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SEES SLIM MARGIN DECIDING ELECTION Hoover Probable, Smith Possible Victor, Manning's Summary By GEORGE H. MANNING (Washington Correspondent, N. B. Herald) Washington, D. C, Nov. 3 — Herbert Hoover will be elected pres- ident next Tuesday unless the very perceptib] in towards Governor Alfred E. Smith two weeks ago gains extraor- dinary force over Sunday and Mon- day. ‘The situation is now so close, how- ever, that Governor §mith has a very good gambler's chance of win- ning out in any circumstances. The claims of the republican leaders that election day will witness a Hoover landslide must be taken with & handful of salt. There is nothing like a “sweep"” in prospect for Hoov- er. In fact, the election will be de- cided by a very slim margin. There are so many unusual fac- tors of great importance in this pres- {dential election that it is entirely possible Smith may spring a big sur- prise on the politicians and the pub- lic generally. Most of these unus- ual elements are generally regarded by the public as being against Smith, but upon keener analysis they must be seét down as distinctly favoring him. There are halt a dozen important fssues in this campaign on which victory for the republican or demo- cratic candidate will depend that have never before been presented to the American people in a national election, making it almost impossible for anyone to make a worth-while forecast of the outcome. Some of the important factors for the public to consider which have never before been put before the American people at a presidential election are: (1) Smith's religion and freedom of dominance of his acts by his religious affiliation; (2) Hoover 18 generally regarded as DEMOCRATIC THIANAYRALLY Sunday Night—7:30 o’Clock Lithuanian Hall Park St. Hear: Constantine Mikalauskas, Mayor A. M. Paoncesa, Atty. Thos. F. McDonough All Are Welcome! R T R __Hazel Moorehouse Waite, Vs. Douglas Waite | Superior Court, Hartford County, Octeber 26, 1928. SECOND ORDER OF NOTICE Upodn the complaint in sald cause, brought to said Court, at Hartford, in said County on the first Tuesday of October, 1928, and now pending. claiming divorce and custody of minor children, it not appearing to this Ceurt that the defendant has received notice of the pendency of #aid complaint and it appearing to this Court that the whereabouts of the detendant is unknown to the plaintift. ORDERED, that notice of the in- stitution and pendency of said com- plaing ‘shall be given the said de- fendant by publishing this order in the New Britain Herald, a news- paper published in New Britain, Connecticut, once a week, for two consecutive weeks, commencing on or before the 3rd day of November, 1928. RAYMOND G. CALNEN, Assistant Clerk of said Court. “ground swell” which sets/ “dry” and Smith as “wet"; (3) the women have never voted for presi- dent a8 they will this time; (4) the question of Bmith's domination by Tammany; (5) has Hoover's resi- dence and past political affiliation or lack of its entitled him to elec- tion to the presidency by the repub- licans. The fact that 8mith is a Roman Catholic is considered by many as being an unsurmountable obstacle to his election in & country where the Protestants outnumber the Catholics ten to one. But our presi- dents are elected by the electoral college vote and mot by popular vote, and the states where 8mith's religion ‘will be used most against him are in the south where the democratic vote is too overwhelming to be upset by this issue. In most of the states where the sectarian factor will aid Hoover, he needs no aid, like in Ohio, Indiana, Towa and the opposition to Smith there will not hurt him in the final | outcome because those states would be in the republican column anyway. » The sectarlan issue will be most important in the states generally regarded as always doubtful, like New York, and there S8mith will probably get more ald from the Catholics than can be oftset by the | anti-Catholics. He will probably |lose Oklahoma and Kentucky be- | cause of his religion. Those two states together have 25 electoral votes, but if 8mith gaine Massachu- setts with 18 2nd Connecticut with 7 the religious opposition will be off- set. The most bitter opposition to Smith on the ground of religion is in North Carolina and Virginia, but it is certain that factor will not throw either state to Hoover. The line-up over the prohibition issue is much the same. Smith's wetness will hurt him in states that as a rule will remain in the demo- dryness will have no revolutionary effect in states like Ohio, Indiana, Michigan and Iowa. Except for Oklahoma, Governor Smith will carry the “solid south,” and there is a chance he may get that also® Of the three border states, Ten- {nessee, Kentucky and , Missouri, | Smith will carry Tennessee easily, | will probably get Missouri, but will most likely lose Kentucky. Smith has a reasonable chance of carrying Illinols, Delaware and Con- necticut, Without New York with its block of 45 votes Smith cannot win, but |1t seems possible for Hoover to win without New York-——and that 1s where Hoover appears to have the advantage over Smith. Hoover is certain to carry New