one statesman qualified to be at the helm during the dangerous days ahead of us and the rest of the world. * Kk ok ok War Situation to Decide. Somewhere along the Maginot Line, rather than at No. 1600 Penn- sylvania avenue, Roosevelt’s deci- sion about a third nomination is likely to be made. In these blitzkrieg days, prediction is hazardous. Any- thing can happen between now and the time the Democrats begin to assemble for their national con- vention exactly two months from today. But in this quarter the prophecy is once again risked that Roosevelt will choose to run, espe- cially if allied fortunes are still in reverse, or even in doubt. Should the situation for Britain and France be definitely worse with increased probability that Hitler cannot be stopped, the opinion is here and now ventured that the President’s willingness to be drafted may be put down as a foregone conclusion. | * ok K % Unmatched Experience. Let me ask a simple question— where’s the man in either party who measures up even to Roosevelt's waistline in point of the practical experience and background requisite in a President of the United States at this topsy-turvy time? Does Taft, Dewey, Vandenberg, Willkie, Bridges, Bricker, Gannett, Joe Mar- tin or Charlie McNary fill the bill? Herbert Hoover, among Republicans, comes nearest to doing so, but he could hardly be nominated and probably not elected. Among Dem- ocrats, even coy and canny Cor- dell Hull, with seven years at the State Department to his credit, doesn’t possess Franklin Roosevelt's skill in diplomacy or acquaintance with foreign affairs, which have come in the Nazi era to mean war affairs. The President was at Wood- row Wilson's right hand, in the Navy Department, throughout the World War. He has concentrated in large degree since he entered the White House on international and S —— Courtesy of the U. S. Department of Agriculture, Bureay of Entomology. PRAY BOX' ey e control The illustration shows section of box- wood leaf with tissue removed, exposing larvae of miner. This destructive insect is _effectively 'controlled by proper spraying at the right time, ga are equipped to handle your spray- ing requirements at reasonable cost. one_for estimates, Est. 19719 FORMAN & BILLER TREE EXPERT CO. 218 N. Glebe Road, Chestnut 3141, Arlington, Vi FFAFA TR A AR A KA A A A A A Ak ok ok dok dok kokok NN NN N NN N NN NN I MK X K XK 4 outstanding American | an ‘Avalanche’ : naval matters—his hobbies and spe- cialties. Hardly any Hving Ameri- can is his peer in either fleld. Would & business concern dispense un- necessarily with the services of' so seasoned an employe? * X Kk X The Dutch in Roosevelt. Those who thought they detected in Mr. Roosevelt'’s address to the Pan-American Scientific Congress a fighting tone, far more belligerent than any previous wartime broad- cast, attribute it to the fact that after all the President is a “Dutch- man.” "And he’s proud of his an- cestry. The Netherlands was in- vaded the day he spoke. Months ago, when the Low Countries were first threatened with Nazi violation, it was recorded in this column that such an adventure by Hitler would bring the European war home to our reigning family as hardly anything else except an attack on the United States. Mrs, Roosevelt, in her syndi- cated column a day or two later, wrote that any menace to Holland would naturally be a matter of spe- cial concerri to the Roosevelt clan and other Americans of Dutch origin. These include the isola- tionist branch of the Roosevelt tribe, Alice Longworth and Young Teddy. They also include isolation- ist Senator Arthur Vandenberg, who is of Dutch extraction and whose home State of Michigan was the scene of one of the important Dutch settlements in America. Should the Netherlands suffer the fate of Czecho-Slovakia, Poland and Nor- way, that in itself would not deter- mine Mr. Roosevelt’s policy, but it would hardly improve his opinion of ;:he Nazis, which is already pretty low. * x % % Political Truce? There comes from a highly re- spected quarter the suggestion that the war now is a sufficiently se- rious proposition for the United States to justify a 1940 “political truce.” The brainwave, of which a former Democratic member of Con- gress is the patentee, seems Utopian in this hour of practical and bit- terly partisan politics. Imagine at the thought of calling everything off, with Philadelphia just around the corner, and a dozen of his more or less favorite sons rarin’ to go! Imagine the alarm with which their fellow-Barkises in the Democratic camp would view a truce idea, at a suggestion to hand Roosevelt a | third term on a silver platter. | * ko *x | “Secession” in the West? | There's a vast amount of irra- tional thinking about the war in this part of the world, but the gem piece to come to this writer's atten- tion arrives with his latest mail. | It announces over the correspond- | ent’s name and Washington ad- | dress that “As a Westerner, I have proposed that we in the West—west | of the Mississippi River—work to- | ward an autonomous government of | the 22 Western States.” The patriot in question is inspired to “support this movement,” as a protest against the rising tide of “Eastern