Evening Star Newspaper, November 2, 1930, Page 25

PROTEST VOTE DUE 10 HURT MORROW Election to Senate Over Simpson by Comfortable Margin Seen, However. Special Dispatch to The Star. NEWARK, N. J., November 1.—Dwight ‘W. Morrow's chances of breaking all records in New Jerser for landslide vic- fories have been set back by the sweep of sentiment that is threatening the Re- publican party across the country. He probably will be elected to the United States Senate over Alexander Simpson, Democrat, by a comfortable majority, however. Interest in New Jersey now s in the extent to which Morrow will suffer by the dissatisfaction with Repub- lican national control. Morrow has an advantage over Re- publican senatorial candidates in other States in that he has éliminated prohi- bition as an issue. His declaration for repeal of the eighteenth amendment, which may be responsible for the trou- ble some Republicans are facing in other States, gave him & considerable boost in New Jersey. Whereas others have both hard times and prohibition as bur- dens, Morrow has only the one hurdle in this highly industrial State. In off-year elections for the past dec- ade New Jersey has elected Democratic governors and Senators consistently. In each instance it was because a large number of Republicans left their y to I’tgl'll a protest against prohibition. For the first time the Republican party stands committed for repeal, and the Republican voters therefore have not this reason for shifting. ‘The most skilled politician cannot an. ticipate the “protest” or “discontent vote, and therefore the Morrow man- agers are bending every effort in the last days of the campaign to offset it by | iting the large volunteer army that helped roll up his primary vote. It was the “casual” voter, who appears only in , that gave Morrow his | ge'ulflenthl 'mendous plurality at the primaries. Lack of interest in the campaign since June has failed to keep these voters pepped up. Their doorbells are being Tung anew. Campaign Listless. Despite Morrow's Nation-wide promi- nence, it has been a listless campaign. He made one speech after his resigna- tion as Ambassador to Mexico, in wi he reiterated his advocacy of repeal of the eightéenth amendment and substitu- tion of a State's rights amendment. He also discussed hard times, declaring that to place re- for “the teovetey Wikl hie appenen controversy it. the people to be assured them that around the corner. the diversity of its indus- Jersey has not suffered so far The candidates for the of Representatives, Legislature and local offices, have trailed in the wake of Morrow and Simpson. They have cam- only in a few localities. The jew Jeresy House delegation at pres- ent is ten Republicans and two Demo- | crats. There is a fair chance that two | more Democrats will be elected, and a | remote chance that the delegation will be evenly divided. Representatives Franklin W. Fort and Harold G. Hoff- man, Republicans, are not mf. re- election. The Democrats are fighting for both seats. They stand a good chance of electing former Representa- tive Daniel F. Minahan to lace Fort. Hoffman's district is no: y Repub- lican. The Eighth New Jersery district 1s an in-and-outer. Representative Fred A. Hartley, Republican, is in a fair way of being displaced by former Repre- sentive Paul J. Moore, Democrat. eran Randolph Perkins in aum but he probably will pull New Jersey’s Legislature, overwhelm- ingly Republican, will continue that . The only other issue, a referen- the issuance of $100,000,000 is working against large expenditure of public funds. THREE D. C. COMMITTEE SENATORS FACE POLLS Capper, Robsion and Glass Up for Re-Election, With Only Ken- tuckian in Danger. ‘Three members of the Senate District | Committee are up for re-election Tues- day. They are Senators Capper, publican, of Kansas. committee cha , Demo- Senator Capper and Senator Glass, it is expected, will be re-elected" with- out difficulty. Indications are that the senatorial race in Kentucky is close. Senator Baird, Republican, of New Jersey, who was a member of the Diw- sion, was serving in the Senate tempo- rarily on a Governor's appointment and is not a candidate for election. His ’g | emerge with party unity for the mayor- CTY | for months. Now he is opposed by | Wilson, . |son admi | But there s ILLINOIS PARTIES CLAIM CONFLICT Democrats Expect Lewis Landslide—Rivals Cannot See McCormick Defeat. CHICAGO, November 1 (N.AN.. Illinois Democrats expect a landslide for James Hamilton Lewis for Senator, while the Republicans do not see how Mrs. Ruth Hanna McCormick can lose. As the strangest campaign in the history of the State gets down to the insanity stage, it appears that Lewls has gained considerably in the last fort- night. Sporadic reports of betting that have any degree of authenticity show even-money wagers now, where it was 8 to 5 in Mrs, McCormick's favor a month ago. The Chesterfieldian Lewis, who once took off his hat and bowed when, upon answering a tele- phone call, he heard a woman's voice, seems to have his two woman opponents beaten. After putting the aggregate of can- vasses and surveys by party leaders into a hat and shaking well, that which comes out indicates the following fore- cast: Mrs. McCormick should have & ma- jority of around 100,000 in & total of 101 counties, while Lewis should win in Cook County, including