Evening Star Newspaper, October 23, 1896, Page 12

12 OUT IN ILLINOIS Effect of Chicago’s Great Registra- tion on the Campaign. DEMOCRATS CHARGING FRAUD Gov. Altgeld Has Three Strings to His Bow. REPUBLICANS CONFIDENT a ee Correspondence of The Evening Star. CHICAGO, Octover 21, 1896. The further increase in the total city vote caused by the large registration Tues- day again encouraged the republicans. For some reason the republicans claim all of the benefit from the increased registration. They assert that the larger the vote the bigger majority McKinley will receive in this city. Naturally, this is denied by the democrats. The republicans now assert that they will carry Illinois by 100,000 or more, and that something like that majority will be xziven in Cook county. On the other hand, equal- ly as confident claims are made by the democrats. Governor Altgeld now says that Bryan will carry Illiavis, but he has somewhat impaired the confidence of his supporters in his ability as a propnet by declaring, on his return from New York, that the empire state would be carried by Bryan. Evidently the democrats expect a large majority for McKinley in Cook county. This is apparent from the fact that they are already making charges of fraud. In the first place, they have asserted that thousands of republicans have been illegal- ly regisiered, and intimate that the fact that the election m: inery is under the control of the party will be resporsible for the size of the majority here. Frauds in Naturalization Charged. It is also hinted by the democrats that there have been frauds in naturalization. Chairman Alexander Jones of the demo- cratic campaign committee has begun pro- ceedings to allow the clezk of the court to show his records. It is alleged that there have been gross frauds, and that, they say, is why Magerstadt would not show his records. Jones has played rather a sharp trick by writing to the Civic Federation, which ts organized in favour of the better- ing of municipal conditions, asking its co- operation. A majority—a vast majority—of its members are in favor of the election of McKinley. It is not believed that there have been any frauds or that any are in contempla- tion, and most people agree with the r publicans, who say that the hullabaloo has been made simply to give an opportunity to evade the responsibility for the defeat of Bryan in the state. A new complication which has arisen to vex the republicans is that many support- ers of Altgeld, who are also for McKinley, and there are many of these, have been told that to make certain of their Altgeld vote they should vote for Bryan. Under the Ilinois ballot law, which se2ms framed to discourage independent voting, if a cross is made at the head of the ticket, and another cross Is made against the name of a candidate on another ticket, the ballot is void, although the intention of the Voter to cast his ballot against only one man on his party ticket is very evident. The workmen, who are supporters of Alt- geld, have been warned that to run no risks they should put a cross at the head of the democratic ticket, and as there are many men who care more xbout the eiec- tion of Altgeld than anything else, they may take this advice so as to make sure of their vote for the governor. However unpopular Altgeld’s attacks on “government by injunction,” etc., may be in other parts of the country, it is unques- tonable that he has a strong following in Illinois on that ground alone. The registration of women has been ra- ther large, perhaps 60,0) ballots will be cast in the state. Under the Illinois law they are allowed to vote for trustees of the State University, and a small proportion avail themselves of the right. Each party has nominated a woman on this account. and should the vote be close both women would win, as experience has shown that the women who vote generally vote for one of their own sex. At the ‘ast election the women led their tickets, and they are likely to do so again this year. Thirteen Tickets. Thirteen tickets will appear on the offi- cial ballot. They are as follows: Demo- erat, republican, prohibition, people's party. socialist labor party, national party, .nid- @le-of-the-road party, independent gold standard democracy, independent party, in- dependent democratic party, independent silver party, independent republican party, rational silver party. The middle-of-the-road party 1s the straight populists who declined to fuse. The gold democrats have the Indianapolis electors, under the name “independent gold standard democracy.” ‘The gold democrats have practically closed their headquarters. Controller Eck- els and Governor Flower are touring the state. W. S. Forman, the candidate for governor, who is running to defeat Alt- geld, is also stumping. The result of the gold democratic bolt has been small. It is not expected that the ticket will poll over 3,000 votes. Vice Chairman Hopkins claims 50,000, Most of the gold democrats will vote for McKinley, if they vote at all. While the offices of the national head. quarters are becoming deserted, and very little werk is being done, things are very lively around the city and state headquar- ters. The fight on the local tickets is be- coming more intense. There is every in- dication mixed tickets will be elected in many counties. The democrats seem to be giving strongest support to the legislative candidates, which lends color to the report that Altgeld is ambitious to go to the Sen- ate should Bryan fail to become President and place him In the cabinet. Altgeld’s Three Strings. Altgeld, by the way, has three strings to his bow. He may be either a member of the cabinet, Attorney General is the office on which he has his eye, or he may be governor or Senator. He may fail of all, but his supporters think he will get one or the other. The governor made an address last night at the Auditorium which was one of the best in point of attendance during the campaign. During the next week he will stump the city until Bryan comes here, when he will go to the state. Hither Alt- geld or Bryan will speak here every day from now until the Sunday before election. Wiliam E. Mason, who will be remem- bered in Washington as the “Billy”. Mason of the first Reed Congress, the rival of John Allen for the honor of being the wit of the House, {s to follow Bryan around while the candidate Is in the state and speak at halis in the vicinity. Mason is a as good man a man as could be had for the task. He has developed into one of the best rough-and-ready orators in the coun- try. He has been doing some excellent work in Illinois for the republican ticket, and has spoken nearly every night for the past three months. Mason's ambition is to return to Washington as United States Senator from Illinois, and he has made many friends by his canvass