propa- ganda” to “engineer the U. 8. A. into the European situation.” i iGIee du_b Names Officers | Paul Brown of Arlington, Va. | has been named business manager, | and Alexander Maish of Washing- ton, publicity director of Wash- |ington and Lee University's Glee | | Club, it was announced today. * * * as $10. how the elephant would trumpet | the root of which appears to le | This Changing World Mussolini’s Attitude and Whether He'll Move Soon Held More Vital Matters Than Lowlands Battle By CONSTANTINE BROWN. Is Premier Mussolini convinced the German armies are by way of reaching the main objectives set out in the German plan for the first period of the war? Is Mussolini prepared to help brinz s Hitler victory by creating a powerful diversion to prevent the allies rushing adequate reinforcements to foil the Germans. « These two main questions which diplomatic quarters are trying to find answers to todsy are of ‘even greater importance than the progress of battle in Holland, Belglum and on the Maginot Line, 1t is only natural that the first German objectives should have been reached without much trouble. The Germans, having the initiative, knew where they were going to strike on a long front, and the only thing the allies could do was try to e blows the best they could. According to Paris reports, Dutch have 5o far done better than expected. Military quarters in France believed the Netherlands armies would be crushed in 48 hours. They were not; they are falling back, as was inevitable. But there has been no hasty retreat and no rout. ‘The allied high command anticipated spectacular German successes, very much like those of the first stages of the 1914 drive. Military men don’t do much wishful thinking, and neither the British nor the Prench have underestimated the powerful German military machine which has been preparing thoroughly for “The Day” while other nations were talk- ing “Peace In Our Time.” “Had the Germans been less successful than they have been, it would have been & mistake for them to have started the war at all, Allies Expect Only to Delay Nazis All the allies expect to do during the first few weeks of the blitzkrieg I;o:‘ :lehy the program of the Reich's armies and inflict as many losses as e. The main problem ‘is whether the Italians will create a diversion at;mdpellm; the allies to diffuse their forces—something they can 1l afford 0. . The anti-British manifestations in Rome, gether with the evident increase in Italy’s military preparations are still considered efforts by I1 Duce to prevent the allies from detaching im- portant units to fight in Belgium and Holland. g Whether these demonstrations alone will prevent the allies from doing the job they are compelled to do is s matter which cannot be ascertained yet. The German plan to reach the Lowlands_ sea coast has long been known to the allied general staffs and plans to counteract it had been drawn. The generals also took into consideration the possibility that Italy might join the fight against them. They took little stock in the wishful thinking of the diplomats who thought Italy could be bought . It was'for this reason that Gen. Gamelin, commander of the allied fighting forces, wanted the allied governments to ask Mussolini point- blank last September whether he was with or against the allies. At that time the French believed that they could “neutralize” Italy by force because the Germans were engaged in Poland and had not yet secured their rear and their flanks. But since this did not happen because of the resistance of the foreign offices, plans were made to meet the threat from Italy as wéll as from Germany within a few months after Poland ceased to exist. Italy Might Move This Month ; It is considered within the realm of possibility that Mussolini will | translate words into facts and that the Itallans might start their own | blitzkrieg in the Mediterranean. Egypt, or in the Balkans before the end of this month in order to facllitate German operations and “shorten | the war.” . | Again the allied high command is loath to minimize the striking | power of the Italians. | Italy is without doubt more vulnerable than the Reich. Furthermore, | if Mussolini decides to strike he also has the initiative and the allies will | have to follow him wherever he decides to open hostilities. But now the French and the British are better prepared to meet the Italian menace than they were to meet the German onslaught. The French have a substantial force and many strategic advantages ln‘, Africa. The army formed to defend the allies’ African empires has not | | been moved from its positions and there are. powerful forces in Tunisia | and Algeria equal to the task assigned to them. The Weygand army—or important portions of it—is kept in readi- | ness in Syria and could reach Egypt before the Italians, It is believed that 1f Il Duce decides to strike in Egypt he will use the forces Marshal | | Balbo has at his disposal in Cyrenaica and in Ethiopia. Fortifications have been erected on both menaced frontiers. They | are sufficiently strong, it is said, to resist an Italian attack until rein- forcements arrive. - | ~ But despite these precautionary measures, which have been taken | | since 1938 and have been vastly improved since the outbreak of the war, | | there is a feeling of uneasiness in diplomatic and military quarters and 1 a fear that Mussolini’s eventual action might weaken the plans of the | allies on the western front. | | Society of Sacred Heart Founder Is Beatified By the Associated Press. VATICAN CITYe May Milan and elsewhere, to- when, with four sisters, she esta lished a Society of the Sacred Heart | School at the village of St. Charles, Mo., where she died in 1852, and is buried. She would be classified as an American saint, even though she 13.