Chicago, by around 150,000. Mrs. Lottie Holman O'Neill, the inde- pendent Republican dry, will run third. Two Million Total Likely. The total vote in the State should be about two million. The six other candidates for the Senate will be lost in the shuffie, although their names will be on a ballot as big as a Texas bed sheet. Reporters from anti-Hoover adminis- tration newspapers visiting Chicago attempted to find a rabid anti-Hoover sentiment, but have been unable to substantiate their belief that the Presi- dent was responsible for the business depression and the drought, which did ::z injure Illinois farmers greatly any- w. However, it isa fact that the modifica- tion of prohibition sentiment has grown in Tlinois, and Lewis' platform of State manufacture and sale of beer, wine, liquor and similar tonics from home- | grown _grain, proceeds of such State- controlled manufacture and sale, less cost and fixed margin for the State treasury, to constitute the form of farm relief for grain growers, has at least caused comment. The prohibition refer- endum is expected to be dripping. Opposition to Sex Downstate. ‘There is considerable opposition to Mrs. McCormick among elderly down- state farmers on the ground that they don’t want women in the Senate, although they voted for her two years ago as Representative at large. Mayor Thompson shied his cowboy hat into the ring for next February’ Republican mayoralty primary for a fourth term, then viclously attacked the candidacy of Mrs. McCormick and indorsed Lewis. Now Cook County Re- g\.xbuum are busy kicking Thompson’s t, but have not dislodged it from the ring as yet. All Republican factions, except Thompson's, protest they are supporting Mrs. McCormick for Senator, while the Democrats are expecting to sweep the Cook County ticket and alty campaign. THIRD PARTY CLOUDS UTAH VOTE OUTCOME Fight Centers in Second District, | ‘With G. 0. P. Disorganized in Muddled Campaign. Special Dispatch to The Btar. SALT LAKE CITY, Utah, November 1.—The campaign in Utah das been muddled from the start to finish. Two years ago & bad split in the Republi- can ranks in Salt Lake County, which furnishes about one-third of the voters of the State, resulted in the election of | the entire Democratic county ticket. The late E. O. Leatherwood, Represen- tative from the second district, which | includes Salt Lake City, was strongly | intrenched after eight years of service in the National House, but he was elected by only a few votes. | This year the Republicans have en- | deavored to heal the old sores, but they have not been successful. To add to | their grief and possibly offset any peace plans they may have made, & \ he . Sunday Staf THE SUNDAY BSTAR, WASHINGTON, BT, NOVEMBER 2, 1930—PART ONE. Digest of Reports From Over the United States BY G. GOULD LINCOLN. ATERIAL gains in the House and Senate by Democrats, with the possibility of Democratic control of the House, are indicated in a survey of all the States made for The Star by special political writers in each State. The Senate, it appears, will continue to show @ Republican majority, although a Democratic landslide might give the Democrats an even half of that body, or a majority of one. It would, however require a greater sweep than these cor- respondents believe possible to bring about & Democratic majority of the Upper House. The reports from the States, while they indi- cate a possibility of a Democratic House in the next Congress, do not make a hard and fast forecast that this will be the result. However, giving the Democratic party the maximum num- ber of congressional districts declared to be in doubt by these correspondents would result in & total gain of 60 seats now held by the Republicans, Two May Be Soclalists. The Republicans, in addition to these losses, may in Wisconsin drop two House seats to the Socialists. To win actual control of the House in the next Congress the Democrats must take from the Republicans and add to their own present quota 53 seats. The reports indicate that the Republicans may win two or three seats now held by Democrats. It is quite clear from these reports that the wide margin of control in the Houss now held by the Republicans, totaling 103 seats, is to be severely cut. It is only by giving the Democrats nearly all the breaks in closely contested districts that the summary of the reports shows the Democrats with a majority of the House in the Seventy-second Congress. Democratic gains in the Hquse delegations, indicated by these correspondents are as follow: Connecticut, 1; Illinois, 4; Indiana, 3 to 6; Kentucky, 4 to 5; Maryland, 1 to 2; Massachu- setts, 1 to 2; Michigan, 1; Missouri, 4 to 6; Nebraska, 2 to 3; New Jersey, 2 to 4: New Hampshire, 1; New Mexico, 1; New York, 1 to 2; North Carolina, 2; Ohio, 1 to 6; Oklahoma, 1 to 2; Pennsylvania, 3; Utah, 1; Virginia, 3; ‘Washington, 1, and West Virginia, 1 to 4. Thirty-four Senate seats are to be contested for on Tuesday as the election affects the new Senate. Main held its election in September, sending to the Senate Representative Wallace H. White to succeed Senator Gould, both Repub- licans. Maine also elected a solid Pepublican delegation to the House. There are sight “short term” elections for the Senate, which may change the personnel of the present Senate when it meets in December. These short term