of the state who will be of service to him in furthering that ambition. Great Activity om All Sides. Although the republicans assert that al- ready 900 meetings have been held in Chi- cago, there is to be no diminution in the vigor with which the campaign will be fought. Aside from Mason a score or two of other orators will be here during the next two weeks, and at all hours of the day or night a speech may be heard. The democrats intend to be quite as active. Never was a political battle in Illinols as keenly fought, and the time between now and the election will be full of fighting, and the fight will not be won or lost until the close of the polls. An indication of the inierest which is be- ing taken is found-in the fact that the employers of labor are talking of closing their shops on election day to allow their men to vote. Several of the biggest estab- lishments in the city have promised to make the day a holiday, and the Business Men's Sound Money Association is trying to persuade all of them to do this. The policy is, however, doubted by many em- ployers, who say that their men might take the opportunity to go out of town for a day, and thus votes for the single stand- ard would be lost. NOTES FROM THE POLITICAL i LOOKS LIKE A LANDSLIDE The Tide in Indiana Has Turned Strongly McKinleyward. A Situation That Encourages the Re- publicans and Causes the Bryan Men to Lose Energy. Correspondence of The Evening Star. INDIANAPOLIS, October 20, 1896. It looks like a political landslide today. The campaign in Indiana has had some queer features this year, and it has puz- zled the oldest inhabitant. Prior to the St. Louis convention, and after Gen. Har- rison had announced his determination not to be a candidate, a wave of McKinley enthusiasm swept over the state that car- ried everything off its feet. In less than a week after he had been nominated the wave swept back, and everybody was say- ing the convention had made a great mis- take, and had not fitted its man to the platform. Just at that time, too, free sil- verism burst out in every direction, and it locked as if Indiana had gone wild in favor of the white metal. This continued to increase in fervor until after the Chi- cago convention. It then stopped, and in a few days began to flow back, and the McKinley fever was once more the con- suming disease. This tide was in turn checked, and began to slowly ebb, but suddenly, about a week ago, it broke out again and burned more fiercely than ever, ene today it is sweeping everything before it. One after another of the old demccratic wheel horses, who had remained silent af- ter the Chicago convention, have come out and repudiated Bryan, ‘and “all his works,” until now the Bryanites can hard- ly count one of the old leaders in their ranks. Col. McLean of Terre Haute, S. P. Sheerin, late secretary of the democratic nations! committee; Frank H. Burke, U. S. attorney for Indiana; Crawford Fair- banks, member of the democratic executive committee of the state; Sterling J. Holt, late chairman of the democratic state com- mitte2, end severa! others, have within the last few days announced that they can- not support Bryan, and some of them have published strong appeals to their party frie to cut loose from the free silver combine and vote for sound money. Populists Denounce the Fusion. To make matters worse for the Lryan managers quite a number of the leading populists of tie state have come out with strong denunciations of the ‘usion ard de- clared their intention of not voting the combined ticket. All these things have bouyed up the republicans, but have caused terror and dismay in the democratic camp. The leaders ro lonzer know where to turn. To add to all these miseries many of the fre2 sjlver republicans they had counted on have also slipped away frem them, and now they cannot count in the whole state more than a dozen who have been prominent in the republican ranks heretofore ‘and who now support Bryan. There is not one who has ever state prominente, with the single exception of Jo. Cheadle, who ts the fusion late for Congress in the ninth dis- trict. An evidence of how the tide has turned and is now sweeping McKinleyward is given in the present vondition In Rush county. This ts an agricultural county and one of the counties where the free sil- ver sentiment was al one time very strong among the republicans, and where the democrats have been counting on making large gains. The republicans have just been making extraordinary efforts to a cover the actual situation, and they h: carefully canvassed each precinct, havinj men ta’k with every republican in the precincts who was not positively known to be actively and earnestly for McKinley. With all their efforts they have been able to find only ninety-seven in the entire county, and it is not known tnat all of these will vote for Bryan. The county contains twenty-eignt precincts. _Accord- ing to this the number of free silver re- publicans in the county will average a lit- tle less than three and a half to the pre- cinct. In the same county the scund money democrats have a list of democrats who will rot vote for Bryan much larger than this Hst of free silver republicans. It must be remembered that Rush has been looked upon by the Bryariites as one of the banner free silver .republican counties of. the state. If the Rush county average should hold good throughout the state there would still be less than 114) free silver republicans in Indiana, while in this county alone there are about half that number of sound money democrats. In the Third District. Things are even looking brighter for the republicans in the third congressional dis- trict. In redistricting the state the re- publicans dumped into the third all the democratic counties possible, but the re- publicans there now express hopes of earrying the district.. Two years go in t landslide the district. as now con- stituted gave a democratic plurality of about 600, but according to the votes of former years the normal democratic plu- rality is about 5,000. The populist vote two years ago was 1,035. The Jemocrats have been hoping to get the populists 'o unite on their candidate, but this they not do, and have a candidate of their own. The free silver sentiment is not very strong in the district, while in some of the counties, notably Floyd, Clark and Dubois, there is a very strong sound money feeling among the democrats. This has been much strengthened within the past few days by the letter of Bishop Chaterd. The republicans believe it to be within their power to carry Floy] and Clark counties, and to reduce the democratic plurality in Dubois by at least 500. The republicans are burding great ex- pectations on Gen. Harrison’s tour throvgh the state, and the activity their campaign will disclose during the last two