Jersey this year, especially since tho graft and ecorruption investigation in Hudson County is going to pre- vent any “stealing” of the election in Hudson County by Mayor Frank Hague's well-trained political ma- chine. Old lines in Pennsylvania are go- ing to be badly smashed this year, with thousands of Catholics, wets, miners and laboring people swirg - ing to Smith, who formerly voted the republican ticket, and other thousands of anti-Catholies and drys to Hoover, who have before lined up with the democrats. But this unusual switching will atil leave Pennsylvania as usual in the républican column with 38 votes. After months of intensive study of the political situation in every state, with special attention to important old and new facters in the situation, and with particular regard to the trénd of the vote in the last week compared with this time in 1924 and 1920, I am strongly inclined to line the state’'s votes up as set forth in the accompanying tabulation. This table gives Hoover 185 votes, and Smith 155 certainly. With the 47 classed as probably republican Herbert Hoover would have 222 down as probably democratic Smith's total would be 253. There are 531 votes in the electoral col- lege, making it necessary for the winner to get more than 266 votes to win. Either would win by taking all the states classed as doubtful to- gether with those granted the can- didate and put down as probably go- ing to him, but neither could win with much less. Altogether, it seem to me the elac- tion result is going to be much OUR BOARDING HOUSE cratic column anyway and Hoover's | Harold Ward, Catherine Welsh, Jo- votes and giving Smith the 98 put| NEW BRITAIN DAILY HERALD, SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 3, 1928, closer than most observers believe, with the situation at this moment favoring Herbert Hoover. . BERLIN NEWS (Continued From Page 8even) The Panthers will play the Plain- ville Bues tomorrow afternoon at the Perclval avenue grounds in Kensing- ton at 2:30 o'clock. This is a return game, the first going to the Plain- ville eleven by a 7 to 0 score. Man- ager Royal Holmes has shifted the entire lineup, trying out new com- binations. The Fellowcraft club of Cromwell held a Hallowe'en dance and enter- | tainment in Masonic hall last eve- ning. The event was well attended. Mr. and Mrs. R. B. Stevenson and tamily have moved to Middletown, where they will reside in the future. Mr. Stevenson was recently appoint- ed station agent at the Middletown depot. Their many friends regret their departure from East Berlin. Elmer Dyer was a New Britain visitor yesterday. Bunshine Cleaners and Dyers branch office, Central Barber 8hop, Kensington. Garments delivered to your home.—advt. REGISTRARS SWELL POLLING STAFF (Continued from First Page.) Noonan, W. B. Montague, Anna Clancy; challengers, A. Ackerstrom, Helen Bromley, Mrs. Cullen; ma- chine attendants: P. Duffy, M. Con- nors, J. Campbell, J. Edman, Ed- | ward Long, F. Larson; deputy reg- istrar, J. W. Barry. Fifth ward: Moderator., Louis Holt; checkers, Joseph Gil, Lettie Scott, J. Dudzack, Merritt Huma- son, Mrs. F. Zapatka; challengers, seph Smith, Edna Berg; machine attendants, 8 Andronik, Willlam Allen, J. Harrison, Edward Sullk, E. Connolly, J. Bickey, L. Arzylo- wiez, S. Earles, John Farr and James Desmond, deputy registrars. Sixth ward: Moderator, Willlam | Dorsey; checkers, S. Rosenberg, J. W. Preston, Harry Scheuy, Mrs. Lawson; challengers, Joseph Burk- arth, Mrs. Nowland, J. Staubley, Mrs. Kalinowski; machine atten- dants, John O'Keefe, William Cooney, C. Scanlon, R. Lynch, H. Herzog, Joseph Manz, M. Clark, Herbert Carlson, C. E. Richardson; deputy registrars, R. Anderson and Tony Matulis. Captain Drake Loses Sailing Ship in Wreck Amsterdam, Holland, Nov. 3 (P— Captain Thomas Drake of Seattle, Wash., known as the “Lone Sea Rover” who has been on a leisurely voyage round the world in his 35. foot ketch Pilgrim, has lost his faithful little vessel in which he had sailed tha seas for several years. The Pilgrim was wrecked in a storm off the Island of Goeree and is a total loss. The captain was rescued by fishermen and taken to Stellendam after having saved only a few clothes and instruments. The American consulate at Rot- terdam has offered all assistance to Captain Drake who had intended | sailing back to the United States by | way of the Far East. Attention Ladies BOSCOE'S 1LADIE: BARBER 8HOP and BEAUTY PARLOR announce that we now have four highly-skilled ladies’ barbers in attendance at all times; also three very competent hairdressers and a first class manicurist. STRAND THEATER BLDG. Entrance Through Lobby Tel. 1543 For Appointments Men’s Barber Shop Over Kresge's Store By AHERN UNUSUAL GRAPTER OF HISTORY ENDS Tuesday's Election Brings Ex- traordinary Era to Close When the voters translate their | decisions into ballots at Tuesday's| election they will be passing judg- | ment on one of the really extraor-| dinary chapters of American politi- | cal history. Whether the verdict is for Hoover or for Smith, the year 1928 is likely to be memorable for reasons quite aside from the personalities of the | candidates and the issues for which they have stood. It has seen