elections, however, canmot change the control of the Republicans in the present Senate, Fourteen Hard Battles, ‘The reports of the special correspondents of ‘The Star show that hard battles are being waged in 14 States for senatorial seats. They are West Virginia, Ohio, Illinois, Colorado, Wyoming, Rhode Island, Delaware, Montana, South Dakota, Ne- braska, Kentucky, Oklahoma, Massachusetts and Minnesota. In six of these States, West Virginia Ohio, Massachusetts, Montana, Oklahoma and Tlinois, it is declared the Democratic candidates will in all probability win. In Kentucky, Min- nesota and Delaware, the Democrats are given “the edge.” The Republicans, on the other hand are declared to be probable winners in Nebraska, Colorado, Rhode Island, South Dakota and ‘Wyoming. There is one State in which the Republicans are assured a senatorial victory where the in- cumbent is a Democrat. That is Iowa, where Representative Dickinson, Republican, is slated to defeat Senator Steck, Democrat. The present makeup of the Senate is 56 Re- publicans, 39 Democrats and 1 Farmer-Labor. To obtain control of the Senate the Democrats must have at least 49 Senators. In other words, they must win 10 seats held by the Republicans and keep all their own. According to the re- ports, it is not possible for the Democrats to hold the Steck seat in Towa, and they might possibly lose the Montana seat, occupled by Senator Thomas J. Walsh, though this is not probable. It is clear, therefore, that the Democrats would be compelled to win 11 Republican seats at the t, to obtain the right to organize and control the Senate. The reports of The Star’s special correspondents show such gains to be practically impossible. Need Twelve States. ‘They would have to carry 12 of the 14 States in which real senatorial battles are listed. It would mean retaining the seat held now by Walsh of Montana and winning every other con- test in that group of States except those in Nebraska, where Senator George W. Norris, Re- publican, is opposed by former Senator Gilbert M. Hitchcock, Democrat, and in Wyoming. Norris is given the edge in his fight for re- election, and so is former Gov. Robert D. Carey, Republican, in Wyoming. The Senate, it is indicated by these reports, will continue to show a Republican majority in the next Congress, though this majority may be considerably reduced as compared to the Re- publican lead in the present Senate. The wet-and-dry issue is cutting squarely across Republican party lines in several of the States, particularly in Ohio, Illinois, Delaware and Massachusetts, the reports show. The same issue is making the re-election of Senator Thomas J. Walsh, a Democrat, more difficult in Montana. Walsh is running as a dry against Judge Albert J. Galen, a Republican wet. Pro- hibition is also playing an important part in a considerable number of congressional districts in this election. In both Senate and House the wets are due to make gains. From every State comes reports that business depression and unemployment are making it more difficult for the Republicans to hold their lines. In strong Republican States the indica- tions are that the G. O. P. candidates will win only with much reduced majorities. In States where the parties are more evenly divided, the Democrats are given the advantage because of hard times. Difficult to Measure. The correspondents frankly admit that they are unable to gauge the extent of the protest vote which will be cast against the Republican candidates because of economic conditions. It is frequently admitted that discontent might bring on a Democratic victory of landslide proportions. The tariff, water power, farm relief are other issues in the campaign, but they are playing minor roles compared to prohibition and de- pression. For the first time woman is making a serious bid for election to the United States Senate, Mrs. Ruth Hanna McCormick, Republican nominee in Tilinois. She is opposed by former Senator J. Hamilton Lewis, Democrat, and by another Re- publican woman, running as an independent and a dry, Mrs. Lottie Holman O'Nefll. Mrs. Mc- Cormick, the indications are, will be defeated, although she is making a strenuous and capable fight for election. ‘The solidly Democratic South, which was shat- tered politically in the 1928 presidential election, is again all Democratic, the reports show. Texas, North Carolina, Virginia and Florida, all of which cast their electoral votes for President Hoover two years ago and against Al Smith, the Demo- cratic candidate for President, are safely in the Democratic column this year. The final struggle appears to be in North Carolina, where Repre- sentative C. A. Jonas, a Republican, who won his way into the House in 1928, is making a desper- ate struggle to win against a Democratic opponent this year. Heflin's Fate in Doubt. Senator Thomas J. Heflin, Democrat, but op- ponent of Al Smith, is seeking to retain his seat and has been compelled to run as an independent. His opponent, John H. Bankhead, Democrat, is reported to have the advantage, although it is admitted that Heflin has a big following and will receive many of the Republican votes cast in Alabama. Texas, which for a number of years, has returned a single Republican member of the House, is likely to do so again. But that is the extent of the Republican victories indicated In that section. The