weeks of the fight. They are certamly displaying remarkable vigor, and in energy the sound money democrats are but a little behind them. On the other hani, the Bryan men have lost energy hin the pasi two or three days. The open ‘desertion of so many leaders has terd2d to paralyze them. If surface indications are worth anything at all the landslide to the republicans will equal that of two years ago’*if it does not surpass it. 1 ee ee WATSON BLAMES DEMOCRATS. He Says Populists Will Nat Be Re- sponsible for Bryan’ feat. Thos. E. Watson, the populist’ vice presi- dential candidate, made a speech at Gads- den, Ala., yesterday, and during its delivery the platform fell, but no one was hurt. The feature of the populist candidate's speech was his attack upon the democrats in the south—especially in Georgia and Alabama— for not fusing with the populists, whose offer in these two states to take down half their electors had been refused with scorn and contempt. Col. R. B. Kyle, a prominent silver demo- crat, asked Watson if he did not consider that he was endangering the election of Bryan. Watson asked if there was any danger of McKinley electors being chasen in Ala- bama, whereupon Kyle replied affirmatively. Waison asked: “Then why don’t you get together? Our boys are willing to. While I am primarily opposed to fusion, ¥ am willing to insure against McKinley electors being chosen,” continued Watson. “We have made propositions here in Ala- Lama, but your party has not even consid- ered them. Therefore, if Bryan is defeated the fault will be with the democrats and not with the populists. Both the democrats -and populists want Bryan, but without the 2,000,000 populists’ votes Bryan has not a ghost of a chance. State Chairman Deans here authorized the proposition that the Alabama populists would pull down six of their electors if the democrats would pull down five.” In conclusion, Watson reiterated his pur- pose not to withdraw, saying he would car- ry the banner which had been placed in his hands to glorious victory or honorable de- feat. Watson left in the afternoon for Nash- .,. THE EVENING STAR, FRIDAY, MINNESOTA PREDICTIONS ‘The State and National Tickets Will Be Oar- tied by the Republicans. That Party Will Elect Six Congress- men and One District 1s Doubt- ful—Mr. Lind’s Error. Special Correspondence of The Evenlag Star. MINNEAPOLIS, Minn., October 20, 1896. Minnesota will elect— The McKinley electors by 20,0v0 plurality; The republican state ticket, except the governor, by 10,000 plurality; Gov. Clough, republican, rality; Republican Congressmen in the first, sec- ond and fourth districts, by majorities ranging from 3,500 to 5,500; e Republican Congressmen ia the third and fifth districts by majorities of 1,500; A republican Congressman in the sixth district by a majority of 800; While in the seventh district the result is close and unceftain. The foregoing is an estimate on the re- sult in Minnesota, based on information gathered by an Evening Star correspon- dent in a trip which reached the principal towns in every district of the state and just concluded. It errs on the side of con- servatism, if at all, and is made with the reservation that in case of a landslide the republican way—for which conditions are faverable—all prophecies are off. The fig- ures, however, have the indorsement of a number of the most careful ° political prophets in the stete. Distribation of the Estimates. The estimate of 20,000 plurality for Mc- Kinley distributes the majorities in the congressional districts as follows: For Mc- Kinley: First district, 5,500; second, 5,000; third, 2,000; fourth, 3,500; fifth, 2,000; sixth, by 5,000 plu- 2,000; total, 22,000. For Bryan: Seventh district, 2,000. Net McKinley majority, 20,000, The estimate on governor distributes the majorities thus: For Clough, first district, ; second, 2,500; fourth, 3,000; sixth, ; total, 10,000. For Lind, third, 1,500; fifth, 1,000; seventh, 2,500; total, 5,000. Net Clough majority, 5,000. Mr. Lind’s Erri The state ticket is weaker than the elec- toral for the reason that many German democrats will vote for McKinley on prin- ciple, but will retain their old party af- filiations in state matters. This fact may also make the legislative contest a close one, but as the heavily republican senate holds over and as there is no senatorial fight this year, the legislative contests are of less importance than usual. Governor Clough would undoubtedly have been beat- en if Mr. Lind, the fusion nominee, had pursued a prudent course. Lind was for- merly a republican, and served two ierms in Congress from the second Minnesota dis- trict. He possessed the confidence and re- spect of the republicans of the state, and if he had pushed his campaign on purely state issues, without giving undue empha- sis to his apostasy to silver, he could have secured the entire anti-Clougk republican vote. The administration was weak and vulnerable, and there was a widespread sentiment of disapproval among the re- publican. masses for the pelicy of what is known as “ihe state machine.” But Mr. Lind chose to make his campaign entirely on the national issues. He has preached the silver doctrine early and late, and has indeed been the mest powerful stumpcr in its behelf in the state. He has consorted with the popocrats constantly, and been a consistent defender of Bryanism in all it: Phases. This error has driven from him many anti-Clough republican votes which would surely have gore to him state issues alone. It has given the republican managers the opportunity to paint in so: ber colors the picture of capital refusing to come to a state that had a populist g<v ernor. Thus it happens that within the Past two weeks Clovgh has been gaining, ard though many thousands cf votes weak- er than the electoral ticket, may yet pu'! through. The Change From Silver. But this is not the only change that has taken place in the rapidly shifting poli cal kaleidoscope. Up to the last of August the state was lost to gold. Up to that time the enthusiasm of the campaign was largely with the silver people. As soon as the republicans got their campaign fair! under way, however, the tide began turn. 10 In the sixth district and in the third the ground has almost slipped from be- neath the feet of the silver people without their realizing it. So in the fifth or Mia- neapolis district. The silver men are bas- ing their claims of carrying the state on estimates a month or six weeks old. No estimates of that age are of much value in this shifty campaign. It is noteworthy that the gold managers are on the offensive everywhere; they are pushing the fighi all along the line, while only in the fifth and seventh districts and parts of the fourth are the silver men pessessed of anything like confidence. As a matter of cold fact, the white metal leaders do not expect to carry Minnesota. They are counting on elcctinz a governor, a lower house in the legisla- ture and Congressmen in the third, fift sixth and seventh districts. Beyond these achievements their expectations do not ex- tend. The registration of voters, particu- larly in the cities, has been simply enor- mous, and this fact is portentous for the silver men. The largest increases are in the republican precincts. In 18%, the land- slide year, there were 20,000 voters in Min- neapolis alone. who did not exercise iheir franchise. Most of these will vote this year, and the gold men confidently count on securing the lion’s share of the in- crease in the vote. ——+.