—A | was born in France. French nun wiio injgpduced the So- ciety of the eart to America more than 100 ur& 1s hon- ored as one of the bl aljg some day may become the first Am saint. | In a ceremony in St. Peter's yes- terday morning, attended by a dele- gation from the United States, Mother Philippine Rose Duchesne was beatified. Beatification usually | 15 the first step toward sainthood. Mother Duchesne introduced the society to the New World in 1818 | portable throne and, with traditional | After the morning ceremony, wit- nessed by Myron C. Taylor, personal representative of President Roose- velt at the Vatican, Pope Pius XIT was carried into the basilica on his venerated the nun. LA JOLLA, Calif., y 13 (P)— Henry W. Thayer, 73, former New York architect, died yesterday at his home here after a brief illness. The Savings Department of the Morris Plan Bank is becoming more and more popular all the time, because . . « Interest is paid on savings accounts at the rate of 2%, compounded semi-annually, on balances of $25 to $2500. A lesser rate is paid on balances above $2500. Deposits are insured, up through $5000, for each de- positor, by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. It has always been the practice of the Morris Plan Bank . to pay withdrawals without requiring notice in advance. The Bank is a member of the District of Columbia Bankers Association, American Bankers Association and the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. You can start your Savings * * * * * * * * 0 ON SAVINGS UP TO $2500 Dutch Island Brings War Across Sea Action at Willemstad Carries Warning For United States By CHARLES G. ROSS. Overshadowed by the news from Europe, this brief dispatch appears in the papers: WILLEMSTAD, Netherlands West Indies, May 10 (#)—The Governor of the Netherlands West Indies proclaimed s state of war against Germany today and ordered martial law put into effect after crews of four Ger- man ships in harbor here and at Aruba attempted to scuttle or set fire to their vessels. One Ger- man wjs reported to have been killed when he resisted Nether- lands authorities. Willemstad is & charming little city on the Dutch-owned island of Curacao, just off the coast of Venezuela. It is a bit of Holland t r ansplanted ¢ across the ocean. The houses, in the Dutch style, shine with the cleanliness of the polished doorsteps of B a ltimore. Streams run- ning through the city look like canals. Thousands of American tour- ists, cruising for pleasure about Charles G. Ress. the Caribbean, have bought perfumes in the shops of Willemstad and exclaimed over its beauties and quaintness. To many it has seemed a marvel that a city so well scrubbed, so or- derly, so perfectly a reflection of the disciplined habits of the Dutch, could exist in the West Indies. On both Curacao and its sister island of Aruba, the Dutch officials have declared martial law. French and British forces are reported to | have gone there to assist their new allies. 1t is oil that has put the European democracies on the alert in the Dutch West Indies. There are great refineries there, owned largely by American capital, and the allies are concerned to protect them against possible German raiding. One-third of the allies’ supplies of high-octane gasoline is sald to come from Curacao and Aruba. Heart of U. S. Foreign Policy. What is the concern of the United States? Just this: We are committed by the Monroe Doctrine and by everv | consideration of seli-interest and humanitarianism to the protection of Latin America against a hostile thrust from Europe. That commitment binds us today and it will still bind us after the War. ‘We cannot ignore the possibility that Hitler, if he wins the war, will strike to the south of us. We cannot ignore any possibility whatsoever. The news from the little Dutch city of Willemstad, at the doorstep of the United States, carries its overtone of warning. ‘We need to keep cool—and to pre- pare. e Ee—— : V| EISEMAN’S .. FatTth Every Man’s Wardrobe Should Include Striped Worsted Account today with as little The fact that the Morris Plan Bank now serves over 40,000 accounts of individuals in all departments, is an indication of the many ways in which we are daily assisting Washingtonians with their banking. If you have never used any of our services,-we'd like to have you come in, for we believe you too will find our way of doing business to your liking. - MORRIS PLAN BANK. The Bank for the Individual . . Now Serving 40,000 Accounts of Individuals < 14th and G Streets, N. W. 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