Republican victories in Vir- ginia in 1928 are to be wiped out by returning Democrats to the House on Tuesday. ‘While the Democrats are regaining their hold on the solid South and on some of the border States, which they lost two years ago, the Re- publicans are seeking to win back Massachu- setts and Rhode Island, which slipped over to the Democratic side in the last presidential election. The Republicans are having their troubles. Acording to the reports, Marcus A. Coolidge, wet Democratic candidate for the Senate in Massachusetts, is likely to win over William M. Butler, Republican and dry, although the Republican prospects have been looking up in the Bay State in recent days. Senator Metcalf, Republican, who, like former Senator Gerry, his Democratis opponent, has come out wet, is given the edge in Rhode Island's senatorial contest, though it is admitted that the contest is close and discontent might throw it to the Democrats finally. Governorship Race Warm. ‘Two gubernatorial contests are attracting na- tional attention. They are found in New York and in Pennsylvania. In New York, Gov. Frank- lin D. Roosevelt, who is slated in many Demo- cratic quarters to be the party nominee for President two years hence, is opposed by Charles H. Tuttle, Republican. Tuttle has raised against Gov. Roosevelt and ‘Tammany Hall the charge that judgeships have been sold in New York City by Tammany leaders and that Roosevelt has failed to permit investi- gation of these corruption charges. New York appears to have paid little attention to the corruption charge and is expected to re-elect Gov. Roosevelt. The Republican party in the Empire State has come out against the eight- eenth amendment for the first time, and for that reason the prospects of Mr. Tuttle are watched with even greater interest. The Demo- crats have long been wet in that State. Gifford Pinchot, former Governor and Re- publican candidate for Governor this year, is waging a desperate battle against his Democratic opponent John M. Hemphill, n a State that is usually overwhelmingly Republican. The reports show that the Republican organization in Phil- adelphia, headed by “Bill” Vare, has gone over to Hemphill, except in one ward, and that many other Republicans of prominence are supporting Hemphill either because he is a wet or because of their dislike of Pinchot, whom they term a radical. Leading Democratic drys are working for Pinchot. Although the result is declared to be still in doubt, the Pennsylvania report gives Pinchot the advantage. GORE-PINE FIGHT RESULT IN DOUBT METCALF IS EXPECTED TO WIN BUT BY NARROWEST OF MARGINS Rhode Island to Vote on Dry Issue, With ONLY ONE BATTLE ON IN N. DAKOTA third party has entered the field in this congressional district and nomi- | nated for Congress a prominent attorney | publican. This new organization, which | calls itself the Liberty party, is not ex- | pected to elect any of its members. | The question is as to which of the old | parties it will hit the hardest. | Two years ago Dr. P. H. Paul was the nominee for the Democratic party | for Congress and lost out to the veteran | Leatherwood by but a few votes. He has | been renominated by his party this | year and has been working strenuously Judge F. C. Loofbourow on the regular | Republican ticket with George N. Law- rence, former Republican and now | nominated by the Liberty party, dra ing heavily on the Republican reservi | While Mr. Lawrence has not been a leader in the Republican party, George who is supporting him, has been & power in the party for many years and undoubtedly will take many | voters with him. He is familiar with all the secrets of the Republican party | and is sald to be nursing a grudge be- cause Ernest Bamberger, whom he was | supporting, was knifed by Republican King was returned to Washington, On = | the other hand, a Democratic candi- | date for the nomination of sheriff of Salt Lake County is managing the ! | county campaign for the Liberty party. It is the generally accepted opinion, however, that this man will not take many votes with him. Pean B. Colton, Republican Represent- amve from Utah's first district, prob- ably will be returned to Wi ton, but | his usual comfortable majority will be badly shattered. Democratic leaders | claim they will defeat him and elect their | nominee, Joseph Ririe of Ogden, a| former State auditor and prominent | in the Democratic party since the Wil- inistration. Ririe should carry which is the largest city in the but his lead probably will be insufficient to cover losses in other parts of the State where Colton is firmly intrenched. The general depression has hit Utah, particularly the sheep men, who are, or were, Republicans. a general lassitude in re- who always has been considered a Re- oI leaders two years ago when Senator ;8nd is running as an avowed critic of this may not | an 80 s it Some Observers Predict For- mer Will Win—Democrats Also Expect Governorship. Special Dispatch to The Star. OKLAHOMA CITY, November 1.