—__ College Sound Money Clubs. The Sound Money Democratic Ciub of Harvard College, through Mr. Wirt Howe, chairman of its committee on intercolleg- late organization, has addressed an invita- tion to all college sound money clubs to join in support of the Indianapolis ticket. The text of the appeal is as follows: “We, the democratic club of Harvard University, feel that the present condition of political affairs calis for a prompt and unqualified expression of the attitude of that porticn of the American student body who hold to the traditional principles of the democracy; and that the cardinal prin- ciples of sound money, tariff for revenue erly and civil service reform, as set’ forth in the convention held at Indianapolis, Sep- tember 2, 1806, should be actively support- ed by all those who are opposed to a de- based currency, class legislation and all forms of paternalism in government. “Feeling sure that the democratic clubs of all the colleges of the country coincide with us in this belief, we ask you to co- operate with us in the immediate formation of a permanent intercollegiate league of democratic clubs, which shall have for its object the furtherance of the principles_re- affirmed in the Indianapolis platform, and which shall take an active part in thir practical expression in the politics of the future. Our belief in the need of such an organization is as firm as our confidence in its success when once formed.” —_——_e+__—___ Maxim Applauds Dr. Langley. From the Scientific American. Mr. Hiram Maxim, in a recent letter to the London Times, thinks that Prof. Lang- ley was more sensible in making a small (flying) machine and projecting it from a boat, so that it would not be smashed when t fell into the water, than he himself was building one twelve times as large and starting it from rails on the ground. Ev. fall would involve three months’ time $5,000 for repairs. ———+o+_____ Giants That Stoop to Serve. Victor Hugo. There is no more solemn spectacle than mankind’s deliverance from above; the po- tentates put to flight by the dreamers, the prophets conquering the gen the sweeping away of violence by ideals. - ——— SS NEGLECT OF THE HAIR OFTEN DESTROYS ITS vitality and natural hue and causes it to out. Before it is too late apply Hall's Hair Renewer— ‘® sure remedy. OCTOBER. 23, vets A GREAT.3WEEK at <4 130 : thal Andrew Lipscomb and Mr. Brantley of the Treasury Department Reply to Postmaster General Wilson. Spectal Correspondence of The Evening Star. WHEELING, W. Va., Gctober 19, 1896. This is to be a big week, politically, in this section. W. J. Bryan will speak at Bellaire and Martin’s Ferry, across the Ohio river, Tuesday, The,repubtican clubs will escort A. W. Campbell to the tsland Tuesday evening, where he will make ‘his first address of the campaign in his own state. Wednesday afternoon Senator Frye of Maine will speak at the Terminal sta- tlon grounds, and tn the evening Senator Elkins will speak. The various clubs will do escort duty to both speakers. hurs- day the republican clubs will go on an excursion to Parkeraburg and expect to take 2,000 people to that city. Friday there will be a big demonstration at Bridgeport, and Saturday will be “sound money day’ at Wheeling. Clubs from all cities and towns within a radius of 100 miles have been invited. Among the clubs that. have promised to be present are the Ameriens Club, the Republican Tariff Club, the Stix Footers and the Four- teenth Ward Club, all of Pittsburg; the Tippecanoe Club of Cleveland, clubs from Massillon, Canton, Vellal Martin's Fer- ry, Steubenville and New Philade!phia, Ohio; Wellsburg, Mor iste and other West Virginia towns, and West Alexander and Washington, P: The sound money democrats will :lso take part in the parade and the membership roll of the railroad men’s sound money elubs of neigliboring towns in Ohio, West Virginiy and Penn- sylvania is counted to add 2,000 visitors. The railroad men will be addressed by John K. Cowen of the Baltimore and Ohio company and other prominent speakers. Vice President Stevenson will address a meeting of free silver democrats in Wheel- ing Wednesday, October 28. He will be accompanied by Governor Wm. A. Mac- Corkle and W. J. Kerr. Saturday, Octo- ber 31, the Wheeling democrats wiil hold a monster demonstration to vic with the republican display of October 24. Postmaster General Wilson was enthus- fastically greeted by a great audience at his home, Charlestown, Saturday, and spoke at length in favor of the Palmer and Buckner ticket. The Bryan men esti- mate the number cf gold democrats in Jef- ferson county at #. At night Andrew A. Lipscomb of Washington: and Thomas N. Brantley of South Carolina, chief of a di- vision in the Treasury Department, made replies to Mr. Wilson's speccn. Governor MacCorkle addressed 8,4) peo- ple at a barbecue at Barboursville, Cabell county, Saturday, in the dnterest of Bryan and free silver. The parade to the ground was over two miles in Jength. Wm. E. Chilton of the slemocratic state committee is out in an interview, claim- ing West Virginia for Bryan by from 8,000 to 12,000 plurality. He .bases his estimate on the addition of the populist vote to the normal democratic vote, in. 182. Chairman Wm. M. Q. Dawson of the republican state committee asserts that the sentiment for proteesion and sound money In West Virginia continues to grow; that the populist vote for Bryan will be more than offset by sound mouney demo- crats, who will vcte for McKinley or Palmer; that guins are’ general over the State, but particularly Jarge in Wheeling and Kanawha county, and,that McKinley's plurality will be anywhere from 15,000_to 20,000, : G. L. Spence of the>pepulist executive committce publishes .aB affidavit refuting the charges of demgcratic paperg. that he recently, had a conferenc® ‘with’ G. W. Atkinson In the interest of the republican state ticket.” Spence and Pierkoll last week entered suit against ‘the Whéeling Regis- ter and the Parkersburg Séntinel for defa- mation of character in the sum of $50,000 each, for publishing that they had accept- ed money from the republicans to prevent fusion of the pdpulists with the :demo- crats. “t , The contest before the ballot commission- ers of Wood county between the populist factions as to whether Walter Pendleton or Warren Hays should go on the: ballot for Congress, under the column “The Peo- pie’s Party,"” has been decided in favor of Pendleton. Pendleton is also the demo- cratic nomince —— SPAIN'S ATROCITIES IN THE EAST. Her Hideous Wayn of Sh. the Philip From the New York Sun. SAN FRANCISCO, Ociober i9.