both of the major parties letting go the traditions of geographical and in- dustrial sectionalism, and groping for a more secure national footing; third partylsm reduced to its lowest ebb in this political generation, and many of the ordinary customs of the years abrogated altogether, Militant Minorities It may be that the political stu- dent of the future will call 1928 the vear of the militant minorities. Everywhere over the country new life has been imparted to moribund state and local organizations which in past years have been overawed by the hostile majorities about them, and have given up the strug- gle before it began. This time there | has been organized democratic ac- tivity in nearly all of the heavily republican states, and an organized republican campaign in nearly every democratic stronghold. Forecasters Disagree Of course the party forecasters disagree as to the precise effect on the final outcome, although they concede generally that neither the normal democratic states will re- turn majorities at all comparable to those of past years. They further agree that no matter who wins, each party will have left at its disposal, for future use, a more truly nation- al organization than either has had for many years. The reconstitution of the repub- Iltcan party on this new basis may be said to date from the June day when the ‘supporters of Herbert Hoover took possession of the party machinery at Kansas City. The ten- dencies of the times became quite apparent in the seating of southern delegations at the national conven- tlon. An entirely new deal was de- clared in more than one southern state during and after the conven- tion and during his trip to Tennes- see early in October Mr. Hoover made a direct appeal to the voters of the south to regard the republi- | can party as a party of national scope. The democratic metamorphosis began to show itself with adoption of the party’s tariff plank at Hous- ton. It took on definite color with Governor Smith's selection of John J. Raskob, one of the country's outstanding captains of industry, as chairman of the democratic nation- al committee. It was evident that the nominee was determined to dis- prove s0 far as possible the old ! saying that the democrats cannot hope for help in the industrial states because industry does not trust democratic policies and demo- cratic methods, Recrufts Are Sought In these respective efforts toward nationalization, the parties have gone outside the old established lines for recruits, and have held no grudges against erstwhile enemies who have become suddenly friends. In the south the republicans have worked shoulder to shoulder with the “anti-Smith democrats” or- ganized by Bishop Caunnon and his colleagues. In republican states like Pennsylvania and Minne- sota the democrats have helped organize clubs whose only en- trance requirements was a pledge to vote for Smith. The splitting of tickets has been encouraged to a degree never dreamed of a few years ago. It would be difficult to sort out the issues of the campaign and designate any one as paramount. Governor Smith's celebrated tele- gram to the Houston convention gave prohibition a prominence it never had before in a presidential campaign. It is certain that to many voters the chief distinction between the parties in 1928 has been that the nominee of one is ! for modification of the Volstead act, and the nominee of the other has declared for the eighteenth amend- ment. This is a promise which many others have disputed, particu- larly some of Governor Smith's own supporters in the farm belt, where democrats and boiting repub- licans have wagered a war on the republican nominee on the basis of his record as food administrator and his opposition to the McNary-Hau- gen bill. Slurs on Smith's Tai many connections and Hoover's long residence abroad have caused both sides to charge their opponents with *whispering.” The Religious Issue One of the big enigmas is the re. ligious issue. Governor BSmith's membership in the Catholic church has been discupsed privately and publicly. The republican national organization and Mr. Hoover him. self have expressed condemnation of such a campaign, but other anti- Smith agencies have distributed anti-Catholic literature far and wide. Opinions differ as to the percentage of votes thus influenced. Following in the main the repub- lican precedent which has obtained with few variations since McKin- ley's famous front porch campaign, Mr. Hoover has spent most of the summer at his headquarters in Washington. His opponent has traveled much more widely, The Final Week ¢ The final week of the campaign finds an unusual number of states still claimed by both sides and still rocked by the thunder of heavy po- litical artillery. ‘Those in which the battle now seems most terrific include: In the east: New York, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Rhode Is- land and Delaware. In the south: NorthyCarolina, Florida, Alabama and Texas. On the border: Mary- {1and, Kentucky, Tennessee, Mis- sburi and Oklahema. In the Farm Belt: Wisconsin, Minnesota, North Dakota and Nebraska. In the west: Montana, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico and Arizona. These