—A Democratic majorty of 50,000 is pre- | dicted for Willam H. Murray, Demo- cratic nominee for Governor, and the State ticket, with impartial observers | of the opinion that former Senator T. P. Gore, blind Democrat, will defeat | Senator W. B. Pine, Republican incum.: bent, by & somewhat less decisive fig- ur:nzh the anticipated Murray ma- | y. Many, however, regard the Gore-Pine contest in doubt and wagers are being | made on the result at even money. It is the consensus that the Demo- ! crats will re-elect the five members of the Lower House who are now in Con- gress, and gain one and, perhaps, two of the remaining three seats now held by_Republicans. Former Representative F. B. Swank, Democrat, is favored to defeat Repre- sentative U. 8. Stone, Republican, first- term member in the fifth district. Less certain is the outcome in the first dis- trict, where Representative Charles O'Connor, Republican, is opposed by Wesley E. Disney, Democrat, a Tuls lawyer, although' the latter is given a slight edge. Representative M. C. Gar- ber, veteran Republican member in the eighth district, is not held in danger. The wet-and-dry issue has not fig: ured in any of the races, and the con- tests have been pitched along regular | party lines, with the exception of the senatorial race, where Senator Pine has repudiated the Hoover administration | the administration. This has cut in | upon the support of former Senator Gore, who has stressed similar issues. It may cost Pine a part of the Republi- | can support he would ottierwise have enjoyed. BUYS FAMOUS PAINTING Secretary Mellon Now Owns Van | Eyck's “Annunciation.” LONDON, November 1 (#).—The Daily Mail reports that Van Eyck's fa- mous painting, “The Annunciation,” has by Andrew Mellon, Amer- n to disperse the | great collection, sald Mr. Mellon had | acquired the Van Eyck painting through & French firm of art dealers. It asserted American firm was negotiating for other paintings from the Hermitage col- lectiom, | majority of some 1,700 votes. Yeas Meaning to Retain Amendment. Speclal Dispatch to The Star. PROVIDENCE, R. I, November 1.— Rhode Island should return Jesse H. Metcalf, Republican, to the United States Senate next Tuesday, but if it does so it will be by a majority of not | more than 5000 votes out of a total of more than 200,000 which will be cast. This State, it is safe to say, with only the smallest chance of being wrong, will send two Republican Repre- sentatives to Washington, the present incumbents of the first and second dis- tricts, Clark Burdick and Richard S. Aldrich, and a Democrat from the third, Francis B. Condon, former State | Representative of Central Falls. Mr. Condon was nominated by the Demo- crats after Jeremiah E. O’Connell, Democrat, seat this year to go to the Superior Court bench here. ‘Whether this predominantly Repub- | lican victory in the national contest, if it materializes, will result also in a | Republican State administration re- mains to be seen. Prohibition, eco- nomic depression, local issues and per- sonalities are playing their part this Fall. Senator Metcalf has for his opponent on the Democratic ticket former Sena- tor Peter G. Gerry, in the United States Senate for 12 years and defeated by Felix Herbert in 1928, when, strange to say, former Gov. Alfred E. Smith | carried this State’s electoral vote by a In con- trast to his campaign of 1928 when he spent most of his time in New York with the Smith Advisory Committee, hoping that Smith's tremendous popu- larity would carry him through, Mr. Gerry year, repairing the fences and seeing to registration. Certain it is that he has left nothing undone to secure elec- tion, Hence the close vote which must be _the result. Senator Metcalf, on the other hand, has the advantage of being the office holder elected from what is normally a Republican State. He is a native Rhode | Islander, noted for his large philanthro- pies, and commands the respect of a personal following as a humane em- ployer of labor, in addition to having | the doubtful support of a Republican organization which likes him none too well because he has not always fallen in with its schemes for perpetuation of the G. O. P. sway. It is hard to imagine his defeat in his native State, and yet Gerry's vote-getting ability is not o be treated lightly, neither are the cross-currents of election, which are like none before them. Rhode Island will vote upon a pro- hibition referendum this election. The question on ballot is a tricky one. It is: “The Eighteenth Amendment to the Constitution of the United States— Shall It Be Retained?” Contrary to the usual manner voting on lssue, the yeas will drys and the resigned his congressional | has been “at home” for the past | cratic leader spoke the language of the noes will be wets. Confusion and fail- ure of many voters properly to record their intentions are bound to result. ‘The Republican party at its State convention adopted a plank that it would abide by the will of the voters in the dry issue. The Democrats wrote a flat plank for repeal regardless of tie referendum, which undoubtedly will re- sult in a wet vote of probably two or three to one. Nearly two weeks ago Senator Met- calf came out with a wet statement, declaring that he did not believé in the eighteenth amendment, that he favored its repeal, but that he would abide by the voters’ will. A week ago the Rhode Island branch of the Association Against the Pro- hibition Amendment issued the result of its questionnaire to candidates. ‘The association indorsed both Met- | calf and Gerry for Senator, but “pre- ferred” Gerry. It indorsed both Bur- dick and his Democratic opponent, Samuel W. Smith, jr., for Congress in the first district; it indorsed