—The Hong Kong newspapers which arrived today con- tain full reports of the revolution in ‘the Philippine Is!&nds.. Most of the details come through private letters, as the Span- ish authorities examine all’ regular mali and exercise the strictest press censorship. The horrors that are described in these letters have not been equaled since the In- dian mutiny. The natives, usually lazy and ecod-natured, have sworn blood brother- heod against the Spanish and the priests, ard the worst massacres are feared. The cause of the revolt is partly the increase of the poll tax imposed on the natives and partly the conduct of the priests, who con- trol the government and dictate what meas- ures shall be made laws. The natives had long planned the outbreak, and it would have been successful from the siart but for treachery. Now they are in much the same positicn as the Cuban revolutionists. They cannot take Manila without artillery, but they have possession of Cavite, which is only six and a half miles distant, and they have seized the Mauser rifles which they found in the Cavite arsenal. The warfare thus far has been of the guerrilla kind, and it has been marked by hideous cruelties on both sides. The Span- ish recently captured several native leaders near Cavite, and, after torturing them, dis- emboweled them and hung the bleeding bedies, still warm, over the city gate. The natives who witnessed this outrage—for the -ietims had surreridered under promise of fair treatment—seized a Spanish lieutenan: who was traveling to Manila with his tfam- ily. They crucified the man, and then, while he hung dying, they assaulted his wife and twelve-year-old daughter, mock- ing him, and declaring that all the Span- iards on the island would be treated in the same way. Such reprisals have been fre- quent, and now few prisoners are taken. ‘The Spaniards recently: had a batch of 16) Prisoners whom they flung into a small dungeon under the walls of San Sebastian. One acccunt says that<fifty-four perished of foul air and were taken out in the morn- ing. Another report sqyg the authoritics were ignorart of the nee that the tide overflowed part of the/Gungeon at mid- night, and that the fifty-four dead were those who had been drawned by the rising waters. 3 The most formidable féature of the revolt is that many of the natf¥e troops are de- serting and that even Manila could not be held should the insurgénts storm the city under a capable leader. The natural sympath{éa*f the native sol- diers have been shown repeatedly. One day a@ regiment of natives on Sarade were ask- ed if they would fight fér'the Spanish gov- ernment, and their ready’ reply was that they would, but that the¥ would certainly not kill one of their fellow countrymen. On another occasion’ @‘Spanish captain and six of the native soldiers were turned out to quell a disturbance. Five of the na- tives were killed, and the sixth then turn- ed, stabbed his officer to death and -joined the rebel forces. The timidity of the Spanish officers to enter Cavite under these circumstances | ponte the rebel forces a chance to gather in large numbers in the province and to get formidably armed and thoroughly organ- ized. When all was ready they swoo} down upon the convent of Imus, a few miles from Cavite, and murdered all the friars who could not escape. The government still refrained from send- ing troops into the province, but four Span- men-of-war bombarded for several jays Imus and other places where the movement of the rebel forces could be detected, and the bomberdment was still going on at the date of: the last advices. The. shells fell short. and rebels continued to hold theip pcsition. : c dding Blood mex, ; 1896-SIXTEEN PAGES. CAMPAIGN’ IN MANY STATES MATHEMATICAL PROPHECY Indians’s Vote Analysed and Claimed for McKinley ye Gains and Losses as Expected by the Various Committees and the Gen- eral Result Therefrom. Special Correspondence of The Evening Star. INDIANAPOLIS, October 19, 1896. The atmosphere here still remains heavily charged with political elec- tricity, yet the sentiment is becoming so settled that the final outcome may be predicted with some kind of certainty, although no one may be able to approximate the real plurality. No one who is on the ground, and who is not blind- ed by his own personal or party desires, now doubts that Indiana is safely lodged in the McKinley column, but it may be that Ris plurality over Bryan will only be a moderate one, such as Indiana pluralities have been in past years, but it may prove another landslide like that of two years ago. Without the afd of the populists Mr. Bryan would be a badly defeated man in this state, and even with their aid he will g0 down. Tae Bryan leaders have been Sending out statements that he would have at least 30,000 plurality in the state, but their own figures do not bear them out. To get as near as possible a true concep tion of the actual state of affairs, I called at headquarters again today and asked as to figures. I first inquired as to what they claimed their ret gain in the rural pre- circts would be from the republicans, and was told the excess of free silver repub- licans over the sound money democrats in the country precincts would average fifteen to the precinct; in other words, that in the ccuntry precincts Bryan would get fifteen More republican votes than McKinley would get sound money democratic votes. Claims Examine: I then asked as to their claims on the populistic vote, and they sald they would &et 25,000 of the 29,000. My next inquiry was as to the average Bryan would lose in the city precincts from sound money dem- ocrats over what he would gain from free silver republicans in the same precincts. They put the figures at ten to a precinct, and said that of this loss McKinley would get 75 per cent and Palmer 25. There are 1,668 country precincts and 1,436 clty pre- cincts in the state. The increased vote this year over 1896 is put by all parties at 12,000. Of this the democrats admit that McKinley will get 00 per cent, and claim 40 per cent for Bryan. Now, on these democratic claims and ad- missions, the vote will stand, starting each party with the vote received two years ag Dome ¥ republt In frou popalis ty, per cent of new voie Total . Deduct loss in cities. Actual Bryan vote. iS per cent, of sound money democrats citles 5 Actual McKinley vote. . 