are the states in which | political analysis are likely to be most interested when the first re- turns trickle in next Tuesday night. Jugo-Slavia Head Leaves for Paris Belgrade, Jugoslavia, Nov. 3 (P)— King Alexander of via will leave shortly for Paris. The pur. pose of the journey has not been made public but it is believed in po- litical circles that it has something bitch, a prominent member of the Coat opposition which has been re. fusing to participate in legislative activities at Belgrade, is now in Paris. FINDS BLUE VIOLETS Great Barrington, Mass., Nov. 3 (#) (A~Miss Julia Robertson picked a bunch of blue violets in full bloom here vesterday. The bloom and fragrance were as perfect as those picked during the month of May. In sections about the village ram. bler roses are taking on new life and some hlooms have been discov THE WORLD'S POLITICJANS OF TODAY CAMPARED WITH THE FUTURE RULERS The most High ruleth in the whomsoever he will. Dan. 4:17. in righteousness, to make this gl removing the curse of oppression, death. Read MICAH 4:1-8. Kingdom of men and- giveth it to God intends to rule this world lobe man's paradise restored, by , wars, disease, famine and even The Christadelphians invite you to hear Mr. Joseph W. Hun- tress of Bosten, in exposition of God's great plan and purpose with the earth and mankind upon it. The questions will be answered. Reats Free. Come and bring your friends. No Collection. Lecture starts at 3:30 P. M.—Sunday Nov. 4th. GROTTO HALL, Capitol Theater Bidg., West Main Street. Hoovers Go Home To Vote Herbert Hoover and Mrs. Hoover, now in Kansas, en route tc their home in Palo Alto, Cal., to vote in the presidential election. are pictured here waving good-bye to friends in Washington. The nominee and his family will remain at their Stanford uni- versity campus residence until after the election, CYCLE-AUTO RAGE PRINCIPALS FINED Judge Roche Lectures Speeders Who Plead Funds Are Low “The public has got to be protect- ed against this sort of driving.” Judge H. P. Roche sald in police court today, in reply to Attorney Yale Sable, who called the attention of the court to the poor financial condition of Louis Baraglia of this city and John Spissak of New Haven, who pleaded nolo contendere to the charge of speeding. ““The fact that they are badly off financially would not help anyone else who might have been struck and injured, or whose property might have heen damaged as a result of their driv- ing. I am willing to place them on grobation, however, to pay the fine and costs with the distinct under- standing that probation means to pay and not to stall it off. If they do not pay, they will go to jail and serve it out.” Baraglia and Bpissak were arrest- ¢4 Halloween night by Supernumer- ary Officer Willlam J. 8ullivan, who saw them racing on Willow street, the local man driving an automo- bile and Spissak riding a motor- cycle. The original charge was reckless driving, but Prosecuting At- torney J. G. Woods lessened it after a conference with Attorney Sable. Mr. Woods recommended that a fine of $10 and costs be imposed in each case and Judge Roche accepted it, at the same time requesting Attor- | ney Sable to impress upon Barag- [rm and Spissak that the highways are intended for public use in a rea- | sonable manner and it is the in |tention of the court to se> to it that speeders and reckless drivers are punished. | The case of William F. Bierce |aged 22, of 515 Watertown avenue, Waterbury, charged with driving past a traffic signal at Main and West Main streets, was disposed of by a nolle on payment of costs. The case of Peter Bombay, aged 126, of 62 Woodland street, charged | with operating an automobile while junder the influence of liquor, was |nolled. Prosecuting Attorney Woods |said he had investigated the case |and decided to give Bombay the benefit of the doubt. He was ar: rested last Saturday afternoon, after |a slight collision on Franklin Square. | Patrick H. McGuire, aged 85, of |21 Hurlburt street, charged with as- ilting his wife, pleaded not guilty nd the case was continued untii | Monday because of Mrs. McGuire's |fallure to appear in court. Officer | Patrick Meehan made the arrest. | |Bad Weather May Cause | Postponement of Parade Mrs. B. B. Bassette, president of [the Woman’s Republican club, has requested the Herald to notify prospective participants in the |torchlight procession scheduled for | tonight of the following possible change in plans. | “If it rains at 6 o'clock there will | he no parade which will be held | | Monday night instead. It it is clear- | ing the parade will be held as |scheduled.” Questioned as to the amount of water in the air neces- |sary to he considered rain, Mrs | Bassette said the parade will be postponed if there is any moisture {at all from above. HAT oould be more sppetisi: than a piece of resl old w..i : apple pie, baked the new-fashioned wey —in the Lorain Self-regulsting Oven of o Clark Jowel Gas RangeP = A Clerk Jowsl Red Wheel Gos Renge does sway with scorched upper-orusts, ity under-orusts, and apples sot pere otly baked. With the Red Wheel, the correct oven heat is measured end meintained. 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