Arthur L. Conaty, Democrat, against Representa- tive Aldrich in the second, and Francis B. Condon, Democrat, against William R. Fortin in the third. These indorse- ments undoubtedly carry weight. Re- peal of the dry law has come to mean as much to the wets here as retention of it means to the drys. It is not politics. It is a form of religion. Another late factor in the campaign was the appearance here last Monday night of former Gov. Smith. Fifteen thousand persons jammed a hall to see him. Some of them clung to the rafters, and thousands overflowed into the corridors and outside. The Demo- man in the street, especially the Rhode Island man in the street who is a tex- tile mill worker or a machinist or a jewelry bench hand when he pl the Democratic party to a five-day work week. ‘The State contest is having its weight in the campaign. Theodore Francis Green, eminent lawyer and Jeffersonian Democrat, whom no one contends is anything but an honest and courageous man, is laying slege to the governor's chair, now occupied by Norman S. Case. ‘To repeat: Rhode Island should elect Jesse Metcalf to the United States Senate on Tuesday, but his majority probably will be too slim to be com- fortable. e e Huge Investments Shown. NEW YORK, November 1 (#).—In- vestments of the Rockefeller Foundation | in stocks and bonds at the end of 1929 totaled $176,807,903, of which more than $50,000,000 was in securities of the this | Standard Oil Co. of New Jersey, the treasurer’s report issued yesterday said. edged | ¢ oen’the Republican factions. Repub- Representative Thomas Hall Is Nevertheless Expected to Be Re-Elected. | Special Dispatch to The Star. | BISMARCK, N. Dak., November 1.— Only one congressional office is in doubt in North Dakota, that being the second | congressional district, where Thomas | Hall, Republican incumbent, is by P. W. Lanier, wet Democra is more speculative than actual, since even Democrats expect Hall to win. Their's is the faint hope natural among Democrats in a State where the Repub- lican primary election determines prac- tically all issues. Congressional candidates in the first | and third districts are opposed also, but opposition is more normal than actual. | Republican victory is conceded. ‘The doubt in the second district con- gressional race is inspired by two fac- | tors. In a referendum in 1928, it was wet by the slim majority of 545. Lanier | |is an avowed wet. Hall has voted dry, but has managed, heretofore, to main- tain some wet connections and get some wet support. | “Lanier has the support of non- | partisan Republicans, members of the | faction which lists Senators Frazier and | Nye as members, and which is bitterly | | opposed to that wing of the party repre- |sented by Representatives Hall and | Burtness. They are working openly for | the Democratic candidate, and therein | {lles the latter's chance for victory. However, this situation has prevailed | before, and the Republican nominee al- | ways has been elected. | "'No Senator will be elected this year, | but an entire slate of State officers will | be voted into office. Because of the battle between the two Republican fac- tions over State issues, chief interest centers in the fight to control the Legis- lature, which remains in doubt as be- lican candidates for State offices are campaigning, but are active only in the doubtful legislative districts, where one faction or the other is attempting to upset the results of the primary elec- tion. Reserve Bank Head to Sail. NEW YORK, November 1 (#).— George L. Hazrison, governor of the New York Federal Reserve Bank, will next week for Europe on one of his peri- odical visits to discuss world financial problems with the heads of central banks in London, Paris and Berlin. s o i Actress Must Pay House Damage. HOLLYWOOD, Calif., November 1 (#). —Besides the rent on a house in the | film colony here, Olga Baclanova, screen actress, yesterday was ordered by the Municipa]l Court to pay $350 more for damage é_d to rugs and furniture during ‘occupancy. sail | has National Survey BAY STATE DVIDED ON 2 WA ISSES Prohibition and Unemploy- ment Basis of Strenuous Election Campaign. Bpecial Dispatch to The Star. BOSTON, November 1.—Prohibition and unemployment have forged ahead as the chief issues on which the voters of Massachusetts will elect one United States Senator, 16 members of Congress and a full complement of State officers next Tuesday. The Democrats are solidly and mili- tantly wet. The Republicans, save for five of their congressional candidates, are apostles of prohibition. Two of the five have no chance of victory. Both sides are unanimous in the opinion that something must be done to relieve the unemployment situation created by the current industrial depression, but the remedies advanced are not £o sharply drawn as are the opposing views on prohibition. The dry Republican candidate for Senator is Willlam M. Butler, national- ly known through his position as chair- man of the National Republican Com- mittee under President Coolidge. But- ler was appointed to the seat in the Senate made vacant by the death of Henry Cabot Lodge in 1924, but two years later he was deprived of it in the election of Senator David I. Walsh. Magic Name Wins Favor. Butler's Democratic opponent this year is Marcus A. Coolidge, whose only public service has been a one-year term