5 Estimate Analyzed. It will be seen that giving Bryan all his leaders claim, and only allowing to Mc- Kinley what they are willing to give away, Mr. Bryan’s plurality will only he 2,16; instead of 35,000, as they have been de- claring they would have. The fact is that a careful survey of the field will dis- close that they claim too much, and do not give their opponents anything ‘ike what they will get, but this is the case with all political committess. The repub- licans claim and believe their gains in the country precincts will quite largely exceed their losses, and the indications are they are not so very far wrong in this. It has become evident within the last week that the republican disaffection has been dwindling very rapidly in the country, while in the same sections there has been & more pronounced gold sentiment. The republicans also claim that the number of sourd money democrats in the cities will average 30 at least, and that McKinley will get 90 per cent of them. In both of there claims the sound money democrats join. If Indianapolis, Fort Wayne, Evans- ville and Elkhart may be taken as fair samples of what the vote will be in the other cities, the sound money vote will average more than 30 to a precinct. Now, taking the claims of the two par- ties, and conceding that each is too san- guine of its own side, it certainly is fair to Mr. Bryan to give him half what his managers claim in the country precincts. It ought to be said that many populists declare Mr. Bryan will not get more than 20,000 cf the populist vote, and that rum- ber is all that the republicans concede to Bryan, but it is certainly fair to Mr. Bryan to give him all that he claims of this vote. Having cut down the democratic claims in the country one-half, it will be right to cut down that of the republicans in the city In the same way, and then that would only give the sound money <iemocrats five more votes to a precinct than the Bryan- ites @oncede. A gain for Bryan of 71-2 to a precinct in 1,668 precincts would be 12,510. A loss of 15 in 1,436 precincts would be 21,540. How It May Stand. On this basis the vote would stand: Democratic vote in 1894. Gain from republicans. Gain from_popullsts. 40 per cent of new vote. ‘Total eeeeee ne Deduct sound money democrats, Actual Bryan vote... Republican vote in 1894 ss 7 per cent of send money vote ia cities. 60 per cent of new vote.. ct loss in country precinct: T Ded Actual McKinley vote. Plurality for McKinley. There may be some changes one way or the other between this and the election, but as the tide has turned once more to McKinley, the changes are more likely to be in his favor than against him. The bold stand taken by Mr. Sheerin, formerly sec- retary of the democratic national commit- tee, and by Col. McLean, deputy commis- sioner of pensions in Cleveland’s first ad- ministration, is having great effect. Each of those gentlemen wields a very large in- fluence in democratic ranks, and as they both strongly denounce fusion and protest against democrats being forced to vote for populists, many changes from Bryan may be looked for each day. So much have the republicans been en- couraged during the last few days that they now feel certain of being able to con- trol the next legislature. The democratic and populist fusion is not panning out just as its promoters desired. The great mass of German votes in the state will be against Bryan, and they-declare they do not desire to have the matter in doubt, so they will vote directly for McKinley. This is true not only in the cities, but among the Germar: farmers. Bishop Chatard’s letter is also having a very decided effect. —_—— His Horse Saved His Life. From the Rhodesian Times, Salisbury, South Africa. When Surgeon Captain Grey was riding alongside the wagon which served for an ambulance in the retreat from Hartley, he. was knocked off his horse by a bullet, which waunded him severely in the hip. He lay on his face in the grass, the enemy keeping up a heavy fire all the time. When the rear guard came along the doctor’s horse went with them, but, after going about 200 yards, he circled back to the spot where the doctor was lying and put his head down to see what the trouble was. The doctor promptly seized the reins, got on his back somehow, and re- ed the column. There is no doubt that, 4 it not been for this extraordinarily sa- gaciqus action on the part of the horse, the dcctor would soon have bled to death, and he says that if he can get permission he will never part with the who did him such excellent service in the time of his ‘The Complications in State Matters That Have Silver Democrats Sure of Electing the Governor, but They Have Left Bryan to the Farmers. Correspondence of The Evening Star. NASHVILLE, Tenn., October 20, 1896. Tennessee is one of the doubtful states in the campaign of 1896. There are complica- ticns and reasons which bear out this as- sertion. There are four candidates for gov- ernor, and five state committees proceeding with the work of organization. The silver democratic executive committee is assured of the election of Robert L. Taylor for gov- ernor, but they have virtually left the Bryan electors to the mercy of the free sil- ver sentiment among the farmers, and give out no figures for Bryan's majority. Chair- man J. M. Coleman himself admits that there is little hope of Bryan carrying the state, and is making the election of Bob Taylor the main issue of his- campaign. The reason of this is that there are 25,000 or 30,000 sound money democrats in the state, the majority of whom will vote for Taylor for governor, but their votes will go tc Palmer or McKinley for President. Tay- lor is very blue, and is worried much as the campa‘gn progresses. The seating of Peter Turney, democrat, as governor, in 1894 over H. Clay Evans, republican, when Evans had 2,500 majority on the face of the re- turns, and the congressional fight in the tenth district between Josiah Patterson (goKi) and E. W. Carmack (silver) brings troublescme visions to Taylor and his com- mittee. When Bryan spoke in Memphis he tcok occasion to eulogize Carmack, which served to enrage Patterson's great army of supporters into declaring against both Bryan and Bob Taylor. The silver demo- cratic committee say that Taylor will be elected by 20,000 majority,but a non-partisan and conservative estimate is that if he re- ceives 3,000 maority he will have cause to congratulate himself. Sound Money Democrats. The sound money democrats who will scratch’ Taylor will aggregate 10,000. There are 10,000 other democrets wh> were in- dignant at Turney being seated by the legislature, and they will vote to give the republican party what they consider its due. Added to this is the corruption of ap- pointees of Gov. Turney, which created scandal in the state government, and which has been unearthed. The “penitentiary job,” which would have fleeced the state of nearly a miilion dollars, has become a bugaboo in the canvass. The republicans are fighting for the governorship along the line of state issues, leaving the national issues to national speakers. The state debt is now $18,000,000 and increasing every year. A recent extra session of the legisla- ture was called by Gov. Turney to protect a deficit in the state treasury next Jan- uary, when the semi-annual interest of $250,000 is due. The system of back tax collectors, which is cesting hundreds of thousands of dollars, the need of a consti- tutional convention and fee reform, where millions of dollars are being thrown away extravagantly every year, is mecting the righteous wrath of the people. The crim- inal court costs in Tennessee amount an- nually to over $1,200,000, while in the neigh- boring state of Georgia these costs amount to only about $10,000 per year. Systematically Organized. The sound money democrats are system- atically organized in Tennessee. They are well provided with funds, and orators of national reputation are drawing big crowds for them. They have precinct and district organization in-many counties. The eastern portion of Tennessee is so over- whelmingly republican that no organization is necessary. There are ninety-six counties in the state, and the batfle royal is in the western and middle sections. It is very Noticeable that besides Bryan and Ben Till- man, no silver orators of national import- ance have come into Tennessee. On the other hand Palmer and Buckner, John R. Fellows of New York, Gen. Adam E. King of Baltimore and a dozen others have been into Tennessee for the gold democrats. The prohibition candidate for President, Joshua Levering, will make several speeches in the state. There are about 30,000 railroad men who vote in the state. More than 20,000 of them will vote for Palmer or McKinley. The silver democratic committee is “dead broke” and has no funds. In-years gone by it was the custom of the state democratic committee to go to the banks, railroads, corporations and wealthy men for from $500 to $2,000 each. But this year all the corporations refused point blank to eon- tribute anything. Silver Democrats Can't Fuse With Populists. Another increasing terror to the silver democracy is that they can accomplish no fusion with the populists. The popu- list strength in Tennessee is 24,000 votes. The silver democracy offered the populists three electors, but Tom Watson forbade an acceptance, and they demanded not only three electors, bui two Congressmen. This was refused, of course, and the populists have openly fused with the republicans on congressional and legislative candidates. The three most talked of politicians in Tennessee during the campaign of 1896 are E. B. Stahlman, gold democrat; H. Clay Evans, republican, and John H. McDowell, populist. Stahlman is the owner of the Nashville Banner, Evans is good for Post- master General if McKinley ts elected, and McDowell, the leader of the populisis, can deliver 15,000 populist votes at his discre- tion, elther way. The three of them have set their heads tcegether, and their splen- did onslaughis have had a demoralizing ef- fect upon the silver democrats. It is very evident that Stahlman’s chief end is to elect a repubjican legislature, for he has his weather eye on the United States Sen- ate. McDowell is the joint nominee of the populists and republicans from the ninth district. The democrats of the ninth have put out that sterling democrat, Rice A. Pearce, formerly member of Congress. Both Congressmen McMillin and Richar sol (the latter,being.slated for the speaker- ship of the next Congress, has a free sil- ver majority), whe have been mixed up with the national eampaign, have hurried into their respective districts recently and are now in the midst of their own cam- paigns. Both Senators Isham G. Harris and Wm. B. Bate are sick and confined to their beds in Memphis and Nashville, their respective homes. Jt is not expected that Senator Harris will live to complete his present term in the Senate. May Defeat Bryan. In the tenth congressional district is the mightiest fight for a seat in Congress be- tween Patterson and Carmack. The two Memphis papers, the Commercial-App2al and the Scimitar, are supporting Patter- son, while the silver men have founded un afternoon paper, the Herald, in Carmack’s interest. Carmack will have a good ma- jority in the country, but Patterson will win in the city, and the odds are in his favor. The fight in this district may defeat Bryan in Tennessee. —__ ‘What a Red Hat Costs. From the New York Times. The red hat of a cardinal costs him more money than kings pay for any except their very best crowns. Before accepting it, the grateful prelate must make offerings to the propaganda and to his titular church at Rome, and pay fees to a long list of offi- cials, ranging from chamberlains of the vatican down to the cooks and sweepers and the soldiers of the Swiss Guards. In- deed, the new cardinal has to pay fees at every step from the moment of his creation tu the occasion of his receiving the red hat in public consistory, and when all is over and done finds himself out of pocket to the extent of $2,500, at least. If the cardinal is without means to defray the cost of his elevation, and if he is to reside at Rome, the vatican is ready to make him a loan, to be repaid in installments out of his yearly allowances. TENNESSEE DOUBTFUL TE IN CARLISLE’S STATE Expectation of Electing Nine Re- publican Members of Congress. PRESENT SITUATION ANALYZED Breckinridge Has No Serious Op- position and Will Be Elected. A PREDICTED PLURALITY Special Correspondence of The Evening Star. LOUISVILLE, October 19. iS. Not since 1861 has there been such a heated campaign in Kentucky as the pres- ent. The excitement is intense, from the mountains to the “Purchase,” and it is a very poor sort of orator who cannot con- vene an audience if he cannot command a hearing. Both sides claim the advantage, but the logic of the figures is decidedly with the republicans. If the Bryan democrats have two mem- bers in the House of Representatives of the Fifty-fifth Congress they will have to fight for them with greater pertinacity than has characterized any race for Con- gress in this state in forty years. There are enthusiastic republicans and Palmer democrats who say the Bryan candidates will be defeated in every district; but the more conservative view is that they have the second district certainly and an even chance in two others. The first has bccn known as the Gibral- tar district for more than half a century, So designated because of its overwhelming democratic majorities. It is that part of the state between the Tennessee and Mis- sissippi rivers. There