as mayor of the city of Fitchburg. Al- though Marcus is no relation to his much more famous namesake, it is conceded that the value of the magic name in a Massachusetts election is far from being negligible. In the congressional contests 15 of the present members are seeking re- election. George R. Stobbs, Repub- lican, of Worcester is retiring volun- tarily and Pehr G. Holmes, another Republican, is strongly favored to be- | come his ' successor in the contest against David Goldstein, Democrat. Only two of the 15 Representatives seeking re-election seems to be in the slightest danger. They are Charles L. Underhill, Republican, who won two years ago in the ninth district by an uncomfortably close margin, and Wil- liam J. Granfield, Democrat, who was the beneficiary of the amazing over- turn last February in the second dis. trict special election to choose a suc- cessor to the late Willam Kirk Kaynor. S Butler’s Chances Improved. A few weecks ago competent political observers had conceded the senatorial seat to Coolidge by a substantial mar- gin in spite of the wide disparity in ex- perience and ability, but developments of the campaign have so improved Butler’s chances that he now sees a faint ray of hope breaking through the clouds. In the Republican primary two wet candidates combined to poll & majority | vote but they so divided the strength | that Butler won. His nomination | alienated a block of wets within the ‘parv.y. Col. Eben 8. Draper, his prin- | cipal opponent in the primary, bolted Butler's candidacy and apprehension has been expressed lest his defection take with him many of his supporters. Coolidge was conducting a colorless and inoffensive campaign, seeking votes gesture of punishment to the party in power for the prevailing industrial de- pression. He questioned Butler's labor record rather mildly and apparently was holding his strength until it sud- denly was revealed that he had removed the major part of his industrial manu- facturing establishment from his native city of Fitchburg to Seneca Falls, N. Y. | Campaign Conditions Outlined. | The capitalization of that demonstra- tion of lack of faith in Massachusetts, contrary to the preaching of Calvin, is the means through which Butler may upset the early campaign lictions. If Butler does win, it will entirely due to Coolidge's weakness, because op- position to prohibition is firmly in- trenched in the State. Although the State administration is solidly Republican, and has been since the war, and 12 of the 16 Representa- tives are likewise of that party, it has gone Democratic nationally in the last two elections. Walsh defeated Butler for the short term in 1926 and won & full term in 1928, when Gov. Smith | carried the electoral vote in his fight for the presidency. Walsh a Party Guide. In the current campaign the Demo- cratic strategy, as outlined by Senator Walsh, was developed to capitalize what he foresees to be a tremendous vote of protest against the party in power. He has frankly and guhncly expressed the opinion that n ng the Republicans can do will prevail against this reac- tion. Al Smith’s visit to Boston did much to solidify the vote of the Boston Democrats, who were none too cordial Republican Representatives Tread- way, Foss, Rogers, Andrew, Ballinger, Tinkham, Luce, Wigglesworth, Martin and Gifford are strongly favored to win, while the Democrats—Connery, Doug- lass and McCormack—are so firmly en- trenched as to make opposition futile. Holmes is favored to succeed Stobbs, but Granfield is facing a stubborn and | toward Coolidge. resourceful foe in Joshua L. Brooks,| who has made concessions to the wets by standing for modification of the eighteenth amendment. 900 CANDIDATES SEEK CONGRESSIONAL PLACES All of House Seats and 39 in Sen- ate Being Contested for This “Off” Year. While there are approximately 900 candidates for the United States Senate and House of Representatives engaged in the bienninl campaign, with all of the 435 members of the House and 39 Senate terms to be decided in the election on Tuesday—there is one pres- ent member of the House who can sit back serenely and watch without per- sonal trepidation the anxiety of his colleagues. This is Representative Wallace H. ‘White, jr., of Maine, who, after serving for 14 years consecutively in the House, been elected to the Senate as suc- cessor to Senator Arthur R. Gould, who was not a candidate for re-election. ‘The Maine election was held in Sep- tember. Hawaiian Sugar Crop Record. HQNOLULU, November 1 (#)—Ha- wali's raw sugar productigp for the cur- rent year was estimated Sugar Factors, Ltd, to tons, largest in the history 'f’-a‘ ln’;eofi mm‘ 18} on his position as a wet and also as a | BANKHEAD VICTORY SEEN I LA Vote Expected to Be Close, With Party Loyalty as Chief Issue. Special Dispatch to The Star. | BIRMINGHAM, Ala, November 1.