is no doubt that Bryan will receive a large majority in that district, at ieast 8,000, but the congres- sional race is a three-cornered affair, and the populists are stronger in the first than in any other district of the state. Wheeler, the Bryan candidate, wes a sound money man until he failed to secure an office for which he applied to Secretary Carlisle; and hence it is that Keys, the Populist candidate, refuses to withdraw in his favor. There are about as many pop- ulists as silver democrats in the district, and if the gold democrats vote for Thomas, the republican candidate, the latter will have a small plurality. It is a very pretty race as it stands. This is the district so long represented by Capt. W. J. well. known in Washington. Clev ried it in 1892 by a plurality of 7, din’s plurality in 1895 was only 3,355. Until last year the democrats could count on a large majority in the second district. It is one of the finest agricultural regions in the whole country; but contains thriving and progressive towns, such as Henderson, Owensboro’, Hopkinsville, Morgantown, Uniontown and Madisonvilie. It is claimed for Henderson that it deals in more Lon- don exchange than even Cincinnati, and in all the towns mentioned the sound money sentiment among democrats is strong and growing. There is a formidable populist element in the district, which will support Clardy, the silver democrat, who is a can- didate for re-election to Congress. If he is elected, it will be due to that element. If the sound money democrats and republi- cans were united their candidate would be successful, but the republicans have nomi- nated a young man named Fauts, a fine stump speaker, and the Palmer men have nominated J. W. Lockett, who will poll 4,000 or 5,000 votes. Last year the repub- licans carried the district by a small plu- rality, owing to a heavy vote cast for Pettit, the populist nominee for governor. Mr. Carlisle speaks in the district October 26, and it is altogether probable that he may turn the scale against Clardy. The “Bloody Old Third: The third district is known as the “bloody -0ld third,” because of numerous exciting and bitter factional quarrels in both parties. At present it is represented by Dr. W. Godfrey Hunter, a republican, whose plurality in 18M was 10. Last year it went republican by 2,000, John 8. Rhea, without exception the finest. stump orator in the state, is the candidate of the Bryan people, and Dr. Hunter, without ex- ception the finest political organizer in the state, is the republican candidgte for re- election. In 18% the populisis polled 1,704 vetes in the district. A majority of these will vote for Rhea, bat the sound money seniiment among democrats in the district is very considerable—at least 3,KK}—of which Hunter will recive one-haif and Rhea none. The election of Hunter is as- sured. Until 1894 the fourth district had always been sirongly democratic. In 182 Cleve- land carried it by about 5,00, Montgome: former Congressman, sought to have Mrs. Ben Hardin Helm removed as posimaster of Elizabethtown. She is a sister of Mrs. Abraham Lincoln, and her husband was Killed at the battle of Chickamauga while leading the famous “Orphan Brigade” of the confederate army in a brilliant charge. Gen. Grant first appointed Mrs. Helm post- master; Hayes, Arthur, Cleveland—his first term—and Harrison, successively reap, ed her. Both parties in the fourth revered her, and a great majority hoped she was in office for life. There is no sentim ex- cept selfishness in practical polit Mrs, Helm was removed, and simultaneously Montgomery, who had been defeated for re-election, in 1814, developed into a most radical gold standard man, having been, theretofore, a most radical free silver man. And there is a fine faction t, and the election of John W. Lewis over his oppo- nent, D. H. Smith, is assured. There is a populist candidate in the fourth, J. E. Den- ham, who is most obstinate in’ his refusal to get off the track. Bradley carried the district in 1895. The fifth district will re-elect Walter Evans by a majority of at least 10,000, and it may be 15,000. This is the Louisvill conting2nt of at least will vote for John Young Wrown, the bryan candidate, and half of whom will vote for Evans, the republican candidate. John B. Baskia is the Palmer candidate. Carlisle's Old Distric The sixth is Carlisle's district. Until re- cently it was good for 6,44) democratic ma- jority; but A. S. Berry, the democratic nominee, will probably be defeated this year. Until he went home last summer, af- ter the adjournment of Congress, he was a strong supporter of the admini joa. In his speech accepting the nomination he as- serted that he only supported Cleveland's financial policy in order to get offices for his constituents. His competitor, R. P. Ernst, is a man of high character, who will not only get the full republican and sound money democratic vote, but a great many silver men, who do not approve of Berry. The seventh is the Ashland district, and there is very little doubt that Col. Breckin- ridge, candidate of the sound money demo- crats and republicans, defeat Settle, the silver democrat. Breckinridge will lose some republicans and Palmer democrats, but he has a considerable personal following among the silver people. There is little doubt that G. M. Davidson, republican, will carry the eighth district now represented py Governor McCreary. It is close even when the democrats are united, and this year there are several thou- sand Palmer democrats in the district who will not vote for Thompson, the Bryan can- didate. The curious phase of it is that Thompson, who is an extensive distiller of Bourbon whisky, will get the prohibition vote, and the eighth is about the ouly dis- trict in the state where that party has any strength. The ninth district is safely republican this year. It may be by 2,000, and it may be by 4,000. Sami. J. Pugh, the sitting member, is the republican nominee for re- election, and W. Larue Thomas is the silver candidate. There ts a very small populist vote in the district, and the sound money sentiment is very strong among the demo- crats of Bath, Boyd, Fleming, Greenup, Harrison, Mason and Nicholas counties. There is no doubt of Pugh’s re-election. The tenth district is represented in the Fifty-fourth Congress by Kendall, demo- crat, who had a majority of less than 200 over his republican competitor, Hopkins, who is contesting the seat. In this district there are very few populists, while the sound money sentiment among the demo- crats is very strong in such counties as Clark, Floyd and Montgomery. Langly, the republican nominee, is not by any means a strong man; but he will probably be elected over his democratic opponent, Fitzpatrick. It is claimed that there are 60 sound money democrats in Clark county and 400