— | Dissension such as the State has not | known since the Populist uprising in | the 90s is tearing Alabama on the | eve of the general election with an | independent movement led by Senator J. Thomas Heflin seeking to defeat the major nominees of the Democratic | primary last August. |~ The fight s entirely one between | nominal Democrats as the Republicans | of the State in convention in September | decided not to put out a State ticket, but to throw their support behind | Heflin and his followers in return for | the aid given by the anti-Smith Demo- | crats in 1928 to the Hoover cause. | Heflin, barred from running in the primary by the State Democratic Exec- | utive Committee because he had not supported the Houston nominees, has | led a fight on the committee’s action | on the grounds that it was “Raskob- controlled, Tammany - dictated” and does not represent the sentiment of the Democrats of the State. The fac- | tion supporting the primary nominees and the disbarment ruling has con- tended that it and it only is entitled to the name of Democrats since it has adhered to the Jeffersonian principles | of acquiescence in the will of the ma- | jority. Party Loyalty at Issue. ‘The issue of party loyalty is virtually the only one in the election in Alabama. | Questions of farm relief, prohibition | and the tariff have been only incidental to the discussion of the right of the party committee to disqualify the bolt- ers as candidates in view of the extraor- | dinary conditions of 1928. . ( Heflin has been campaigning with all the skill and craftiness of 34 years in public office and has been aided by con- tributions from members of the Ku | Klux Klan throughout the Nation, who | see in Heflin their spokesman in Con- | gress for their ideas. Heflin opposes John H. Bankhead, son of the late Senator by that name, whom Heflin | lu;!te!deld. n only four of the 10 congressional | districts of the State do the Democratic | incumbents, all of whom were renomi- nated, have opposition. In the seventh and tenth districts, where the | licans always make a fight | tive W. B. Bai and Representa- tive Miles C. Allgood have opposition. The opponent of Bankhead, who is a | brother to John H., is Charles P. Lunss | ;:;edl 1s opposed by Johm R. | _In the fourth district Representative pendent ticket with Heflin. Repre- sentative George Huddleston in th ninth district is contesti with Holli, P. Parrish, an independent Re-elections Expected. Alabama has never sent anything but a solid Democratic delegation to Con- gress since the Populists broke in | Even in 1928 when the four district | listed above were carried by Hoover, the | Democratic nominees for Congress were | elected. Consequently, the State’s dele- gation to the Lower House is generally expected to remain intact. g Not quite so much assurance is ex- pressed, however, in the election of John H. Bankhead over Heflin. ‘The State Democratic Campaign | Committee bases its hopes of the elec- | tion of Bankhead on several factors: | In the first place, it is declared, Heflin cannot control all the vote polled by | Hoover in 1928. Many of the anti- | Smith Democrats have returned to the rty organization. Some of these were leaders in the fight against the Houston nominee, such as H. L. Anderson, Bir- mingham, and Judge W. L. Lee, Dothan. | On the other hand, many of the Re- | publicans who, of course, voted for | Hoover two years ago find themselves unable now to support Heflin in the absence of any nominees of their own and will probably not vote at all. Hef- lin, it is declared, cannot overcome the defections in the ranks of the anti- | Smith voters by his pleas that he rep- | resents the real Democratic spirit and that the party organization needs to be | wrested from the “wet, Tammany, Catholic Rascob” hands into which it has fallen, : Another chief factor on which the Democratic committee is counting is the intensive campaign it has waged. The Democrats of labamAa—that is, those | Democrats who bear the name and | claim to possess also the “real spirit of | Democracy”—are organized as never | before in the N!mg of the State. The campaign organization extends down to the smallest precinct. Speakers have been poured into every hamlet. All the 10 Representatives and Senator Hugo | Black, Heflin's colleague, have been speaking for the Bankhead ticket. No State or district officer is openly sup- | porting Heflin, and only a few have | be:'x;-dle or have dared to avoid taking a nd. | If Heflin wins he will win over a tight | party organization and over a more determined opposition than the Hoover- crats experienced in 1928. And the v;_g-nceu are generally considered against | m. | The vote is expected to be greater than ever before. The 1928 general election balloting set a record with 247,000 votes, of which Smith got 127,000 and Hoover 120,000. But many Democrats “went fishing” that day | rather than vote for Smith or againsts | Democratic nominee. There will be less incentive to stay away from the | polls this time, and the total vote is expected to approximate 275,000. There are 330,000 qualified voters in Alabama. Of this number only about 75.000 may be considered normally Republican. Other Candidates. Running with Heflin is Judge Hugh A. Locke, candidate for Governor, and Dempsey W. Powell, candidate for lieutenant governor. Heflin is expected to run ahead of them. The regular Democratic nominees for Governor and l;:‘v.;;enll;t [ovemot'“ are Judge B. M. ler, former me Court judge, and Hugh N. mmnnmon attorney. CRATER REPORT DOUBTED Mistaken Identity, Gotham Deteo- tives in Seattle Declare. SEATTLE, Wash., November 1 (#).— Detectives were to return W. E. Willard to New Ya‘lwuuamndhmufl charge, today discounted reports Supreme Court Justice Joseph Force Crater, New York, missing nearly three months, was in Seattle. The detectives, Henry Devlin and